Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, July 10

Preview: Final day of the meet. Thank God. The last three weeks have been torture. Still not sure why Santa Anita couldn’t have waited 10 days to re-sod the turf course. Thank God, on to Del Mar on Friday.

Race 3 – SA
#3 Tuscany Beauty (5-2): This filly just finished second over the track and trainer Bruce Headley is 63% with beaten favorites. Jockey Edwin Maldonado stays aboard and he’s 38% with Headley at Santa Anita.

Race 6 – SA
#6 Tell Me a Story (6-1): Trainer Peter Miller trains out of San Luis Rey Downs so you never know how fast these 2-year-olds really are but this colt has one bullet work and gets Lasix. The sire Telling is 17% with firsters and jockey Fernando Perez is 31% with Miller at Santa Anita.

Race 9 – SA
#1 Distinctive B (12-1): We go back to that man, Peter Miller, here in the finale. This gelding was claimed in April and hasn’t run since. There is a bullet showing in his last work at SLRD and Miller is 34% first off the claim. He puts blinkers on and this 5-year-old has the best Brisnet Late Pace Rating.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Feb. 21

Preview: Not a bad card. The smallest field is in the first with just seven horses. Trainer Tom Proctor has won 3 of his last 9 starters while his usual jockey Brian Pedroza is 3 for his last 10 starts. Big long shots on Friday’s card. Let’s hope it continues.

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Race 1: #6 Misty Steps (15-1)

 Trainer Anthony Granitz has done well here in the last in dirt route races. This filly is trying two turns for the first time in a long time, but Granitz is 14% going sprint to route. This 4-year-old has Brisnet’s best late pace rating.

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Race 6: #2 Glencoe Girl (turf only) (12-1) 

Trainer Graham Motion tried to get this filly on the turf first time out but it was taken off and she still finished third on the dirt. The race is under her belt and now Motion adds Lasix and he’s 23% first time Lasix. The sire Giant’s Causeway is 9% first time turf.

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Race 7: #4 Jersey Blue Giant (6-1) 

This gelding has won 5 of 7 on the main tack here. Trainer Joe Woodard is 25% third off the layoff and jockey Angel Serpa keeps the mount.

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Race 8: #6 Captain Kitten (turf only) (12-1)

This 3-year-old broke his maiden at first asking on the turf at Delaware Park. Trainer Steve Epley Jr. brings him down for his first start of 2016 and he is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff and he gets good turf jockey Daniel Centeno.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Feb. 20

Preview: Interesting card with the highly anticipated debut of Ziconic, a son of Zenayata, set to run in what looks like a tough maiden race in the third.

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Race 2: #4 Decisive Triumph (turf only) (8-1) 

Trainer Graham Motion doesn’t have a win at the meet yet, but he’s too good not to score eventually. This son of Kitten’s Joy should love this distance and surface. Motion adds Lasix and he’s 23% first time he does that plus he adds leading jockey Rafael Bejarano.

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Race 3: #2 Fast Munny (6-1)

This is the race with Zenyatta’s son, Ziconic, plus two horses trained by Bob Baffert and one trained by Jerry Hollendorfer so this could turn out to be a key race. We’re going with the son of Munnings and trained by Craig Dollase, who is 26% with first-time starters. I know the connections are high on this 3-year-old colt, but like I said it’s a tough heat. Flavien Prat rides and he’s 2-for-4 with Dollase.

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Race 7: #9 I’m Zonin (8-1) 

This gelding is in the money 60% (3 for 5) at this distance. Trainer Richard Baltas is 30% going sprint-route-sprint meaning that this 4-year-old should have plenty of stamina. Veteran jockey Stewart Elliott gets the mount.

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FAIRGROUNDS

Race 11 (Grade II Risen Star Stakes: 1.#4 Bistraya (15-1), 2. #10 Airoforce (5-2), 3. #13 Candy My Boy (15-1), 4. #6 Gun Runner (6-1). LONG SHOT: #7 Its All Relevent (15-1).

It’s time for the 50-point races on the Kentucky Derby trail so a win in any of these races pretty much gets you in the starting gate on the first Saturday of May. We’re going with an upset here as Bistraya ships in off a maiden victory in Southern California. Jockey Edwin Maldonado comes along for the ride. Candy My Boy is interesting but that post is a killer.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay opinions for Wednesday, Feb. 17

Preview: Pretty decent weekday card decent the fact that they will run five days this week. Jockey Antonio Gallardo came back to life over the weekend after a huge slump, but we knew that would happen.

