Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Jan. 27

Preview: We talked about the top jockeys last time but here are some jockeys to throw out. Scott Spieth is 1-for-109, Pedro Cotto is 1-for-49, Luis Figueroa is 0-22 and Wilkin Ortiz is 0-21. They would have to win to have me even consider them.

Race 3 – Tam
#4 Moonlit Meteor (12-1) ***
Our Eyes: This gelding has won here before and gets out of the winless trainer Anthony Rini. Jockey Willie Martinez takes over and this 9-year-old likes to press the pace and rally in the stretch.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 4-3-7.

Race 4 – Tam
#7 Dream Mon (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: This gelding makes his first start of the meet after running at Indiana Grand. Trainer Joseph Davis takes over and he’s 22% first time with horses. Davis is 3-for-9 with jockey Fernando De La Cruz over the last year.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 7-8-3.

Race 6 – Tam
#5 Bronze Venus (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading rider Daniel Centeno stays on this filly, which should be forwardly placed on the cut back from 7 furlongs.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#5 Nagzilla (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: The combination of trainer Larry Rivelli and Centeno have won 2-of-3 at the meet and 36% over the past year. Rivelli is 26% with horses off a layoff of more than 90 days.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-5.

Race 8 – Tam
#1 Hint of Mary (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Christophe Clement has two first-time starters in here but he puts Centeno on this one. That’s good enough for me as they are 44% over the last year.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 1-3-9.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 29

Preview: Back to a nine-race card. Jockeys Dean Butler and Pablo Morales have the most wins the last seven days.

Race 2 – Tam

#5 Staff Sgt Reckless (7-2): This filly drops to her lowest level ever for trainer Joan Scott, who is 28% when moving a horse from a MSW to a maiden claimer. Leading jockey Antonio Gallardo jumps on.

                              

Race 4 – Tam

#4 Paltarrevenge (4-1): Trainer Maria Bowersock is 25% first off the claim and moves this gelding up after a win on the main track. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps on.

 

Race 6 – Tam

#3 Step Two (turf only) (7-2): Throw out that last race at Gulfstream Park and look at that race at Tampa Bay two back.Jockey Pedro Cotto Jr. is 6-for-12 with trainer Joe Minieri at this meet.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Nov. 28 (Plus Tampa Bay Downs)

FIRST RACE: 1. Roper, 2. Financial, 3. Spirit World. LONG SHOT: Adair.

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SECOND RACE: 1, Tulira Castle, 2. Alex Rossi, 3. Airfoil. LONG SHOT: I’ll Wrap It Up.
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THIRD RACE: 1. #4 UNDENIABLE U (9-2) (BEST BET), 2. Path of David, 3. Archaeo. LONG SHOT: Silent Movies.

Trainer Bob Baffert isn’t known as a turf trainer, but he is 31% with horses making their second route race. Jockey Victor Espinoza just missed last time with the well-regarded Canada.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Etailer, 2. Eddie Haskell, 3. Lymebyrd. LONG SHOT: Demonslayer.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Mokat, 2. Optimism And Hope, 3. Wake the Dawn. LONG SHOT: Jeremy’s Legacy.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. #7 Tribal Jewel (8-1), 2. Storm Comin Thru, 3. True Ten. LONG SHOT: Roman Tizzy.

Trainer Peter Miller claimed this gelding last time and runs him back in the same spot. Miller is 24% first off the claim and has put a couple of big works into him. Jockey Brice Blanc jumps on and he is 2-for-4 with Miller.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Royal Albert Hall, 2. March, 3. Om. LONG SHOT: Closing Bell.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Dortmund, 2. Big Cazanova, 3. Imperative. LONG SHOT: Majestic City.
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NINTH RACE: 1. #6 Hunt (7-2), 2. Roy H, 3. Unusual Fleet. LONG SHOT: Follow Me Crev.

This 3-year-old finished fourth in the Twilight Derby and many he faced will be running earlier on the card in the Hollywood Derby so we should have a good handle on whether that is a key race. Jockey Mike Smith stays aboard for trainer Phil D’Amato and they are a 26% combination.

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Tampa Bay Downs for Saturday, Nov. 28

Race 3: #2 Horn Buckle (5-1) 

This gelding reeled off three wins at this track last winter and trainer Victor Carrasco Jr. looks to strike on the first day of the new meet. Carrasco is 30% with horses moving down two of more classes.

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Race 6: #9 Ishaq (7-2)

Trainer Efren Loza Jr. is 44% with first-time starters like this son of Harlan’s Holiday and he employs jockey Pedro Cotto Jr., who has won 5-of-11 races for Loza this year. There are decent works showing and we think this one is ready to run.

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Race 9 : #2 Fascinante (7-2) 

Efren Loza Jr. is a high-percentage trainer in a lot of areas, including 35% with shippers like this 5-year-old mare, who is a perfect 2-for-2 over this turf course. Pedro Cotto Jr. rides another Loza.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

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