Tag Archives: Vladimir Cerin

Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Friday, July 21 (First post 4 p.m.)

Preview: I’m off to a slow start but I hope some of you bet my long shot Snow Cloud in Thursday’s seventh race. Trainer Jim Cassidy is now 6-for-10 the last two years in Del Mar turf sprints. As for the rest of the day, trainer Peter Miller got off the the duck with the winner in the last race which gave one lucky bettor from New Jersey the whole Pick Six pool. Trainer Vladimir Cerin won his third of the two-day meet.

FIRST RACE: 1. #8 Nazareth, 2. #6 Herunbirdledpower, 3. #1 Sidepocket Run. LONG SHOT: #5 Goliath’s Girl.
Trainer Gary Sherlock is 19 percent with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff. This mare has a 7-1-0-3 record over the Del Mar main track and apprentice Evin Roman jumps aboard.

For the rest of my picks go to:

http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/sd-sp-jeff-nahills-del-mar-handicap-for-friday-20170720-story.html

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Thursday, July 20

PREVIEW: Day 2 of the meet. Rafael Bejarano won four times and Flavien Prat won three times on opening day and trainer Vladimir Cerin took the first two races of the meet so watch out his barn appears ready. On the opposite end, trainer Peter Miller went 0-for-10 on opening day after extolling his virtues first out the meet. Ouch.

FIRST RACE: 1. #2 Frac Candy, 2. #4 Oh Newman, 3. #6 Finallygotabentley. LONG SHOT: #5 Royal F J.

SECOND RACE: 1. #6 Sassy Ashley, 2. #4 Ocean Dream, 3. #5 Yavrig. LONG SHOT: #3 Honor Maker.

THIRD RACE: 1. #10 Battleground State, 2. #5 Jabber Now, 3. #6 Easy Song. LONG SHOT: #11 Halo Ahead.

FOURTH RACE: 1. #5 CLIFTON BEACH (BEST BET), 2. #8 Shadow Op, 3. #1 Orejas. LONG SHOT: #7 Ruff House.
Clifton Beach has the top Brisnet Prime and Class ratings which means the 5-2 morning-line won’t be close look for 8-5 or less. This colt has speed and shorten ups for John Sadler.

FIFTH RACE: 1. #9 Buymeabond, 2. #3 Hero Ten All, 3. #6 Awesome Return. LONG SHOT: #2 Moving.

SIXTH RACE: 1. #5 Hold That Smile, 2. #8 Whatyoucuswhatuget, 3. #6 Sharona Sunset. LONG SHOT; #2 Miss Pretty.

SEVENTH RACE: 1. #1 Lajatico, 2. #4 Everqueen, 3. #6 Tapped. LONG SHOT: #9 Snow Cloud.
Trainer Doug O’Neill isn’t know for his prowess on the turf, but he seems to do well in Del Mar turf sprints so we are with his horses in the first two slots. Long shot Snow Cloud is from the Jim Cassidy barn and he did very well last year going short on the grass, but why no Jamie Theriot?

EIGHTH RACE: 1. #6 Acharnement, 2. #4 Factorize, 3. #1 Midnight Summer. LONG SHOT: #10 Ginger Street.
It isn’t often that you jockey Gary Stevens stick around for the last race and a maiden claimer at that. Trainer Eddie Truman is 29% with horses the first time they drop into a maiden claimer for the first time. Trainer Peter Miller has both the second and third horses and is live whenever he runs first time at the meet.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Feb. 10

Preview: There is an 80 to 100% per chance of rain in Arcadia today so I don’t see a reason to look at the two turf races.

Race 6 – SA
#7 Moments Notiz (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Bill Spawr is 7-for-16 at the meet. This takes a class drop and should love a wet track with a 9-3-2-2 record. Jockey Agapito Delgadillo keeps the mount and is 17% with Spawr at Santa Anita.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#6 Hard Arch (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Finished third over a wet/fast track last time, but the key here today is the stretch out. Trainer Vladimir Cerin is 22% with horses going sprint-sprint-route and he gets Kent Desormeaux to ride this son of Archarcharch.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Thursday, Sept. 1

Preview: A little more variety on today’s card as opposed to Wednesday when there was just one turf race. The turf rails are at 24 feet even though it’s the last week of the meet. Jockey Flavien Prat is looking to win his first riding title in SoCal and leads Rafael Bejarano 35-28 at the start of the week. Santiago Gonzalez is third with 27 winners.

Race 1: 1. #1 Conquest So True (6-1), 2. Generous Pour, 3. Marriedtoaminister. LONG SHOT: Brookes All Mine.
Trainer Vladimir Cerin cuts this filly back from two turns to one turn and he’s 29% with that move. Apprentice rider Chad Lindsay stays aboard and he’s 24% with Cerin. The 4-year-old also has Brisnet’s top Class Rating.

Race 2: 1. Five Palms, 2. Glacken Too, 3. Cherubim. LONG SHOT: Spirit Rules.

Race 3: 1. #3 Silver Summer (8-1), 2. Smokey’s Legacy, 3. Pee Wee Reese. LONG SHOT: Viviendo El Sueno.
This 4-year-old makes his third start off a layoff for trainer Anthony Saavedra, who is 15% in that category. The key here is the addition of Flavien Prat who has ridden the turf course to perfection this meet most of the time.

Race 4: 1. Del Cielo, 2. Back Beauty, 3. Seeking Shamrocks. LONG SHOT: Private Terrace.

Race 5: 1. #6 David’s Memory (20-1), 2. The Big Train, 3. California Silver. LONG SHOT: Natural Stride.
The gelding is making his first trip around two turns and running on the grass, but maybe this is what trainer Hector Palma was setting up all along. This is a 4-year-old son of Vronsky (Danzig) out of an Unusual Heat mare. That screams two turns on the turf. There is also a good work on Aug. 22 saying he might be ready.

Race 6: 1. Who Said Lucky, 2. My Aunt Tillie, 3. Glory Run. LONG SHOT: Bella Sierra.

Race 7: 1. Curlin’s Fox BEST BET, 2. Envahir, 3. Tiz a Kiss. LONG SHOT: K P Wildcat.

Race 8: 1. Proud of Our Kids, 2. The All Button, 3. Maven Harry. LONG SHOT: War Ruler.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Wednesday, Aug. 24

Preview: Not the best of cards, but at least they have a maiden grass sprint. Heading into the final two weeks of the meet, the jockeys’ race appears to be a three-horse race: Flavien Prat 28-146, Rafael Bejarano 25-122 and Santiago Gonzalez 23-160..

Race 1: 1. #2 Fruity (7-2), 2. Desert Madam, 3. Take It Easyplease. LONG SHOT: Ipray.
Jockey Flavien Prat jumps on this filly, which tries two turns on the dirt for the first time. Trainer Matthew Chew claimed her out of her last and drops her into this spot off a win over the track.

Race 2: 1. Magic Tatse, 2. Silver Chrome, 3. Citori. LONG SHOT: Footloos Indy Lane.

Race 3: 1. Eddie’s Turn, 2. Eight Spokes, 3. Never Say Try. LONG SHOT: Pulla Train.

Race 4: 1. #6 Moonlight Blue (4-1), 2. Three Eclipse, 3. Sorry Erik. LONG SHOT: Ucanthankmelater.
Most of the 2-year-olds in this race are going around two turns for the first time. This gelding has been running in Florida and looks for the Ship ‘N Win bonus. Trainer Vladimir Cerin is 21% first time with a horse and 20% with horses off a 31 to 60-day layoff. This one also drops into a maiden claimer for the first time.

Race 5: 1. Soi Phet, 2. The Gomper, 3. Kristo. LONG SHOT: Grazen Sky.

Race 6: 1. #5 Schwary’s Girl (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Lori’s Attitude, 3. Could Be Magic. LONG SHOT: White Rock Lake.
Love the Australian sire Lonhro, especially on the turf where he gets 14% winners first time out. This filly has a good last work and trainer Mike Puype is 20% with jockey Stewart Elliott.

Race 7: 1. Blue Tone, 2. Conquest Cobra, 3. Avanti Bello. LONG SHOT: War Envoy.

Race 8: 1. Sidepocket Run, 2. Revenue Virginius, 3. Hennythelovepenny. LONG SHOT: Desert Thief.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Sunday, Aug. 21

Preview: Very good card, except for the Del Mar Mile, which drew just five horses, but Del Mar was smart enough to keep it out of the Pick 6. I’ll go out on the limb and say there will be a carryover into next week.

Race 1: 1. #6 Bohemian Bliss (6-1), 2. Cyclone Betty, 3. Ratera. LONG SHOT: Royal Flush Babe.
Trainer Mike Puype is 63% when he drops a horse two or more class levels. He drops this filly to the bottom of the maiden claiming ranks after a troubled sixth. At least one horse has come to win out of that race and jockey Tyler Baze stays aboard.

Race 2: 1. #5 Northern Iowa (6-1), 2. Winning Causeway, 3, Emmett Park. LONG SHOT: L’s Choice.
Trainer Vladimir Cerin moves this gelding from an open claimer to a non-winners of three for a slightly higher claiming price. He also secures the services of leading rider Flavien Prat. Cerin is 22% when a horses goes sprint-sprint-route race.

Race 3: 1. Pee Wee Reese, 2. Hot Rodin, 3. Son of a Royal. LONG SHOT: Martini Up.

Race 4: 1. Midnight Storm, 2. Om, 3. Little Curlin. LONG SHOT: Ambitious Brew.

Race 5: 1. #1 Princess Kendra (4-1), 2. Late ‘n Left, 3. Stand by for News. LONG SHOT: Truly Ponti.
Trainer Bill Spawr is 34% first off the claim, but likes to bring horses back sooner than this. Still Spawr is 21% off a 46 to 90-day layoff and this one had a troubled trip in last but Kent Desormeaux sticks. This filly is taking a drop in class from an open claimer to a non-winners of two. Sneaky.

