Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Thursday, Oct. 8

FIRST RACE: 1. Dive Down, 2. Doyouknowsomething, 3. Dr. Vincentstein. LONG SHOT: Wild.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Ground Rules, 2. Sammy Mandeville, 3. Solid Wager. LONG SHOT: Infinite Magic.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Always a Chance, 2. Shared Image, 3. Lucky Student. LONG SHOT: Larocco.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Kitty’s Karma, 2. Appealing Lady, 3. Diamond Debbie. LONG SHOT: Slew’s Charm.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. #6 Popsracer (15-1), 2. I’ll Play My Hand, 3. Woody’s Folly. LONG SHOT: Poythress.

It’s taken five races to finally gets this 3-year-old around two turns. By Scat Daddy out of a Lemon Drop Kid mare, he is bred to go two turns. There’s a good work coming into the race and jockey Victor Espinoza takes over.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Yet Anotherkafwin, 2. Hennythelovepenny, 3. Cadet Roni. LONG SHOT: Zananb.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Minster’sadventure, 2. Sadie Clare, 3. Wild Bella. LONG SHOT: West Coast Storm.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #8 Be a Lady (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Pulpit Rules, 3. Bella Anatola. LONG SHOT: Juju’s Mojo.

This 2-year-old filly left her race at the starting gate in her debut. Beside, trainer Peter Eurton has better numbers second time out than with first-timers. Jockey Mario Gutierrez keeps the mount on this son of Cindago, which is pure sprint breeding.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Thursday, Sept. 3

FIRST RACE: 1. Central Casting, 2. Aiming Straight, 3. Marquee Cat. LONG SHOT: Tumbleweedprincess.

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SECOND RACE: 1. #4 She’s Flush (6-1), 2. Zanbo, 3. Fantastic Mizz. LONG SHOT: Jade With Envy.

This filly has been overmatched in a pair of Cal-bred stakes. She now returns to the claiming ranks for trained Ed Moger Jr. and gets the services of jockey Corey Nakatani, who has been knocking them dead on the turf this meeting.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Scarlet Emerald, 2. Blue Chat, 3. Of Course It Is. LONG SHOT: Brookes All Mine.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Sir Cal, 2. Heat, 3. At Ease. LONG SHOT: Sundar Drums.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Harbaugh, 2. Moonlight Meeting, 3. Karma King. LONG SHOT: Love de Car.
Come one, have you a better hunch on the opening day of the college football season?
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SIXTH RACE: 1. #8 MERLE (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Pipappy, 3. Dirt in Your Face. LONG SHOT: Pleasure Point.

Trainer Neil Drysdale is giving up on this 3-year-old gelding as he drops him from an MSW to the maiden claiming ranks. Drysdale is 58% when he puts a horse in a maiden claimer for the first time. This horse showed a little talent last time until he got steadied on the turf and now runs on the dirt for the first time. Look for big improvement here.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. #2 Turnover (6-1), 2. Boozer, 3. City of Vengeance. LONG SHOT: Seeking the Sherif.

Trainer Bob Baffert isn’t known for turf sprinters but he might have one here in this 4-year-old. The gelding was sired by Big Brown (12% first time turf) out of a Lemon Drop Kid (12%) mare. That screams turf. There some decent works and he might surprise.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Tizmatic, 2. Alltheleavesrbrown, 3. Vartan. LONG SHOT: Pyrotechnics.

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Wednesday’s top choice winners: 1 (Forthenineteen $5, second race)

Wednesday’s second choice winners: 1 (Sugar Spice $7.40, fifth)

Wednesday’s third choice winners: 3 (Downtown C.T. $13.40, third; Halo Darlin $25.60, fourth; Wild in the Saddle $40.40, eighth)

Wednesday’s long shot winners: 1 (Temperature Runnin $28.40, first)

 

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Wednesday, July 29

FIRST RACE: 1. He Will, 2. Oil, 3. Prodigious. LONG SHOT: Hye I’m Jack.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Worldwide, 2. Where Was Eddie, 3. Chromium. LONG SHOT: Mr. Zippers.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Tizcano, 2. Well Maybe, 3. Jimmy Bouncer. LONG SHOT: Clever Royal.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. #8 Lov Fool (12-1), 2. Rich Girl, 3. Tequila Mary, LONG SHOT:  Tumbleweedprincess.

