Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Tuesday, Aug. 13

Hot and cold
Mark Glatt led all Del Mar trainers last week with an 11-4-0-3 record and is now tied for fourth place in the standings with seven wins for the meet.
Doug O’Neill followed up his monster nine-victory week with a solid 16-3-4-2 mark and leads Peter Miller (11-1-3-4 for the week) by five wins for the meet, 16-11.
John Sadler followed up an 0 for 12 effort in Week 3 with a 10-2-2-0 mark in Week 4 and should be a trainer to watch this week. Sadler likes to win stakes races and there are plenty of those week, headed by the Pacific Classic on Saturday.
The Peter Eurton barn is starting to thaw from its icy start as he was 3-2-1-0 during the week.
Some barns are still struggling. Keith Desormeaux (1 for 22), Michael McCarthy (1-18), Steve Knapp (1-17), Tim McCanna (1-13), John Sherriffs (0-14), George Papaprodromous (0-17), Jim Cassidy (0-14) and Jack Carava (0-14) must be looked at as throw outs in handicapping until they show signs of life.
Miller and O’Neill lead the pack with six winners each on the main track followed by Sadler and Bob Baffert with five wins each. Neil Drysdale, who is known mainly for prowess on the turf, is 2 for 2 on the dirt.
It is pretty amazing O’Neill leads all trainers with 10 victories on the grass. from 42 starts. It wasn’t too many years ago that O’Neill went through a streak of 1 for 76 on the turf, but times have changed.
On the other end, Vladimir Cerin is 1 for 14 on the Jimmy Durante Turf Course while McCarthy if 0 for 17 with just two third place finishes and Patrick Gallagher is 0 for 12.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Wednesday, Aug. 7 (updated)

NOTE: To say trainer Doug O’Neill had a good Week 3 at Del Mar is just wrong. He had a great week.
The venerable trainer, who tied his own track record last Wednesday with five winners in a single day, climbed into the meet lead with nine victories from 20 entries. He also added four runner-up finishes and a third.
O’Neill jumped over several trainers and now leads the meet with 13 victories.
Peter Miller is second with 10 wins after a 2 for 10 week while Bob Hess Jr. grabbed third place (seven wins) with a 3 for 7 week.
John Sadler, the meet’s leading money earner with $738,875, had a week to forget with an 0 for 12 effort.
On the dirt, O’Neill and Miller lead the way with six wins each. However, more shocking is the fact that O’Neill leads everyone on the turf with seven victories.
Overall, a few trainers continue to struggle at the meet like Keith Desormeaux (1 for 17), Peter Eurton (1-18), Michael McCarthy (1-19) and Val Brinkerhoff (1-13).

FIRST RACE: 1. Chasin Mummy, 2. Temple Bar, 3. K P Indy. LONG SHOT: Whispering Flame.
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SECOND RACE: 1. D’s Lovely Sophia, 2. Miss Lady Ann, 3. Interesting Times. LONG SHOT: Coilette.
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THIRD RACE: 1. WAR CHEST (best bet), 2. He’s Like Violence, 3. Passionate Reward. LONG SHOT: Aussie Fox.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Ma Bella, 2. Rattle, 3. Appolina (SCRATCHED) New pick: Tell It again. LONG SHOT: Aleda Lutz.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Toinette, 2. Youngest Daughter, 3. Quebec. LONG SHOT: Just a Smidge.
It was all I could do not to pick YOUNGEST DAUGHTER in this spot. She is 15-1 on the morning-line and trainer Vicki Oliver has won me a lot of money over the years shipping into Del Mar with grass horses from Kentucky. This is a tough spot and TOINETTE looks like a slam duck. I promise you one thing, I will have a couple bucks on YD and will back her up in the exactas. I just couldn’t put her on top.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Crown the Kitten, 2. For Him, 3. Avanti Bello. LONG SHOT: Gran Fiesta (SCRATCHED) New pick: Tiz Love.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Play Money, 2. Fravel, 3. Jamming Eddy. LONG SHOT: Asaro.

Good luck.

SUNDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 3 (Dr. Wysong $4.60, third race; Offshore $7.20, fourth; Passing $8, eighth)

Second choice winners: 1 (Eight Rings $3.20, fifth)

Third choice winners: 0

Long shot winners: 1 (Kingly $18.60, seventh)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Wednesday, July 31

NOTES: Adam Kitchingman is one of three trainers who are perfect (1 for 1) at the Del Mar meet so far. David Randall and Tim Yakteen are the others.
Week 2 proved to be big for Peter Miller, who took over the training lead even though he shipped a lot of horses East during the spring ills of Santa Anita. Miller had five wins out of 11 starters last week and now has eight winners for the 10-day-old meet.
Miller leads John Sadler and Richard Baltas by three wins.
Sadler was 3 for 7 for the week and all five of his victories have been in stakes events. Sadler’s barn has earned $684,291, which is tops by more than $275,000.
Baltas had a tough second week, going 2 for 16, and Doug O’Neill had a tougher week, winning just once in 19 starters. O’Neill did have two runner-up placings and six third-place finishers.
The Bob Baffert barn finally started to heat up with three wins, one second and two thirds from six starters.
Bob Hess Jr. also had three wins for the week, also from seven starters.
Jeff Mullins is quietly having a good meet. He had two wins and two seconds from five starters. He now has four wins overall and has been in the money 77 percent of the time.
At the other end of the spectrum, Michael McCarthy (0 for 15), Valdimir Cerin (0-12) and Jonathan Wong (0-11) are all looking for their first wins of the meet.
Phil D’Amato is 1 for 25 but at least that one win was in a stakes race. Keith Desormeaux (1-16) and Peter Eurton (1-12) are also struggling.

FIRST RACE: 1. Vangogo, 2. Bellazano, 3. Grey Lady. LONG SHOT: So Much Happy.
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SECOND RACE: 1. STREET CLASS (best bet), 2. C Falls, 3. Commanding Chief. LONG SHOT: Mica Bay.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Baby Gronk, 2. The White Shadow, 3. Call You Tomorrow. LONG SHOT: Big Barrel.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Smiling to Excess, 2. Twentyseventrouts, 3. Traffic Stopper. LONG SHOT: Bayonce.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Wind Tartare, 2. My Aunt Tillie, 3. Lady Phyllis. LONG SHOT: Convince.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Cholula Lips, 2. Bulletproof One, 3. None of Your Biz. LONG SHOT: Bella Renella.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Honos Man, 2. Chosen Vessel, 3. River God. LONG SHOT: Tequila Blanco.

Good luck.

SUNDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 4 (Immediate Impact $2.80, first race; Wound Tight $5.80, second; Spokane Eagle $4.40, fourth; Desert Oasis $8.80, eighth)

Second choice winners: 0

Third choice winners: 1 (Reedley $4.60, fifth)

Long shot winners: 1 (Ollie’s Candy $10, seventh)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Thursday, July 19

Preview: Trainers Doug O’Neill and Jerry Hollendorfer, who were mediocre in 2017, dominated on opening day, winning the first seven races between them. Give their horses an extra look, especially O’Neill, who gets hot and then cools off.

Trainers to watch
PHIL D’AMATO: Tied for the Del Mar training title last summer with 18 wins and his stable has only gotten stronger since then. He is a monster on the turf with 12 wins and 11 seconds from 66 starters. This summer look for improved numbers on the dirt and with younger horses.

RICHARD BALTAS: He tied D’Amato for the crown a year ago. Surprisingly, he beat D’Amato on the grass, leading all trainer with 13 winners on the green. One area of weakness is first-time starters so stay away from them.

PETER MILLER: Last summer wasn’t the best for the Carlsbad resident who annually starts a ton of horses at the seaside oval. He had more than twice has many seconds and thirds (24 and 16) as wins (15). No doubt he wants to turn those numbers around. Don’t be afraid of horses showing San Luis Rey Downs works because he has a portion of his stable there. Miller was second in dirt wins and victories by 2-year-olds. He does a lot of damage with claimers and maiden claimers, but you often don’t get a square price.

MARK GLATT: He had a really good summer under the radar last year, finishing tied for third in the standings with Miller (15 wins) from far less starters (68). He also is sneaky on the grass with eight wins from 37 starts. Betting on all of Glatt’s starters would have produced a flat-bet profit, according to Jim Mazur’s The Del Mar Handicapper 2018.

DOUG O’NEILL: It will be a race to see who starts more horses this meet: Miller or O’Neill. The O’Neill barn gets a lot of horses from J. Paul Reddam and a lot sired by Square Eddie so watch for that combination. O’Neill was tied for third in dirt wins (nine) and grass can be a weakness. However, look at turf sprints because in 2016 O’Neill did well in that category.

