Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 30

Race 1: #5 Trapnall Hall (3-1): Trainer Jason DaCosta is 29% with horses trying to repeat a win in the claiming ranks. He was also 39% with dirt routers last year at this track.

                              

Race 4: #1 Little John W (6-1): Trainer Trainer Reid Nagle has done a good job of spotting his horses with a 7-for-12 record at the meet. He ships this colt up from Gulfstream Park and drops him in class. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps on.

 

Race 6: #6 Believe Indeed (turf only) (6-1): Jockey Daniel Centeno could have ridden a horse for Christophe Clement but decides to jump back on this filly trained by Arnaud Delacour. She ran a good race on the turf last time and figures to only improve in this spot.

 

Race 9: #7 Trousseau (4-1): This race is begging to be won by a first-timer as those who have run aren’t the greatest. Trainer Arnaud Delacour is 21% with first-time starters and he has his main man Daniel Centeno (30% combination) aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 8

 

Race 4 – Tam

#8 Skyfirm (3-1): Trainer Jason DaCosta has been a 39% trainer in dirt routes at Tampa in the past and he gets leading rider Antonio Gallardo to ride here.

                              

Race 5 – Tam: #3 Starship Bellagio (30-1) 

One gets the feeling trainer Dennis Ward is hoping this one comes off the grass. Ward is 22% with horses moving up two or more classes. This filly doesn’t have a win on the turf but she does have a win on an off track. Hmmm.

                     

Race 10 – Tam

#3 Chilham Court (6-1): We’ve espoused what a good meet Kathleen O’Connell has had this year and here she teams up with jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. and they are a 24% combination.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 2

 

Preview: The chance of thunderstorms was 80% for today’s races so I didn’t even look at the grass races, all four of them, since I doubt if they get run on that surface. Trainer Robert Raymond won two races on Wednesday and might be heating up.

 

Race 6: #9 Zach’s Image (6-1): Trainer Monte Thomas is 20% overall with first-time starters and he was 44% last year at Tampa Bay Downs with an average mutuel of $32. We won’t get that, but this gelding has a good work coming into the race.

                              

Race 8: #8 Media Rules (9-2): The only time this filly ran at 5 1/2 furlongs she won and that’s what she gets here in her 2016 comeback race. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz and trainer Jason DaCosta are at 15% combination.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, March 23

Not a great card, but weather looks Ok until at least Friday so races should stay on the grass. Sorry missed Sunday, but buy the Buzz from HorsePlayer Now because I gave out a $46 horse in Scarlett Del.

 

Race 3: #5 Rapo (4-1)

Big jockey change here as Tom Proctor puts Ronnie Allen Jr. on instead of Cecily Evans. Allen is 36% with Proctor as this colt takes a drop in class.

 

Race 6: #6 Chelsie’s Chapel (5-1)

This mare has six lifetime wins over this track and has been right there in her last couple of races. Trainer Barbara McBride cuts her back from 7 furlongs and she should be better for it.

                                

Race 9: #3 Copper Coins (8-1) (turf only)

This This gelding is new to Kathleen O’’Connell’s barn and he has never been on grass or gone two turns so she must have seen something in training to pick this as his comeback spot. Also, she entices leading rider Antonio Gallardo to ride and he’s 25% with her.

 

Race 10: #9 Bayshore Boy (5-1)

Trainer Jason DaCosta has a huge 52% stat when he goes sprint-route-sprint. The gelding takes a drop in class and jockey Fernando De La Cruz stays aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, March 9

Preview: Trainer Gerald Bennett tore it up last week and is the leading trainer but even if he stays hot it’s likely we won’t get a good price on him.

 

Race 3: #1 Gold Value (12-1)

Trainer Joe Arboritanza is very good at horses cutting back in distance and at this level anything can happen so why not go with a price?.

                              

Race 5: #6 Fifth Moon (3-1)

This mare has only run once in her career and trainer Larry Rivelli is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff plus leading jockey Antonio Gallardo jumps on.

                                

Race 9: #8 Trapnall Hall (3-1) 

This gelding has been overmatched so he is sent north to face easier for trainer Jason DaCosta, who employs leading rider Antonio Gallardo.

 

Race 10: #8 Fehsenfeld (9-2) 

The gelding is making his third race off the layoff and may be ready for his best effort. Is transferred to trainer Mandy Ness’ barn and Antonio Gallardo, who has won two races for her, jumps on.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, March 2

Preview: Looks like a warm up in the weather this week. There’s a 20% chance of rain on Wednesday and Friday so it looks like good week. We all know the top jockeys on the dirt but here are some riders that have been less than 10% on the main track: Pedro Monterrey Jr. (6-83), Keiber Coa (5-89), Huber Villa-Gomez (4-83), Gary Wales (4-65), Mike Allen (3-55) and Erick Rodriguez (3-43).

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Race 3 – Tam

#3 The A Plan (5-1) 

This gelding is making his third race off the layoff and comes out of a key raced that has produced two winners of three starters. Also, jockey Fernando De La Cruz jumps on and he is 5-for-15 with trainer Ray Trisler at the meet.

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Race 6 – Tam                

#2 Queen Fiddle (turf only) (15-1)

Another horse running third off the layoff. Trainer Anthony Pecoraro is 36% with horses making their second start on Lasix. Also Pecoraro was 36% with stretch outs at Tampa last year.

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Race 9 – Tam

#1 Strollingintherain (5-2)

Just throw out that last try on the turf because the mare didn’t like it. Trainer Jason DaCosta is 30% going turf to dirt and 37% going from a route to a sprint. DaCosta is 17% with jockey Fernando De La Cruz at the meet.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Jan. 22

Preview: Looks like a decent card for a week day. Trainer Shug McGaughey and jockey Jose Lezcano snuck in on Wednesday and won a couple of races. Always check out South Florida-based outfits come in looking to cash. Trainer Efren Loza Jr. and his 44% first-time starters number has one in the first with #1 Brilliantbydesign but at 5-2 won’t list it but I couldn’t talk anyone out of a horizontal single.

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Race 3: #7 Scottish Sweetie (turf only) (3-1) 

Trainer Joan Scott has won three races at the meet and they have all been with jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. They team up here with this 4-year-old filly which has a 4-1-2-1 record on this course and drops into a claimer for the first time a move Scott is 25% with.

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Race 7:   #8 Hymnotic (6-1) 

Trainer Christophe Clement is one of the South Florida guys we were talking about. He ships this first-timer starter by War Front here for he first start and gets jockey Daniel Centeno, who he teamed up with earlier in the meet for a winner. Clemente is 2-for-3 with firsters at Tampa the last few years.

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Race 8: #5 Ms. Short Fuze (8-1)

Jockey Fernando De La Cruz has been on a roll for a few weeks and he’s 30% over the last year with trainer Jason DaCosta. This filly is dropping into a maiden claimer for the first time and DaCosta is 23% with shippers.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Dec. 19

 

Preview: Now this what bettors want: full fields all around and that’s what this card so hopefully there are a few bombs in the bunch. The rail post has only won one of 25 races in turf routes.

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Race 2 : #8 Gasolina (3-1)

As we have stated before trainer Efren Loza Jr. is deadly with first-time starters (46%) and even more deadly with those debuting in MSW (62%). Loza puts go-to jockey Pedro Cotto Jr. (4-for-7) aboard.

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Race 8: #8 Unbridled Trick (20-1)

This 2-year-old is getting little support on the morning-line because he is coming from a smaller circle in Ohio. Trainer Jason DaCosta is 36% with horses coming off a 46-90-day layoff. On top of that, this horse is coming off a win in a $150,000 and four of the first seven to return from that race have won.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Dec. 11

Jockey Antonio Gallardo is off and running with eight winners. Jockey Daniel Centeno is a master on the turf as shown in two wins on Wednesday. Think Inkling will be tough to beat in last but we’re never going to get the morning-line of 9-5 on this Del Mar turf winner. Would be a single for me in all horizontal wagers.

 

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Race 1: #4 Gimmedapurse (9-2) 

Trainer Jason DaCosta is 36% with horses coming off a 46 to 90-day layoff and he is 34% with jockey Fernando De La Cruz. This filly has won twice over this track in four tries and she holds the Brisnet top class rating.

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Race 4: #4 Fancy Henry (9-2)

This gelding makes his debut in the Larry Rivelli barn after racing in the Wesley Ward silks and Rivelli is 26% with horses the first time in his barn. He is also 3-for-7 with jockey Ronnie Allen Jr.

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Race 5: #4 Orcus (3-1) 

Another horse first time with trainer Larry Rivelli as owner Carolyn Wilson has obviously given him a string to run here. This colt drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and Rivelli is 29% with horses off a 90 plus day layoff.

 

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Dec. 9

Jockeys and trainers are still sorting things out as this is just the fifth program of the new meet. Therefore, keep track of who is hot and who is not. Keep track of where the winning shippers are coming from and it might lead to big payoffs. Today’s card looks OK with the lowest field being seven in the sixth.

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Race 4: #9 Dubious Bachelor (12-1)

Trainer Jason DaCosta is 36% with horses coming off a 46 to 90-day layoff and he is 33% with jockey Fernando De La Cruz. This gelding loves this track with an 8-2-2-1 record.

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Race 7: #9 High Side (firm turf only) (3-1)

This gelding has been away since April but is 2-1-1-0 over with turf course. Trainer Gerald Aschinger is 21% with grass horses and 3-for-6 with jockey Ademar Santos, who must work a trip from the outside.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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