Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 1

Preview: Rain took the races off the turf on Wednesday. Tough to say what will happen Friday and there is a 80% chance of rain on Saturday. Jockey Fernando De la Cruz won three races on Wednesday as leading jockey Antonio Gallardo continues to slump.

 

Race 5 – Tam

#8 Don’tpassjudgement (4-1): This filly takes a drop in class for trainer Joseph Arboitanza, who is a master at turning horses back in distance. This filly has never run this short and should be plenty fit at 6 ½ furlongs.

                              

Race 6 – Tam

#5 Prospect Drive (9-2): This filly ran second on the dirt after it was taken off the grass. She returns to the green and should be ready to go for jockey Samy Camacho and trainer Horacio Barbaran.

 

Race 10 – Tam

#1 Extrovert (20-1): Jockey Samy Camacho has been the king of the long shots at the meet with at least two $100 winners and hit a $30 with trainer Hernan Parra and it’s the same combination here. This gelding ships up from Gulfstream Park so this is a drop in class. He comes out of a key race that has produced three winners from eight starters so far.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, March 25

Preview: There was a 50% chance of rain starting Thursday night so grass racing doesn’t look good for today or the rest of the weekend. Like the sixth race on the turf, but the weather gets me off it but if it stays oon look hard at #4 Harmnotic (8-1).

 

Race 1 – Tam

#1 Gasolina (5-2): Trainer Efren Loza Jr. is 41% at the meet, shipping some down from Gulfstream Park like he does with this colt. The 3-year-old drops in class and gets leading rider Antonio Gallardo. Loza is 27% going from a route to a sprint so this colt is plenty fit.                                

Race 3 – Tam

#2 Angel Falls (7-2): Stays at the same level after claim by trainer Thomas McCooey Jr., who is 31% first off the claim. This filly is also coming out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

                                

Race 4: #5 Megan’s Muse (5-2) 

This filly just gave an even effort on the grass so trainer John Terranova drops her and he is 6-for-8 (75%) when dropping a horse two or more levels. Jockey Jose Ferrer keeps the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, March 11

Preview: Field sizes are finally improving, but everyone is waiting for Saturday’s big Tampa Bay Derby card. On the dirt, trainers to watch are Gerald Bennett (37-119), Jamie Ness (22-84), Kathleen O’Connell (19-91), Dale Bennett (14-47) and Dennis Ward (11-92).

 

Race 2 – Tam

#1 Burley Blaise (6-1) 

Trainer Ian Wilkes races him into shape and this one has been overmatched at Gulfstream Park so Wilkes ships north and drops. Wilkes is 33% when he moves a horse down in class two of more levels.

                              

Race 7 – Tam                

#8 Wicked Rascal (9-2) 

This gelding was overmatched in a minor stakes at Gulfstream Park but he’s back and if he shows the speed he did previously at this track with jockey Antonio Gallardo, he could be gone.

                                

Race 8 – Tam                

#6 Peej (8-1) (turf only) 

Trainer Chris Block is 24% with horses coming off a 90-plus day layoff. This gelding is also coming out of a key Churchill Downs race that has produced three next out winners.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, March 6

Preview: The turf races continue to provide value on the cards as the dirt races are filling up as much as they did earlier in the meet..

 

Race 5: #6 Pete’s Pita (12-1)

Interesting jockey switch here as second-leading jockey Daniel Centeno takes over on this gelding which is 0-for-5 at the meet but has a pair of thirds at this level.

                              

Race 8: #5 Cardinal Cove (5-2) (turf only)

This filly has been overmatched at Gulfstream Park so trainer Kathleen O’Connelll ships her north to a course she won over two years ago. Leading jockey Antonio Gallardo jumps on.

 

Race 10: #1 Hemakingabigscene (4-1)

Finished second at the level in his last race and draws inside for trainer Stephen Lyster and jockey Pablo Morales.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Feb. 28

Preview: Mediocre card due to the five-day racing weeks. Jockeys Dean Butler and Daniel Centeno won twice on Friday’s card and might be hitting a hot spell. Centeno came back to win twice on Saturday, but leading rider Antonio Gallardo at the natural hat trick.

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Race 1 – Tam

#4 Vita Desiderata (7-2) 

This old boy might have gotten fit over the Turfway Park oval and shipped down to cash. He has two big works over the Tampa track for trainer Joe Woodard, who employs Daniel Centeno. They are a 20% combination at the meet.

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Race 5: #1 Swagbag (8-1)

This gelding is shipping up from Gulfstream Park after showing a bit of speed in his last race. Since that race two of the next three horses to run have come back winners so looks like a key race.

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Race 10 – Tam

#5 Pidgeon (2-1) BEST BET

Trainer Larry Rivelli is 30% with horses going a route of ground for the first time. On top of that this is a daughter of City Zip, which produces plenty of turf winners. Jockey Daniel Centeno, who is 38% with Rivelli, stays aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Feb. 24

Preview: Not a great card as the five-day racing weeks start to take their toll. Just nine races and some smallish fields for this track. Tread lightly.

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Race 4: #2 Just My Game (10-1) 

Trainer Kathleen O’Connell is winning 23% of her races here. This filly has run all of here races at Gulfstream Park and if she returns to the form of the race two back, she wins this.

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Race 6: #2 Love Your Humor (6-1) 

This is strictly a jockey-trainer combination angle. This gelding takes a drops in class for trainer William Connelly, who was 2-for-2 with jockey Scott Spieth last year.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 20

Nice big Saturday with 11 races and the smallest field is eight horses so there are plenty of chances for prices.

