Belmont Park, Chad Brown, Eddie Castro, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, John Velazquez, Marcial Navarro, Peter Walder

Belmont and Gulfstream opinions for Wednesday, July 1

BELMONT PARK

Race 4: #8 Mohawk Lily (4-1) ****

Was favored last time, but finished fourth. Comes back after pressing the pace, jockey John Velazquez should have a better feel here.

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Race 8: #2 Regardez (3-1)

Was favored in U.S. debut, but finished fourth and now comes back for trainer Chad Brown. Looks like wants to come from just off pace and should like the added distance.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 2: #1 Palatine Hill (5-2)

Trainer Marcial Navarro has been on fire lately and claimed this gelding from Peter Walder. Navarro is 29% first off the claim and is 3-for-5 with jockey Eddie Castro.

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Race 3: #6 Balada (4-1)

This 3-year-old filly comes out of a key race at Gulfstream Park, which has produced four winners.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a couple others) opinions for June 28, Sunday

Race 2: #3 Missy Mouse (8-1)

Trainer Eddie Truman has been a master with horses running down the hill this meet. This filly broke her maiden going down the hill and then won a first-level allowance race against Cal-breds. Now she runs in open company at same level and will be flying at the end.

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Race 7 – SA

#9 Matter of Luck (6-1)

Trainer Dan Blacker drops this filly into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time, a move he is 3-for-3 with. She is also coming out of a key race where the top three finishers all came back to win.

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Race 10 – SA

#8 Scuti de Patuti (4-1)

This filly comes out of the same key race the other maiden filly did, too. This daughter of Decarchy finished fifth in that heat and trainer Mike Puype is 21% going from MSW to maiden claiming. Joe Talamo takes the mount.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 8: #8 Messi (6-1) SCRATCHED OFF THE TURF

Trainer Graham Motion is 32% with horses running for the first time in the U.S. He adds Lasix and jockey John Velazquez to this import.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 4: #6 Big Grandpa (5-1)

Trainer Kirk Ziadie is 37% with horses making a start off a 46-90-day layoff and this one is also coming out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a few others) opinions for Saturday, June 27

Race 2: #7 Architop (5-2)

When trainer Richard Mandella drops a horse into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time, he means business to the tune of 39% like with this son of Arch. Jockey Flavien Prat showed speed with this one in the last two and if he does that here, he might go wire-to-wire.

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Race 8: #7 Fanticola (7-2)

This 5-year-old mare just missed going longer in the Grade I Gamely Handicap and now she gets to go shorter which means she will be able to go harder earlier. Trainer Phil D’Amato is 21% in graded stakes.

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Race 10: #6 Where Was Eddie (7-2)

This is a first-time starter by In Excess, who wins at an 18% rate first time out. This 3-year-old colt has been tearing up the track in the mornings.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 5: #5 Private Tale (8-1)

This 7-year-old won over the surface and now moves up in class and tries to go longer. Trainer Mike Maker is 38% with horses winning back-to-back in the claiming ranks plus top jockey Javier Castellano takes the mount.

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

Race 10: #10 Langdarma (15-1)

This 3-year-old has been ITM 6 of 9 career races and just missed last time. Maybe moving to the turf will do the trick for the son of Candy Ride, who is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 9: #3 Racetrack Romance (4-1)

Trainer Marcial Navarro did us right the other day so we’re going back to the well. Navarro is winning 43% of his races this year and is 8-for-13 at Gulfstream. This gelding just won at the condition but is now shortening up and being put up for a claiming price. Jockey Eddie Castro is 3-for-5 in the last 60 days with Navarro.

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Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a few others) opinions for June 26 (Friday)

Race 3: #8 Frac Candy (3-1)

This son of Twirling Candy is bred up and down to love two turns. Twirling Candy has already had one turf winner so that shouldn’t be an issue for the Desormeaux brothers (trainer Keith and jockey Kent).

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Race 4: #3 Lil Cheyenne (5-2)

This 5-year-old mare makes her second start off a long layoff. She comes out of a key race. Trainer Mark Glatt is 36% with moving a horse down two or more class levels and he puts top rider Rafael Bejarano (27% with Glatt) aboard.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 6: #3 Monster Mash (12-1)

Trainer Jeremiah Englehart is an amazing 37% when taking horses from turf to dirt. This 6-year-old is ITM 4-of-5 races he has run on a fast track and if it rains he’s a good mudder, too. Englehart is also 23% in the second race off the layoff and 24% in the allowance ranks. Jockey Rajiv Maragh takes over.

