Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, April 23

Race 4 – Tam
#6 Spring Me (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This mare has won at this distance at the meet and gets a jockey change to Samy Camacho. Trainer James Gullick is 23% with sprinters. Worth a shot at the price.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – Tam
#2 Nano’s Crown (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading trainer Gerald Bennett has two in this race and I’ll with the longer choice with leading jockey Daniel Centeno. Bennett is 23% third off the layoff and the filly is coming out of a key race with three next out winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-7.

Race 9 – Tam
#6 Animal Trick (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Edwin Gonzalez might have hit the front too early last time at this level so maybe today a more patient ride is needed. Gonzalez is 2-for-8 with trainer Kathleen O’Connell.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-1-2.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 22

Race 1 – Tam
#8 King Stormy (4-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This colt takes a major class drop from MSW at Gulfstream Park to maiden claimer at Tampa. Add in the addition of leading jockey Daniel Centeno and you have a strong choice here.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Patient Drama (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno jumps on which is a huge upgrade over his previous rider. Stays at the same class level so anything close to last time puts this mare in the winner’s circle.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#9 Louisianahtosauce (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has been running on the turf, but takes a drop in class plus returns to the dirt. Trainer Robert Raymound is 25% when dropping a horse two or more levels.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#5 Bold Response (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gelding broke his maiden in front-running style last time and don’t see a reason jockey Scott Spieth won’t try the same thing. Spieth is 3-for-6 with trainer Joseph Minieri with a positive ROI. Step in class, but might go back-to-back.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay opinions for Saturday, April 15

Race 5 – Tam
#4 Beach Splash (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This mare has plenty of early speed and the drop in class will help. Jockey Edwin Gonzalez is 2-for-5 at the meet with trainer Jason DaCosta.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#2 Gone Astray Kiss (10-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno jumps back on this gelding after helping the 3-year-old break his maiden at 7 furlongs..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#5 Lucy in the Sky (20-1) TURF ONLY ***
Our Eyes: Going to take a shot here with this first-timer. Pablo Morales has ridden the turf as well as anyone this meet and this is a daughter of Caleb’s Posse, which gets 25% winner first time on the green stuff.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 4 units to place and 5 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 14

Preview: Hope some of you had out $18 winner Wild Winter on Wednesday. Living here on the West Coast, I overslept and missed it but that’s life. Watch for smaller fields, trainers leaving and jockeys leaving as the meet winds down until after the day after the Kentucky Derby. Don’t forget no racing on Easter Sunday.

Race 5 – Tam
#2 Oxford Street (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: Coming off a win against easier and jockey Daniel Centeno jumps ship, but this gelding unleashed quite a late burst and if he does that again here on the turf he should be right there.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-6-8.

Race 8 – Tam
#6 Moonlit Sonnet (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: All three of this mare’s wins were on the turf so not sure why she was on the dirt in her last. But that race has proven to be a key race with three next out winners so let’s hope the return to the green is the key.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-3.

Race 9 – Tam
#7 That’s Angelina (5-2) TURF ONLY *****
Our Eyes: This filly looks like a single to me. Gets a huge jock switch to Centeno, who should put her in the right spot to win.
Jeff’s Playbook: 5 units to win, 8 units to place and 10 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, April 12

Race 1 – Tam
#3 Wild Winter (4-1) ****

Our Eyes: Has been muddling along at long sprints so trainer Ron Potts cuts him back. Potts is 21% with horses coming off a 46 to 90-day layoff. This gelding is coming out of a key race that has produced two next out winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 3 – Tam
#10 Peanutbutter Shake (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding is making his second career start on the drop and trainer M. Anthony Ferraro is 25% with horses in their second career start. The 4-year-old is also coming out of a key race, too.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#9 Commissionette (8-1) TURF ONLY ***
Our Eyes: A little surprised trainer Ben Colebrook is still here because by this time he’s usally at Keeneland. This claimer is moving up in class but returning to the turf and gets top grass rider Daniel Centeno.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#2 Luckystrikedelcoco (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: This mare makes her second start off the layoff and drops in class for trainer Derek Ryan, who gets Centeno to ride. She likes to press the pace so look for Centeno to gun from the gate.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, April 6

Race 1 – Tam
#7 Care About This (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: This is a lower-level maiden claimer and anything can happen so why not go with a first-time starter? This filly is by Soaring Empire, who gets 11% first-time winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – Tam
#3 Ibetcha (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gelding showed an improved effort in his second start and takes a drop in class. It should be enough against this crew with jockey Edwin Gonzalez aboard.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#7 Silver Magnolia (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Justin Johns is 24% first off the claim like this filly. Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps on and he’s 27% with Johns.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – Tam
#3 Whole (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding is a perfect 2-for-2 in his career and they have been on the dirt. Now Kathleen O’Connell tries two turns on the grass. She is 16% off this kind of layoff and the sire Blame is 12% with first-time turfers plus O’Connell is 21% at the meet with Allen.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 1

Race 3 – Tam
#4 Guchi Gold (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: This mare is coming out of a key race where the first two runners to come back have each won. She finished third in that race as the 2-1 favorite. She stays at the same level and trainer Kathleen Demasi is 19% with horses third off the layoff.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 4-5-7.

Race 6 – Tam
#4 Waitingforaspark (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: I’m determined to hit one of these Anthony Margotta first-timers. Margotta hits at 42% with firsters and the sire Bodemeister hits at 13% first time out.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#1 Mia’s Gusto (15-1) TURF ONLY ***
Our Eyes: The sire J P’s Gusto usually gets some fast offspring and he wins at 20% first time out on the grass. Trainer Tim Padilla wins at a decent 12% first time out so let’s hope this one guns from the inside slot.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 10 – Tam
#6 Kentucky Breeze (10-1) TURF ONLY ***
Our Eyes: The combination of trainer Juan Gotera and jockey Samy Camacho have won 4 of 12 at the meet and some at nice prices. This 3-year-old going first time around two turns and first time turf could be another on of those bombers.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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