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Race 3: #10 Skiffs Brewmeister (5-1)

This gelding has run 55 career races and never run on the main track. Trainer Kathleen O’Connell ships him up from Gulfstream Park looking to regain his confidence. She is 16% dropping a horse two or more class levels. Jockey Victor Lebron jumps on this closer.

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Race 7: #5 Mister Nofty (turf only) (6-1)

It appears trainer Keith Nation has been looking to go two turns with this son of Scat Daddy all along. Offspring of Scat Daddy with 15% of the time first effort on the grass and Nation is 18% first on turf. He gets leading rider Antonio Gallardo aboard.

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Race 10: #4 Nate the Natural (turf only) (8-1)

This gelding has a pair of third on this turf course and gets a huge jockey upgrade to Daniel Centeno, who has been hot the last three weeks. Trainer Michele Boyce is winning 23% of her races here this winter and has this one spotted well.

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FAIRGROUNDS

Race 11 (Grade II Risen Star Stakes: 1.#4 Bistraya (15-1), 2. #10 Airoforce (5-2), 3. #13 Candy My Boy (15-1), 4. #6 Gun Runner (6-1). LONG SHOT: #7 Its All Relevent (15-1).

It’s time for the 50-point races on the Kentucky Derby trail so a win in any of these races pretty much gets you in the starting gate on the first Saturday of May. We’re going with an upset here as Bistraya ships in off a maiden victory in Southern California. Jockey Edwin Maldonado comes along for the ride. Candy My Boy is interesting but that post is a killer.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 13

Preview: Great card. All one had to do was look at the jockeys scheduled to run (Javier Castellano, John Velazquez, Julien Leparoux, Jose Lezcano) to know it’s a big stakes day at Tampa. Four stakes on card so should be some prices, hopefully.

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Race 2: #6 Quick Coconut (6-1) 

This is a first-time starter from the Gerald Bennett barn, which is 29% with debuting maiden claimers. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. rides and he is 12-for-24 with Bennett over the last 60 days.

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Race 4: #7 Ms. Scarlet Fever (6-1) 

This 3-year-old filly has never been worse than fifth in five races and that was a stakes race where she was over her head as a maiden. This is a tough race, but trainer Joe Arboritanza is 4-for-7 with horses cutting back in distance.

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Race 6: #5 Mata Mua (turf only) (15-1) 

It isn’t often that you get a morning-line like this on trainer Shug McGaughey and jockey Javier Castellano. McGaughey is 2-for-2 this winter shipping in to Tampa and Castellano got to know this filly last time at Gulfstream Park when she showed speed and tired going longer.

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Race 10: #3 A Lot (turf only) (10-1) 

 Trainer Bill Mott ships this son of Tapit in for this race. Mott takes the blinkers off and he’s 23% with that move. This 4-year-old finished third by a neck in the Tropical Park Derby at Gulfstream Park. The big difference today is he’s moving from an outside post to inside, where his speed can be rationed better by Jose Lezcano.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Feb. 3

Preview: Let’s hope the bad weather is done in Tampa as there was only one day with turf racing last week. Ronnie Allen Jr. led all jockeys last week with six winners and followed closely by Antonio Gallardo, who had five.

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Race 5: 7 Apache Queen (turf only) (6-1)

This filly drops out of a Gulfstream Park MSW that has produced four next out winners. She will be trying turf and two turns for the first time, but she is dropping in class and gets leading rider Antonio Gallardo.

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Race 6:  #3 Fionetta (3-1)     

This speedy mare has won her only career races over this track. She will stay at the same level but gets a cut back in distance and keeps leading jockey Antonio Gallardo for trainer Dale Bennett.

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Race 8: #6 Classic Blaze (5-1)          

Trainer Victor Carrasco Jr., who is 26% first off the claim, claimed this gelding last time and now takes him off the turf and runs him in an elongated sprint. This one should be plenty fit and jockey Jose Garcia is 11% with Carrasco.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Check the morning changes because Tampa was off the turf on Friday so there will definitely be some give in the ground, if they stays on the grass. Really good card. Lots of quality so do your handicapping accordingly. Obviously Antonio Gallardo leads all jockeys on both the turf and dirt. The other top three turf jockeys are Daniel Centeno, Ronnie Allen Jr., and Fernando De la Cruz. They are also the top four jockeys on the dirt with Jose Ferrer (10 wins) also one to watch on the main track.

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Race 3: #12 Kicking Kitty (9-2)

Jockey Scott Spieth normally rides for trained Aldana Gonzalez but jumps off one of her entries in here to ride this mare, which is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners. Trainer Kitty Cheeks is 30% with horses coming off a layoff of more than 90 days.

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Race 5: #1 Annie Rocks (9-2)

Leading rider Antonio Gallardo doesn’t need to ride every race, but he gets on this filly, which is coming out of a Gulfstream Park race that has produced five next out winners.

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Race 7: #2 Awesome State (8-1) 

Trainer Brian Lynch is trying to find out what he has here with this Canadian invader. Lynch has spotted his horses well with a 2-for-4 record. Lynch is 22% with horses first time in his barn.The horse also adds Lasix for the first time.

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Race 10: #9 British Bulldog (turf only) (3-1) BEST BET

This colt ran in Southern California as a 2-year-old and comes out of a race that has produced two winners. Trainer Tom Proctor knows how to get them ready off a layoff and barn rider Brian Pedroza takes the mount.

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