Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, March 17

Race 2 – Tam
#1 What’s Up J P (10-1) ****
Our Eyes: Tough to explain this gelding’s last other than it was first off the layoff and a prep to go longer like he is doing today. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. has has won two races for trainer Luis Dominguez at the meet. Look for improvement today.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 7-1.

Race 4 – Tam
#7 Trismen (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Was overmatched in first try against winners and now takes a class drop. Has speed so if Pablo Morales can walk the dog on the front end, might have more left at the end..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 7 with 3 and 4.

Race 7 – Tam
#1 Good Time Rambles (7-2) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Benny Feliciano is 37% with horses third off the layoff and this one has speed from the inside while taking a slight drop in class.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#4 High Society (12-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Ashlee Brnjas has come down from Canada firing, winning 18% of her entries. This gelding showed good turf form at Fort Erie and gets back on the grass here. Brnjas is 35% when going from dirt to turf.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 4-5-9.

Race 10 – Tam
#6 Of Horse I’ll Win (8-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This filly finished fifth last time AGAINST THE BOYS so her connections wanted to get her on the grass pretty bad. The sire Pure Prize wins with 13% of his turf runners and veteran jockey Gary Boulanger rides.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Feb. 10

Preview: Leading rider Daniel Centeno was shut out on Thursday as seven different jockeys won the eight races. Orlando Bocachica was the only jockey to win two races. Leading trainer Gerald Bennett is in a huge slump so beware.

Race 5 – Tam
#5 Pontificate (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Closed like a freight train in his last to get second at this level. Jesus Castanon takes the mount and is 2-for-3 at the meet with trainer Jonathan Thomas. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 8 units to show. EXBX 5-10-3.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Saint Lipsi Chick (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Interesting game of musical chairs in this race between jockeys Ronnie Allen Jr., Centeno and Pablo Morales. Allen ends up on this mare, which has the best Late Pace Rating from Brisnet. While others battle on front end, Allen will bide his time on the class rise. — Jeff Nahill.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 8 units to show. EXBX 6-5-2.

Race 8 – Tam
#2 Tearless (12-1) ***
Our Eyes: Interesting filly hear. One of her few main track tries she won going a mile, but it was on a sloppy track. So was it the slop or the main track. We might find out today with Bocachica aboard. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – Tam
#3 Cincy Belle (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: Centeno and trainer Arnaud Delacour team up with this filly. She finished fourth against winners last time and should be ready in this spot. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Jan. 25

Preview: Daniel Centeno continues to lead the jockeys’ race with 42 winners from just 128 starters (33%) so he is picking his spots and not riding every race. He is followed in the standings by Ronnie Allen Jr. (28-174), Pablo Morales (24-117) and Edwin Gonzalez (23-105). Gonzalez is picking up steam and has made in roads in trainer Jamie Ness’ barn.

Race 1 – Tam
#7 Metroliner (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Here is a perfect example of Centeno choosing his spots. He rides for trainer Frances McNeely’s small barn. This gelding finished fourth at this level and figures to improve off that effort.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 7-6-5.

Race 3 – Tam
#2 Iron Run (9-2) ***
Our Eyes: This isn’t the best group on the grounds so why not go with a first-timer? Trainer Dale Bennett is 14% with first-time staters. The sire Fort Prado gets 7% winners. Bennett is 6-for-12 with jockey Pablo Morales at the meet.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#8 Bombonero (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: Horses shipping in from Laurel have done well during the meet. This colt finished sixth in his debut over the grass at Laurel. There are a couple of good works on the sheet and jockey Edwin Gonzalez jumps aboard.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 10 – Tam
#2 Spunsational (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Michael Wright tried to get this filly on the grass last time but it was taken off. She still finished third. Huge jockey switch to Daniel Centeno and he rides the turf to perfection.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Dec. 28

Preview: Of the last 20 races, there have been 20 different winning trainers as leading trainer Gerald Bennett has slowed down after a torrid start.

Race 7: #4 Thunder Harbor (2-1)
This gelding has a pair of seconds at the meet and takes a class drop for trainer Gerald Bennett, who keeps Ronnie Allen Jr. aboard and they are 28% together.

Race 8: #3 Tree Fire (9-2) (turf only)
Trainer Derek Ryan is 21% the second time he starts a horse in his care. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. is good on the turf.

Race 10: #9 Wild Wigglin Jack (8-1) (turf only)
The gelding ran into all kinds of trouble in her last race and now takes a drop in class. Trainer Dennis Ward and jockey Shannon Uske have already won three races together at the meet.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Nov. 26 (Opening day)

Preview: The start of a new meet at Tampa Bay Downs and there is one big change to watch: three-time leading jockey Antonio Gallardo is riding in New York this winter so there will be a new top dog. Veterans Daniel Centeno (not riding today), Ronnie Allen Jr., Dean Butler and Fernando De La Criz bare watching. Newcomers to watch are Angel Cruz plus Edwin Gonzalez and Albin Jimenez. The latter two have agent Mike Moran, who was Gallardo’s agent so he has the connections. Also keep track of where the winning horses last ran because horses come from all over for this meet.

Race 4: #7 Supermans Cape (8-1): This colt has been away for more than a year and if there is any trainer can get them ready off such a layoff it’s Larry Rivelli, who is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff. A son of Cape Blanco, he should enjoy the turf.

Race 6: #3 Huntstown (8-1): This gelding had a second over this turf course earlier this year and fits nicely with this group. Ran mainly against Indiana-breds this summer, but no worries about that. He has the best late pace rating from Brisnet.

Race 7: #2 Bluegrass Kid (6-1): This gelding has won over the track before and loves the 6-furlong distance with four wins. Has the top early pace rating and trainer Benny Feliciano is 29% with shippers. On top of that comes out of a key race which has produced two next out winners.

Race 11: #2 Nightbar (4-1): We’ve already extolled the virtues of trainer Larry Rivelli off a long layoff. Now add in a horse that won his first two races over this track plus the fact that the gelding comes out of a race in March that produced three next out winners.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill On Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 30

Race 1: #5 Trapnall Hall (3-1): Trainer Jason DaCosta is 29% with horses trying to repeat a win in the claiming ranks. He was also 39% with dirt routers last year at this track.

                              

Race 4: #1 Little John W (6-1): Trainer Trainer Reid Nagle has done a good job of spotting his horses with a 7-for-12 record at the meet. He ships this colt up from Gulfstream Park and drops him in class. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps on.

 

Race 6: #6 Believe Indeed (turf only) (6-1): Jockey Daniel Centeno could have ridden a horse for Christophe Clement but decides to jump back on this filly trained by Arnaud Delacour. She ran a good race on the turf last time and figures to only improve in this spot.

 

Race 9: #7 Trousseau (4-1): This race is begging to be won by a first-timer as those who have run aren’t the greatest. Trainer Arnaud Delacour is 21% with first-time starters and he has his main man Daniel Centeno (30% combination) aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 29

Preview: Back to a nine-race card. Jockeys Dean Butler and Pablo Morales have the most wins the last seven days.

Race 2 – Tam

#5 Staff Sgt Reckless (7-2): This filly drops to her lowest level ever for trainer Joan Scott, who is 28% when moving a horse from a MSW to a maiden claimer. Leading jockey Antonio Gallardo jumps on.

                              

Race 4 – Tam

#4 Paltarrevenge (4-1): Trainer Maria Bowersock is 25% first off the claim and moves this gelding up after a win on the main track. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps on.

 

Race 6 – Tam

#3 Step Two (turf only) (7-2): Throw out that last race at Gulfstream Park and look at that race at Tampa Bay two back.Jockey Pedro Cotto Jr. is 6-for-12 with trainer Joe Minieri at this meet.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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