Golden Gate, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, Oct. 23

Preview: Some jockeys are up to rough starts on the main track. Here are a few jockeys to give second thoughts to until they get hot: Mario Gutierrez 0-for-18, Tiago Periera 0-18, Martin Garcia 0-17, Santiago Gonzalez 1-29, Stewart Elliott 1-24 and Chad Lindsay 1-21. Sorry this is late and let’s hope to break out of a slump today

Race 1: #3 Tourny (5-1)
Drops out of a nongraded stakes where she started from the dreaded No. 1 post down the hill. Barring a scratch, she starts from the No. 3 here. She also had trouble at the start last time. Trainer John Sadler is 19% with horses third off the layoff.

Race 4: #4 Student Body Left (5-1)
Scratched out of race going down the hill to try two turns on the turf for the first time. Trainer Scott Hansen is 44% with horses first time on the grass. The sire Tizway gets 13% first time of the turf. Red hot jockey Tyler Baze picks up the mount.

Race 6: #5 Adler (10-1)
Liked this filly last month in her turf debut at Golden Gate, but she didn’t get the best ride. Today Norberto Arroyo takes over and he rode the grass like amad man at Del Mar. Trainer Eddie Truman is 22% with horses off a 31- to 60-day layoff.

Race 9: #7 Forest Blue (7-2)
This gelding gets a key jockey switch to turf maven Flavien Prat. He has the best late pace rating from Brisnet and trainer Peter Miller is 22% with beaten favorites.


Race 9: #3 Telepathy (10-1) (turf only)
It’s tough to pass up a double-digit horse trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and ridden by Juan Hernandez, especially on the turf. Hernandez is a 23% rider on the turf and he’s 45% with Hollendorfer the last 60 days. This gelding hasn’t raced in more than a year but The Dorf is 15% off long layoffs.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Golden Gate, Horse racing, Laurel Park

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday,Oct. 22 (Plus a little Laurel and Golden Gate)

Preview: The week started on Thursday with five jockeys within two wins of each other for leading honors. Norberto Arroyo Jr. was on top with 12 followed by Flavien Prat, Tyler Baze and Kent Desormeaux all with 11. Rafael Bejarano was fifth with 10 wins but he also had 18 seconds and 10 thirds so he’s tough to leave out of any trifectas.

Race 3: #3 Star of Munster (7-2): Trainer Robertino Diodoro puts this one back on the dirt after a pair of failed turf efforts at Del Mar. This filly has three wins over this main track and takes a class drop. Diodoro is 21% with horses off a 46- to 90-day layoff.

Race 4: #7 Big Bane Theory (6-1): Hasn’t been seen since January, but trainer Carla Gaines is 19% off of long layoffs. This horse has won four times over this course in the past and jockey Joe Talamo has had success with him.

Race 7: #3 Adair (3-1): Trainer Ruben Gomez claimed this colt at Del Mar and has been off since. However, this 4-year-old is 5-3-1-1 over this main track and seems to hold a class edge. Gomez is 4-for-8 with beaten favorites and 30% first off the claim.

Race 8: #3 Fueled by Bourbon (8-1): Trainer Bill Spawr has been off to a hot start at the meet (10-3-3-1) and this gelding has won three times down the hill in the past. Spawr is 23% second off the claim and 35% going from a route to a sprint.


Race 6: #1 My Son Ernie (12-1): Trainer Wayne Potts obviously claimed this gelding with this race in mind as the 5-year-old hasn’t faced Maryland-based horses in a long time. Potts is 23% first off the claim and No. 1 post is winning at 18%. This gelding has the top Brisnet Speed Rating from his last race and the top Late Pace Rating. On top of that he’s coming out of a key race.


Race 8: #1 Siberian Laugher (6-1) (turf only): Trainer John Martin trained this one at Golden Gate and then ran on dirt at Fresno. Now tgis gelding is back on his favorite surface as he has five wins here. Martin is 30% second off the claim and 36% going dirt to turf. Jockey Kyle Frey is 31% with Martin the last 60 days.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

Golden Gate, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos RC for Sunday, Sept. 18 (Plus Golden Gate)

Preview: Jockey Stewart Elliott hit the wall after nine winners the first week as he was shut out the first two days of this week. Jockey Kent Desormeaux showed up on Friday and won his first race. Fernando Perez and Tiago Periera after having good meets.

Race 1: #4 He’s a Dandy (4-1)
Our Eyes: Trainer Wilton Whitehouse hit with a Northern California Fair bomber earlier this week and he has this gelding ready to run here. Felipe Martinez takes the mount and the 8-year-old has a good work over the track. Whitehouse is 22% with shippers.

