Breeders' Cup, Horse racing, Keeneland, Keeneland Race Course, Kentucky, Lexington

Breeders’ Cup selections for Friday, Oct. 30

In case you don’t know it, Beholder has been scratched from Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Classic due to bleeding in her lungs after a gallop on Thursday.

It’s a shame because I really wanted to see her face American Pharoah, but the show much go on so here are my thoughts for Friday.

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Sixth Race: JUVENILE TURF

7-Ray’s The Bar

2-Azar

11-Hollywood Don

4-Shogun

If we get this morning-line, I’ll be stunned as trainer Chad Brown and jockey Javier Castellano just don’t go off at 20-1. RAY’S THE BAR had traffic trouble in U.S. debut so here’s hoping for a clean trip.

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Race 7: DIRT MILE

5-Lea

3-Liam’s Map

1-Red Vine

7-War Envoy

LIAM’S MAP will be everyone’s single here. Not me. This Bill Mot runner LEA is a perfect 3-for-3 at the distance and finished third in the Dubai World Cup. Mott put a good work into over the track recently signaling all systems are go.

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Race 8: JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

3-Alice Springs

10-Illuminate

14-Last Waltz

8-Harmonize

Sticking with the Euros in this race. They just seem to do well here. The condition of the turf course will be a concern to some after rain most of the week but reports are that the inside is harder than the inside so you might see horses all over the place depending on what type of turf they prefer.

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Race 9: DISTAFF

1-I’m a Chatterbox

14-Sheer Drama

7-Wedding Toast

6-My Sweet Addiction

Boy, if Beholder was healthy and running in this race she would be 1-9. She’s not so let’s go with an up and coming 3-year-old filly facing older for the first time in I’M A CHATTERBOX. Larry Jones is a great trainer and will have her ready.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing, Keeneland

Del Mar picks for Thursday, Oct. 29 (plus a few others)

FIRST RACE: 1. Doyouknowsomething, 2. Player’s Charm, 3. Vartan. LONG SHOT: Exemplar.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Pico Chick, 2. Exit Sixty Slew, 3. Swag Money. LONG SHOT: Amare.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Follow Me Cerv, 2. Sunbeamsfromheaven, 3. Mister Blue. LONG SHOT: Zim N the Mailman.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Newfound Gold, 2. Razorbill, 3. Karma King. LONG SHOT: Surf N Ski.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. John’s Success, 2. Lovenseek, 3. Trifecta. LONG SHOT: Peach Arch.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. #7 Pacific Heat (9-2) BEST BET, 2. Just Google Me, 3. Obey. LONG SHOT: Forthenineteen.

Trainer Peter Eurton doesn’t get them ready first time out so for this one to win first time out by 13½ lengths is impressive. Even more impressive is the fact he went wire-to-wire and had the best late pace BRIS figure.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Tiz a Kiss, 2. Hiking, 3. Natice Heart. LONG SHOT: Queenofthepalace.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #3 Dirt in Your Face (4-1), 2. Dakota Deacon, 3. Alltheleavesrbrown. LONG SHOT: Ghost of Navigator.

This 3-year-old drops down to the level where he finished second at this summer. He has a good work coming into the race and trainer Tim Yakteen is 43% with horses moving down two or more classes. Jockey James Graham takes over.

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Gulfstream Park West 

Race 1: #2 Megatoni (turf only) (5-1)

This 2-year-old finished sixth at this level over the track three weeks ago. That race has produced three next out winners and she gets a jockey change to E. Jaramillo.

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Race 8: #7 Expect Some Drama (15-1)

Trainer Jane Cibelli is 36% with horses going down two or more class levels. On top of that this filly is coming out of a key race and apprentice jockey Harry Hernandez takes over.

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Keeneland Race Course 

Race 6: #5 Clearly Confused (5-1)

Our Eyes: This filly has been playing musical trainers lately, ending with her third conditioner in her last three races. But this much is clear she is coming out of a Del Mar race that has produced three winners already and she finished third in a Grade I over this track in the spring.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Triple Crown

Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, June 6

Jeff Nahill’s Belmont Stakes picks

#6 Frosted

#5 American Pharoah

#2 Tale of Verve

#8 Materiality

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Race 6: #10 Sky Kingdom (6-1)

This race is a trial for jockey Victor Espinoza and trainer Bob Baffert for the Belmont later in the day. This 6-year-old has never been worse than second at this distance and he has been training lights out at Santa Anita for this race.