Trainer Tim Yakteen is 18% in maiden claiming events. Here he adds blinkers to a filly that showed speed last time and he puts the red-hot Flavien Prat aboard.

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Race 5: #7 Warm Endowment (5-2) STUCK IN RACE AND LIKELY TO SCRATCH

This filly is sired by Unusual Heat (12% first time turf) and is out of a Lemon Drop Kid (13%) mare. That screams turf and two turns. The 2-year-old got her prep at Los Alamitos and today is graduation day for trainer Dean Pederson, who is 43% with first-time turfers. If she runs, she’s our best bet, but it sounds like she will scratch.

FIFTH RACE: 1. Land Over Sea, 2. Asian Moonlady, 3. She’s On the Line. LONG SHOT: Red Stitch.

 

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Temperature Runnin, 2. Bonus Spin, 3. Anita Marie. LONG SHOT: Lucky Student.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Kyankes, 2. Belle Et Bete, 3. Housemaker. LONG SHOT: Sound City.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #8 MIGHTY BROWN (6-1), 2. No Ez Money, 3. Shakahari. LONG SHOT: Saint Adalbert.

Midwest-based trainer Michael Stidham already has a couple wins at the meet and he puts 19% barn rider James Graham up here for this Arlington Park invader. The son of Big Brown has two wins on dirt and a good work over the track. Stidham is 28% going route to sprint.

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Sunday’s top choice winners: 3 (Hide My Heart $3.20, first race; Far Out Kailee $22.20, third; Spirit of Ten $10.80, 10th)

Sunday’s second choice winners: 2 (Newfound Gold $4.20, fourth; Songbird $6.40, seventh)

Sunday’s third choice winners: 0

Sunday’s long shot winners: 2 (Rare Candy $6.60, fifth; Wild Dude $24.60, sixth)

 

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Churchill Downs, Horse racing, Kentucky Derby, Triple Crown

Churchill Downs opinions for Saturday, May 2

Race 3: #5 Gandono (15-1)

This son of Lemon Drop Kid, a 14% turf sired, got rained off the turf in his last but showed marked improvement. Trainer David Carroll puts blinkers on today and jockey F. Geroux (a 20% turf rider) takes over.

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Race 8: #11 Water Hole (12-1)

Trainer Chad Brown puts this 4-year-old filly in a graded stakes for her U.S. debut, which says a lot. Jockey Gary Stevens (22% turf rider) and should have her in the right position turning for home.

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Race 13: #5 Imslopokerodriguez (15-1)

Certainly New York-based trained Rudy Rodriguez could have found a spot at Belmont to run this son of Tae of the Cat (16% sire first time out), but he decides to run here and puts in a huge work over the track to boot. NY’s Irad Ortiz rides and is 24% with Rodriguez.

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Jeff Nahill’s Kentucky Derby top four

 #10 Firing Line

#18 American Pharoah

#8 Dortmund

#15 Frosted

 LONG SHOTS: International Star and Mubtaahij

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita early opinions for Sunday, March 8

Working the desk last night and time change have done me in for full picks today. Check me out on twitter @Jeff_Nahill to see if I like anything else earlier on the card. Thanks for reading.

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Race 6: #8 Pay the Fine (8-1)

The son of Square Eddie showed speed and faded in his debut last month. He should only improve off that effort and the Doug O’Neill barn seems to be heating up. Jockey Elvis Trujillo takes the mount.