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Race 2: #10 Sylver Magic (7-2) 

This filly is making her first start in more than a year. She has been training well and comes out of a key Gulfstream Park West key race. Trainer Gary Jackson is 20% with second time starters and 22% with Manoel Cruz.

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Race 4: #10 Hi Ho Heels (turf only) (9-2)

I would be higher on this filly if it wasn’t for the post position draw. Trainer Gerald Aschinger is 4-for-8 with horses going a route of ground for the first time and he’s good first time turf.

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Race 6: #2 El Santo (turf only) (3-1)

Trainer Efren Loza Jr. has been trying to get this gelding in the starting gate here a number of times, but bad draws have meant scratches. Loza is 42% with first time starters. He’s not as good on the turf, but there must be a reason he wants this 3-year-old on the grass.

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Race 10: #4 Lady Allegra (turf only) (7-2) 

This filly broke her maiden in Ireland and now surfaces here for trainer Arnaud Delacour, who is 20% with horses running off a 90-day layoff or more and 23% first-time Lasix. Red hot jockey Daniel Centeno is aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Feb. 5

Preview: They were back on the turf on Wednesday, There were 10 difference winning trainers while Antonio Gallardo and Ronnie Allen Jr. continued on a riding hot streak with two wins each.

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Race 6: #3 Queen Fiddle (turf only) (6-1) 

This filly’s best race was on the turf and she returns to the green here for trainer Anthony Pecoraro, who is 30% with first-time Lasix. She’s a prep so expect a big effort with Ramon Feliciano aboard.   

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Race 8:  #9 Travel Required (15-1)      

This gelding is still looking for his first win on the turf, but he takes a drop in class into a straight claimer and gets jockey Manoel Cruz for trainer Michele Boyce.

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Race 9:  #3 Good Times Rambles (5-1)

This gelding has loved Tampa this winter, winning twice on the class rise. He moves up again as trainer Benny Feliciano claimed out of his last win and Feliciano is 4-for-8 first off the claim.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Decent Saturday card and a Pick Six carryover of more than $300,000. They say there could be $1.2 million in new money, but with all the snow in the East, I’m thinking it will be more as bettors will only be able to play tracks in Florida, New Orleans and California. The Bob Baffert barn has gotten hot and is 6-ofr-31 on the dirt to lead all trainers on the main track. He is followed by Richrda Baltas (5-25), Bill Spawr (5-11) and Vladimir Cerin (4-9). Guys looking for their first dirt win are Gary Sherlock (0-12), Mike Pender (0-10) and Mike Machowsky (0-10).

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Race 2: #3 Where’s Bubba  (7-2)

As we stated Bill Spawr is one of the top dirt trainers this meet. Just draw a line through this gelding’s last race and the previous race puts right there with these. Spawr is 37% going from route to sprint.

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Race 5: #3 A Colt Following (7-2) 

We’re sticking with Bill Spawr in this one, too. This colt won at this level last time and Spawr is daring someone to claim him. Again the route to sprint angle (37%) comes into play.

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Race 9: #7 Sudden Sam (6-1) 

Breeder/owner Nick Alexander likes to win races, especially with homebreds. There are a lot of fast works o this 3-year-old but I guarantee trained Phil D’Amato (16% with firsters) has him fit. Tribal Rule is a 15% sire with firsters and this one gets Lasix, too.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Check the morning changes because Tampa was off the turf on Friday so there will definitely be some give in the ground, if they stays on the grass. Really good card. Lots of quality so do your handicapping accordingly. Obviously Antonio Gallardo leads all jockeys on both the turf and dirt. The other top three turf jockeys are Daniel Centeno, Ronnie Allen Jr., and Fernando De la Cruz. They are also the top four jockeys on the dirt with Jose Ferrer (10 wins) also one to watch on the main track.

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Race 3: #12 Kicking Kitty (9-2)

Jockey Scott Spieth normally rides for trained Aldana Gonzalez but jumps off one of her entries in here to ride this mare, which is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners. Trainer Kitty Cheeks is 30% with horses coming off a layoff of more than 90 days.

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Race 5: #1 Annie Rocks (9-2)

Leading rider Antonio Gallardo doesn’t need to ride every race, but he gets on this filly, which is coming out of a Gulfstream Park race that has produced five next out winners.