OTHERS: Bob Baffert has his second Triple Crown winner in four years but like American Pharoah, Justify won’t run at Del Mar. Baffert led all trainers with 12 dirt wins, with half of them coming from 2-year-olds. He is also usually strong in the sprint and handicap divisions. The best betting option is “the other Baffert.” When he has two horses in the same race, bet the one with the higher odds plus bet an exacta box of his two horses. … Jerry Hollendorfer had just five winners a year ago but he got hot during Santa Anita and might be back to his old self. Watch out for his 2-year-olds, especially the fillies, one of which (Brill) is running on opening day. … Michael McCarthy, the former Todd Pletcher assistant, is starting to get better stock after finishing last summer for third in dirt wins (nine). According to Mazur’s book, McCarthy produced a huge $73 flat-bet profit. … Simon Callaghan is another younger trainer to watch after he had seven 2-year-old winners in 2017. … Steve Miyadi is also good with 2-year-olds (four wins) and first-time starters (three of 11). … Jim Cassidy, the life-long New York Yankees fan, is 7-for-13 in turf sprints the last three years with a profit of $137, according Mazur’s book. … Tom Proctor, who trains mainly for Glen Hill Farm, is a whiz on the turf and he went 6-for-15 at 2017 meet for a flat-bet profit, but don’t expect any large prices because his horses get bet.

FIRST RACE: 1. Watch Me Burn, 2. Jellybeankristine, 3. No Thanks Erik. LONG SHOT: Lakerzwin.

SECOND RACE: 1. Gutsy Effort, 2. Welldidyougetit, 3. Latitude. LONG SHOT: June Two Four.

THIRD RACE: 1. PASTIME (best bet), 2. G Q Covergirl, 3. Painting Corners. LONG SHOT: Invested Prospect.
Let me just say this up front there is no way we are getting the 12-1 morning line on No. 8 Pastime in today’s third race. Trainer Victoria Oliver brings a small string to Del Mar almost every year from Kentucky and always seem to win at a good price, but the word is already out on social media. That being said Oliver is 4-for-11 at Del Mar with horses off a 31- to 60-day layoff like this filly and the average winning price is $20, according to Jim Mazur’s The Del Mar Handicapper 2018.

FOURTH RACE: 1. Robin’s Love, 2. Cylinders, 3. Lil Bit Dangerous. LONG SHOT: Go Smiley Go.

FIFTH RACE: 1. Memorable Election, 2. Rockaway, 3. Ivy Mike. LONG SHOT: Master Ruler.

SIXTH RACE: 1. Magic Musketier, 2. Andesh, 3. Inscom. LONG SHOT: Soltero.

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Secret Spice, 2. Moonshine Memories, 3. Show It N Moe It. LONG SHOT: Treasuring.

EIGHTH RACE: 1. Majorie E, 2. Venue, 3. Oh Pretty Woman. LONG SHOT: Unusual Gold.

WEDNESDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 2 (Shivermetimbers $4.60, sixth race; Brill $3.40, seventh)

Second choice winners: 1 (Super Duper Cooper $6.40, ninth)

Third choice winners: 3 (Eighty Three $10.60, third; Dichotomy $5.40, fourth; Ann Arbor Eddie $20, fifth)

Long shot winners: 1 (Jimmy Chila $7, second)

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, July 29 (4 p.m. first post)

Preview: The turf rails come back in to 12 feet today which will allow closers to have a better shot in the stretch. Yesterday we talked about jockeys who have done well so far during the meet on the grass. Here are a couple of jockeys who have been struggling on the green (stats through Tuesday): Tyler Baze (1-for-18), Santiago Gonzalez (1-15) and Stewart Elliott (0-9).

Race 1: 1. #4 Mrs. Guty (7-2) BEST BET, 2. Spindle, 3. Generous Pour. LONG SHOT: La Galy
This filly finished third as the 6-5 favorite in her debut. She showed a lot of speed that day and tired so should be fitter for this race. Trainer Michael McCarthy is 23% with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff. The filly also takes a drop in class.

Race 2: 1. Cioppino Pasadino, 2. My California, 3. I’ll Be Around. LONG SHOT: Love a Honeybadger.

Race 3: 1. Katy Drama, 2. Sizzling Bel, 3. B K Miss. LONG SHOT: Chicago Angel.

