Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 22

Race 1 – Tam
#8 King Stormy (4-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This colt takes a major class drop from MSW at Gulfstream Park to maiden claimer at Tampa. Add in the addition of leading jockey Daniel Centeno and you have a strong choice here.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Patient Drama (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno jumps on which is a huge upgrade over his previous rider. Stays at the same class level so anything close to last time puts this mare in the winner’s circle.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#9 Louisianahtosauce (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has been running on the turf, but takes a drop in class plus returns to the dirt. Trainer Robert Raymound is 25% when dropping a horse two or more levels.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#5 Bold Response (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gelding broke his maiden in front-running style last time and don’t see a reason jockey Scott Spieth won’t try the same thing. Spieth is 3-for-6 with trainer Joseph Minieri with a positive ROI. Step in class, but might go back-to-back.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Jan. 27

Preview: We talked about the top jockeys last time but here are some jockeys to throw out. Scott Spieth is 1-for-109, Pedro Cotto is 1-for-49, Luis Figueroa is 0-22 and Wilkin Ortiz is 0-21. They would have to win to have me even consider them.

Race 3 – Tam
#4 Moonlit Meteor (12-1) ***
Our Eyes: This gelding has won here before and gets out of the winless trainer Anthony Rini. Jockey Willie Martinez takes over and this 9-year-old likes to press the pace and rally in the stretch.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 4-3-7.

Race 4 – Tam
#7 Dream Mon (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: This gelding makes his first start of the meet after running at Indiana Grand. Trainer Joseph Davis takes over and he’s 22% first time with horses. Davis is 3-for-9 with jockey Fernando De La Cruz over the last year.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 7-8-3.

Race 6 – Tam
#5 Bronze Venus (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading rider Daniel Centeno stays on this filly, which should be forwardly placed on the cut back from 7 furlongs.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#5 Nagzilla (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: The combination of trainer Larry Rivelli and Centeno have won 2-of-3 at the meet and 36% over the past year. Rivelli is 26% with horses off a layoff of more than 90 days.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-5.

Race 8 – Tam
#1 Hint of Mary (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Christophe Clement has two first-time starters in here but he puts Centeno on this one. That’s good enough for me as they are 44% over the last year.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 1-3-9.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 22

BuPreview: After an 0-for-7 on Wednesday, leading jockey Antonio Gallardo is 2 for his last 23. Jockey Scott Spieth won twice on Wednesday. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz is riding at Indiana Grand.

 

Race 5 – Tam

#7 Rasta Friends (8-1): Trainer Dennis Ward is good at moving horses up in class, with a 21% winning percentage when he does it. Jockey Vicky Baze will ride.

                              

Race 6 – Tam

#7 Steve Came Thru (6-1): Trainer Kathleen O’Connell drops this gelding in class and cuts him back from two turns to 7 furlongs. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps back on and he has had success with this 5-year-old earlier in the meet.

 

Race 8 – Tam

#9 Dealingatthegate (6-1): Trainer Edward Williams has good numbers at Tampa with stretching a horse out for the first like he is doing with this gelding. Good grass rider Daniel Centeno jumps, which is a positive sign.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions on Wednesday, April 6

Preview: There is no rain the forecast until Thursday so the grass should be good dot go on the card, which is starting to notice a lack of entries with three races with just 7 entries and one race with 6. Leading jockey Antonio Gallardo might be breaking out of a slump with a few wins over the weekend.

 

Race 3 – Tam

#7 Saturday Storms (5-1): This mare comes out of key race where three horses have come back to win plus jockey Scott Spieth and Aldana Gonzalez continue to be a good combo. Gonzalez has been 25% when dropping a horse in class in the past here.

                              

Race 6 – Tam

#2 Spider John (6-1): This colt is owned and trained by Tom Proctor and there is a key jockey change here as he gets Ronnie Allen Jr. to ride. They are a 31% combo at the meet and there is a good work showing.

                     

Race 7 – Tam

#2 In a Momentsnotice (9-2): Trainer Anna Lee has started just nine horses at the meet with this mare being that one winner. Jockey Antonio Gallardo was aboard for it and Lee is 25% when taking a horse from a route to a sprint.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Feb. 24

Preview: Not a great card as the five-day racing weeks start to take their toll. Just nine races and some smallish fields for this track. Tread lightly.

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Race 4: #2 Just My Game (10-1) 

Trainer Kathleen O’Connell is winning 23% of her races here. This filly has run all of here races at Gulfstream Park and if she returns to the form of the race two back, she wins this.

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Race 6: #2 Love Your Humor (6-1) 

This is strictly a jockey-trainer combination angle. This gelding takes a drops in class for trainer William Connelly, who was 2-for-2 with jockey Scott Spieth last year.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 6

Preview: Lots of horses on this card so the prices should be pretty good. Hope for good weather. They were off the turf on Friday, Hopefully, it will dry out for today’s action.

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Race 3: #2 Course I’ll Wynn (turf only) (10-1) 

This horse is likely to scratch as she is re-entered on Sunday so check the scratches. Trainer Kathleen O’Connell has had a big meet and she tries to get this mare to go two turns in her second race off a long layoff. O’Connell is 19% second off the layoff and second start with a new trainer. Looks like worth the play.

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Race 5: #5 Shake (turf only) (4-1)

Trainer Christophe Clement sends his second string to Tampa and usually has some success. He’s 1-for-3 at the meet and gets great turf rider Daniel Centeno to ride. They have a winner together at the meet.

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Race 11: #4 Imageiseverything (15-1)

Trainer Aldana Gonzalez and jockey Scott Spieth have been quite the combo at this meet, winning at a 38% clip. Gonzalez is 26% second off the layoff so the price is right.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Check the morning changes because Tampa was off the turf on Friday so there will definitely be some give in the ground, if they stays on the grass. Really good card. Lots of quality so do your handicapping accordingly. Obviously Antonio Gallardo leads all jockeys on both the turf and dirt. The other top three turf jockeys are Daniel Centeno, Ronnie Allen Jr., and Fernando De la Cruz. They are also the top four jockeys on the dirt with Jose Ferrer (10 wins) also one to watch on the main track.

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Race 3: #12 Kicking Kitty (9-2)

Jockey Scott Spieth normally rides for trained Aldana Gonzalez but jumps off one of her entries in here to ride this mare, which is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners. Trainer Kitty Cheeks is 30% with horses coming off a layoff of more than 90 days.

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Race 5: #1 Annie Rocks (9-2)

Leading rider Antonio Gallardo doesn’t need to ride every race, but he gets on this filly, which is coming out of a Gulfstream Park race that has produced five next out winners.

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Race 7: #2 Awesome State (8-1) 

Trainer Brian Lynch is trying to find out what he has here with this Canadian invader. Lynch has spotted his horses well with a 2-for-4 record. Lynch is 22% with horses first time in his barn.The horse also adds Lasix for the first time.

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Race 10: #9 British Bulldog (turf only) (3-1) BEST BET

This colt ran in Southern California as a 2-year-old and comes out of a race that has produced two winners. Trainer Tom Proctor knows how to get them ready off a layoff and barn rider Brian Pedroza takes the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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