Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Aug. 27

Preview: The turf rails will be at 12 feet today so closers should have a shot. Jockeys Flavien Prat (16-for-69) and Rafael Bejarano (10-56) lead the way on the grass. Jockeys to avoid (maybe) are Stewart Elliott 1-for-26, Mike Smith 1-for-25 and Martin Garcia 0-21.

Race 1: 1. #3 Where’s Bubba (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Boompa, 3. Tomasino. LONG SHOT: Exemplar.

Trainer Bill Spawr is good a changing a horses distance. He is 36% when going from a route to a sprint and even more impressive when going sprint-route-sprint he is 56%.

Race 2: 1. Above Board, 2. Latest Craze, 3. Counturluckystars. LONG SHOT: Cavalry.

Race 3: 1. Masochistic, 2. Indexical, 3. Vyjack.

Race 4: 1. Vartan, 2. Dream It Do It, 3. Moose Skowron. LONG SHOT: Dynamic Scoring.

Race 5: 1. #3 Lauren’s Export (12-1), 2. Dust It, 3. Leveler. LONG SHOT: Anythingcanhappen.

Trainer Carla Gaines is 23% when debuting a horse on the turf and this daughter of Lonhro has three straight big works coming into the race. Lonhro is 13% with first-time turfers.

Race 6: 1. Hell On Heels, 2. Krisie’s Heart, 3. Passionate Emotion. LONG SHOT: Dragon Flowerr.

Race 7: 1. Nodiac, 2. Do the Dance, 3. How Unusual. LONG SHOT: Patriotic Diamond.

Race 8: 1. #5 How About Zero (6-1), 2. Miss Sunset, 3. You’re Late. LONG SHOT: I’ll Be Around.

We have seen trainer Doug O’Neill do this before: start a first-time maiden in a stakes race and he has won. This is a daughter of Square Eddie, who gets 16% winners first time out and barn jockey Mario Gutierrez takes the ride.

Race 9: 1. #8 Hansen Tale Blues (10-1), 2. Life’s Blessings, 3. Lovely Linda. LONG SHOT: Soul Singer.

Trainer Victor Garcia is 12% with first-time starters and he always seems to cash a bomber for his father King Juan Garcia, who races under the name Lucky Charm Stable. This son of Hansen has been training steadily and the sire gets 14% first time out. Follow the money.

Race 10: 1. American Aristocat, 2. Temple Keys, 3. Anatolian. LONG SHOT: Over Par.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, July 1

Preview: One can only hope the cards get better this holiday weekend, but I doubt it. With the remainder of the meet on the main track, here are some jockeys to think twice about: Agapito Delgadillo is 2-for-38 on the dirt, Abel Lezcano is 0-for-28 and Kerwin John is 0-for-20. We gave out another double-digit winner on Thursday which is no mean feat with the field sizes so small.

Race 2 – SA
#5 Tangled Up in Ju (3-1): This filly is dropping to her lowest level yet and she is making her third start off the layoff and with improving speed figures she might fire her best shot today. Key jock change from apprentice Barnes to journeyman Edwin Maldonado, who is 25% with trainer Mike Machowsky at Santa Anita.

Race 7 – SA
#3 Filly On Fire (6-1): Trainer Victor Garcia experimented on the turf last time with this filly and now she returns to her favorite surface. All three career wins are on dirt and she is 6-2-1-0 on the Santa Anita oval. She has been training lights out so could be coming up to a good one.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, April 3

Preview: Payoffs have been slim to say the least lately in the Pick 5 as Santa Anita has been back loading the cards in hopes of getting a Pick Six carryover since it gets a bigger cut of the Pick Six than the Pick 5, but today’s first is interesting maiden turf race.

                                

Race 1 – SA

#6 Lady Cloud (4-1): Trainer Victor Garcia is 41% when sending a horse around two turns for the first time and he’s 30% going from a sprint to a route. He has extra incentive as this 3-year-old is owned by his father, Juan. Tyler Baze rides and he’s 21% with Garcia.

                   

Race 4 – SA

#2 Sky Preacher (8-1): Trainer Doug O’Neill brings this colt back off a nearly year off and he’s 16% with long layoffs. He’s also 20% first time he drops a horse into a claiming race. This 4-year-old is 5-2-1-0 on turf

 

Race 6 – SA

#5 Dream Police (3-1): Trainer Richard Baltas is 35% with beaten favorites and 32% with putting the blinkers on. Jockey Felipe Valdez is 25% with Baltas at Santa Anita. Owner Bloom Racing Stable LLC has been hot this year.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, March 25

Preview: Interesting card, especially with Ziconic, Zenyatta’s son, running in the fourth race. As the 2-1 favorite, I’ll pass on him in his first start around two turns.
                                
Race 1 – SA
#1 Dissension (3-1): Just missed going down the hill and stretches out here. Trainer Victor Garcia is 3-for-9 going sprint to route and 35% sprint-sprint-route and he gets leading rider Rafael Bejarano to take over.
                   
Race 3 – SA
#5 Pulmarack (5-1): This gelding has been in the money two of three times on this track and the Jerry Hollendorfer barn is starting to heat up. Hollendorfer is 26% with two sprints to a route plus Rafael Bejarano jumps on this one too.
 
Race 8 – SA
#1 Mr. Sexy (3-1) (turf only): Trainer George Papaprodromou is having a career and has been trying to get this horse down the hill two races in a row that have come off. The 6-year-old has won twice over this course and the early speed could be the play with that man Rafael Bejarano aboard. 
@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter
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Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos RC opinions for Friday, Dec. 11

Hate to sound like a broken record but SoCal horsemen aren’t supporting this meet like others at Los Alamitos as the largest field is nine in one race.

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 Race 1:  #3 Derby Glass (3-1)

Just five entered here but tough race. This gelding was claimed by Victor Garcia, who is 30% first off the claim and no doubt claimed him to run here with a second-place finish over this track showing.

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Race 3: #8 Emotional Drive (2-1)

This filly ran third to MSW state breds and was the only horse not to win back so far from an October 15 maiden claimer at Santa Anita which has produced 6 next out winners. This filly is back with her friends and should romp here for trainer Dan Azcarate. One caveat, #4 Lana Caprina (8-1) comes out of that Oct. 15 race but can’t see her beating Emotional Drive.

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Race 8:  #5 Anillo (3-1)

Trainer Quinn Howey is one of favorites to follow when he ships to SoCal as he is 31% with shippers. This gelding has won over the track before and jockey Felipe Valdez jumps on.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita picks for Saturday, Oct. 3

FIRST RACE: 1. Straight N Strong, 2. Stormy Angel, 3. Hail Mary Play. LONG SHOT: Old Fashion Halo.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Italian Baba, 2. Gold Locket, 3. Flat Footed Mama. LONG SHOT: Wild Street Party.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Coronado Cool (12-1), 2. Sutton’s Smile, 3. Miss Catomine. LONG SHOT: Malibu Kash.

Trainer Eric Kruljac is an amazing 53% with horses second time on the grass. This filly showed speed in her debut going two turns and that was just a prep for this. Kruljac is 20% route to sprint.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. #1 Quality Line (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Nightly News, 3. Arabian Leopard. LONG SHOT: Semper Fortis.

This 2-year-old showed improvement when stretched out a furlong and now trainer Victor Garcia stretches him around two turns. Garcia is 37% first time he sends a horse long and 36% with the sprint-sprint-route move. Jockey Tyler Baze stays on.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Greyson and John, 2. Small Town Shuffle. LONG SHOT: I’mcomingthrough.

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SIXTH RACE (Grade III Eddie D): 1. #2 Majestic City (6-1), 2. Midnight Storm, 3. Jimmy Bouncer. LONG SHOT: No Silent.

This 6-year-old is in the red hot Richard Baltas barn and comes out of the Longacres Mile that has proven to be a key race. Baltas is 29% route to sprint and puts jockey Rafael Bejarano aboard and he is 30% with Bejarano.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Chief of Staff, 2. New Summitt, 3. Tiz Dynamic. LONG SHOT: Rockinatten.

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EIGHTH RACE (Grade I Santa Anita Sprint Championship): 1. Gimme Da Lute, 2. Masochistic, 3. Wild Dude. LONG SHOT: Kobe’s Back.

Tough race but trainer Bob Baffert is 38% going sprint-route-sprint and that’s what he’s doing with the 3-year-old Gimme Da Lute. Masochistic is training lights out and if there is a pace meltdown look for Kobe’s Back to run an improved race after a poor start at Del Mar.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Alexis Tangier, 2. Journey On, 3. Customer Base. LONG SHOT: Energia Fribby.

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10th RACE: 1. Mr. Jay D, 2. Great Lou, 3. Story to Tell. LONG SHOT: Well Maybe.

 

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (Lovenseek $7.60, third; Ponder Lea $4, eighth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 3 (Smooth Talker $6.80, first; Visibility $4, second; Red Button $8, fifth)

Friday’s third choice winners: 0

Friday’s long shot winners: 1 (Moonlight Meeting $12.20, fourth)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar picks for Saturday, Aug. 1 (UPDATED)

FIRST RACE: 1. Moonlight Meeting, 2. Indian Nate, 3. American Act. LONG SHOT: Ice Cream Truck.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Bird E House, 2. American Aristocat, 3. Ransom Canyon. LONG SHOT: Tester.

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THIRD RACE: 1. #7 Dynamite Ride (6-1), 2. Global Magician, 3. Currency Exchange. LONG SHOT: Jazzy Josh (SCRATCHED) new long shot: Rocker.

Trainer Victor Garcia is a deadly 33% first off the claim. He must have had turf in mind when he claimed this 3-year-old last time out. Red-hot Flavien Prat gets the call in the saddle.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Chia Love, 2. Can Can Babe (SCRATCHED) new pick: Hold Me Fast, 3. Mothernaturespell. LONG SHOT: Racing for Chasen.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. #5 Look Me in the Eye (3-1), 2. Tengas Ransom, 3. Speedin With Eddie. LONG SHOT: Lucky Patrick.

Trainer Mike Puype is 22% with beaten favorites in their next start and he does very well in the state-bred ranks at Del Mar. On top of that top jock Rafael Bejarano takes the mount and he is 32% with Puype.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Sensitively, 2. Lamontagne, 3. Tale of Papa Nick. LONG SHOT: Sweet Profit.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Two Steps of Glory, 2. One Last Shot, 3. Seaside Glory. LONG SHOT: Oh Great Idea.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #1 BEHOLDER (6-5) best bet, 2. Yahilwa, 3. Warren’s Veneda. LONG SHOT: Gusto Dolce (SCRATCHED) new long shot: Thegirlinthatsong.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Yahoo Tahoe, 2. Seeking the West, 3. Smooth Roller. LONG SHOT: Perfect Set.

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10TH RACE: 1. #3 Elegant Street (10-1), 2. Dylan Ward, 3. Rosicky. LONG SHOT: Second Summer.

Trainer Bobby Wayne Grayson doesn’t start many, but he’s often live. This 4-year-old is coming a huge career debut on the turf and stretches out around two truns, which he was bred to do. Grayson is 23% with second-time starters and he goes for a jockey improvement to Mario Gutierrez.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (An Unusual Group $16.80, first race; W. Giles $8.60, eighth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 1 (Motown Men $8.40, sixth)

Friday’s third choice winners: 0

Friday’s long shot winners: 3 (Rockport Kat $12.40, second; Yodelsong $21, fourth; Nahem $12.20, fifth)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, July 17 (4 p.m. first post)

FIRST RACE: 1. BENESH (best bet), 2. Last One Standing, 3. Navy Hymn. LONG SHOT: D. Shifflett.

Trainer John Sadler is lights out in these maiden claiming races and this son of Street Boss takes the huge drop from MSW to MC 70,000. Jockey Victor Espinoza takes the mount and is 21% with Sadler.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Big Sugar Soda, 2. No Contingency, 3. May B. LONG SHOT: Justification.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Ghost of Navigator, 2. Proud Captive, 3. Miltee. LONG SHOT: Lucky Shoes to Win.

Another take the big drop from MSW to MC $20,000. This son of Mineshaft has been gelded since his last start and puts blinkers on for Northern California-based O.J. Jauregui, who is 27% with this kind of move. Ghost of Navigator is owned by Bloom Racing, which won Thursday’s featured Oceanside with Soul Driver.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Getoffmyback, 2. Captain Akers, 3. Tengas Ransom. LONG SHOT: Collect the Debt.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Ramona’s Wildcat, 2. Hooligan, 3. Xoxo. LONG SHOT:  Not too Shiny.

Believe it or not, trainer Doug O’Neill has done well at Del Mar in turf sprints. This daughter of Wildcat Heir (14% turf sire) must find space because she has not early speed. That will be the job of Hall of Fame jockey Alex Solis.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Wasted At Midnight, 2. Baruta, 3. Scherzinger. LONG SHOT: Uzziel.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Revenue Virginius, 2. Zipessa, 3. Conquest Curlgirl. LONG SHOT: Harriet Tubman.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Olympic Lady, 2. Urloveneverfails, 3. Hekawi. LONG SHOT: Melinda’s Girl.

Trainer Victor Garcia comes ready to win at Del Mar, especially for his father/owner “King” Juan Garcia. Victor is 38% wiith beaten favorites and this one just pull off a surprise.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

 

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Thursday’s top choice winners: 2 (Nextdoorneighbor $4.60, sixth race; Gangnam Guy $10.40, seventh)

Thursday’s second choice winners: 1 (Soul Driver $7.80, eighth; )

Thursday’s third choice winners: 2 (Ink Well $12, third; Gloryzpper $7.40, ninth)

Thursday’s long shot winners: 1 (Olympic Blue $19.60, first)

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Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a few others) opinions for Saturday, June 13

Race 2: #6 Broke the Mold (4-1)

This 5-year-old showed speed against better and now drops to the bottom of the maiden claiming ranks. Trainer Carla Gaines is 40% when dropping a horse two of more class levels and she’s 24% going from a route to a sprint.

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Race 4: #6 Frandontjudge (turf only) (8-1)

Our Eyes:  Trainer Victor Garcia claimed this filly and moves her up in class. Garcia is 37% from 19 starters first off the claim. Look three races back and this 4-year-old finished a close second at this exact level.

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Race 9: #1 Unusual Storm (10-1)

She had a prep over the dirt, but this daughter of Unusual Heat (12% first time out on turf) belongs on the grass. Underrated jockey Flavien Prat rides for trainer Gary Mandella.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 8: #7 Missy Bay (turf only) (12-1)

Trainer Dominick Schettino has had a good meet so far and this one was in fine form before a layoff. She is moving up in class but Schettino was 21% with NY-breds in the past at this meet and 20% in turf sprints.

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

Race 2: #5 Muntij (8-1)

Our Eyes:  Trainer Daniel Pietz is 31% with horses running two sprints into their first route race and this son of Daaher is bred to love the added distance. Jockey Marcelino Pedroza has been hot lately with fours wins from his last 14 mounts.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 7: #5 Ima Tornado (10-1)

Trainer Monte Thomas is 21% with first-time starters and the sire Hello Broadway is 7% first time out. In a field with plenty of first-timers, she’s worth a shot with hot apprentice Harry Hernandez aboard.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Nov. 15 Updated (Bing Crosby Season)

FIRST RACE: 1. Fascinating, 2. Go Get Em Babe, 3. Sky Mega. LONG SHOT: See Through.

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SECOND RACE: 1. My Monet, 2. Smoove It, 3. Seeking Shamrocks. LONG SHOT: Incentive Award.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Oh Newman, 2. Where’s the Moon, 3. Mr. Chase. LONG SHOT: Increase.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Dylan Ward, 2. Moonlight Meeting, 3. Opsec. LONG SHOT: J Serino.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Industry Leader, 2. Heyyoucan, 3. Memphis. LONG SHOT: Tribal Dude.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Prettypreciousheir, 2. Miss Centerfold, 3. Megyns Gold. LONG SHOT: Avenge.

The Leandro Mora barn, aka Doug O’Neill, has been on fire since O’Neill went on suspension. PRETTYPRECIOUSHEIR (6-1), a 2-year-old by Wildcat Heir, has early-win breeding and should love the Del Mar Polytrack with leading jockey Rafael Bejarano aboard.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Goodison Park, 2. Eddie’s Turn, 3. Husband’s Foley. LONG SHOT: Play Hard to Get.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Diamond Majesty, 2. Alright Alright, 3. All Indians. LONG SHOT: Prime Engine (SCRATCHED) new long shot: Sebastian’s Heart.

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NINTH RACE: 1.Hadfunlastnight (best bet), 2. Life a Riley, 3. Regally Soul. LONG SHOT: Giant Ego.

HADFUNLASTNIGHT (9-2), a gelding, loves to win races, especially on synthetic surfaces (6-for-13) and on Del Mar’s Polytrack (4-for-8). He takes a drop in class but should be forwardly place by jockey Elvis Trujillo for trainer Victor Garcia, who is 27% with the jockey. There’s no way to get 9-2 on this horse as there have been scratches and will be two more Saturday morning as there are two “stuck” horses.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 1 (Distinctiv Passion $6.40, second race)

Friday’s second choice winners: 2 (Aguacita $10, third; Dr. Vincentstein $16, eighth)

Friday’s third choice winners: 0

Friday’s long shot winners: 1 (Practising $6.60, seventh)

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