Golden Gate, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos RC opinions for Friday, Sept. 16 (Plus Golden Gate)

Preview: The first week of the meet sprint races were won 25% of the time in wire-to-wire fashion, according to Brisnet stats. The four through seven posts won 20% of the time. In 10 route races, there were no wire-to-wire winners, but you still needed to be close to win. Winners of two-turn races were 1.59 lengths behind at the first call and 0.96 lengths behind at the second call.

Race 5: #3 Peppermint Kitty (7-2)
This filly took some sneaky betting in her debut at Del Mar for trainer Peter Miller before finishing fourth. Jockey Kent Desormeaux saw enough to ride back here and he’s 26% with Miller. The 4-year-old has the best Late Pace Rating from Brisnet, which should help in the longest home stretch in America.

Race 7: #6 Carlsbad Mountain (5-1)
Trainer Robertino Diodoro claimed this gelding from Peter Miller at Del Mar and Diodoro is 26% first off the claim. This gelding has a third over this track in his only appearance earlier this year against tougher. Jockey Stewart Elliott keeps the mount and he’s 40% with Diodoro.

Race 8: #5 Tension (5-1)
This filly was the 13-10 favorite over this track as a 2-year-old and now resurfaces nearly two years later. However, rfarely are Bob Baffert horses short and jockey Stewart Elliott has been hot, especially with the Baffert barn.

GOLDEN GATE

Race 5: #5 Brownie Finale (6-1)
Trainer John Martin claimed this colt at Sacramento no doubt with his 3-for-4 record on synthetic tracks in mind. Martin is 44% first off the claim and there’s a big work showing plus Martin is 30% with jockey Roberto Gonzalez.

Race 6: #8 Compel (9-2)
This filly has been running in Southern California, facing way better and dropping to her lowest level ever. Trainer Eric Kruljac is 21% when he drops a horses two or more levels.The 3-year-old has the top Late Pace Rating from Brisnet.

Race 8: #5 Arendal (15-1)
Our Eyes: There are five shippers from Southern California in his maiden race on the turf plus one European import from the Simon Callaghan barn, but we’re going with the first time turfer from the Jerry Hollendorfer barn. This filly is sired by Cape Blanco (Ireland), whose offspring have a winning average of 7.8 furlongs and gets 8% first time out winners. On top of that the mare is out of Danzig, which is 26% first time out on grass. This 3-year-old has the top Late Pace Rating.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Golden Gate, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos RC opinions for Thursday, Sept. 15 (Plus Golden Gate)

LRC Preview: Second week of racing in the afternoons at Los Alamitos finds jockey Stewart Elliott on a tear. He won 9 of 17 mounts the first four days in his first time at the track. Four of those wins were for trainer Bob Baffert, who also came out firing after Del Mar.

Race 3: #4 Uninvented (9-5)
Here are Stewart Elliott and Bob Baffert teamming up on this 3-year-old, which has been gelded since his last race. Baffert rarely leaves them short off the layoff and this new gelding is coming out of a key race at Santa Anita.

Race 5: #1 Our Trooper (15-1)
This 6-year-old lost all chance in his his last race at 870 yards at night. Once upon a time, he broke his maiden at this distance and track. Trainer Nicolas Acuna takes the blinkers off to get him to relax.

Race 7: #5 Far Out Kailee (5-2)
That man Stewart Elliott jumps on this Chris Hartman trainee. This is Hartman’s first starter here and she looks live. Hartman is 30% when running a horse second off the claim.

Race 8: #6 Wild Cause (7-2)
Our Eyes: Mike Harrington trains his horses at this track and points for these mini-meets. He cuts this filly back from a turf route so she should be plenty fit and coming in the lane. She also has a good work over the track coming into this race.

GG Preview: There is no turf racing in Southern California for another two weeks so any turf horses have to head to Northern California to run. You will see some Del Mar shippers there over that time.

Race 7: #4 Stole a Kiss (4-1)
Trainer John Martin claimed this mare for $10K at Del Mar and now drops her into a Cal bred ranks. She was facing much tougher until her last race and Martin must have a plan because he is 44% first off the claim and 38% going from dirt to turf. He gets top NoCal turf rider J.J. Hernandez to ride.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing

Los Alamitos RC opinions for Sunday, Sept. 11

Here are some horses to consider Sunday at Los Alamitos (these aren’t picks necessarily, just some horses to consider for your handicapping pleasure since I’m taking the week off from selections):

Race 1
Glendas Grace (15-1): Throw out last race.
Silk in Silver (7-2): Trainer Justin Clark 46% with hores off a layoff of 90 day plus
Trust Ur Intuition (5-2): Trainer Eddie Truman 23% turf to dirt

Race 2
Fabulous Lady (4-1): Good works for comeback.
Dashin Ashen (2-5): Comes out of key race.
Hayley’s Comment (5-1): Trainer Kristin Mulhull 21% first time blinkers.

