Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, March 23

Preview: Hope some of you beat Gigantis on Sunday at 17-1. As for today, not a good card and really not sure what Santa Anita will do with the turf races after the last time it rained. My guess is they will stay on the grass, but who knows with these guys.

Race 1 – SA
#1 D Day Dude (9-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: I think this gelding has frustrated trainer Phil D’Amato as he drops the 5-year-old into a claimer for the first time. D’Amato is 21% going dirt to turf and 29% first time in a claimer plus he’s 23% with jockey Stewart Elliott.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win. EX 5-6-7 with 1.

Race 2 – SA
#9 Papa Royale (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding is coming out of a race where three of the first four runners have come back to won. He also has a class edge and late kick. Hitters Park is coming out of the same race so we’ll play an exacta box with those two.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 9-2.

Race 4 – SA
#5 Pavelski (4-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: D’Amato holds the cards here again with this son of Street Boss. Turns him back in distance and goes dirt to turf. On top of that, the 3-year-old is coming out of a race where the second and third place finishers have come back to win. Also have to play an all-hockey exacta box with Kopitar, who is also trained by D’Amato.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 5-6.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, March 22

Race 5 – Tam
#7 For My Mom (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This filly won over the course in January and has been off since. She moving up in class but leading jockey Daniel Centeno must like what he sees as he takes the mount.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Red Again (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding made his debut on the turf, showed speed but faded. Centeno keeps the mount for trainer Bill Mott and might have told him dirt is the way to go.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#2 Saratoga Ransom (8-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Sorry, Centeno again, This filly has been off the grass in her last five races, but she has a win on the green stuff in the past. The sire Regal Ransom gets 10% winners on turf.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-7-8.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, March 19

Race 2 – SA
#5 Gigantis (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Venerable Bruce Headley doesn’t start many horses this day but he is 20% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff. Works have been steady.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – SA
#9 Brolazza (8-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: When a big-time rider (Flavien Prat in this case) rides for a low-profile barn (like Gerard Piccioni) you should take notice. This gelding gave an even effort in his return and should be fitter here.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#5 Taco (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Efren Loza Jr. runs mainly in Louisiana and South Florida so he must have something special if he’s running on the West Coast. This colt is a perfect 4-for-4 and likes to from off the pace. Jockey Jesus Rios comes in to ride.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 5-2-9.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, March 19

Race 1 – Tam
#2 P T’s Intomischief (12-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding has some back races that would win here. Looks like trainer Antonio Duran might have been trying to race this one into shape for this run. Worth a shot at the price.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 3 – Tam
#6 Adios Ashley (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Daniel Centeno has ridden for trainer George Bush (1-for-.36) at the meet, but the leading rider gets on here in a huge jock switch. Bush wants a win and he’s going to the best.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-1-3-5.

Race 5 – Tam
#4 Genau (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Centeno is the key to this race, too. He rides almost everything for trainer Arnaud Delacour and he decides not to ride his first-time starter Thrice (#6) here. This filly just missed at this level and Gerald bennett is 16% second time off the claim.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 10 – Tam
#8 Thornton (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Sorry Centeno looks live to me at some prices. In this race he rides for trainer Keith Nations and they are 3-for-6 at the meet. Nations has two in here and obviously Centeno had his choice. This gelding is moving up off a winn over the course and look tough right back.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 1-2-3-5 w 8 and 8 with 1-2-3-5.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, March 18

Race 4 – SA
#4 Kenjisstorm (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Second start off the layoff for trainer Richard Baltas, who is 24% with horses the second time in his barn. Flavien Prat jumps on and he should have this horse in a good spot.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – SA
#4 Trappe the Moment (10-1) ****
Our Eyes: This colt hasn’t been seen since the American Anthem maiden race at Del Mar, which has produced four next out winners. Drops into a claimer for the first time. Worth a shot.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 10 – SA
#4 Catfish Hunter (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Moving up in class to a MSW but that’s OK because this is his first turf try. The sire Grazen gets 23% first time winners on the grass. Tyler Baze keeps the mount.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 4-1-5.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, March 18

Race 2 – Tam
#1 El Cachaco (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: Didn’t relish going two turns so the trainer turns him back to 7 furlongs, where he won his last race here two back. Might have a class edge in this spot.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – Tam
#5 Elusive Speed (5-2) *****
Our Eyes: Looks like a single to me in this spot. Comes out of key race and class edge. Trainer Mandy Ness is 38% with beaten favorites.
Jeff’s Playbook: 5 units to win, 10 units to place.

Race 6 – Tam
#10 Crimson Hayes (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Big jockey change to turf specialist Daniel Centeno. That race was better than looked and even with an outside post Centeno should be able to do the job.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#7 Mr French (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Broke maiden over this course and has been given some time to recover in first try vs. winners. Centeno jumps on which is a good sign. Will be closing in the lane.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 10 – Tam
#6 Hallstein (5-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Has been away for a year. Drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and tries turf for the first time. Comes out of a key race that produced five next out winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-9

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, March 17

Race 2 – SA
#6 Chuchotti (2-1) ****
Our Eyes: In case you haven’t figured out, I’m a big believer in the key race theory and this filly is coming out of a Del Mar race that has produced four winners from five starters. That’s enough for a single in all wagers for me.
Jeff’s Playbook: 5 units to win, 10 units to place.

Race 5 – SA
#7 Lauren’s Ladd (9-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Tyler Baze was on fire Thursday and hoping he stays hot here. This colt broke his maiden going down the hill and he finished second last time over a “good” surface. Maybe firm ground will suit him better. Trainer Ron Ellis is 33$ second off the claim.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#3 Irish Dame (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has been running on the turf but trainer Vann Belvoir gives that up and goes to the dirt as he drops her into a maiden claimer for the first time. He gets leading rider Falvien Prat and they are 24% together.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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