Fair Grounds, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Feb. 25 (plus Fair Grounds)

Race 5 – SA
#7 Slalom (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: You can see some big form reversals at this maiden claiming level, especially if they are dropping from MSW like this filly. She showed some early speed and she got steadied hard. Trainer Phil D’Amato puts blinkers on (a 23% move) to keep mind on business.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – SA
#23 Inordinate (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This horse is running for the first time in the Richard Baltas barn after being with Chad Brown back East. The 5-year-old has high speed and Baltas takes the blinkers off (29% move) in order to get him to relax. If Corey Nakatani can ration his speed, it might be a good day.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – SA
#2 Uncle Billy (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Peter Miller likes to get them ready at San Luis Rey Downs in Boonsall out of the glare of clockers and this one has decent works. Miller goes first time Lasix and the sire Uncle Mo gets 16% first out winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – SA
#6 Call Me First (12-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Joe Herrick tried to get this gelding on the turf the first time out but it was rained off. The sire Heatseeker gets 22% first time on the turf and this 4-year-old closed some in the lane last time.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

FAIR GROUNDS

Race 5 (Colonel Power Stakes): 1. #8 Latent Heat, 2. #2 Hogy, 3. #1 Green Mask, 4. #4 American Sailor.

Race 7 (Daisy Devine Stakes): 1. #2 Cambodia, 2. #7 Believe in Bertie, 3. #8 Kitten’s Roar, 4. #5 Prado’s Sweet Ride.

Race 8 (Grade III Mineshaft Handicap): 1. #8 International Star, 2. #5 Mo Tom, 3. #2 Eagle, 4. #1 Rise Up.

Race 9 (Grade II Rachel Alexandra): 1. #3 Shane’s Girlfriend, 2. #5 Valadorna, 3. #2. Farrell, 4. Untapped.

Race 10 (Grade III Fair Grounds Handicap): 1. #8 Western Reserve, 2. #6 Enterprising, 3. #9 Oscar Nominated, 4. #2 Greengrassifyoming.

Race 11 (Grade II Risen Star): 1. #1 Girvin, 2. #3 Local Hero, 3. #4 Arklow, 4. #2 Untrapped.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 25

Preview: They were back on the turf on Friday. Leading rider Daniel Centeno won three time on Friday at short odds and keeps rolling along.

Race 4 – Tam
#7 Jagr (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Anthony Margotta is 5-for-9 with first time starters and the sire of this 3-year-old is Uncle Mo, who wins 16% first time out. Works look OK and jockey Orlando Bocachica is 23% with Margotta. Seems like a wide open race.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Congrella (4-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Throw out that last race. This filly wants to run on the grass. Trainer Reid Nagle is 22% second off the layoff. This 4-year-old comes out of a race that has produced three next out winners from four starters.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#2 Zia Josie (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: Another first-time starter from the Margotta barn and we’ve already said how good he is with firsters. Jose Ferrer rides and he is 19% with Margotta.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#10 King of Diamonds (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Centeno rides back for trainer Arnaud Delacour. This gelding finished third last time out. Delacour is 22% second off the layoff.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.this

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Feb. 24

Preview: It’s the start of another race week so that means rain is on the way and it is … on Sunday so bet your turf races today and tomorrow.

Race 1 – SA
#4 Formulate (15-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Coming out of one of the top key races last fall at Del Mar with four next out winners. Blinkers go on and Norberto Arroyo Jr. is underrated on the turf.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – SA
#2 Summertimemischief (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Kathy Walsh doesn’t start many these days but she can still train. She puts blinkers on this filly and drops her in class, where Walsh is 43% when she drops a horse two or more levels.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – SA
#9 Radiantly (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Graham Motion is 0-for-12 at the meet but that may be due to the lack of turf racing. he runs this filly first time in the States and he’s 26% when he does that. The 4-year-old is coming out of a key race in Ireland, where three horses won next time out.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#3 Moonless Sky (4-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: We had a Florida shipper win recently down the hill and now trainer Eddie Truman finds one in this filly. Horses are 27% first time with Truman and jockey Kent Desormeaux jumps on.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 3-2-5.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Feb. 24

Preview: I’m still not 100%, but time to put a few horses out there. In case you don’t know trainer Jamie Ness has been suspended for 100 days, but his horses are running under his wife’s name, Mandy Ness. What a great sport? Tampa has gone two straight days without turf racing, but hopefully will be back on the grass today.

Race 3 – Tam
#4 Flower Punch (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gleding wanted no part of the main track in his last race. Just put a line through it. Looking strictly at his turf races, he is moving up in class off a win, but trainer Maria Bowersock is 21$ going from dirt to turf.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – Tam
#9 Ibetcha (10-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno jumps on this first timer for trainer Gary Jackson. Sire Big Brown, who gets 11% winners first time on the turf. Worth a shot.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#1 Saved by the Swell (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: Ian Wilkes horses get better with racing and this filly has run her two best speed ratings going a distance of ground. The last race was a prep, pure and simple. Look for this 4-year-old to be closing in the lane.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#7 R Way to Escape (5-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This filly broke her maiden on the turf at Gulfstream Park and came to Tampa to run in an allowance race, that was dismal. Leading trainer Gerald Bennett drops her into a claimer, where she should give a better effort. Jockey Edwin Gonzalez is 25% with Bennett at this meet.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.this

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Aqueduct, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Laurel Park, Oaklawn Park Majesticperfection

Opinions around the country, Saturday, Feb. 18

Since I’m unsure if soggy Santa Anita will even run on Saturday, and if it does there certainly won’t be any turf races even though three are carded, I will look at some stakes races around the country.

Aqueduct (Broadway Stakes): It’s going to be tough to beat #6 Hot City Girl (6-5). If you are looking for an exacta partner, you might try the 15-1 Splendid Gold (#7).

Gulfstream Park (Grade II Royal Delta): It was a shame the mare this race was named after died recently. She was a great one. Again the favorites #5 Eskenformoney (8-5) and #2 Curlin’s Approval (7-5) will be tough to beat. A long shot to check out is #3 Mo’ Green (6-1) with Johnny Velazquez aboard.

Gulfstream Park (White Pearl): #2 Mines and Magic (4-1) will be tough with Joe Rosario. A real bomber to consider is #3 Savingtime (20-1). The GP main track has been deeper this week while the turf course has been playing to speed because of … a lack of rain. They certainly can have ours if they want it.

Laurel Park (Grade II Barbara Fritchie): Laurel will offer six stakes on the card, starting with the fifth race, but highlights are the last two, including this one for fillies and mares.These are tough races because the local horses would appear to have an edge but then you have shippers from other parts and jockeys coming in to ride and they don’t want to waste time or money. #3 By the Moon (2-1) and #1 High Ridge Road (5-2) are the pair to beat, but look out for the likes of #2 Rowd E Allie (20-1), #6 Takrees (6-1) and #7 Clothes Fall Off (8-1).

Laurel Park (Grade III General George): Ortiz has the horse to watch here in #6 Stallwalkin’ Dude (5-2) but #5 Imperial Hint (3-1) and local favorite #3 Page McKenney (7-2) can’t be ignored. Look for a price? Try #9 Heaven’s Runaway (6-1).

Oaklawn Park (Grade III Bayakoa): Boy, did I enjoy watching Bayakoa run back in the day. She was something to behold. In this race I think #1 Steel Cut (8-1) has a big shot from the inside. She will have to beat the likes of #2 Terra Promessa (6-5), #5 Streamline (4-1) and #7 Ready to Confess (9-2).

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