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Race 7: #2 Awesome State (8-1) 

Trainer Brian Lynch is trying to find out what he has here with this Canadian invader. Lynch has spotted his horses well with a 2-for-4 record. Lynch is 22% with horses first time in his barn.The horse also adds Lasix for the first time.

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Race 10: #9 British Bulldog (turf only) (3-1) BEST BET

This colt ran in Southern California as a 2-year-old and comes out of a race that has produced two winners. Trainer Tom Proctor knows how to get them ready off a layoff and barn rider Brian Pedroza takes the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing

Gulfstream Park West opinions for Friday and Saturday, Nov. 20-21

Gulfstream Park West for Friday, Nov. 20

Race 4: #2 Duffle Bag (5-1) 

This 2-year-old showed speed in his debut at Pimlico and now drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and tries turf. Trainer Dane Kobiskie is 22% with horses trying grass for the first time.

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Race 9:  #1 Karlyrae’swarrior (5-1)

Trainer Robert Dibona claimed this 3-year-old out of a race at Keeneland, which has produced two winners from the first three horses to run back. Dibona is 20% going sprint to route and 38% with horses in the allowance ranks.

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Gulfstream Park West for Saturday, Nov. 21

Race 7: #4 Little Caton (7-2)

This 2-year-old ran like a horse that needs Lasix as she showed speed and faded in her debut. Trainer Carlo Vaccarezza, who has won 5 of his last 10 starters, does add Lasix in this spot and drops her in class.

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Race 8:  #10 Media Kid (8-1)

Trainer Joe Sharp has shipped to South Florida this year and he wins wherever he goes. This gelding gets some class relief on the drop from racing in New York. The gelding is 2-for-3 at this distance and good turf rider Tyler Gaffalione gets aboard. I would protect myself with the 7-5 favorite, Treasury Devil, trained by Jorge Navarro with an exacta box.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos (and Belmont) opinions for Thursday, July 2

Race 1: #1 Zees Chris (10-1)

Our Eyes:  Jockey Drayden Van Dyke was the king of Los Alamitos last year, granted he had a 5-pound weight allowance, but he hasn’t forgotten how to ride. Van Dyke jumps on this long shot for trainer Mike Harrington and we’ll take a flyer. I’m kind of stunned Van Dyke only has three mounts on the card. Why would trainers put no name jockeys on their mounts instead of a jockey who dominated this track last year? Just plain stupid. 

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Race 3: #1 Warm Endowment (7-2)

Van Dyke jumps on this first-timer starter for trainer Dean Pederson, who is 23% with firsters. This daughter of Unusual Heat (9% with first timers) has been training well at Los Alamitos and should be ready to go.

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Race 7: #4 Magic Mark (15-1)

This gelding had a third over the track last year and now trainer Ron Ellis has him third off the layoff (31%). Van Dyke jumps on and he is 32% with Ellis.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 6: #3 Messi (4-1)

Trainer Graham Motion is 32% with horses making their U.S. debuts. This one was suppose to run last week, but it was rained off the turf. Motion adds Lasix and has gelded the horse since its last race.

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Race 8: #5 Can’thelpbelieving (8-1)

Trainer Graham Motion gave this colt a confidence builder with a win at Parx. Top jockey Javier Castellano takes the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a couple others) opinions for June 28, Sunday

Race 2: #3 Missy Mouse (8-1)

Trainer Eddie Truman has been a master with horses running down the hill this meet. This filly broke her maiden going down the hill and then won a first-level allowance race against Cal-breds. Now she runs in open company at same level and will be flying at the end.

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Race 7 – SA

#9 Matter of Luck (6-1)

Trainer Dan Blacker drops this filly into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time, a move he is 3-for-3 with. She is also coming out of a key race where the top three finishers all came back to win.

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Race 10 – SA

#8 Scuti de Patuti (4-1)

This filly comes out of the same key race the other maiden filly did, too. This daughter of Decarchy finished fifth in that heat and trainer Mike Puype is 21% going from MSW to maiden claiming. Joe Talamo takes the mount.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 8: #8 Messi (6-1) SCRATCHED OFF THE TURF

Trainer Graham Motion is 32% with horses running for the first time in the U.S. He adds Lasix and jockey John Velazquez to this import.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 4: #6 Big Grandpa (5-1)

Trainer Kirk Ziadie is 37% with horses making a start off a 46-90-day layoff and this one is also coming out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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