Golden Gate, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, Oct. 23

Preview: Some jockeys are up to rough starts on the main track. Here are a few jockeys to give second thoughts to until they get hot: Mario Gutierrez 0-for-18, Tiago Periera 0-18, Martin Garcia 0-17, Santiago Gonzalez 1-29, Stewart Elliott 1-24 and Chad Lindsay 1-21. Sorry this is late and let’s hope to break out of a slump today

Race 1: #3 Tourny (5-1)
Drops out of a nongraded stakes where she started from the dreaded No. 1 post down the hill. Barring a scratch, she starts from the No. 3 here. She also had trouble at the start last time. Trainer John Sadler is 19% with horses third off the layoff.

Race 4: #4 Student Body Left (5-1)
Scratched out of race going down the hill to try two turns on the turf for the first time. Trainer Scott Hansen is 44% with horses first time on the grass. The sire Tizway gets 13% first time of the turf. Red hot jockey Tyler Baze picks up the mount.

Race 6: #5 Adler (10-1)
Liked this filly last month in her turf debut at Golden Gate, but she didn’t get the best ride. Today Norberto Arroyo takes over and he rode the grass like amad man at Del Mar. Trainer Eddie Truman is 22% with horses off a 31- to 60-day layoff.

Race 9: #7 Forest Blue (7-2)
This gelding gets a key jockey switch to turf maven Flavien Prat. He has the best late pace rating from Brisnet and trainer Peter Miller is 22% with beaten favorites.


Race 9: #3 Telepathy (10-1) (turf only)
It’s tough to pass up a double-digit horse trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and ridden by Juan Hernandez, especially on the turf. Hernandez is a 23% rider on the turf and he’s 45% with Hollendorfer the last 60 days. This gelding hasn’t raced in more than a year but The Dorf is 15% off long layoffs.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Golden Gate, Horse racing, Laurel Park

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday,Oct. 22 (Plus a little Laurel and Golden Gate)

Preview: The week started on Thursday with five jockeys within two wins of each other for leading honors. Norberto Arroyo Jr. was on top with 12 followed by Flavien Prat, Tyler Baze and Kent Desormeaux all with 11. Rafael Bejarano was fifth with 10 wins but he also had 18 seconds and 10 thirds so he’s tough to leave out of any trifectas.

Race 3: #3 Star of Munster (7-2): Trainer Robertino Diodoro puts this one back on the dirt after a pair of failed turf efforts at Del Mar. This filly has three wins over this main track and takes a class drop. Diodoro is 21% with horses off a 46- to 90-day layoff.

Race 4: #7 Big Bane Theory (6-1): Hasn’t been seen since January, but trainer Carla Gaines is 19% off of long layoffs. This horse has won four times over this course in the past and jockey Joe Talamo has had success with him.

Race 7: #3 Adair (3-1): Trainer Ruben Gomez claimed this colt at Del Mar and has been off since. However, this 4-year-old is 5-3-1-1 over this main track and seems to hold a class edge. Gomez is 4-for-8 with beaten favorites and 30% first off the claim.

Race 8: #3 Fueled by Bourbon (8-1): Trainer Bill Spawr has been off to a hot start at the meet (10-3-3-1) and this gelding has won three times down the hill in the past. Spawr is 23% second off the claim and 35% going from a route to a sprint.


Race 6: #1 My Son Ernie (12-1): Trainer Wayne Potts obviously claimed this gelding with this race in mind as the 5-year-old hasn’t faced Maryland-based horses in a long time. Potts is 23% first off the claim and No. 1 post is winning at 18%. This gelding has the top Brisnet Speed Rating from his last race and the top Late Pace Rating. On top of that he’s coming out of a key race.


Race 8: #1 Siberian Laugher (6-1) (turf only): Trainer John Martin trained this one at Golden Gate and then ran on dirt at Fresno. Now tgis gelding is back on his favorite surface as he has five wins here. Martin is 30% second off the claim and 36% going dirt to turf. Jockey Kyle Frey is 31% with Martin the last 60 days.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Oct. 21

Preview: Another card that doesn’t look very appealing. Santa Anita has hit the wall already? Just a couple of stats on the new turf course. Down the hill, the inside two posts are 0-for-12. Meanwhile, horses going two turns the inside three posts are 9-for-23 (39%).

Race 6: #8 Wild Mischief (4-1)
This gelding drops to his lowest level ever and holds a class advantage over these maiden claimers. Has runs his top Beyer Speed Figure over this track so maybe today is graduation day.

Race 8: #6 Princess Marie (6-1)
This filly made a move down the stretch in her debut at LRC and has the top Brisnet Late Pace Rating. Jockey Fernando Perez keeps the mount and trainer Kristin Mulhall is 22% with 2-year-olds.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, Ocy. 20

Preview: We are starting the fourth week of the meet and some trends are starting to show on the main track. The inside isn’t the place to be in dirt sprints with just three winners from 42 races 7%). Meanwhile, posts 3 through 5 have won 20 times from 42 races (47%). In dirt route races, the inside three posts are 14 for 22 (64%). Keep it in mind. I don’t see a lot of prices on this card.