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Race 9: #1 Paythebank (12-1)

Trainer Eric Kruljac sends this gelding around two turns off a run down the hill. He put a good work into the son of Lemon Drop Kid (fastest of 138) and drops into a maiden claimer for the first time.

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Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (Miss Boom Boom $3.60, third race; Royal FJ $22, eighth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 3 (Summer Veil $3.40, first; Anytime Anyplace $9.40, sixth; Lost Bus $7.40, seventh)

Friday’s third choice winners: 0

Friday’s long shot winners: 0

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Saturday’s top choice winners: 3 (Pulling G’s $6.20, fifth race; Arethusa $22, sixth; Shared Belief $2.60, 11th)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 2 (Dortmund $3.60, seventh; Wild Dude $5.80, ninth)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 2 (Whisk $30.20, third; Black Betsy $7.60, fourth)

Saturday’s fourth choice winners: 0

Saturday’s long shot winners: 1 (Ring Weekend $17.40, 10th)

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Dec. 28

Race 2: #3 Fiesta Rose (2-1)

This 2-year-old filly broke her maiden with ease at Gulfstream and was claimed by trainer Efren Loza Jr., who is 40% first off the claim from 15 horses. This filly was bred to be a sprinter and leading jockey Antonio Gallardo.

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Race 8 – Tam

#9 Remember Ned (9-2) ***

Our Eyes: This 3-year-old filly finished fourth in her debut at Tampa a year ago and returns under trainer Christophe Clement, who is 22% off long layoffs and 21% with all turf starters. The daughter of Lemon Drop Kid has been training steadily at Payson Park and jockey Channing Hill jumps on.

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Race 10  – Tam

#7 Anita Partner (8-1) ***

Our Eyes: Trainer Tom Proctor is one of the top conditioners on this circuit on the grass and he drops this 2-year-old filly into a maiden claimer for the first time, a move he is 21% with. She has been facing tougher at Keeneland and Churchill Downs. Jockey Channing Hill keeps the mount.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Aug. 16

FIRST RACE: 1. Test Ride, 2. Vegas Strip, 3. He’s a Bling. LONG SHOT: Moonlight Meeting.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Kadesha, 2. Sistas Stroll, 3. Remarkable Moon. LONG SHOT: Starry Skies.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Secret Command, 2. Presiding Justice, 3. Sidepocket Champ. LONG SHOT: Candy Anniversary.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Miceli, 2. Relentless Heat, 3. Greeley Awesome. LONG SHOT: Timeless Indy.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Eldorado Prado, 2. Zimmer, 3. Valley Cat. LONG SHOT: Craving Carats.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Abusive Power, 2. Kantune, 3. Discreet Prince. LONG SHOT: Pappou.

ABUSIVE POWER (4-1), a 2-year-old son of Curlin has been training well in the mornings for Bob Baffert. The barn’s top jockey, Martin Garcia, gets aboard and it might be time for Baffert to start getting to the winner’s circle again.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Yard Line, 2. Got Even, 3. Lolo El Canonero. LONG SHOT: Seeking the West.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Sea Queen (best bet), 2. Diversy Harbor, 3. My Conquestadory. LONG SHOT: Tepin.

Trainer Christophe Clement leaves the cozy confines of Saratoga and when he does that he’s live. SEA QUEEN (5-2), a daughter of Lemon Drop Kid, just finished second in the Grade I Belmont Oaks Invitational. Turf master Rafael Bejarano gets the mount and he will find a winning way from the outside post.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Moscato Girl, 2. Adriatic Skye, 3. Salsita. LONG SHOT: Bird In Love.

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10TH RACE: 1. Bayview Drive, 2. True Visionary, 3. Classified Weapon. LONG SHOT: Royal Tale.

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Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (Eltoninadress $43.80, fourth race; Natal $6.60, seventh)

Friday’s second choice winners: 1 (Kings Adventure $4, first)

Friday’s third choice winners: 1 (Istanford $4.60, sixth)

Friday’s long shot winners: 0

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