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

Race 9: #12 Ettaman (8-1)

Trainer George “Rusty” Arnold drops this 4-year-old colt off a third place effort to better. Arnold is 15% in the maiden claiming ranks and this son of Distorted Humor is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 4: #1 Right on Ready (4-1)

This gelding freaked last time winning his maiden claimer by nearly 8 lengths and trainer Oscar Gonzalez was right there to claim him. Gonzalez is 33% (5-for-15) first off the claim and even though this one is facing winners for the first time, he might be useful.

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Race 6: #2 Gukumatz (2-1)

This gelding is a stone-cold lock or it will run up the track in its first race in its first race in 15 months. Trainer Efren Loza Jr. had this son of Point Determined ready twice for his debut and off a layoff. We’re betting lock as Loza is 35% first time in a claiming race. This one certainly has the class edge.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus Belmont and Gulfstream) opinions for Thursday, June 25

Race 3: #6 Gomo (4-5)

This daughter of Uncle Mo showed speed in her debut and faded a little. Owner Paul Reddam has been on fire with his 2-year-olds and trainer Doug O’Neill is 19% with 2-year-olds. Being a first-year sire, Uncle Mo doesn’t have any grass winners yet, but he enjoyed two turns and so should his daughter. Yes, I know she is 4-5, but just single her in all horizontal wagers.

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Race 7: #10 Midnight Transfer (6-1)

Trainer Ron Ellis is 42% from a sample of 12 horses making their second start off the claim and the outside post is no bargain, but the price should be right. Joe Talamo rides.

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Race 8: #2 Yaffe (6-1)

Trainer Craig Dollase has stronger first-time starter stats (29%) than you may see in the DRF. This daughter of City Zip out of a Dixieland Band mare is bred to win early, sprint and run on the grass. She had a good last work as jockey Tyler Baze takes the mount.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 9: #8 Sweet Lew (turf only) (6-1)

Trainer George Weaver is 25% with horses going from a sprint to a route. This gelding takes a drop in class and has run some of his best races around two turns. On top of that, jockey Jose Ortiz takes over.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 1: #5 Dads Little Girl (6-1)

Trainer Gustavo Delgado is 6-for-18 in horses make their first start off the claim. He claimed this filly with an idea to put her on the turf as she has never been tried on that surface in 16 starts. Apprentice Tyler Gaffalione, who is 22% with Delgado in their last 23 mounts, takes over.

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Race 3: #7 Grand Bargain (4-1)

Trainer Jason DaCosta takes over the training of this 3-year-old colt and pulls out all the stops as he adds Lasix and gets jockey Edgard Zayas to ride. DaCosta is 20% with horses in their second career start and 39% with horses off a 46-90-day layoff.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing

Some Belmont, Gulfstream opinions Wednesday, June 24

BELMONT PARK

Race 2: #3 Midnightatmarions (MTO) (15-1)

I would be just fine if this filly was in on the grass but she’s not so MTO. She was in the thick of things a year ago before bolting in the stretch and jumping the rail. She comes out of a maiden race that produced 5 next out winners. Jockey Kendrick Carmouche has been hot lately so taking a shot if it comes off the turf.

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Race 6  – Bel

#6 Prize Taker (8-1) ***

Our Eyes:  Trainer Charlton Baker (has won 3 of last 8 entries) does well in NY-bred races and this mare has been running OK against some open company. The big change here is a switch to jockey Jose Ortiz after a bunch of no name pilots.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 3 – GP

#7 Summer at Susan’s (15-1) ***

Our Eyes:  Still trying to find her level on this circuit after wintering at Tampa. She won her last race on the dirt and returns to it here. She drew a dreadful 13 post last race and has no shot. That race has produced three winners so far.

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Race 8 – GP

#9 Dreamin of Clarise (6-1) ***

Our Eyes:  Trainer Marcial Navarro has been spotting his horses just right at this meet (6-for-11) and he is 44% in a horse’s second race off the claim. This 3-year-old is taking a drop in class and jockey Luis Figueroa, who is 2-for-2 with Navarro, takes the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus Gulfstream) opinions for Sunday, June 21

Race 1: #2 Jaded With Envy (7-2)

Trainer Richard Baltas is 36% with horses returning as a beaten favorite. He is also 21% on the turf and 22% in route races. Good turf jockey Corey Nakatani takes over the reins.

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Race 8: #6 Right There (6-1)

There is a ton of speed in this stakes for 2-year-old fillies and while this daughter of Eskendereya is still maiden she rates a big shot. She should enjoy the added distance and she’s only filly who came from off the pace in her last race. I look for jockey Kent Desormeaux to use similar tactics in this spot.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 8: #4 Native Gold (5-1)

Trainer Kirk Ziadie is 42% with horses third off the layoff. Additionally, this horse comes out of race that has already produced two winners plus this horse has won 4-of-7 at today’s distance and has won four times over this racetrack.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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