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Race 7: #10 Light the City (12-1)

Tough to explain her last, but she has since been sent East to trainer Kiaran McLaughlin, who is 58% with horses the first time he runs them. She seems to be training well at Belmont and jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., who is 34% with McLaughlin, takes over.

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Race 10: #8 Biz the Nurse (15-1)

Our Eyes:  This horse makes his third start in the U.S. and he was a good fourth last time out at Keeneland. He’s moving up in class but in Grade I company in Europe and could be ready to unlease a big effort with new rider Joel Rosario.

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Race 13: #8 Biz Looie (12-1) ***

Our Eyes:  Trainer Jorge Navarro has a horse in the Met Mile and brings this high-priced claimer along, too, and also lets jockey Martin Pedroza ride. This gelding is coming off a wire-to-wire win at Gulfstream, beating the morning-line favorite in this race, Social Inclusion.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions (plus one from Belmont) for Friday, May 29

Race 1: #4 Where Is My Mind (7-2) 

Trainer A C Avila returned from a recent suspension and looks to get back in the win column. He is 57% with horses coming off a 61-180-day layoff like this 3-year-old filly.

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Race 3: #6 Baby Bea Scattin (7-2)

It’s possible this daughter of Scat Daddy wants further, but the sire has a 14% win percentage first time out and the dam’s sire is also 14% (Unbridled’s Song). Think maybe Art Sherman has a live one here.

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BELMONT PARK                  

Race 8: #11 Silver Ride (6-1)

This colt turned in a clunker in his 2015 debut at Keeneland, but three horses have come out of that race to win. On top of that trainer Brian Lynch wanted to put this 3-year-old on the grass in his debut but it got rained off. Now they try turf today.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Dec. 28

Race 2: #3 Fiesta Rose (2-1)

This 2-year-old filly broke her maiden with ease at Gulfstream and was claimed by trainer Efren Loza Jr., who is 40% first off the claim from 15 horses. This filly was bred to be a sprinter and leading jockey Antonio Gallardo.

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Race 8 – Tam

#9 Remember Ned (9-2) ***

Our Eyes: This 3-year-old filly finished fourth in her debut at Tampa a year ago and returns under trainer Christophe Clement, who is 22% off long layoffs and 21% with all turf starters. The daughter of Lemon Drop Kid has been training steadily at Payson Park and jockey Channing Hill jumps on.

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Race 10  – Tam

#7 Anita Partner (8-1) ***

Our Eyes: Trainer Tom Proctor is one of the top conditioners on this circuit on the grass and he drops this 2-year-old filly into a maiden claimer for the first time, a move he is 21% with. She has been facing tougher at Keeneland and Churchill Downs. Jockey Channing Hill keeps the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Dec. 12

Race 5: #7 Framed (12-1)

This old-timer has been in the money more than half the time at this distance. Coming out of a key race at Churchill Downs which has produced three winners so far. Horses coming from Louisville have done well here and jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. is one of the top jocks on the circuit.

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Race 9: #5 Gavroche (3-1)

Trainer Eoin Harty, who is based in Southern California, does very well at Tampa with limited starters. This 3-year-old gelding is coming out of a Keeneland race which has produced 4 winners so far and the horse has been working well for his return.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Dec. 10

Thought we’d try and have some fun at another track this winter so we’re giving Tampa Bay Downs a whirl to see how it goes.

Of course, Gulfstream has the best racing in Florida in the winter, but you will see top trainer like Bill Mott ship in to Tampa with lesser stock or an easier spot for a horse.

Of people on the West Coast, trainer Tom Proctor and Eoin Harty both have strings at Tampa and you will see some of these horses in Southern California down the line.

The meet is  just underway but as we’ve noted in our picks Gulfstream West and Keeneland have proven to provide the most winners so far. Laurel Race Course and Thistledown have produced three winners while Gulfstream Park, Delaware Park and Hawthorne have produced to winners each. In the past, horses shipping in from Indiana Downs have done well in Tampa, but that hasn’t been try so far this meet. Keep an eye on it.

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Race 6: #7 Magic Luck (6-1)

Trainer Jason DaCosta is 32% shipping horses and turf to dirt. This 3-year-old gelding has won over the track before and ships in from Gulfstream West (aka Calder), which has produced the most winners at the meet so far (nine).

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Race 9: #1 Fine Candy (6-1)

Trainer Tom Proctor drops this 3-year-old filly into a maiden claimer for the first time and he is 20% with that move. She is bred to go long and coming out of a race a Keeneland, The track has produced six winners so far at Tampa Bay Downs. She also has a decent work last week.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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