Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Feb. 13

Preview: Good card with a nice stakes. Wish there were a few more entries in a few races. Tough to handicap some races where trainers have two entries because you don’t know which one is live.

   ==                             

Race 4: #5 Conquest Flatterme (3-1) 

This filly finished second in her West Coast debut for trainer Vladimir Cerin, who is 24% with horses returning off a 31- to 60-day layoff. Cerin puts apprentice David Lopez aboard and they are 57% together.

== 

Race 8: #3 Birdatthewire (5-2)

Looks to me like Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith had his choice of three horses in this race and chose this 4-year-old filly. She has a 5-2-2-0 record at this distance and should be ready to go here.

==

Race 9: #2 Macalla (20-1) 

I like the Australian sire Lonhro, who wins with 13% of his turf horses. This filly may like the firm turf here instead of the good turf last time. Big jock switch in my mind from Alonso Quinonez to Victor Espinoza.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Jan. 30

Preview: It’s Cal Cup Day so there are plenty of tough races. There are also some races with prohibitive favorites so you have to make the decision whether to go with an odds-on horse or go against the grain.

==                                

Race 3: #7 Riddle Me (8-1) 

The powerful due to jockey Kent Desormeaux and trainer Bob Hess Jr. team up here. Hess is 26% the first time he puts a horse in a maiden claimer. This filly showed some speed in her debut and if she does that again she should do well here.

== 

Race 7: #11 Qiaona (8-1)

This mare has won down the hill before and done well in a Cal-bred stakes, too. She has the best late pace rating and jockey Victor Espinoza takes over.

==.            

Race 9: #4 Image of Joplin (15-1)

This gelding is 2-for-2 over this turf course, albeit against lesser competition. He is coming off a front-running win and jockey Agapito Delgadillo takes over. Trainer Matthew Chew is 38% in on-graded stakes.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Nov. 28 (Plus Tampa Bay Downs)

FIRST RACE: 1. Roper, 2. Financial, 3. Spirit World. LONG SHOT: Adair.

==
SECOND RACE: 1, Tulira Castle, 2. Alex Rossi, 3. Airfoil. LONG SHOT: I’ll Wrap It Up.
==
THIRD RACE: 1. #4 UNDENIABLE U (9-2) (BEST BET), 2. Path of David, 3. Archaeo. LONG SHOT: Silent Movies.

Trainer Bob Baffert isn’t known as a turf trainer, but he is 31% with horses making their second route race. Jockey Victor Espinoza just missed last time with the well-regarded Canada.

==            

FOURTH RACE: 1. Etailer, 2. Eddie Haskell, 3. Lymebyrd. LONG SHOT: Demonslayer.
==
FIFTH RACE: 1. Mokat, 2. Optimism And Hope, 3. Wake the Dawn. LONG SHOT: Jeremy’s Legacy.
==
SIXTH RACE: 1. #7 Tribal Jewel (8-1), 2. Storm Comin Thru, 3. True Ten. LONG SHOT: Roman Tizzy.

Trainer Peter Miller claimed this gelding last time and runs him back in the same spot. Miller is 24% first off the claim and has put a couple of big works into him. Jockey Brice Blanc jumps on and he is 2-for-4 with Miller.

==                                    

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Royal Albert Hall, 2. March, 3. Om. LONG SHOT: Closing Bell.
==
EIGHTH RACE: 1. Dortmund, 2. Big Cazanova, 3. Imperative. LONG SHOT: Majestic City.
==
NINTH RACE: 1. #6 Hunt (7-2), 2. Roy H, 3. Unusual Fleet. LONG SHOT: Follow Me Crev.

This 3-year-old finished fourth in the Twilight Derby and many he faced will be running earlier on the card in the Hollywood Derby so we should have a good handle on whether that is a key race. Jockey Mike Smith stays aboard for trainer Phil D’Amato and they are a 26% combination.

==

Tampa Bay Downs for Saturday, Nov. 28

Race 3: #2 Horn Buckle (5-1) 

This gelding reeled off three wins at this track last winter and trainer Victor Carrasco Jr. looks to strike on the first day of the new meet. Carrasco is 30% with horses moving down two of more classes.

==                                          

Race 6: #9 Ishaq (7-2)

Trainer Efren Loza Jr. is 44% with first-time starters like this son of Harlan’s Holiday and he employs jockey Pedro Cotto Jr., who has won 5-of-11 races for Loza this year. There are decent works showing and we think this one is ready to run.

==                                                                                               

Race 9 : #2 Fascinante (7-2) 

Efren Loza Jr. is a high-percentage trainer in a lot of areas, including 35% with shippers like this 5-year-old mare, who is a perfect 2-for-2 over this turf course. Pedro Cotto Jr. rides another Loza.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Thursday, Nov. 26

Happy Thanksgiving. First post is at 11 a.m.

FIRST RACE: 1. Heed to Speed, 2. Sarno’s B F F, 3. Mended. LONG SHOT: Exit Sixty Slew.

==
SECOND RACE: 1. #6 Twirling Tiger (7-2), 2. Ready Cat, 3. Scatastic. LONG SHOT: My Summer Bird.

This 2-year-old has been facing tougher, especially in his last at Keeneland. Now in the care Kristin Mulhall, who is 20% with shippers. She is also 24% with horse going from sprint to route.

==              

THIRD RACE: 1. Bijoux, 2. Untouchable U, 3. Tap Dancing. LONG SHOT: Gift of a Star.
==
FOURTH RACE: 1. Smooth Talker, 2. Shakeitupbetty, 3. Winninginfashion. LONG SHOT: Spiced Latte.
==
FIFTH RACE: 1. #6 Diamond Cut (6-1), 2. Jade With Envy, 3. Tiz a Classy Lass. LONG SHOT: Awesome Luck.

This filly has been idle since throwing in a clunker early in the Del Mar summer meet. She is coming out of a key race and trainer John Sadler can get them ready off a layoff (18%) and jockey Victor Espinoza, who is 20% with Sadler, sticks around.

==                                    

SIXTH RACE: 1. Star of Munster, 2. Patriotic Diamond, 3. Run Like the Boss. LONG SHOT: Run for Retts.
==
SEVENTH RACE: 1. THE PIAZZA MAN (5-2) BEST BET, 2. Up With the Birds, 3. Big John B. LONG SHOT: Ganesh.
==
EIGHTH RACE: 1. #7 Discreetlyhumorme (12-1), 2. And Then Some, 3. Redneck Crazy. LONG SHOT: Finnerty’s Folly.

This 2-year-old went off at 2-1 in a MSW at Los Alamitos and was in third when a stablemate went down in front of him and he fell, too. He resurfaces in a maiden claimer with some decent works for trainer Mark Glatt and jockey Tyler Baze, an 18% combination.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Nov. 7

FIRST RACE: 1. #7 Mighty Moses (6-1), 2. Let’s Meet in Rio, 3. Esposito. LONG SHOT: Sorryaboutnothing.

This 2-year-old is trained by Bob Baffert, ridden by Vicor Espinoza and owned by Zayat Stables LLC. Does this sound familiar? Can you say American Pharaoh. One Baffert’s best moves is the route to sprint, which he is 37%.

==

SECOND RACE: 1. With a Twist, 2. Priviledged One, 3. Zanbo. LONG SHOT: Thundering Gale.
==
THIRD RACE: 1. H R Express, 2. Loyalist, 3. Mike’s Benchmark. LONG SHOT: Tough But Nice.
==
FOURTH RACE: 1. What a View, 2. Somethings Unusual, 3. Unusual Fleet. LONG SHOT: Grachus the Hunter.
==
FIFTH RACE: 1. Antinanco, 2. Alpine Luck, 3. The Gold Monkey. LONG SHOT: Dive Down.
==
SIXTH RACE: 1. #3 INTOXICATING MOVE (8-1) BEST BET, 2. Glory, 3. Spirit of Ten. LONG SHOT: Journey On.

Jockey Corey Nakatani rides this Del Mar turf course to perfection. This 5-year-old mare won over this course during the summer and coming off a good work. Nakatani is 20% with trainer Jack Carava.

==
SEVENTH RACE: 1. All Run, 2. Kafister, 3. Story to Tell. LONG SHOT: Melatonin.
==
EIGHTH RACE: 1. Three Hearts, 2. Energia Fribby, 3. Nashoba’s Gold.; LONG SHOT: Chaulk O Lattey.
==
NINTH RACE: 1. Blue Copper, 2. Unbirdled Rocket, 3. Twisted Earl. LONG SHOT: Small Town Shuffle.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (Lucky Reality $3, sixth race; Poshsky $7, seventh)
Friday’s second choice winners: 2 (Riri $3.20, first; Zuzu’s Petals $5.80, second)
Friday’s third choice winners: 0
Friday’s long shot winners: 2 (A New Trend $10.40, third; Avanti Bello $3.20, fourth)
Standard
Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Oct. 24

Race 4: #7 City of Vengeance (15-1)

Has been a disappointment since coming West, but trainer John Sadler is 22% second off the claim as the gelding tries the downhill for the first time. Jockey Victor Espinoza jumps off another contender to ride this son of City Zip and is 21% with Sadler.

==         

Race 6: #8 Oppidum (5-1)

If it’s a 2-year-old race trainer Bob Baffert usually has it surrounded and such is the case here with three horses. The barn’s main rider, Martin Garcia, chooses this son of Speightstown who showed good speed at Del Mar before stopping. He goes shorter here and should be on the engine.

 ==             

Race 9: #7 Canada (4-1)

Is bred to be a good one, but has had problems in both starts, especially last time, but Hall of Fame jockey Gary Stevens has seen enough to stay aboard and he is 26% with trainer Simon Callaghan.

==

Gulfstream Park West

Race 1: #2 Drama Club (5-2)

This colt makes his debut on turf, but the bigger thing is that he drops from the straight maiden ranks to a maiden claimer. Trained by David Fawkes, he exits a race that has produced three winners. Jockey Edgard Zayas takes over.

==

Race 7: #10 Awesome Sunrize (turf only) (6-1)

This filly returns to South Florida after running at Arlington Park. She comes out of a key race and trainer Kerry Zavash is 24% with shippers. Zavash has a winner already at the meet with jockey Eddie Castro, who jumps on.

==

Race 9: #1 Samus (turf only) (5-1)

Trainer Marcus Vitali has been on fire at the meet with 6 winners from 20 starters. Vitali is 25% with horses second time in his care like this 3-year-old. He is also 30% on the year with jockey Matthew Rispoli.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Thursday, Oct. 8

FIRST RACE: 1. Dive Down, 2. Doyouknowsomething, 3. Dr. Vincentstein. LONG SHOT: Wild.

==

SECOND RACE: 1. Ground Rules, 2. Sammy Mandeville, 3. Solid Wager. LONG SHOT: Infinite Magic.

==

THIRD RACE: 1. Always a Chance, 2. Shared Image, 3. Lucky Student. LONG SHOT: Larocco.

==

FOURTH RACE: 1. Kitty’s Karma, 2. Appealing Lady, 3. Diamond Debbie. LONG SHOT: Slew’s Charm.

==

FIFTH RACE: 1. #6 Popsracer (15-1), 2. I’ll Play My Hand, 3. Woody’s Folly. LONG SHOT: Poythress.

It’s taken five races to finally gets this 3-year-old around two turns. By Scat Daddy out of a Lemon Drop Kid mare, he is bred to go two turns. There’s a good work coming into the race and jockey Victor Espinoza takes over.

==

SIXTH RACE: 1. Yet Anotherkafwin, 2. Hennythelovepenny, 3. Cadet Roni. LONG SHOT: Zananb.

==

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Minster’sadventure, 2. Sadie Clare, 3. Wild Bella. LONG SHOT: West Coast Storm.

==

EIGHTH RACE: 1. #8 Be a Lady (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Pulpit Rules, 3. Bella Anatola. LONG SHOT: Juju’s Mojo.

This 2-year-old filly left her race at the starting gate in her debut. Beside, trainer Peter Eurton has better numbers second time out than with first-timers. Jockey Mario Gutierrez keeps the mount on this son of Cindago, which is pure sprint breeding.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Saturday, Sept. 26

Sorry, sort of took Los Alamitos off from blogging. Made some picks on HorsePlayerNow and did OK, but nothing to write home about. Beside, at work, we are learning a new computer system and my schedule is a little wacky (working a lot of days) and we have another week of that.

But Santa Anita is back and here are a few thoughts on Saturday’s card.

==

FIRST RACE: 1. Aeon, 2. Redneck Crazy, 3. Sorcerer’s Wildcat. LONG SHOT: Little Mustard.

==

SECOND RACE: 1. Adeline Moon, 2. C.C. Zipp, 3. Sudden Fame. LONG SHOT: Mrs. Norris.

==

THIRD RACE: 1. #6 Elementar (12-1), 2. Curlin’s Fox, 3. Desert Steel. LONG SHOT: Singing Kitty.

This filly is returning in a tough spot, but she has won down the hill before. Now, Hall of Fame jockey Gary Stevens takes over for trainer Richard Mandella and they are a 33% proposition at Santa Anita. The 3-year-old is also coming out of a key race.

==

FOURTH RACE: 1. Venture Capitalist, 2. Kenjisstorm, 3. Lambo Luxx. LONG SHOT: Relative Time.

==

FIFTH RACE: 1. #6 Rare Candy (12-1), 2. Nyquist, 3. Swipe. LONG SHOT: On Fire.

After three straight runs on the grass, including a win, trainer David Hofmans has decided it’s time to find out if this son of Twirling Candy can run on the dirt. There are two big works on the dirt and the distance should be no problem. It’s a matter if he has the class.

==

SIXTH RACE: 1. Mal Verde, 2. Smack Talk, 3. Labour. LONG SHOT: Kill Shot.

==

SEVENTH RACE: 1.beholder, 2. Warren’s Veneda, 3. Wild in the Saddle. LONG SHOT: My Monet.

==

EIGHTH RACE: 1. Songbird, 2. Jade Princess, 3. Pretty N Cool. LONG SHOT: Vieja Luna.

==

NINTH RACE: 1. #8 Hard Not to Like (3-1) BEST BET, 2. Photo Call, 3. Lady Pimperna;. LONG SHOT: Sharla Rae.

Trainer Christophe Clement shipped west in May to take a Grade I with this mare and he’s trying it again, with the same jockey, Victor Espinoza. This 6-year-old has a wicked urn of foot in the stretch and while she hasn’t gone this far before that should be no problem.

==

10TH RACE: 1. #2 Sammy Mandeville (10-1), 2. Hoppertunity, 3. Bayern. LONG SHOT: Point Piper.

This 4-year-old has had one problem this year: Catch a Flight. Well, that Richard Mandella horse isn’t running in this race so let’s give this 4-year-old a shot with leading rider Rafael Bejarano aboard. The son of Rock Hard Ten finished second in the Longacres Mile and that race has produced three next out winners.

==

11TH RACE: 1. Coach Q, 2. Canada, 3. Osceola Pond. LONG SHOT: Strong Values.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Wednesday, Aug. 26

FIRST RACE: 1. Microburst, 2. Ya Ya Girl, 3. Carnival Lights. LONG SHOT: Dad’s Princess.

==

SECOND RACE: 1. #1 Ready Cat (4-1), 2. Panther Creek, 3. Bully Pulpit. LONG SHOT: Family Code.

There are two weeks left in the meet and this is where Peter Miller makes a big push for the training title. This shipper from PID showed he likes to come from behind. He has a good work over the track and Miller is 20% first time in his barn plus Victor Espinoza (19% with Miller) rides.

==

THIRD RACE: 1. Gavin Streetsense, 2. On Fire, 3. Bistraya. LONG SHOT: Coach Q.

==

FOURTH RACE: 1. #3 Buymearound (5-1) BEST BET, 2. Hobbits Hero, 3. Persuasive Paul. LONG SHOT: Anythingscookin.

Speed does well when the rails are out to 30 feet on the turf course like they are here. Trainer Kristin Mulhall claimed this 8-time grass winner and stays at the same level. Outstanding turf jockey Corey Nakatani keeps the mount.

==

FIFTH RACE: 1. Sunset Skies, 2. Sadie Clare, 3. Kiss At Midnight. LONG SHOT: Q’ Viva.

==

SIXTH RACE: 1. Worldwide, 2. Diablo Caballero, 3. One Smooth Indian. LONG SHOT: Sindys Luck.

==

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Motown Men, 2. Smooth Roller, 3. Big Cazanova. LONG SHOT: Point Piper.

==

EIGHTH RACE: 1. Ballplayer, 2. Mister Exchange, 3. Pop Pop’s Pizza. LONG SHOT: Papa Frank.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Sunday’s top choice winners: 2 (Newfound Gold $3.40, first race; Miss Big Stuff $4, second)

Sunday’s second choice winners: 3 (Ms. K J $5.20, fifth; Gloryzapper $3.80, ninth; With a Twist $8.60, 10th)

Sunday’s third choice winners: 2 (Stealth Drone $6.40, fourth; Finest City $3.40, seventh)

Sunday’s long shot winners: 0

 

Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Sunday, August 16

FIRST RACE: 1, Myrna Lou, 2. Gucci Brown, 3. Seek Safe Harbor. LONG SHOT: Pocketfullofgreen.
==
SECOND RACE: 1. #1 Wildling (7-2), 2. Classic Gent, 3. Red Button. LONG SHOT: Midnight Destiny.

Been waiting for trainer AC Avila to score all meet long. This may be the one. He brings back this 3-year-old in claimer but protects him from being claimed. Avila is 40% first off the claim and 63 percent with jockey Victor Espinoza.

==

THIRD RACE: 1. #4 Cat Burglar (8-1), 2. Caminetto, 3. Guns Loaded. LONG SHOT: Red Outlaw.
 Trainer Bob Baffert is 38% with horses going from a route to a sprint. Baffert is also 33% with jockey Victor Espinoza and there is a big work showing from last weekend.

==

FOURTH RACE: 1. Sam’s Sister, 2. Taris, 3. Tesalina. LONG SHOT: Baruta.
==
FIFTH RACE: 1. The Custodian, 2. Merle, 3. Diablo Caballero. LONG SHOT: Unusually.
==
SIXTH RACE: 1. Ipray, 2. Kristinite, 3. Belle Evon. LONG SHOT: I Heart You.
==
SEVENTH RACE: 1. Lucky Views, 2. Seeking the West, 3. Karma King. LONG SHOT: Holiday Camp.
==
EIGHTH RACE: 1. Wake the Dawn, 2. C.C. Zipp, 3. Oh Great Idea. LONG SHOT: Where’s the D.
==
NINTH RACE: 1. #4 Journey On (12-1), 2. Smoove It, 3. She’s Flush. LONG SHOT: Chaulk O Lattey.

Trainer Richard Baltas brings this mare back following an 11-month layoff and he is 32% with long layoffs. Jockey Gary Stevens takes the mount which has won at Del Mar in the past.

==

10TH RACE: 1. Sir Barclay, 2. Financial District, 3. Parliamentarian. LONG SHOT: Land of the Free.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 2 (Mt. Veeder $7, third race; Toowindytohaulrox, $15.20, sixth)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 3 (Carson City Five $5.60, first; Public Policy $6.40, fifth; Artisticdifference $27.60, 10th)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 1 (Broadway Nika $13.20, fourth)

Saturday’s long shot winners: 0

==
Standard