Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, June 3

Preview: It’s another mediocre midweeek card but there is the the return of Lord Nelson for trainer Bob Baffert in the seventh race. When last seen, Lord Nelson finished third to Runhappy in the Grade I Malibu on Dec. 26. Just a note: This will be the final week of racing on the downhill portion of the turf course as the remodeling of the course begins so look for lots of 6 1/2 furlong races.

Race 5 – SA
#9 Mysterious Miracle (4-1): This filly ran second in her only try down the hill. Trainer Phil D’Amato tried to get her on it again but it was rained off and she broke her maiden on a wet fast track. The red-hot D’Amato returns her to the turf where he is 21% going dirt to turf. He is 21% with jockey Joe Talamo.

Race 6: #7 Like That (9-2): Really like the Australian sire Lonhro, who gets 11% first out winners. We would love it even more if this race was on the grass, but trainer Peter Miller still gets good numbers first out (15%) and puts good speed rider Edwin Maldonado aboard. This filly has been training at San Luis Rey Downs away from the private clockers so Miller might be trying for a score here.

Race 8 – SA
#8 Radiant Journey (5-2): Another Phil D’Amato mare that finished second in her only trip down the hill. This one has been away since November at Del Mar. She is taking a big class drop from open company to Cal-bred company. D’Amato is 27% with horses off a 180-day layoff or more. She has speed and that has done well on the turf this year.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Fair Grounds, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, March 26 (Plus Fair Grounds)

Preview: Sort of a tough card with maiden races and the like and fields aren’t all that full. Just have to make the best of it. Plus I added the two big races from the Fair Grounds.

                                

Race 3 – SA

#2 Yana (6-1): The turf stretchout didn’t work for this mare last time so trainer Bill Spawr cuts her back on the dirt and he is 38% going from route to sprint plus he has his main man, Agapito Delagadillo aboard and they are 27%.

                   

Race 9 – SA

#5 Red Buttton (12-1): It could be a big day for the Bill Spawr barn as he brings this gelding back off a poor turf effort. Jockey Joe Talamo jumps on and he’s 24% with Spawr over the last year.

 

THE FAIR GROUNDS

 

Race 9 – FG

#8 Land Over Sea (3-1): After five straight losses to superstar Songbird, trainer Doug O’Neil has seen enough and decides to flee Southern California. This daughter of Bellamy Road has finished second to Songbird twice this year. O’Neill gets John Velazquez to ride. We’ll never get this morning-line.

                              

Race 10 – FG

#9 Dazzling Gem (12-1): Trainer Brad Cox has said he isn’t running in the Louisiana Derby for the heck of it and we believe him. This 3-year-old is a perfect 2-for-2 and while jockey Shaun Bridgmohan must work out a trip from this bad post, we think he can and the price is right.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Feb. 27

Preview: Lots of sprint races on the card. In looking at some jockey stats, some riders to avoid on the dirt are Tiago Pereira (1-44), Gonzalo Nicholas (1-32), Iggy Puglisi (0-17) and on the grass Joe Talamo (1-51), Mike Smith (1-28) and Victor Espinoza (1-24).

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Race 7: #7 Tannersmymuscle (8-1) 

As we mentioned jockey Joe Talamo is having trouble on the turf but on the dirt he has 16 victories. This gelding is making his second start off the layoff and trainer Ron Ellis is 36% second off the claim. The 6-year-old also has the best Brisnet Late Pace Rating.

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Race 9: #5 Proud ‘n’ Ready (turf only) (8-1) 

This filly makes her second start down the hill and while she showed speed last time she also had the best Brisnet Late Pace Rating. Trainer Peter Eurton is 25% second time grass and he’s a good combination with jockey Mario Gutierrez.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, Jan. 31

Preview: The forecast is for 100% chance of rain and has been for days so I don’t understand why Santa Anita carded so many turf races. I didn’t even look at the grass races because I know they will be decimated by scratches so I just stuck to the dirt/slop races.

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Race 2: #6 Armoured Car (3-1) 

When trainer Richard Mandella drops into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time he is 35%. This son of Giant’s Causeway has a good mud Tomlinson and jockey Alex Solis keeps the mount.

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Race 7: #4 Eighty Three (3-1) 

As of Friday morning, trainer David Jacobson was winless this winter after shipping a string West from New York. Normally, Jacobson is 25% with shippers and this gelding is 2-for-2 on a wet track and that’s what we are hoping for here as Gary Stevens picks up the ride.

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Race 9: #7 George’s Main Man (15-1)

This gelding has won twice over this track but his last two are tough to explain. Trainer Mike Puype drops him and Puype is 71% when he drops more than two class levels. Journeyman Joe Talamo takes over for apprentice Ty Kennedy.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Jan. 9

Race 1: #7 Pageant Material (5-2)

Trainer Richard Baltas has been hitting on all cyclinders so far at the meet. This filly ran a big race over this track in October but ran into the highly regarded Bellamentry. She holds an early pace edge and class edge over these plus jockey Santiago Gonzalez rides.

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Race 6: #1 Rare Candy (6-1)

This newly turned 3-year-old finished fourth over this track in his only dirt race. He finished fourth to undefeated Nyquist that day and now adds blinkers as trainer David Hofmans searches for the right formula. Jockey Joe Talamo stays aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Jan. 8

Preview: Again due to the weather, no turf racing. In fact, no turf racing the entire week per Santa Anita management. Thursday’s card saw speed dominate early but as the track dried out closers were able to win. How it plays today is anyone’s guess.

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Race 2: #5 Swag Money (6-1)

Finished fifth in a maiden claimer at Del Mar and the top two finishers from that race came back to win. Joe Talamo keeps the mount for trainer Keith Desormeaux. Think the time off will serve him well.

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Race 4: #5 Fugacious Dancer (4-1)

Broke slow in debut last May but still finished third. Trainer Simon Callaghan is 19% with horse off a 90-plus-day layoff. Callaghan is 26% on the dirt and 23% in sprints. Jockey Tyler Baze stays on.

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Race 8: #6 Secret Chords (5-2) BEST BET

This filly finished second at Del Mar and was claimed but the claim was voided. She comes back at the same level for trainer Eddie Truman, who is 35% with beaten favorites and 39% third off the layoff.Has early speed and might be long gone under jockey Mario Gutierrez.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Sunday, Nov. 29 (closing day)

FIRST RACE: 1. Diablo Caballero, 2. Cool Green, 3. Sundar Drums. LONG SHOT: Otto’s Echo.

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SECOND RACE: 1. #8 Intoxicating Move (4-1), 2. Vanlose Stairway, 3. With a Twist. LONG SHOT: Artistic Charm.

Tough to explain the last race by this mare, but it would appear she likes going around two turns better with three lifetime wins. She takes a drop in class for trainer for trainer Jack Carava and he goes with good turf rider Corey Nakatani.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Wise Tale, 2. Start a Runnin, 3. Purrin’ Proud. LONG SHOT: Fin de Semaine.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. It Is Living Water, 2. Thanksgiving Day, 3. Nahem. LONG SHOT: Bird E House.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Perfect Set, 2. Ike Walker, 3. Crucero. LONG SHOT: Gold Treasure.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. #9 Rare Candy (15-1), 2. Dressed in Hermes, 3. Imperious One. LONG SHOT: Ninety One Assault.

This colt comes out of the Front Runner at Santa Anita. All he did was finish fouth behind the 1-2 finishers in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Nyquist and Swipe). It appears this 2-year-old likes grass better and Joe Talamo knows how to ride on the turf.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Lord Walton, 2. Hard Gale, 3. Hoffenheim. LONG SHOT: My Patate.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Olorda, 2. Filimbi, 3. Stellar Path. LONG SHOT: Curlin’s Fox.
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NINITH: 1. #6 RIM NICK (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Miner’s Light, 3. Agronomy. LONG SHOT: Trump Diesel.

It would be right to close out the meet with the leading jockey (Rafael Bejarano) and leading trainer (Doug O’Neill). This first-time starter is sired by J P’s Gusto, who gets 18% first-time winners. Plus this one seems to be training good over the track.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 4 (Roper $5.40, first race; Tulira Castle $3, second; Tribal Jewel $15, sixth; Dortmund $3.20, eighth)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 1 (Path of David $7.60, third)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 0

Saturday’s long shot winners: 0

 

   

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