Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, May 26

Race 3 – SA
#8 Conquest Sabre Cat (4-1) TURF ONLY ****

The rails will be at 30 feet on the turf course which usually means speed will be tough and closer will have a hard time in the stretch. This gelding has speed and Flavien Prat takes over in the saddle.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – SA
#4 True Valor (3-1) ****

This colt makes his debut in SoCal after facing tougher last year at Saratoga, Churchill Downs and Keeneland. Is not up for sale today coming off the layoff but should fit at the level. Trainer Keith Desormeaux puts blinkers on, maybe to keep his mind on business.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#9 Rafter One (5-1) TURF ONLY ****

This colt drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and trainer Mike Pender is 27% with that move. Jockey Rafael Bejarano jumps which is a big upgrade in my mind on the grass.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, May 25

Race 2 – SA
#7 Acharnement (3-1) ****
Interesting race as Doug O’Neill sends out two youngsters, including one that cost $360K, but this filly by Into Mischief has been working well and jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Eddie Truman are 20% together.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – SA
#7 Angel Tears (8-1) ****
Trainer Vann Belvoir and apprentice Roman are 5-for-5 when paired together. There is a good work showing so it maybe go time.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#9 Papa Royale (9-2) ****
Prat rode this gelding for O’Neill last time to a fifth-place finish. He wouldn’t ride back unless he thought the 4-year-old had a real shot. Starting from the outside, Prat will get over to the rail and try to come up the fence. O’Neill is 19% second off the layoff
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, May 21

Preview: I hope some of you hit Ransom he Moon at $9.80 or Wood Machine $21.80 on Saturday. In the Preakness, I had the right idea of a long shot in this crop but the wrong horse (I won’t talk about the ride).

Race 3 – SA
#5 Utana (8-5) ****

Might be a single in the Pick 5. The daughter of Curlin goes two turns for the first time and she is bred for it. Trainer John Shirreffs is 23% with first time routers.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – SA
#6 Go for Bear (6-1) ****

Been away for 2 months. Drops to lowest level ever. Big jock switch to Rafael Bejarano. Worth it at the price..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 1-2-4-5 with 6.

Race 7 – SA
#3 Moon Kitty (7-2) ****
Has shown speed against MSW types and drops into the maiden claimer for the first time. Comes out of key race with two next out winners and trainer Peter Miller is on fire.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#4 Stringent (8-1) ****

Trainer David Hofmans goes back to the dirt with this gelding and he has won twice over the surface. A couple of big works showing.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 3-5-6 with 4.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, May 20

Race 2 – SA
#6 King Eddie (3-1) ****

Owner Paul Reddam likes to have his Square Eddies come out swinging (17% first time starters) and this 2-year-old is the oldest of the bunch of 2-year-olds having been born in January. Good works showing. Barn rider in Mario Gutierrez and trainer Doug O’Neill are a 14% combo.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 1-3-7 with 6.

Race 4 – SA
#1 Dahlia Azul (5-1) ****

This filly has been training well and had a bit of trouble last time out. Trainer Vann Belvoir is a perfect 4-for-4 with apprentice Roman. Look for speed from the gate.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 3-4-8 with 1.

Race 5 – SA
#1 Sweet Connie (8-1) TURF ONLY ***

Like we’ve said before jockey Gary Stevens doesn’t have to ride every race so when he irdes, take noitce. This filly had some trouble last time but Stevens rides back for Paddy Gallagher and they are 25% together.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 3-4-5-6 with 1.

Race 9 – SA
#6 Ransom the Moon (4-1) ****

There is a ton of speed in this Grade II race and we’re hoping jockey Flavien Prat brings this 5-year-old from off the pace to nail them in the stretch.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 2-3-4-7 with 6.

Race 10 – SA
#2 For the Hustle (6-1) ***

Trainer Bruce Headley wins 24% first time out and the sire Cyclotron wins at 15%. Headley knows how to get them ready plus he’s a co-breeder and co-owner of this gelding.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 11 – SA
#9 Wood Machine (8-1) TURF ONLY ***

We’re back to that Gary Stevens things again. He rides this Arizona invader for old friend Mike Chambers, who is 35% first time with a horse and 30% with shippers.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 6-7-8-11 with 9.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, May 11

Race 3 – SA
#4 Kristi’s Copilot (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding has three wins over this track and gets weight from several in here. Tyler Baze is riding well enough. Make sure to check the main track the first few races after the weekend rains.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – SA
#4 No Silent (6-1) ***
Our Eyes: This 8-year-old gelding used to win some graded stakes down the hill, but has been in a slump. He’s been working OK and jockey Flavien Prat stays aboard. I’m willing to give him one more shot.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – SA
#2 Leveler (7-2) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Phil D’Amato has been on fire lately. He wins at 21% on the turf and he’s 18% with layoff horses.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-1-3

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, April 29

Preview: Hope some of you played our two horses yesterday and cashed.

Race 1 – SA
#9 Lady Acclamation (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Tyler Baze has ridden three other horses in this field and decides to take the mount on this first-time starter. I know trainer Kenny Black is 0-for-11 with first-timers, but there is always a first time and I’ll take a shot with this filly.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – SA
#8 Line (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: I’ve been waiting for this filly to hit her stride. Maybe today is the day with Mike Smith in the irons. Trainer Richard Mandella is 21% third off the layoff as is his other mare in here, Scandal (5-2). I’m taking the longer price and play and exacta box.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 8-6.

Race 7 – SA
#6 Farhaan (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This 8-year-old ran a decent second off the layoff and has a big work coming into the race. Phil D’Amato is great with turf horses and Tyler Baze keeps the mount.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-2-3-4.

Race 8 – SA
#4 Union Rebel (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: Has been improving each day and this might be graduation day. Rafael Bejarano keeps the mount and is 25% with trainer Richard Baltas.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – SA
#4 Hero Ten All (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jeff Mullins flies under the radar these days but he is 23% with horses off a 31 to 60-day layoff. This gelding had been training well and Tyler Baze keeps the mount.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 8-6.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, April 23

Race 2 – SA
#2 Monterey Shale (8-5) *****
Our Eyes: This looks like a single to me in the Pick 5. This gelding is at his lowest level ever, comes out of a key race and jockey Rafael Bejarano jumps back on..
Jeff’s Playbook: 5 units to win and 10 units to place.

Race 4 – SA
#1 Desert General (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This gelding broke his maiden last time out and has had a good work since so I look for a good effort.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – SA
#5 Sir Studleigh (7-2) ****
Our Eyes: This is an interesting race. Bruce Headley could have a couple of first-time runners, but I like this 5-year-old maiden making his third start off the layoff and the key for me is that he finished fourth last time against open competition and now drops into the Cal-bred ranks. That race has also produced two next out runners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – SA
#7 Tiz My Love (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: A maiden filly race all the usual suspects like three for Bob Baffert, two for Jerry Hollendorfer and one for Peter Miller. I’m going to with a first-timer from the Hollendorfer barn. This daughter of Tiz Wonderful has been working steadily and The Dorf puts the apprentice Roman on, which means to me they will try to steal it. The price is right.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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