Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, Oct. 5

SECOND RACE: #5 Psycho Dar
This gelding broke his maiden at first asking at Del Mar. Has speed and jockey Evin Roman stays aboard for trainer Steve Miyadi and they are 25 percent together. Also comes out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

FIFTH RACE: #9 Hawk’s Journey (10-1)
Trainer Ed Moger Jr. is having a good year and brings this filly down from NoCal. This is her first time in a claimer and hot jockey Drayden Van Dyke jumps on. In addition to a win bet I would back wheel her in the exacta.

SEVENTH RACE: #9 Cheekaboomboom (7-2)
This gelding is 2-1-1-0 on the dowhill turf course and jockey Flavien Prat stays aboard. Prat is 25% with trainer Peter Eurton. Play an exacta box with the speedy Mr Vargas (#6, 3-1).

EIGHTH RACE: #10 Decarchy Dawn (3-1)
Trainer Bob Hess Jr. is pulling out all the stop to get this 3-year-old to break his maiden. He is adding blinkers and gelded the horse since his last race. The son of Decarchy comes out of a key Del Mar race that has produced two winners so far and keeps jockey Kent Desormeaux aboard.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Advertisements
Standard
Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, July 15 (Opening day)

Preview: It’s Christmas Day in July as Del Mar opens. This is the second year of the dirt main track and the new widened turf course. Just a reminder it’s been 3 weeks since turf horses race in Southern California. Last summer Rafael Bejarano let the meet with 14 grass winners followed by Flavien Prat with 13. However, at the recent Santa Anita meet, Prat lapped the field with 22 grass wins and scoring 34% of the time.

Race 1: 1. #3 Successful Runner (3-1), 2. Hadfunlastnight, 3. Saddle Soar. LONG SHOT: My Secret Affair.
Trainer Chris Hartman makes his first appearance at Del Mar, but make no mistake this guy can train with a 24% win percentage mostly in the Midwest. This 7-year-old has tactical speed, which is key on the main track.

Race 2: 1. Radish, 2. I’ll be Around, 3. Veiled Heat. LONG SHOT: Cougar Creek.

Race 3: 1. Glory Bound, 2. Rye, 3. Ace Deuce. LONG SHOT: Preacher Roe.

Race 4: 1. Nextdoorneighbor, 2. Drover Crazy, 3. Madelyn’s Wild Max. LONG SHOT: Cougar Country.

Race 5: 1. #5 La Boheme (6-1), 2. Cover Song, 3. Zip N Bayou. LONG SHOT: Grandma’s Hands.
We have already extolled the virtues of jockey Falvien Prat on the turf, who is on this filly for trainer Richard Mandella, who is 21% with beaten favorites and 32% in allowance races. Mandella and Prat were 18% at Del Mar last year.

Race 6: 1. Warren’s Honey Bee, 2. Turf Club Queen, 3. Silver Oak. LONG SHOT: Wondrous Cat.

Race 7: 1. #2 Grazen Sky (5-1) BEST BET, 2. Westfest, 3. Forest Blue. LONG SHOT: Missing Groom.
This colt owns the top Brisnet Late Pace Rating by nine points so I can see jockey Tyler Baze letting the speed go and closing in the lane. Trainer Steve Miyadi is 23% with beaten favorites.

Race 8: 1. #8 Arcature (8-1), 2. Dressed in Hermes, 3. Moonlight Drive. LONG SHOT: Diplodocus.
Tough to tell what happened in this 3-year-olds last race as he finished eighth. Maybe it was the longer distance as he shortens up here for Prat and Simon Callaghan. Prat had his choice of several in here and takes this son of Archarcharch. The trip will be key here as a full field of 14 is entered.

Race 9: 1. Got Even, 2. Dr. Dorr, 3. Chief of Staff, LONG SHOT: Mad Bum.

Race 10: 1. #9 Langahm (9-2), 2. Airlite, 3. Scuderia. LONG SHOT: Alaskan Son.
This is a first-time starter that cost over $400K at auction. I love this Australian sire Fastnet Rock and his offspring should love the turf and the distance. Trainer John Sadler is 21% with horses going a route first time and jockey Mike Smith rides.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, March 11

Preview: Hope everyone likes sprint races because there are no two turn races on the card. Rafael Bejarano has finally overtaken Santiago Gonzalez as the top jockey on the dirt with 35 wins to 34 for Gonzalez. They are followed on the main track by Flavien Prat (21-117), Edwin Maldonado (21-110) and apprentice David Lopez (19-101).

                                

Race 6: #6 Jamie Said No (8-1) (turf only)

Love the sire Cape Blanco on the turf and think his numbers will only get stronger. This colt had all kinds of trouble in debut, but trainer Doug O’Neill is 20% with second-time starters. Also jockey Mario Gutierrez jumps on.

                   

Race 7: #3 Warrensdollarsigns (4-1) 

This mare just won over the track drops in class. Trainer Steve Miyadi is 6-for-12 when he drops off a win. Apprentice David Lopez jumps on and he is 18% with Miyadi.

