Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Thursday, July 27

PREVIEW: Looks like another tough card and a single ticket in the Pick 6 will return more than $400,000 so better look ta Races 3-8 very carefully.

FIRST RACE: 1. Cupid’s Beau, 2. Zarqa Star, 3. Strong Values. LONG SHOT: Seal Six.

SECOND RACE: Lea’s Reward, 2. Bellasario, 3. Tenthousandreasons. LONG SHOT: My Carmela.

THIRD RACE: 1. Exclusively Ours, 2. City Storm, 3. Interrogator. LONG SHOT: Oopper Wallah.

FOURTH RACE: 1. Lucky With You, 2. Rule Number Eight, 3. Raul Rosas. LONG SHOT: Vegas Vic.

FIFTH RACE: 1. Mac McLovin, 2. Oh Man, 3. Rocky Rogue. LONG SHOT: Lucky Romano.

SIXTH RACE: 1. Golden Light, 2. Spin Me a Kiss, 3. Afewency. LONG SHOT: Moonshine Annie.

SEVENTH RACE: 1. She’s a Warior, 2. Plastered, 3. Mended. LONG SHOT: Mangita.

EIGHTH RACE: 1. TWEETING (BEST BET), 2. Tiz Bailee, 3. Tiz My Love. LONG SHOT: Pantsonfire.
We hit with a Glen Hill Farm grass horse on Wednesday and we’re looking for another here. This 3-year-old filly is running at her sixth different track and she is dropping from the straight maiden ranks to a maiden claimer for the first time. Gary Stevens rides for trainer Tom Proctor, who is 36% with the MSW-MC move. The daughter of Uncle Mo has a good work locally and could be a decent price.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Advertisements
Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, April 3

Preview: Payoffs have been slim to say the least lately in the Pick 5 as Santa Anita has been back loading the cards in hopes of getting a Pick Six carryover since it gets a bigger cut of the Pick Six than the Pick 5, but today’s first is interesting maiden turf race.

                                

Race 1 – SA

#6 Lady Cloud (4-1): Trainer Victor Garcia is 41% when sending a horse around two turns for the first time and he’s 30% going from a sprint to a route. He has extra incentive as this 3-year-old is owned by his father, Juan. Tyler Baze rides and he’s 21% with Garcia.

                   

Race 4 – SA

#2 Sky Preacher (8-1): Trainer Doug O’Neill brings this colt back off a nearly year off and he’s 16% with long layoffs. He’s also 20% first time he drops a horse into a claiming race. This 4-year-old is 5-2-1-0 on turf

 

Race 6 – SA

#5 Dream Police (3-1): Trainer Richard Baltas is 35% with beaten favorites and 32% with putting the blinkers on. Jockey Felipe Valdez is 25% with Baltas at Santa Anita. Owner Bloom Racing Stable LLC has been hot this year.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, March 17

Preview: The weather looks good for the week so we won’t have any issues with the track like we did last week. There’s a HUGE Pick Six carryover on the Thursday card and that’s all you need to say in Southern California.

 Race 3: #1 Oh Great Idea (9-5)

This 3-year-old drops into a claimer for the first time and gets a huge jockey switch from Eikleberry to apprentice David Lopez. Trainer Peter Miller takes blinkers off (22%) and he’s 22% in maiden claimers. Look for a send job from the rail

                            

Race 4: #7 Algorrhythmic (3-1)

Just throw out that last race on the dirt and go back to that first race down the hill. If this filly does that she will win for jockey Brice Blanc, who jumps back on.

                   

Race 8: #3 Turf Club Queen (4-1)

This mare ran a pretty good race off a more than three-year layoff. She should be tighter for this race and trainer Lloyd Wicker, who is 26% with maiden claimers, switches from an apprentice (Pena) to a journeyman jockey (Hernandez).

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Decent Saturday card and a Pick Six carryover of more than $300,000. They say there could be $1.2 million in new money, but with all the snow in the East, I’m thinking it will be more as bettors will only be able to play tracks in Florida, New Orleans and California. The Bob Baffert barn has gotten hot and is 6-ofr-31 on the dirt to lead all trainers on the main track. He is followed by Richrda Baltas (5-25), Bill Spawr (5-11) and Vladimir Cerin (4-9). Guys looking for their first dirt win are Gary Sherlock (0-12), Mike Pender (0-10) and Mike Machowsky (0-10).

—                                

Race 2: #3 Where’s Bubba  (7-2)

As we stated Bill Spawr is one of the top dirt trainers this meet. Just draw a line through this gelding’s last race and the previous race puts right there with these. Spawr is 37% going from route to sprint.

==

Race 5: #3 A Colt Following (7-2) 

We’re sticking with Bill Spawr in this one, too. This colt won at this level last time and Spawr is daring someone to claim him. Again the route to sprint angle (37%) comes into play.

==.            

Race 9: #7 Sudden Sam (6-1) 

Breeder/owner Nick Alexander likes to win races, especially with homebreds. There are a lot of fast works o this 3-year-old but I guarantee trained Phil D’Amato (16% with firsters) has him fit. Tribal Rule is a 15% sire with firsters and this one gets Lasix, too.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita picks for Thursday, Jan. 23 (updated)

Did I miss something? Aren’t there suppose to be less racing days in Southern California? If so, why is Santa Anita running Thursday? Monday was a holiday so Santa Anita ran. Great. A lot of people were off. Fine.

So why are they running Thursday? Shouldn’t you be sticking to a four-day racing week, especially since track handle is way down —- in part due to the elimination of the rolling daily doubles, but mostly due to the field sizes are way down.

Thursday’s PPs only needed 16 pages to print out. Friday’s PP’s are just 15 pages. A weekend is usually over 20 pages.

Yes, there is a big Pick 6 carryover Thursday, over $400,000, but I won’t be playing it. Fields are too small. Someone will hit it, no doubt. On Monday, there was no one going to hit that Pick 6 because the fields were big and races contentious.

Since Santa Anita seems to make the world go around, Keith Brackpool, track president, needs to get his act together, but that ain’t happening anytime soon.

==

FIRST RACE: 1. South Sound, 2. Sergeant O’Rourke, 3. Swissarella. LONG SHOT: D’ya Knowwhatimean.

==

SECOND RACE: 1. The Cleaners, 2. Advisory, 3. Perfectly Legal. LONG SHOT: Salutos Amigos.

==

THIRD RACE: 1. Zimmer, 2. A Toast to You, 3. He’s a Dance Star. LONG SHOT: Hotradamus.

==

FOURTH RACE: 1. New Order, 2. No Longer Blue (SCRATCHED), 3. Gutsy Ruler. LONG SHOT: Agila. Put White Front Freddy in the No. 2 spot. Exponentially has also been scratched.

==

FIFTH RACE: 1. Thunder Cole, 2. Stake Hunter, 3. Through My Eyes. LONG SHOT: We Have Lift Off.

==

SIXTH RACE: 1. Red Sharp Humor (best bet), 2. Warren’s Joe T., 3. Liberty Cap. LONG SHOT: Only the Gold.

Trainer Mike Pender is off to a red-hot, sizzling start to the meet (15-4-3-4) and he claimed RED SHARP HUMOR at Hollywood Park. Looks like Pender claimed the 6-year-old for his own personal stable and brings him back after two months at a distance and track he has a win. Also, the horse comes out of a key race where three have come back to win.

==

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Warren’s Rosebud, 2. Miss Well Molded, 3. Lil Swiss Echo. LONG SHOT: Mangita.

Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith never, ever rides for trainer Jorge Gutierrez so with him picking up the mount on the 4-year-old WARREN’S ROSEBUD speaks volumes. She finished third in a similar spot opening week and certainly seems to be well-spotted again.

==

EIGHTH RACE: 1. Sir Macho, 2. Runaway Que, 3. Bluegrass Fox Trot. LONG SHOT: Keeneland Kitten.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

==

Monday’s top choice winners: 2 (Indianapolis $3.20, second race; San Onofre $3.20, third)

Monday’s second choice winners: 1 (Dunmore East $11.60, fifth)

Monday’s third choice winners: 2 (Macias $15.20, sixth; Grammy Times Six $21, ninth)

Monday’s long shot winners: 0

Standard