Race 3
Drover Crazy (7-2): Trainer Robertino Diodoro 24% second off the claim.

Race 4
Foolish to Deceive (3-1): Trainer Craig Dollase 21% first time route.

Race 5
Hell On Heels (8-5): Trainer Phil D’Amato 26% third off layoff
Tangled Up in Ju (4-1): Throw out last race.

Race 6
Meadow Blossom (3-1): Trainer 38% in sprints.
Spiritual (8-5): Art Sherman 21% turf to dirt.

Race 7
Kentuckian (5-2): Jerry Hollendorfer 22% third off layoff.

Race 9
Atlantic Slew (2-1): Mike Puype 63% down 2 play class levels
Daddy Please (15-1): Key race
Papa’s Lil Willow (30-1): Key race

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos opinions for Saturday, Sept. 10

Here are some horses to consider Saturday at Los Alamitos (these aren’t picks necessarily, just some horses to consider for your handicapping pleasure since I’m taking the week off from selections):

Race 1
Trixie Nine (20-1) Coming out of a key race
Princess Val (3-1): Trainer Lin Melton is 3-for-3 first off the claim
Gianis (4-1): Trainer Justin Clark is 46% with horses off a 90-plus day rest
Smil’n From Above (7-2): Coming out of a key race
Papa’s Lady (20-1): Trainer Kelly Castaneda is 24% second off the claim

Race 2
Winning Causeway (5-2): Trainer Robertino Diodoro is 24% second off the claim

Race 3
Go Long (5-1): Trainer John Sadler is 23% th second time he starts a new horse in the barn
Out of Patience (7-2): Trainer Peter Miller is 24% first off the claim

Race 5
Golaith’s Girl (7-2): Trainer Phil D’Amato is 26% going from route to sprint
Jase’s Aunty Aimee (20-1): Coming out of a key race

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos opinions for Friday, Sept. 9

Just some opinions to help you with your picks. Let me be clear, I didn’t say they were picks, just horses to look at:

Race 1
Jack the Closer: Comes out of key race.
My Mel Mar: Peter Miller great with maiden claiming firsters.
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Race 3
Queen Bee to You: Trainer Steve Miyadi back from suspension.
Prize Package: Trainer John Brocklebank 27% with firsters.
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Race 4
Aerial Artist: Throw out last race.
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Race 5
Paradise: Trainer Mike Harrington’s home track and he points to these meets.
Riverka: Comes out of key race.
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Race 6
Popularity: Bob Baffert firster.
Gold Shot: Richard Baltas first.
Golden Reward: Brocklebank again. Love to win and sell the horse.
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Race 7
Madiba: Throw out last.
Just Kidding: Comes out of key race.
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Patron: Baffert drops to bottom. Showed speed against much better. If I had the money I would claim him.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos opinions for Thursday, Sept. 8

Just a few horses to look at in your handicapping:

Race 1
Oh Brother Go: Throw out last
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Race 3
Gone With It
Back to Baze. Throw out last
Selections: Comes out of a key race.
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Race 5
Not a Kitten: Trainer Art Sherman’s home track and love Munnings offspring first out.
True Testament: Jerry Hollendorfer trained. Need we say more.
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Race 6:
Sunny Jade: Good comeback work.
Crason: Drayden Van Dyke know this track.
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Race 7
Ladies Man: Throw out last.
Atascaderan: Loves this track.
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Race 8
Sundy Sunday: Mario/Peter Eurton team up.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Wednesday, Aug. 10

Preview: Half of the card will be on the Jimmy Durante Turf Course and the rails will be at 30 feet. Speed suddenly got good over the weekend on the grass so keep it in mind. Flavien Prat is the top grass jockey with 8 wins from 46 mounts followed by Kent Desormeaux 7-38 and Victor Espinoza 5-22.

Totally forgot to post all races. sorry.

Race 1: 1. Pay the Fine, 2. Rangi, 3. Chips All In. LONG SHOT: Arizona Moon.

Race 2: 1. #4 Time and Chance (3-1), 2. Ponder Lea, 3. Basie Boots. LONG SHOT: Reckless Charm.
Trainer Ron Ellis received this horse from Gulfstream Park, obviously looking for the Ship N Win bonus. The filly has speed and shown that in two works over the Del Mar surface. On top of that Ellis gets Rafael Bejarano to ride and he hasn’t used the perennial riding champ in the last two years.

Race 3: 1. Dixie Patrol, 2. Ky. Colonel, 3. Farley. LONG SHOT: Chase the Money.