Race 6: 1. #5 Sky Preacher (12-1), 2. Hat Dude, 3. Comes the Deam. LONG SHOT: Street Moxie.
Another horse coming off a troubled third, but trainer Richard Baltas moves him up. Baltas is 28% second off the claim. Jockey Norberto Arroyo has been sneaky good on the grass this meet.

Race 7: 1. #4 The Rule of King’s (8-1), 2. Irish Freedom, 3. Honor and Courage. LONG SHOT: Royal Mo.
This is a tough 2-year-old race but we’re going with a price as this colt has come out of a couple of highly rated races, losing to Best Pal Stakes winner Klimt and Chasing Aces, who might be the closing-day Futurity favorite.

Race 8: 1. Kentuckian BEST BET, 2. Navy Hymn, 3. Celebrated Talent. LONG SHOT: Alabama Tide.

Race 9: 1. Eric the Trojan, 2. Schillaireess, 3. Tiz a Billy. LONG SHOT: Gutsy Ruler.

Race 10: 1. #3 Celebrity Status (5-1), 2. Swiss Cheese, 3. Pat the Bear. LONG SHOT: Ain’t No Other.
This gelding is claimed back by trainer Peter Miller and owner Rockingham Ranch. Miller is 32% first off the claim and jockey Rafael Bejarano rides back.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, April 1

 

Race 2 – SA

#1 Compel (3-1): This filly drops into a claimer for the first time and trainer Richard Baltas is 24% going from route to turf. Also, Baltas puts Rafael Bejarano aboard and they are 29% together.

                   

Race 4 – SA

#4 Sooner Time (4-1): Trainer Vladimir Cerin must think this filly is doing well by moving up in class. Cerin is 5-for-10 first off the claim and 20% with jockey Flavien Prat.

 

Race 5 – SA

#6 Atta Boy Pete (3-1): Throw out that last race on the dirt and look at that last race going down the hill. This gelding has been in the money 4-of-7 at this distance. Trainer Phil D’Amato has been hot and so has jockey Edwin Maldonado and they are 36% together at Santa Anita.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Feb. 13

Preview: Good card with a nice stakes. Wish there were a few more entries in a few races. Tough to handicap some races where trainers have two entries because you don’t know which one is live.

   ==                             

Race 4: #5 Conquest Flatterme (3-1) 

This filly finished second in her West Coast debut for trainer Vladimir Cerin, who is 24% with horses returning off a 31- to 60-day layoff. Cerin puts apprentice David Lopez aboard and they are 57% together.

== 

Race 8: #3 Birdatthewire (5-2)

Looks to me like Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith had his choice of three horses in this race and chose this 4-year-old filly. She has a 5-2-2-0 record at this distance and should be ready to go here.

==

Race 9: #2 Macalla (20-1) 

I like the Australian sire Lonhro, who wins with 13% of his turf horses. This filly may like the firm turf here instead of the good turf last time. Big jock switch in my mind from Alonso Quinonez to Victor Espinoza.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, Jan. 24

Preview: Looking to the back of the card. Sixth race should be interesting as 3-year-olds go long and Bob Baffert has three horses in there (can you say exacta and trifecta boxes?).

 ==                               

Race 7: #10 Bench Warrant  (12-1)

Just finished fifth in Grade III Daytona down the hill and has won over the course before. Drayden Van Dyke takes the mount and he rides the grass well. Trainer John Sadler has to get hot sooner or later, doesn’t he?

== 

Race 8: #2 Octofy (8-1) 

This filly just won over this track going two turns. She must improve her Beyer as she moves up in class, but trainer Vladimir Cerin has been hot on the main track so far this meet. Leading jockey Santiago Gonzalez takes over the mount to help the cause.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Decent Saturday card and a Pick Six carryover of more than $300,000. They say there could be $1.2 million in new money, but with all the snow in the East, I’m thinking it will be more as bettors will only be able to play tracks in Florida, New Orleans and California. The Bob Baffert barn has gotten hot and is 6-ofr-31 on the dirt to lead all trainers on the main track. He is followed by Richrda Baltas (5-25), Bill Spawr (5-11) and Vladimir Cerin (4-9). Guys looking for their first dirt win are Gary Sherlock (0-12), Mike Pender (0-10) and Mike Machowsky (0-10).

—                                

Race 2: #3 Where’s Bubba  (7-2)

As we stated Bill Spawr is one of the top dirt trainers this meet. Just draw a line through this gelding’s last race and the previous race puts right there with these. Spawr is 37% going from route to sprint.

==

Race 5: #3 A Colt Following (7-2) 

We’re sticking with Bill Spawr in this one, too. This colt won at this level last time and Spawr is daring someone to claim him. Again the route to sprint angle (37%) comes into play.

==.            

Race 9: #7 Sudden Sam (6-1) 

Breeder/owner Nick Alexander likes to win races, especially with homebreds. There are a lot of fast works o this 3-year-old but I guarantee trained Phil D’Amato (16% with firsters) has him fit. Tribal Rule is a 15% sire with firsters and this one gets Lasix, too.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard