Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, March 17

Race 2 – SA
#6 Chuchotti (2-1) ****
Our Eyes: In case you haven’t figured out, I’m a big believer in the key race theory and this filly is coming out of a Del Mar race that has produced four winners from five starters. That’s enough for a single in all wagers for me.
Jeff’s Playbook: 5 units to win, 10 units to place.

Race 5 – SA
#7 Lauren’s Ladd (9-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Tyler Baze was on fire Thursday and hoping he stays hot here. This colt broke his maiden going down the hill and he finished second last time over a “good” surface. Maybe firm ground will suit him better. Trainer Ron Ellis is 33$ second off the claim.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#3 Irish Dame (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has been running on the turf but trainer Vann Belvoir gives that up and goes to the dirt as he drops her into a maiden claimer for the first time. He gets leading rider Falvien Prat and they are 24% together.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, Feb. 25

Preview: .Another weak card, but we have to do our best to find some prices. Jockey Flavien Prat seems to be rounding into form so watch for him this week.

                                

Race 3 – SA

#1 Candy Promises (10-1)

We get a huge jockey upgrade here as as the aforementioned Flavien Prat takes over of Chantal Kruse. This 3-year-old colt takes the huge drop from MSW to maiden claimers and trainer Vann Belvoir is 18% the first time he puts a horse in a claimer.

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Race 6 – SA

#4 Ready to Hula Lula (5-2) 

Unless there is a good first-timer in this bunch, this 3-year-old looks tough in this spot. She has speed and jockey Rafael Bejarano to ration it out. She had a good work since her race and trainer Mark Glatt is 21% with Bejarano at Santa Anita.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, Dec. 27

Preview: Not a great card, but not a bad card either. Some nice 2-year-olds will go two turns and there is a graded stakes, too.

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Race 1: #1 The Custodian (5-2)

Seems to be coming into the race in good form. Has a good work over the track, comes out of a key race, has won over this track before and has the top Brisnet Class and Late Pace ratings. What more could you want?

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Race 2: #3 Belvoir Bay (turf only) (4-1) 

European import finished well back in the Flower Bowl at Belmont Park. Now she is shipped to the Peter Miller barn and gets Lasix. Miller is 21% with horses first time in his barn and good turf rider Flavien Prat is aboard.

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Race 5: #3 Red Button (12-1) 

Trainer Bill Spawr is 36% going from a route to a sprint and this gelding should be plenty fit in the stretch. Don’t take a short price in this race.

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Race 6: #7 Ferocious (5-1)

This 4-year-old has a 5-2-1-1 record over the Santa Anita surface. Trainer Vann Belvoir claimed him at Del Mar and he is 4-for-8 when he drops off a claim. The gelding also has the top Brisnet Prime and Class ratings.

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Race 9: #7 True Brillance (3-1)

This 2-year-old debuted in May with a second-place finish over a wet fast track. I don’t think it was the wet and think this son of Unusual Heat has talent. He has been training well for his return, Tyler Baze rides back and has the top Brisnet Prime and Class and Speed numbers.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, Nov. 27

FIRST RACE: 1. Family Code, 2. Viviendo El Sueno, 3. Turn Your Eyes. LONG SHOT: Record Highs.

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SECOND RACE: 1. #3 Adriatic Son (20-1), 2. Second Proposal, 3. Oil. LONG SHOT: Too Fast to Pass.

Hasn’t raced in more than a year, but showed plenty of speed as a 3-year-old. There is a good work showing. Trainer Vann Belvoir is 3-for-8 in turf sprints and 21% with shippers. On top of that, jockey Corey Nakatani takes off another horse to ride this one.

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THIRD RACE: 1. #4 SECRET CHORDS (4-1) BEST BET, 2. Flowinwiththebreez, 3. Hayyouwaitforme. LONG SHOT: Bolt Up.

This 3-year-old filly drops into a maiden claimer for the first time after showing sheep in her first two races. If jockey Mario Gutierrez employs the same tactics here, he might be gone on this speed-favoring track.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Belle Et Bete, 2. Holograeme, 3. Moon Over Paris. LONG SHOT: Dreamologist.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Scatchmeifyoucan, 2. Ambrella, 3. Sayitright Kat. LONG SHOT: Flexible Ethics.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Miss Boom Boom, 2. Illuminant, 3. Barbara Beatrice. LONG SHOT: Dakota Kid.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. She’s a Warrior, 2. Old Hollywood, 3. Lunar Empress. LONG SHOT: Candy Boss.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Seek Again, 2. Bal a Bali, 3. Avanzare. LONG SHOT: Alert Bay.
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NINTH RACE: 1.  Ten Dollar Note, 2. Two Steps of Glory, 3. Knightwithputnam. LONG SHOT: Passionate Emotion.

Our Eyes: This 2-year-old finished second at 45-1 in her debut. She takes a drop in class and would appear to have the early pace advantage for trainer Felipe Souza and jockey Tiago Pereira.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Thursday’s top choice winners: 2 (Smooth Talker $5.20, fourth race; The Pizza Man $4.20, seventh)

Thursday’s second choice winners: 1 (Patriotic Diamond $3.40, sixth)

Thursday’s third choice winners: 3 (Mended $9.80, first; Tiz a Classy Lass $6.40, fifth; Redneck Crazy $12, eighth)

Thursday’s long show winners: 1 (Gift of a Star $8.20, third)

 

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Sunday, Aug. 2

FIRST RACE: 1. Nite Delite, 2. Kiss My Face, 3. Blue Cilantro. LONG SHOT: Lady of Winterfell.

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SECOND RACE: 1. #3 FRANDONTJUDGE (6-1) best bet, 2. Smart N Dreamy, 3. Papslilprincess. LONG SHOT: Enduring Erin.

Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer is 28% with horses first time off the claim and that’s what he has with this filly. She had a ton of trouble in the last down the hill at Santa Anita and might relish a return to two turns.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Prince Charmant, 2. Roman Tizzy, 3. London Legacy. LONG SHOT: Tough Sunday.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Shanty Irish, 2. Gunlsinger, 3. Pyrotechnics. LONG SHOT: Bargaining.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Gimme Da Lute, 2. Rocko’s Wheel, 3. Neveradoubt. LONG SHOT: Smack Talk.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. #4 All Run (6-1), 2. Devil Rising, 3. Silver Torch. LONG SHOT: Cervaro.

This gelding finished third at this level at Golden Gate going long on the turf. Trainer Ed Moger Jr. some good past numbers at Del Mar and jockey Joe Talamo decides to stay aboard.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. South Detroit, 2. Semper Fortis, 3. Who’s Out. LONG SHOT: Blameitonthelaw.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Artistic Charm, 2. Maibaby, 3. Sayes So. LONG SHOT: All Star Bub.
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NINTH RACE: 1. #3 With the Breeze (6-1), 2. Big Hat Charlie, 3.  Flat Gone. LONG SHOT: Go First.

This gelding had trouble at the start last time and probably didn’t like the mud last time at Del Mar. Trainer Vann Belvoir is 25% second time with horses and hot jockey Flavien Prat staying aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 1 (Beholder $2.60, eighth race)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 1 (One Last Shot $12.20, seventh race)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 1 (Smooth Roller $6.60, ninth race)

Saturday’s long shot winners: 0

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, May 15

Race 3: #5 Finnerty’s Folly (6-1)

This son of Marino Marini is bred to win early both top and bottom. Showed an improved work last time out. Trainer Vann Belvoir is 14% with first-time starters.

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Race 5: #1 Candy for Debbie (9-2)

Trainer Terry Knight doesn’t ship to Southern California much from his NoCal base so when he does pay attention. This 7-year-old gelding has a nice inside post to press the pace early and Knight is 33% (4-for-12) with horses off a 61-180-day layoff.

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Race 7: #5 Two Is to Many (7-2)

Trainer Tim Yakteen scratched out of a race last weekend to try his luck here. This 6-year-old gelding has two wins at Santa Anita, a big work over the track and red-hot jockey Tyler Baze.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, March 28

Race 1: #6 Believe Too (NL)

This 3-year-old broke his maiden over this track and then threw in a clunker over synthetic at Golden Gate. Returns to dirt and in with claimers. Leading jockey Rafael Bejarano takes over and he is 29% with trainer Richard Baltas.

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Race 5: #6 Rocket Heat (NL)

This gelding freaked when dropped into a maiden claimer, winning by 9 lengths. Trainer Vann Belvoir claimed him and protects him in this spot. The 3-year-old has been working well and comes out of a key race.

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, Aug. 29 (updated)

FIRST RACE: 1. Missing Groom, 2. Beach Fever, 3. Mr. Casanova. LONG SHOT: Synnin.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Chippette, 2. Warren’s Assassin, 3. Pursuitofparadise. LONG SHOT: Dixie Deville.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Sheezflippinsexy (best bet), 2. Hennythelovepenny, 3. Suite One. LONG SHOT: Doctor Susan (SCRATCHED) NEW LONG SHOT: Ill Tell You What.

Trainer Vann Belvoir and jockey Rafael Bejarano are a 50% combination at Del Mar the last two years. Here they team up on a first time starter named SHEEZFLIPPINSEXY (6-1), by Tale of the Cat, who is a good first out sire.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Intoxicating Move, 2. Fantastic Mizz, 3. Highly Rated. LONG SHOT: Boller Bomb.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Ashleyluvssugar, 2. Deraptor, 3. Public Policy. LONG SHOT: True Ten.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Big Tire, 2. Conquest Two Step, 3. Red Outlaw. LONG SHOT: Van Fraasen.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Keepnherinthedark, 2. Nero’s Pleasure, 3. Covey. LONG SHOT: Delphia.

KEEPNHERINTHEDARK (6-1), a daughter of Kitten’s Joy, drops into a maiden claimer for the first time off a nine-month layoff. Trainer Mark Glatt is 21% with horses off a layoff of more than 180 days and he’s 29% going from turf to synthetic.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Thursday’s top choice winners: 1 (Noble Bird $4.20, third race)

Thursday’s second choice winners: 3 (Big Cazanova $3, second; Sheza an Eyeopener $7, fourth; Small Town Cop $10.80, fifth)

Thursday’s third choice winners: 2 (Only Josie Knows $11.40, seventh; It Is Living Water $12, eighth)

Thursday’s long shot winners: 1 (Chilada $9.80, sixth)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Thursday, Aug. 28

FIRST RACE: Prettyhotprincess, 2. Hit Girl, 3. Popalicious. LONG SHOT: On Golden Pawn

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SECOND RACE: 1. A Red Tie Day, 2. Big Cazanova, 3. Patrioticandproud. LONG SHOT: Stoney Fleece.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Noble Birl, 2. Clickjab, 3. Constantine. LONG SHOT: Silver Touch.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. I’msoulflattering, 2. Sheza Eyeopener, 3. Always an Angel. LONG SHOT: Woodys Wharf.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Znelle, 2. Small Town Cop, 3. Rare Punch. LONG SHOT: Changing Game.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Carrick Bay (best bet), 2. Enduring Eric, 3. Asparagus. LONG SHOT: Chilada.

CARRICK BAY (8-1), a 3-year-old filly, will be running for the “Ship ‘N’ Win” program after running at Arlington Park. Trainer Vann Belvoir takes over the training and he is 24% first off the claim. On top of that, he lures red-hot Mike Smith to ride.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Seeking Shamrocks, 2. Air of Royalty, 3. Only Josie Knows. LONG SHOT: Glamsquad.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Inspired Wisdom, 2. Next Book, 3. It Is Living Water. LONG SHOT: Smokey’s Legacy.

Looks like jockey Mike Smith is going after the meet title as he rides this maiden claimer and sticks around for the last race. This gelding INSPIRED WISDOM (8-1) pressed the pace early in his debut and faded. Look for him to be tighter here for trainer Marty Jones.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Wednesday’s top choice winners: 3 (Silk in Silver $5.40, second race; Holiday Maker $7.60, fourth; West Riding $3.80, fifth)

Wednesday’s second choice winners: 3 (Best Efforts $9.20, third; Wedding Blush $5.40, sixth; Long Hot Summer $12.40, eighth)

Wednesday’s third choice winners: 0

Wednesday’s long shot winners: 1 (Devil’s Beauty $48.80, ninth)

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Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos thoroughbred picks for Friday, July 4

FIRST RACE: 1. Roper, 2. Notorious, 3. Colorado String. LONG SHOT: McSwiss.
ROPER (3-1) had some trouble in his debut at Santa Anita, breaking in and being steadied before eventually finishing fourth. The 2-year-old was vanned off but comes back here and jockey Fernando Perez sees fit to ride again for trainer Vann Belvoir. Inside posts might do well on this new layout.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Wicked Heat, 2. End of Time, 3. Kaepernick. LONG SHOT: Decantered.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Muchos Besos, 2. Newfound Gold, 3.Gal Has to Like It. LONG SHOT: Half Dome Dude.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Three Point Luke, 2. Gone Again, 3. American Style. LONG SHOT: Leedstobeaver.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Starlet O’Hara (best bet), 2. Ultimate Holiday, 3. Midnight Candy. LONG SHOT: Shh She’s Ours.
Trainer Bob Baffert is usually out to win first time when he starts a 2-year-old, no matter where it is. STARLET O’HARA (3-1), a filly, cost $100,000 at auction and the trainer is looking a quick return and not waiting for Del Mar, which will offer higher maiden special purses. Baffert puts the barn’s main rider, Martin Garcia, up.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Peacenik, 2. My Slew, 3. Brannaman. LONG SHOT: Industry Leader.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Handsome Mike, 2. War Academy, 3. Old Time Hockey. LONG SHOT: Magic Mark.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Amina Perfect, 2. Bellanza, 3. La Brisa. LONG SHOT: Swiss Heart.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Thursday’s top choice winners: 2 (Desert Third $7.40, second race; Regally Soul $44.60, fourth)

Thursday’s second choice winners: 2 (I’m No patsy $4.20, first; Chattering Class $3.80, fifth)

Thursday’s third choice winners: 2 (Twenty Six Acts $10.60, third; Sheza Eyeopener $6.40, eighth)

Thursday’s long shot winners: 0

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Thursday’s recap

Winner                                         Jockey                    Trainer            Last start                    Last workout

1. I’m No Patsy $4.20            Trujillo                        Cecil                    Santa Anita                    Santa Anita

2. Desert Thief $7.40              M. Garcia                   Dominguez       Santa Anita                    Santa Anita

3. Twenty Six Acts $10.60    Van Dyke                   Proctor               ——                                Santa Anita

4. Regally Soul $44.60               Perez                           Solis                    Santa Anita                   Los Alamitos

5. Chattering Class $3.80        Pedroza                      Miller                   Santa Anita                  Santa Anita

6. Mary Helen’s Storm $10.60  Gryder                   Koriner                 Santa Anita                 Los Alamitos

7. Soi Phet $24                              Desormeaux          Powell                    SA turf                          Santa Anita

8. Sheza Eyeopener $6.40         Trujillo                    Becerra                  GGF turf                       Santa Anita

 

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