Race 4: #6 California Silver (2-1)
This gelding comes out of a key race on the turf at Del Mar but returns to the dirt here. Both times this 4-year-old has beaten Just a Bit Outside, who is 5-2 in here, twice and has shown speed in both efforts. Give me a speed horse from from a MSW to a maiden claimer for the first time any time.

Race 6: #4 Royalist (5-2)
This gelding has been knocking on the door and almost won at this level here in May. After a trip to Golden Gate, he’s back for trainer Vann Belvoir and so is jockey Rafael Bejarano, who is 20% with Belvoir.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, Oct. 16

Preview: Trainer Phil D’Amato was the king of the grass last spring here, but he was off to an 1-for-19 start on the green at this meet. Doug O’Neill started 0-for-17. No trainer has really taken control on the turf as Peter Eurton, Carla Gaines, Peter Miller, Richard Baltas and Mike Puype all had two wins at the start of racing on Friday. One thing to keep in mind this weekend is that superb grass rider Flavien Prat is riding elsewhere this weekend.

Race 1: #1 Lily Kai (7-2): Big jock switch here in my mind as Rafael Bejarano takes over for Drayden Van Dyke, who hasn’t been riding well of late. Bejarano was aboard this filly when she broke her maiden here at Santa Anita and he is 38% with trainer Mike Machowsky.

Race 6: #2 Anthonysgotgame (20-1): This gelding has been away since July but trainer Paul Aguirre is 37% with horses off a layoff of 90 days or more. Aguirre tried to get this 4-year-old on this turf course last winter but it was rained off. He must like this spot because he is moving the 4-year-old up in class.

Race 9: #8 Special Gal (6-1): This filly was favored at Del Mar going two turns but she finished fourth for Phil D’Amato. Jockey Rafael Bejarano is 31% with D’Amato, who is 26% with beaten favorites.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Oct. 15

Preview: The new turf course has played to speed lately but in fairness the rails have been out any where from 20 to 30 feet. Jockey Flavien Prat is once again making hay on the grass with a 5-for-22 record followed by Kent Desormeaux 4-for-12 and Gary Stevens 3-for-11. Among those not doing so well on the turf have been Drayden Van Dyke (0-11), Tiago Pereira (0-11), Santiago Gonzalez (1-20) and Norberto Arroyo (1-18). Arroyo is surprising as he rode the grass well at Del Mar.

Race 1: #3 Solar Zone (10-1)
Watch the tote action on this one. Last week trainer Gary Stute had a 20-1 morning-line horse win at 2-1 odds. He claimed this gelding two weeks ago and immediately puts in a turf route. Stute is 45% first off the claim and 43% with jockey Chad Lindsay.

Race 2: #6 Sandy’s Surprise (5-2)
This filly lost to American Cleopatra and Del Mar Debutante winner Union Strike in her career debut at 5 1/2-furlongs. She gets 7 furlongs here and should appreciate the extra distance since she was bred by Drosselmeyer.

Race 7: #1 He Will (3-1)
Big jock switch here in my mind. Martin Garcia isn’t a good turf rider, but Rafael Bejarano is and he jumps on here for Jerry Hollendorfer and they are 23% together. This 4-year-old is 2-1-0-1 over the Santa Anita green. Might need to show more speed since the rails are at 20 feet.

Race 8: #5 Coldspell (12-1)
Taking a shot here with a first-time router from the Eoin Harty barn. This son of Tapit out of a Storm Cat mare is bred to run all day. Harty is 22% going from a sprint to a route and jockey Gary Stevens stays on.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday. Oct. 14

Preview: Trainer Peter Miller has been on fire since the meet opened going 9-for-30. He will cool down and when he does he’s a bet against as he can be very streaky. Doug O’Neill is second in the standings with a 5-for-45 mar. Seven trainers are tied with three winners each. On the other end, Jim Cassidy has slowed down since Del Mar with a 1-for-14 mark followed by Keith Desormeaux 1-13, Richard Mandella 1-12 and Steve Miyadi 0-8..

Race 1: #3 Dust It (5-2)
This filly drops into a maiden claimer for the first time for trainer Richard Baltas, who is 38% with this move. He is also 28% second time with a horse as this one shipped in from Florida to run at Del Mar. Jockey Rafael Bejarano takes over and he’s 28% with Baltas.

Race 4: #7 Recrown (4-1)
Trainer Matthew Chew almost scored the other day with a firster like this daughter of Recap, which gets 13% first time winners. Chew is 33% with debuting maiden claimers.

Race 8: #7 Miss Bliss (7-2)
This filly has early speed, which always seems to do well here, and she has a 7-2-3-0 record over this track. She just missed at this level in July and now Flavien Prat takes over and he’s 22% with trainer Mark Glatt.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter