Horse racing, Los Alamitos, Tampa Bay Downs

Los Alamitos RC and Tampa Bay Downs opinions for

 

LRC Preview: Finally, a little bit of meat on the bone as the late Pick Four should pay a good price with larger fields than we have been getting. Jockeys Tyler Baze and Fernando Perez doubled on Thursday.

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Race 3: #6 Sweeter Thancandy (4-1)

This 7 furlongs should hit this filly right between the eyes as she has been going further and been facing tougher. Trainer Mark Glatt is 31% dropping a horse two or more class levels. Plus leading jockey Santiago Gonzalez jumps on and he is 23% with Glatt.

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Race 7: #7 Tough It Out (4-1)

Looks like a wide open Cal-bred stakes race and we’ll go with this gelding, who beat maidens last time going two turns on the turf. Trainer Phil D’Amato is good at placing his horses and must have been impressed with that last effort and leading jockey Santiago Gonzalez keeps the mount.

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Race 8: #2 Street Fancy (5-1) 

This 2-year-old showed improvement despite finishing third in a non-graded stakes at Del Mar. Now she gets to go two turns and should improve even more as she is sired by Street Sense out of a Cat Thief mare. Trainer Phil D’Amato is 24% going sprint to route and jockey Mike Smith stays on.

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Tampa Bay Downs Preview: Not the best weekend card we’ve seen at this track, but seems like some chances for prices. Dale Bennett (3 for 9) and Dennis Ward (3 for 16) lead the training standings. Conversely, Ian Hemingway is 0 for 10, shipping mostly in from Gulfstream Park and GP West.

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Race 3: #4 Innovative Idea (6-1) 

This filly makes her turf debut and if the race should be washed off the turf, would make her a 5-star play on a wet track. She has good speed and has been working lights out. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz is 26% with trainer Eoin Harty.

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Race 8: #6 Aloha Daddy (5-2) 

Our Eyes: Trainer Benny Feliciano claimed this gelding last time out and he is 45% first off the claim. The 5-year-old has a 3-0-1-1 record over the track and the trainer puts his son aboard. They are a 38% combination at Tampa.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Churchill Downs, Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs, Churchill Downs opinions for Wednesday, April 29

Race 4 – Tampa

#1 Hoosier Boy (4-1): Trainer Gerald Bennett is 32% with maiden claimers making their career debuts. The broodmare sire (Cactus Ridge) is 15% with firsters and jockey Ademar Santos is 13% with Bennett in their last 16 starts .

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Race 6 – Tampa

#9 Quiet Virtue (7-2):  Trainer Arnaud Delacour and jockey Daniel Centeno are 69% in their last 13 starters. This daughter of Quiet American finished fifth in her career debut and figures to improve second time out, where Delacour is 24%.

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Race 4 – CD

#7 Day of Fury (5-1): Trainer Bob Baffert shipped this gelding back from Santa Anita with his Derby horses looking for a winning spot. The son of Street Sense drops into a claimer for the first time, a move Baffert is 38% with and regular Baffert barn rider Martin Garcia is named to ride .

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita early opinions for Saturday, Jan. 31

Might not get to do a full handicap this weekend as a family member is back in the hospital. Thanks for reading.

Race 3: #7 Commute (8-1)

Interesting that this 3-year-old colt was tearing up the track in the mornings at Oaklawn Park and all of a sudden trainer Mark Casse decides to ship him West and the son of Hold Me Back turns in another good work. Looking for regular barn rider Corey Nakatani to put this one on the lead from the outside.

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Race 8: #7 Callback (4-1)

This 3-year-old filly has shown improvement every time out and now she gets to do what she was bred for —- going around two turns (sired by Street Sense). She has a good work since her last start and trainer Bob Baffert is due to get hot any day.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

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Breeders' Cup, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita early picks for Saturday, Nov. 1 (Breeders’ Cup Day 2) UPDATED

Well, the rain did come to SoCal, shockingly last night and this morning. The first and third races are off the turf. The main track has been sealed twice so watch to see if there is a speed bias and change your handicapping accordingly. The turf course is listed as good. Jockey Gary Stevens said yesterday horses were already getting into it so that means it really wasn’t firm so check how horses did on softer turf.

We didn’t do too bad on Friday with nine winners coming from our top three and the 10th winner was our fourth choice following a scratch in the first race.

FIRST RACE (Juvenile Turf Sprint): 1.  #3 Ocho Ocho Ocho, 2. Tizcano, 3. Guilty, 4. Cool Comfort. LONG SHOT: Metaboss.  OFF THE TURF NEW PICKS: 1. Ocho Ocho Ocho, 2. Tizcano, 3. Peacenluvpeacenluv, 4. Not Enough Eddie. LONG SHOT: Crown the Kitten.

This 2-year-old, Ocho Ocho Ocho, (8-1), had a big work before his debut and won like a good thing. Now the son of Street Sense has had a good work before his turf debut for trainer Jim Cassidy and it end with a trip to the winner’s circle. Jockey Joe Talamo keeps the mount.

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SECOND RACE (Golden State Juvenile): 1. Smack Talk, 2. Acceptance, 3. Wake Up Nick, 4. Mischief Clem. LONG SHOT: Pulmarack (SCRATCHED) new long shot: Commanche Ruler.

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THIRD RACE (The Senator Ken Maddy, Grade III): 1. Richies Party Girl, 2. Velvet Mesquite, 3. Llandudno, 4. Biorhythm. LONG SHOT: Ageless. OFF THE TURF. NEW PICKS: 1. Richies Party Girl, 2. Warm Breeze, 3..Amaranth, 4. Velvet Mesquite. LONG SHOT: Fanicola.

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FOURTH RACE (JUVENILE FILLES): 1. Puca, 2. Angela Renee, 3. Cristina’s Journey, 4. By The Moon. LONG SHOT: Feathered.

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FIFTH RACE (F&M TURF): 1. Just The Judge, 2. Dank,  3. Dayatthespa, 4. Abaco. LONGSHOT: Secret Gesture.

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SIXTH RACE (F&M SPRINT): 1. Judy The Beauty, 2. Little Alexis, 3. Stonetastic, 4. Southern Honey. LONG SHOT: Artemis Agrotera.

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SEVENTH RACE (TURF SPRINT): 1. Ambitious Brew, 2. Undrafted, 3. No Nay Never, 4. Caspar Netscher. LONG SHOT: Silentio.

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EIGHTH RACE (JUVENILE): 1. Calculator (SCRATCHED), 2. Souper Colossal, 3. Carpe Diem, 4. One Lucky Dane. LONG SHOT: The Great War. NEW PICKS: 1. Souper Colossal, 2. Texas Red, 3. Carpe Diem, 4. Daredevil. LONG SHOT: One Lucky Dane.

CALCULATOR (8-1), a son of In Summation, is still a maiden, but that’s because he has lost twice in a row in stakes action to American Pharoah, who was the morning-line favorite until he was scratched on Tuesday. This 2-year-old has been training under the radar at San Luis Rey Downs for trainer Peter Miller and the inside draw should work out just fine. After the rains last night, Calculator has scratched, too bad.

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NINTH RACE: (TURF): 1. Telescope (best bet), 2. Flintshire, 3. Chicquita, 4. Imagining. LONG SHOT: Brown Panther.

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10TH RACE: (SPRINT): 1. Fast Anna, 2. Rich Tapestry, 3. Secret Circle, 4. Indianapolis. LONG SHOT: Big Macher.

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11TH RACE: (MILE): 1. Toronado, 2. Mustajeeb, 3. Veda, 4. Anodin. LONG SHOT: Tom’s Tribute.

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12TH RACE: (CLASSIC): 1. Shared Belief, 2. Tonalist, 3. Cigar Street, 4. Footbridge. LONG SHOT: Toast of New York.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 3 (My Fiona $4.60, third race; Chitu $9.20, fifth; Untapable $5.0, ninth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 2 (Cary Street $7.80, second; Goldencents $3.40, seventh)

Friday’s third choice winners: 4 (Long On Value $25, fourth; Hootenanny $14, sixth; Lady Eli $6.80, eighth; Jimmy Bouncer $7, 10th)

Friday’s fourth choice winners: 1 (Blingismything $22.40, first)

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita picks for Saturday, March 22

FIRST RACE: 1. Peacenik, 2. Muchos Besos, 3. Senator Bob. LONG SHOT: Gnarly Dude.

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SECOND RACE: 1. La Sorella, 2. Miss Super Quick, 3. Sweet as a Rose. LONG SHOT: Shapely.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Wistfullee Mine, 2. We Have Lift Off, 3. Street Maven. LONG SHOT: Roman Tizzy.

WISTFULLEE MINE, a 4-year-old gelding, was bred to run all day, yet in his eighth career start this is the longest he has run. He ran against winners last time for some reason and now returns to the maiden claiming ranks. Veteran jockey Iggy Puglisi has seven wins at the meet from limited starters and knows what to do.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Temeraine, 2. Vagabond Shoes, 3. Lucayan. LONG SHOT: Niagara Falls.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Louden’s Gray (best bet), 2. Midnight Storm, 3. Twenty Percent. LONG SHOT: Gameboy Luke.

OK, we’re bucking a couple of bad trends here, but we feel something is up with LOUDEN’S GRAY. Trainer Kristin Mulhall is 0-for-36 at the meet and just 1-for-17 with first-time starters the last two years, yet she is able to attract jockey Martin Garcia, even though trainer Bob Baffert has a horse in the race. This son of Street Sense has two big works showing and might be ready to roll.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Mega Heat, 2. Stoney Fleece, 3. Hog’s Hollow. LONG SHOT: El Commodore.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Twin Six, 2. Londinium, 3. Anabaa Premium. LONG SHOT: Joe Carl.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Home Run Kitten, 2. Diamond Bachelor, 3. Enterprising. LONG SHOT: Quotient.

This son of Kitten’s Joy, HOME RUN KITTEN, is bred to run all day on the grass, but this is the first time he’s being allowed to do that. Trainer David Hofmans tried him on the dirt, finishing fifth in the Robert B. Lewis to Candy Boy, hardly a disgrace. Jockey Joe Talamo keeps the mount and we always like “Talamo on the turf.”

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NINTH RACE: 1. Teasing Moment, 2. Corinthian Melody, 3. Brnadon’s Princess. LONG SHOT: It’s Aine.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 4 (Clearly Confused $5.80, second race; Bettys Bambino $4, fifth; Road Ready $6, sixth; Charbroiled $3.60, eighth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 3 (Magic Spot $5.80, first; Provenance $8.40, third; Mambo Man $7.20, seventh)

Friday’s third choice and long shot winners: 0

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