Race 4: 1. #2 Bolitar (5-1), 2. Papa Papa Papa, 3. Basinca. LONG SHOT: Dreamy Martini.
This colt has been away since February but has been tearing up the track in the mornings at Los Alamitos. The Doug O’Neill barn has been in a slump but he is due to break out. O’Neill is 23% with beaten favorites and this 3-year-old takes a class drop.

Race 5: 1. Albeit, 2. Too Much Drama, 3. Tanager. LONG SHOT: Starring Role.

Race 6: 1. #9 Billy Big (3-1) BEST BET, 2. Lucky Whalen, 3. The All Button. LONG SHOT: Cedar Rapids.
This colt is making his first start in the U.S. for trainer Phil D’Amato and is crying out for two turns on the turf. The sire, Royal Applause, averages 7.4 furlongs with winners and the sire of the broodmare, Act One, averages 10.1 furlongs. D’Amato is 25% spring to turf and gets Kent Desormeaux to ride and they are 2-for-3 at Del Mar the last two years.

Race 7: 1. Anytime Anyplace, 3. Heiri of Storm. LONG SHOT: Songforjohnmichael.

Rcae 8: 1. La Premiere Etoile, 2. Southern Drawl, 3. Haute Style. LONG SHOT: Lethal Legacy.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, June 26

Preview: Gold Cup Day and we like the idea of running the race as the last event on the card. Rafael Bejarano went 2-for-2 on Thursday to create some space in the jockey’s race and he could pick up some more today as Flavien Prat is suspended and can only ride in the Gold Cup. Bad day on Friday as favorites won everything and my favorites ran up the track

Race 3: #4 Concorso (9-2): Trainer Dan Hendricks is 2-for-8 at the meet. This gelding showed good speed in breaking his maiden at Los Alamitos but he also has the Brisnet top Late Pace Rating. Hendricks is 21% with horses coming off a 46 to 90-day layoff and jockey Drayden Van Dyke gets aboard.

Race 4: #7 Chasing Aces (6-1): Trainer Peter Miller scored Thursday with a maiden training at San Luis Rey Downs and that’s what we have here in this colt sired by Flatter, an 11% first out sire. Miller is 17% first time out and he’s 26% with jockey Fernando Perez.

Race 6: #8 Family Code (3-1): This gelding pressed the pace in his last win and has two wins over this track. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is 48% when he drops a horse off a win.

Race 7: #5 Tiz No Bluff (6-1): This colt is making his second career start after an even effort in his first try around two turns. He should improve off that effort for trainer Ron Ellis, who is 24% with horses off a 61 to 180-day layoff and 20% on the dirt.

Race 8: #2 Kobe’s Back (5-2): Absolutely love this horse in this spot going 7 furlongs. He also loves this track with a 6-3-2-0 record over the oval. There is plenty of speed in here and he has Brisnt’s top Class and Late Pace Ratings.

Race 9: #1 Bal a Bali (9-2): This horse has run all 21 lifetime efforts on the grass so why does Richard Mandella run him here? Because he’s a Hall of Fame trainer. The 6-year-old horse from Brazil has been tearing it up in the mornings in workouts on the dirt and there are no world beaters in this race so why not take a shot? Mandella is 26% going from turf to dirt and 22% with beaten favorites. This horses has been facing tough ones on the grass so the class shouldn’t be a problem and jockey Flavien Prat stays aboard.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, June 24

Preview: Get use to these mediocre cards the rest of the meet, except for a few stakes races on the weekends. Hope some of you had the 9-1 Hawk’s Eyes on Thursday.

Race 4 – SA
#8 Biltmore Boogle (2-1): Trainer Mark Glatt claimed this gelding out of his last race and is 30% first time off the claim and 50% (4 for 8) dropping a horse off the claim. Jockey Fernando Perez, who is 20% with Glatt, jumps on.

Race 5 – SA
#8 Rob’s Golden Touch (5-1): This gelding has some early speed, always at good thing on this track, and he has won over it before. The 4-year-old is also coming out of a key race at Los Alamitos.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, June 17

Preview: Now that Golden Gate has finished its meet in Northern California you will see plenty of horses shipping south to either score at Santa Anita or get in a race before a money run at Del Mar.

Race 5 – SA
#5 Halo Darlin (5-1): This filly makes her turf debut for trainer Mike Puype. Jockey Joe Talamo keeps the mount on this daughter of Lucky Pulpit, who gets 9% first out grass winners. This filly had the top late pace rating from Brisnet in her last race at Los Alamitos.

Race 8 – SA
#6 Watch Me Now (4-1): This filly was claimed out of her last race by trainer Doug O’Neill, who is 20% first off the claim. O’Neill is also 23% with beaten favorites and 20% with jockey Flavien Prat, who jumps aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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