Race 4: 1. #5 Ciao Bella Rosa (12-1), 2. Simmy’s Temple, 3. You Missed It. LONG SHOT: Gio’s Lady.
This filly cost $125K at auction and is sire by Kitten’s Joy, who gets 17% first out winners on the grass. This 2-year-old is prep to love the green and go a distance of ground. Trainer Peter Miller likes to win at Del Mar and at a price is even better.

Race 5: 1. Jonny’s Choice, 2. Minister Vivendi, 3. Nahem. LONG SHOT: Misdeed.

Race 6: 1. #5 Doubelievenmagic (7-2), 2. Out Ofthe Ordinary. LONG SHOT: Queen Scheherazade.
This filly finished second on the grass for trainer Todd Pletcher at Gulfstream Park 2 months ago and now ends up here to try and cash in on the “Ship N Win” program. Trainer David Hofmans is 35% going from sprint to route, 18% with first-time routers and 27% with jockey Joe Talamo at Del Mar.

Race 7: 1. Elwood J, 2. Caiifornia Clone, 3. Amodei. LONG SHOT: Midnight Reveler.

Race 8: 1. With a Twist, 2. Swiss Skimmer, 3. Intoxicaing Move. LONG SHOT: Lady’s Lunar Luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, May 14

Race 1: #3 Scuderia (3-1) (turf only): This gelding was in Chad Brown’s hands at Gulfstream Park and had a tough debut. Now shows up for Michael McCarthy with a pair of good works coming in. McCarthy is 26% with horses off a 46-90-day layoff and this son of Gio Ponti should love the turf. McCarthy is 56% with jockey Rafael Bejarano.
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Race 5: #1 My Special Image (15-1): This gelding drops into a maiden claimer for the first time, move trainer Paddy Gallagher is 31% with. Jockey Drayden Van Dyke jumps back off as he rode him in his career debut.

Race 7: #4 Airfoil (3-1): Trainer Peter Miller claimed this gelding last time a drops him, a move he is 53% with. Jockey Tyler Baze jumps aboard and he’s 20% with Miller. This 6-year-old has a 20-4-5-6 record on the Santa Anita dirt.

Race 9: #10 Glacken Too (9-2): Trainer Phil D’Amato has been hitting at a 22% in 2016 and has three wins here opening week. This horse is looking for his first win over the surface, but D’Amato is 28% with beaten favorites and he goes to jockey Edwin Maldonado and they are a 41% combination at Santa Anita.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Saturday, Dec. 27

FIRST RACE: 1. Red Man Run, 2. Mahalo Arturo, 3. Warren’s Wesley. LONG SHOT: Kozani.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Holy Ascension, 2. Where Is My Mind, 3. Ill Tell You What. LONG SHOT: Ju Ju Bella.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Longstocking, 2. Fantastic Style, 3. Ben’s Duchess. LONG SHOT: Street Reflection.

Trainer Michael McCarthy, a Todd Pletcher protégé, has shown a penchant for getting horses ready in their second start as he is 2-for-4 with those like LONGSTOCKING. He is also 25% with 2-year-olds and 5-for-15 sprinting. Jockey Mike Smith stays aboard. FANTASTIC STYLE has been training lights out for trainer Bob Baffert.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Tigah, 2. I’ll Wrap It Up, 3. Buymeabond. LONG SHOT: Greeley Awesome.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Seeking the Sherif, 2. Secret Circle, 3. Bahamian Squall. LONG SHOT: Bolita Boyz.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Soul Driver (BEST BET), 2. Daddy D T, 3. Bolo. LONG SHOT: Stormy Liberal.

SOUL DRIVER (12-1), a son of Street Boss, received an absolutely brutal ride last time from Tyler Baze. Full of run on the rail, Baze was stuck behind horses, finishing fifth, but past the wire he powerfully galloped out in front. Not in love with the post, but love the horse.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Dancinthenightaway, 2. Sayes So, 3. Swiss Lake Yodeler. LONG SHOT: Big Break.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Winning Rhythm, 2. Scooter Bird, 3. Diversy Harbor. LONG SHOT: Kathleen Rose.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Vicious, 2. Cyrus Alexander, 3. Nob Hill. LONG SHOT: Ghost of Navigator.

VICIOUS, a son of Indian Charlie, gave an even effort while sprinting last time and should enjoy the run around two turns for trainer Eoin Harty. Comes out of the Firing Line maiden race at Del Mar and that one just lost to Dortmund.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Sunday, Oct. 26 (updated)

FIRST RACE: 1. Warren’s Assassin, 2. Eltoninadress, 3. Rosewhitenblue. LONG SHOT: Acute.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Here’s Bella, 2. Desert Madam, 3. Twenty Eleven. LONG SHOT: Hollywood Royalty.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Welcome Home Ryan, 2. Chicsdigtheshark, 3. Fly Blue. LONG SHOT: Bluegrass Reward.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Decisive Edge, 2. Pantera Rojo, 3. Yes Yes Yes. LONG SHOT: Card Trick.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Madiba (best bet), 2. Hauler, 3. Pioneerof the West. LONG SHOT: Vartan.

Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer sends MADIBA (7-2), a $700,000 yearling purchase, around two turns for the first time and puts blinkers on. Hollendorfer is 23% sprint-to-route and 32% with jockey Rafael Bejarano.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Smoove It, 2. Cal Gal, 3. Chati’s On Top. LONG SHOT: Yana.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Echo Zulu, 2. Compulsive, 3. Presiding Justice. LONG SHOT: Twenty Percent.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Hay Dude, 2. Old Time Hockey, 3. Starspangled Heat. LONG SHOT: Artest (SCRATCHED) new long shot: Power Ped.

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NINTH RACE: 1. No Problem, 2. Bandido Too, 3. Verraco. LONG SHOT: Lovenseek.

NO PROBLEM, a son of Munnings, showed speed in his debut and then faded. Trainer Michael McCarthy, formerly Todd Pletcher’s right-hand man, drops this 2-year-old from MSW to a maiden claimer for first time and jockey Victor Espinoza sticks around.

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 0

Saturday’s second choice winners: 2 (Devil’s Beauty $8, third race; Lexie Lou $8.40, eighth)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 3 (Backwoods Belle $8.80, first; Beth’s My Babe $14.60, second; Conquest Two Step $4.60, sixth)

Saturday’s long shot winners: 0

 

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita Park selections for Saturday, June 7

FIRST RACE: 1. Madame Forbes, 2. Moonlight Stroll, 3. Itsabeautifulday. LONG SHOT: I’msoulflattering.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Diamond Majesty, 2. Holiday Camp, 3. Social Request. LONG SHOT: Rowdy Dylan.

The pricey 2-year-olds are starting to come out as DIAMOND MAJESTY cost $225,000 for trainer Patrick Biancone and HOLIDAY CAMP was purchased by trainer Bob Baffert for $700,000 for his owner. Both colts have been training well, but the Baffert horse is likely to receive a lot of betting attention.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Seeking the West, 2. I Earned It Baby, 3. R S Watson. LONG SHOT: Garen.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Uncharted Course, 2. Hold Everything, 3. Misdeed. LONG SHOT: Oso Smart.

Both UNCHARTED COURSE and HOLD EVERYTHING have been facing some of the top horses in the 3-year-old class for the last year. Now both of them drop into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time. Go with the better price.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Shoer Hugh, 2. Newfound Gold, 3. Gold Medallion. LONG SHOT: Forin Sea.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Smart Journey, 2. Little Professor, 3. Decantered. LONG SHOT: Unusual Taste.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Exclude, 2. Wonderful Union, 3. Myfundsarelo. LONG SHOT: Rocked Twice.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Alpha Bullet, 2. Candy Anniversary, 3. Will True Up. LONG SHOT: Maxx the Giant.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Can the Man, 2. Arkenstone, 3. Big Tire. LONG SHOT: Lolo El Canonero.

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10TH RACE: 1. Trelawny (best bet), 2. Dysprosium, 3. Causeithertz. LONG SHOT: Oak Kye Why.

Check out the ownership on TRELAWNY. The 7-year-old gelding was claimed last time out for $40,000 by Repole Stable. If that sounds familiar it should. Mike Repole is one of trainer Todd Pletcher’s big clients. Michael McCarthy, a former Pletcher assistant, has gone out on his own and Repole is obviously helping him out here. The gelding just finished second and takes a drop in class trying to cash and make a quick buck.

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11TH RACE: 1. Tenkiller Kid, 2. Bosque Angel, 3. Compulsive. LONG SHOT: Clubhouse Rock.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 1 (Parada $3.60, first race)

Friday’s second choice and long shot winners: 0

Fridays third choice winners: 5 (Warren’s Jen Fizz $9, third; Seeking the Sheriff $3.80, fourth; Jennyway U Want It $5, fifth; Destino $11.80, sixth; Off the Deep End $15, eighth)

 

 

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