Fair Grounds, Horse racing

Fair Grounds stakes opinions for Saturday, March 23

10TH RACE (Grade II New Orleans Handicap): 1. Souper Tapit, 2. Copper Bullet, 3. Core Beliefs. LONGSHOT: Noble Commander.

11TH RACE (Grade II Muniz Memorial Handicap): 1. Bandua, 2. Bricks and Mortar, 3. Synchrony. LONG SHOT: Inspector Lynley.

12TH RACE (Grade II Fair Grounds Oaks): 1. Serengeti Empress, 2. Sweet Diane, 3. Liora. LONG SHOT: Speedette.

13TH RACE (Grade II Louisiana Derby) 1. Sueno, 2. War of Will, 3. Country House. LONG SHOT: Mr. Money.

Good luck.

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Fair Grounds, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Feb. 16 (Plus Fair Grounds stakes races)

Preview: Again not doing turf races.

FIRST RACE: 1. Over Emphasize, 2. Flat Out Joy, 3. Chocolate Speights. LONG SHOT: Morning Cynn.

THIRD RACE: 1. Vangilder, 2. Palladium, 3. Swamp Souffle. LONG SHOT: Ack.

FIFTH RACE: 1. Prodigal Son, 2. Play Money, 3. Don’tteasethetiger. LONG SHOT: Curry.

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Whirling, 2. Heloise, 3. Gia Lula. LONG SHOT: Lucky Val.

NINTH RACE: 1. Marley’s Freedom, 2. Paradise Woods, 3. Dream Tree. LONG SHOT: Escape Clause.

Good Luck.

FRIDAY’S RESULTS (Dirt races only)

Top choice winners: 2 (Conquest Cobra $11.20, sixth race; Zestful $6.40, eighth)

Second choice winners: 1 (Contagion $4.40, second)

Third choice winners: 0

Long shot winners: 0

Fair Grounds stakes opinions for Saturday, Feb. 16
Preview: Big day in New Orleans so I looked at the stakes races only. It rained a little on Friday so check the track conditions, especially on the turf.
SECOND RACE: 1. Adonis Creed, 2. Hogy, 3. Wings Locked Up. LONG SHOT: Chaos Theory.
FOURTH RACE: 1. Pretty Lady, 2. Beau Recall, 3. Mitchell Road. LONG SHOT: Promise of Spring.
NINTH RACE: 1. Krewe Chief, 2. Lone Sailor, 3. Flameaway. LONG SHOT: Long On Luck.
10TH RACE: 1. Big Changes, 2. Synchrony, 3. Markitoff. LONG SHOT: Combatant.
11TH RACE: 1. Serengeti Empress, 2. Positive Spirit, 3. Bell’s the One. LONG SHOT: Oxy Lady.
12TH RACE: 1. Henley’s Joy, 2. Will of Will, 3. Mr. Money. LONG SHOT: Country House.
In the interest of honesty, I am friends with HENLEY’S JOY’s owner, Jeff Bloom. This 3-year-old has been running on the grass, but they are taking a shot here. The colt has trained well on the dirt and now is the time to see if he belongs on the Kentucky Derby trail. At 10-1, I think he’s worth a shot. I know he can get the distance.
Good luck.
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Fair Grounds, Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, March 26 (plus Fair Grounds)

Preview: The rains hit Friday so I didn’t handicap any of the turf races because I don’t think they will stay on. If the track is wet, check out mud pedigrees. Also it’s that time of the year when trainers get horses ready for other tracks like trainer R. Gary Patrick, who stables at Indiana Downs, and has a pair of layoff horses today. Doubt if they are ready to win, but keep track.
Race 8: #5 Fancy Man (5-2): This colt finished second against better and trainer Dale Bennett drops him. Bennett is 30% third off the layoff and jockey Pablo Morales is 33% with Bennett.
Race 10: #1 Invasion Point (4-1): Just missed against better and takes a drop but jockey Daniel Centeno stays aboard.
THE FAIR GROUNDS
Race 9: #8 Land Over Sea (3-1): After five straight losses to superstar Songbird, trainer Doug O’Neil has seen enough and decides to flee Southern California. This daughter of Bellamy Road has finished second to Songbird twice this year. O’Neill gets John Velazquez to ride. We’ll never get this morning-line.
Race 10: #9 Dazzling Gem (12-1): Trainer Brad Cox has said he isn’t running in the Louisiana Derby for the heck of it and we believe him. This 3-year-old is a perfect 2-for-2 and while jockey Shaun Bridgmohan must work out a trip from this bad post, we think he can and the price is right.
@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter
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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Decent Saturday card and a Pick Six carryover of more than $300,000. They say there could be $1.2 million in new money, but with all the snow in the East, I’m thinking it will be more as bettors will only be able to play tracks in Florida, New Orleans and California. The Bob Baffert barn has gotten hot and is 6-ofr-31 on the dirt to lead all trainers on the main track. He is followed by Richrda Baltas (5-25), Bill Spawr (5-11) and Vladimir Cerin (4-9). Guys looking for their first dirt win are Gary Sherlock (0-12), Mike Pender (0-10) and Mike Machowsky (0-10).

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Race 2: #3 Where’s Bubba  (7-2)

As we stated Bill Spawr is one of the top dirt trainers this meet. Just draw a line through this gelding’s last race and the previous race puts right there with these. Spawr is 37% going from route to sprint.

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Race 5: #3 A Colt Following (7-2) 

We’re sticking with Bill Spawr in this one, too. This colt won at this level last time and Spawr is daring someone to claim him. Again the route to sprint angle (37%) comes into play.

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Race 9: #7 Sudden Sam (6-1) 

Breeder/owner Nick Alexander likes to win races, especially with homebreds. There are a lot of fast works o this 3-year-old but I guarantee trained Phil D’Amato (16% with firsters) has him fit. Tribal Rule is a 15% sire with firsters and this one gets Lasix, too.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita picks for Sunday, Feb. 23

Might be the worst weekend card ever at Santa Anita. Someone needs to look at what is going on here. If betting numbers aren’t down it’s only because of simulcasting.

FIRST RACE: 1. Fast Moka Too, 2. Swiss Heart, 3. Hollywood Icon. LONG SHOT: Jetbird.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Craving Carats, 2. Hog’s Hollow, 3. Mind the Master. LONG SHOT: Paratito.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Key Vista, 2. Thermal Nermal, 3. Sister Esperanza. LONG SHOT: Twelve Folds.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Right On Schedule, 2. Curious Spy, 3. Roman Tizzy. LONG SHOT: Satch.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Legacy, 2. Velvet Mesquite, 3. Buckingham Bull. LONG SHOT: Include the Cat.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Lucky Cotton, 2. Pathway to Yes, 3. Hello Frankie. LONG SHOT: Fable Heaven.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Mosso, 2. Voluntary, 3. California Jade. LONG SHOT: Presiding Justice.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Pure Tactics (best bet), 2. Unbridled’s Note, 3. Zimmer. LONG SHOT: Sweet Swap.

The 5-year-old PURE TACTICS ships in from New Orleans to give the West Coast circuit a try for trainer Doug O’Neill. Jockey Rafael Bejarano and his agent see enough to take the mount. The horse seems to have the right style for the downhill course by coming off the pace. It will be a matter of whether he takes to it.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Indygo Andy, 2. We Have Lift Off, 3. Street Maven. LONG SHOT: Puerto Williams.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 4 (Salsita $2.40, first race; Burns Turn $4.80, fourth; I Don’t Care Who $6.80, seventh; Ambitious Brew $8, eighth)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 4 (Brave Act $4.80, second; Room for Me $5.20, third; Sidebar $4, fifth; One Time Only $7)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 0

Saturday’s long shot winners: 1 (Love Forever $18.40, ninth)

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