Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Oct. 13

THIRD RACE: #6 Earring (2-1)
I don’t normally like betting favorites, but the way I look at this filly is that she can be a single in the Pick 5 and a single to start off your Pick 6. Trainer Tom Proctor is one of the best with turf horses. This 4-year-old finished third to better at Saratoga. Proctor is 21% with shippers and good turf jockey Drayden Van Dyke rides like he normally does for Glen Hill Farm/Proctor.

FIFTH RACE: #8 Gogoula (20-1)
Going to take a shot with a big bomb here. Go back in the past performances and you will find this filly has run down the hills before in a minor stakes and she wasn’t disgraced. She takes a drop in class and had trouble at the start in her last. Worth a flyer.

SEVENTH RACE: #3 Popular Kid (5-1)
I’ll be honest here: I hope my friend Jeff Bloom wins with #2 Kona Dreams but he is a 3-year-old facing older and he’s been done in by speed duels in his last two races. And there is a ton of speed and pressers in this race. Therefore I was looking for a closer. I consider #9 Quality Line, but he just doesn’t seem to want two turns. Then I saw Popular Kid. Look two races back to what Kent Desormeaux did in just missing on the Del Mar turf. He took the horse back and that’s exactly what he needs to do today.

EIGHTH RACE: #1 Air On Fire (10-1)
The “other” Mandella. Trainer Richard Mandella has the morning-line favorite in Milhaud (5-2) and this first-time turfer. Air On Fire is a son of Unbridled’s Song, who gets 13% winner first time on the turf. He has a big work showing and jockey Rafael Bejarano takes over. A Mandella exacta box would seem to be in order.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Wednesday, Aug. 9

PREVIEW: In looking at the post position stats after the first three weeks, the inside has been the place to be in sprints, distance races and on the turf. The inside five posts have won 71% of the dirt sprints. In dirt two turn races, one weird stat is that post No. 6 has won nearly 25% of the races (14-of-57). On the turf, outside of post 6 is not the place to be.

FIRST RACE: 1. Bridal Arch, 2. Warrior Vixen, 3. Christmas Carol. LONG SHOT: Grace Hopper.

SECOND RACE: 1. Dream Police, 2. Radio Silent, 3. Monterey Shale. LONG SHOT: Seal Six.
Friend Jeff Bloom hopes gelding can get the job done after finishing a close up third last time. The 5-year-old is taking a sneaky class drop from open $16k claimer to $16k claimers that are nonwinners of three.

FIFTH RACE: 1. MR VARGAS (Best bet), 2. Zipman, 3. Tina’s Exchange. LONG SHOT: King Caymus.
Always like Florida speed in breeding and that’s what we have in the fifth race today with Mr Vargas. This appears to be a private purchase by Samantha Seigel (Jay Em Ess Stable) and she is looking for Del Mar’s Ship and Win money. The 3-year-old by Midshipman has been throwing nothing but bullets in morning workouts. Apprentice Evin Roman gets aboard and I look for him to go straight to the front.

For the rest of my picks, go to:
http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/sd-sp-delmar-handicapping-aug9-story.html

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on the Twitter

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