 

Race 9: #6 Easy Going Evening (5-2) 

 This filly has the top Brisnet Prime rating and drops off to an all-time low. Trainer Phil D’Amato is 23% with maiden claimers an the 3-year-old gets a big jock switch from an apprentice to speed jockey Edwin Maldonado.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Jan. 22

Preview: Just an OK card with two races on the turf. Speaking of the turf, jockey Rafael Bejarano is 6-for-25 on the green followed by Flavien Part, who is 5-for-29. Those struggling on the green are leading rider Santiago Gonzalez 2-19, Mike Smith 0-17 and Tyler Baze 0-22.

   ==                             

Race 3: #1 You Know I Know (6-1) 

Trainer David Jacobson is still looking for his first win this winter after sending some horses West from New York. This gelding was claimed off Keith Desormeaux and Jacobson is 26% first off the claim and 22% going a sprint to a route .

== 

Race 4: #1 Warrensdollarsigns (4-1)

Any horse claimed off Steve Knapp is a play for me. New trainer Steve Miyadi is 27% first off the claim and he is 20% with horses going from sprint to route. Edwin Maldonado gets the mount back and he knows the mare well.

==.            

Race 5: #10 Last Resort (8-1) 

Jockey Drayden Van Dyke is underrated on the turf. This post is bad but here’s hoping Van Dyke can figure out a winning trip. Trainer Tom Proctor is 24% off a 61-180 day layoff and 24% going from dirt to turf.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Thursday, Oct. 1

FIRST RACE: 1. Magic Moon, 2. Zendai, 3. Casuality. LONG SHOT: Royal Rebel.

==

SECOND RACE: 1. Golds Venice, 2. Miss Star Maker, 3. Warren’s Salute. LONG SHOT: Paralyzing Eyes.

==

THIRD RACE: 1. Celebrity Status, 2. Chief Lion, 3. Out of Patience. LONG SHOT: Apollo Ten.

==

FOURTH RACE: 1. I Don’t Care Who, 2. Tulira Castle, 3. Broadway Nika. LONG SHOT: Luckbox Sam.

==

FIFTH RACE: 1. Broken Up, 2. Boone Docks, 3. Big Discovery. LONG SHOT: Radio Silent.

==

SIXTH RACE: 1. #6 Structure (6-1) Best bet, 2. Bellamentary, 3. Shakti. LONG SHOT: Escapee.

This daughter of Bernardini was bred to route. She finished fourth at 5 ½ furlongs and that was just a prep for this as jockey Mike Smith jumps on for trainer Bob Baffert, who is 28% with first-time routers.

==

SEVENTH RACE: 1. #6 Tatum’s Gold (30-1), 2. Glory, 3. Whisk. LONG SHOT: Madam Aamoura.

Gonna take a big swing here with this long shot as the sire Grazen is 29% with first-time turf, albeit with a small sample. Still, shows some like of the turf. Trainer Steve Miyadi is 22% first time turf and good turf jockey Joe Talamo jumps back on.

==

EIGHTH RACE: 1. Dragon Flower, Sharp Holiday, 3. Aiming Straight. LONG SHOT: Public House.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Sunday’s top choice winners: 0

Sunday’s second choice winners: 3 (Reckless Charm $11.60, first race; Street Vision $13.40, fourth; Sugar Buzz $5, ninth)

Sunday’s third choice winners: 2 (Top Drawer $7, second; Horizontalspeakin $5.80, fifth)

Sunday’s long shot winners: 2 (Texas Ryano $7.60, sixth; Alert Bay $10.80, eighth)

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, June 20

Race 1: #5 Ain’t Misbehavin (5-2)

Trainer Mike Puype claimed this 3-year-old and he is 26% first off the claim. On top of that he makes a big jockey switch to Rafael Bejarano. Pupye is also 40% when he drops off the claim.

==

Race 4: #2 Rocker (15-1)

This gelding has been running at Golden Gate on the grass for trainer Steve Miyadi, who is 63% when he drops a horse off a win. The sire Grazen is 28% on the grass, but maybe more importantly this 3-year-old is running against Cal-breds for the first time since his career debut and jockey Alex Solis jumps on.

==

Race 9: #12 Gigantis (12-1)

Trainer Bruce Headley hit with a first-time router on Thursday and he tries the same formula here with the same jockey in Edwin Maldonado. Headley is 40% first-time route and 21% first time grass. The sire Cyclotron is 20% first tome grass. The post is an obstacle, but that just means a bigger price.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, March 28

Race 3: #4 Hit a Homerun (8-1)

I don’t know if this 3-year-old is good enough, but this much I do know: trainer Steve Miyadi has won with at least two first-timers in recent weeks at Santa Anita and owners Tommy Town Thoroughbreds LLC bred this colt and they place their horses in reasonable spots.

==              

Race 5: #8 Codacious (9-5)

This filly has the top Beyer Speed Figure of thos who have run so it’s her against any of the first-timers. She has shown speed each time and now trainer Cliff Sise shortens her up again. Oh, yeah, he gets a jockey named Rafael Bejarano to ride.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard