Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, April 28

Race 4 – SA
#3 Calli Way (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding had all kinds of trouble in his last race and look for jockey Rafael Bejarano to stay clear today.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – SA
#8 Van Cortlandt (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gelding hit the front too soon in his last race and now drops into a maiden claimer for the first time. Jockey Martin Pedroza lost his whip in the race and is 2-for-3 with trainer Simon Callaghan.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 28

Race 1 – Tam
#2 Kowboy’s Deelite (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly is coming off a win and she was claimed by Maria Bowersock, who is 28% first off the claim.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-5-6

Race 4 – Tam
#2 Pikes Peak Or Bust (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno rides this filly in her debut. Fort Prado is a good turf sire and Chris Block is a good turf trainer.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#1 Way (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Showed speed on the turf in his debut. Now gets jockey Pablo Morales aboard and he has stolen more than a few races this meet on the grass. Look for more of the same.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 1-3-7.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, April 26

Race 4 – Tam
#6 Adios Ashley (15-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Pablo Morales has proven to be a master on the turf this meet. This filly has the second-best speed figure at the distance and the switch to Morales might bring in this long shot..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-7-2.

Race 6 – Tam
#8 Tizk Tizk (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno rides this gelding for the first tome. There are a couple of other firsts like going two turns and going long on the grass, but with Centeno it’s all good at the price.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 8-7-3.

Race 7 – Tam
#6 Cool Seas (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Another big jockey change here to Centeno. This filly comes out of a key race where the first two runners to come back have both won. #2 Commissioned is in the same boat but more upside to Cool Seas.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-2.

Race 8 – Tam
#6 Martini Glass (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has never won on the turf but she hasn’t been disgraced either. Trainer Keith Nations is 30% third off the layoff and the filly comes out of a key race.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-8-10.

Race 9 – Tam
#8 Electro Peg (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Claimed last time out by Dale Bennett, who likely was looking at this spot. Centeno takes over on this closer..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 8-6-5.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, April 23

Race 2 – SA
#2 Monterey Shale (8-5) *****
Our Eyes: This looks like a single to me in the Pick 5. This gelding is at his lowest level ever, comes out of a key race and jockey Rafael Bejarano jumps back on..
Jeff’s Playbook: 5 units to win and 10 units to place.

Race 4 – SA
#1 Desert General (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding broke his maiden last time out and has had a good work since so I look for a good effort.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – SA
#5 Sir Studleigh (7-2) ****
Our Eyes: This is an interesting race. Bruce Headley could have a couple of first-time runners, but I like this 5-year-old maiden making his third start off the layoff and the key for me is that he finished fourth last time against open competition and now drops into the Cal-bred ranks. That race has also produced two next out runners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – SA
#7 Tiz My Love (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: A maiden filly race all the usual suspects like three for Bob Baffert, two for Jerry Hollendorfer and one for Peter Miller. I’m going to with a first-timer from the Hollendorfer barn. This daughter of Tiz Wonderful has been working steadily and The Dorf puts the apprentice Roman on, which means to me they will try to steal it. The price is right.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, April 23

Race 4 – Tam
#6 Spring Me (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This mare has won at this distance at the meet and gets a jockey change to Samy Camacho. Trainer James Gullick is 23% with sprinters. Worth a shot at the price.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – Tam
#2 Nano’s Crown (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading trainer Gerald Bennett has two in this race and I’ll with the longer choice with leading jockey Daniel Centeno. Bennett is 23% third off the layoff and the filly is coming out of a key race with three next out winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-7.

Race 9 – Tam
#6 Animal Trick (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Edwin Gonzalez might have hit the front too early last time at this level so maybe today a more patient ride is needed. Gonzalez is 2-for-8 with trainer Kathleen O’Connell.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-1-2.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, April 22

Race 2 – SA
#1 Wildfire Kid (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: The last time this gelding was at this level he won. He has an 8-3-2-1 over this surface. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is 26% second off the claim and this 7-year-old is coming out of a key race.
03w0qwJeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – SA
#2 I’d Be Sad an Blue (9-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gelding gave an even effort in his race off the layoff. Should be fitter today and good turf jockey Corey Nakatani rides.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – SA
#3 Coppa (10-1) TURF ONLY ***
Our Eyes: Trainer Phil D’Amato is showing a flat bet profit on the grass and wins at a 21% rate. He has two in here and I’m taking the longer price. Joe Talamo knows what he is doing .
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 3-5.

Race 10 – SA
#12 Towards the Light (12-1) ***
Our Eyes: Trainer Phil D’Amato could have a big day. This is a first-time starter by Munnings, which gets 17% winners first time out. Decent works and a good jockey in Victor Espinoza.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 3-5.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 22

Race 1 – Tam
#8 King Stormy (4-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This colt takes a major class drop from MSW at Gulfstream Park to maiden claimer at Tampa. Add in the addition of leading jockey Daniel Centeno and you have a strong choice here.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Patient Drama (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno jumps on which is a huge upgrade over his previous rider. Stays at the same class level so anything close to last time puts this mare in the winner’s circle.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#9 Louisianahtosauce (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has been running on the turf, but takes a drop in class plus returns to the dirt. Trainer Robert Raymound is 25% when dropping a horse two or more levels.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#5 Bold Response (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gelding broke his maiden in front-running style last time and don’t see a reason jockey Scott Spieth won’t try the same thing. Spieth is 3-for-6 with trainer Joseph Minieri with a positive ROI. Step in class, but might go back-to-back.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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