Race 4: #6 Shakeitupbetty (3-1)
Trainer Dean Pederson claimed this mare at Del Mar and drops her a level. He no doubt got her for this spot as she is 1-for-1 over the track. Pederson is 22% first off the claim and Abel Lezcano keeps the mount.

Race 7: #2 Sidepocket Run (5-2)
This mare won at this level at Santa Anita and trainer Phil D’Amato drops her from an open race back in with Cal-breds today. The 7-year-old is 5-2-0-2 at this distance and jockey Martin Garcia, who is 21% with D’Amato, takes over.


Race 1: #4 Ain’t No Other (5-1)
Trainer Tim McCanna brought this gelding to Del Mar, lost him via a claim and re-claimed him back to bring him back to his favorite track. This 8-year-old 11-5-3-1 at GG and 16-5-5-4 on synthetic tracks. McCann is 24% first off the claim and 20% with jickey Ricardo Gonzalez.

Race 3: #3 Mizzen Me (6-1)
Tough to explain the last race other than he lost to a Bob Baffert good thing. Now Keith Desormeaux ships him north to try turf for the first time. The sire Mizzen Mast gets 11% first out winners on grass.

Race 7: #1 Terrys Tom Cat (4-1)
Does this sound familiar? Trainer Tim McCanna brought this gelding to Del Mar, lost him via the claim box and re-claimed him. He cuts him back in distance and jockey Frank Alvarado, who is 23% with McCanna, jumps on.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Golden Gate, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos RC opinions for Saturday, Sept. 17 (Plus Golden Gate)

Preview: Speed wasn’t as good on Thursday’s card as it was the first week of the meet. It might have been the horses running or a change in the dirt surface so make sure you look at Friday’s charts and the first race or two today.

Race 1: #3 Runaway Wildcat (10-1): This gelding has a 4-1-1-1 record over this track and has been given a break since early August. Trainer Lorenzo Ruiz is 27% on dirt and the same percentage with jockey Vinny Bednar, who regularly rides Los Al at night.

Race 3: #5 Coyote Fly (2-1): This colt is 2-for-2 over the Los Al surface and no doubt got claimed at Del Mar to run here.

Race 5: #9 Lofty Cause (4-1): Trainer Mike Harrington trains year round at Los Al and points for this meet. This 2-year-old showed good improvement off a layoff and could be ready for the cap and gown today.

Race 6: #6 Dr. Go (7-2): Another Mike Harrington horse. Gets a big jock switch to Fernando Perez and has a win over the track.

Race 7: #6 Mysterious Miracle (6-1): If you throw out that last race when she got squeezed at the break, this filly looks pretty good at a price for trainer Phil D’Amato. Stewart Elliott takes over and he was on fire the first week of the meet.

Race 9: #5 Hennythelovepenny (8-1): This filly has a 4-1-0-1 record over this track and Bill Spawr drops her into a starter allowance, a condition her win at this track was in. Tyler Baze jumps on and he is 17% with Spawr.


Race 5: #2 Adler (7-2): Trainer Eddie Truman ships up to GG and he’s 43% with shippers. This filly was sired by Unusual Heat and bred to love the turf. Truman is 2-for-4 with horses with two sprints into a route race.

Race 7: #5 Swiss Minister (5-1): Ships up from SoCal after being claimed two back by Tim McCanna, who is 39% second off the claim. McCanna is 33% in turf sprints.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Golden Gate, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos RC opinions for Friday, Sept. 16 (Plus Golden Gate)

Preview: The first week of the meet sprint races were won 25% of the time in wire-to-wire fashion, according to Brisnet stats. The four through seven posts won 20% of the time. In 10 route races, there were no wire-to-wire winners, but you still needed to be close to win. Winners of two-turn races were 1.59 lengths behind at the first call and 0.96 lengths behind at the second call.

Race 5: #3 Peppermint Kitty (7-2)
This filly took some sneaky betting in her debut at Del Mar for trainer Peter Miller before finishing fourth. Jockey Kent Desormeaux saw enough to ride back here and he’s 26% with Miller. The 4-year-old has the best Late Pace Rating from Brisnet, which should help in the longest home stretch in America.

Race 7: #6 Carlsbad Mountain (5-1)
Trainer Robertino Diodoro claimed this gelding from Peter Miller at Del Mar and Diodoro is 26% first off the claim. This gelding has a third over this track in his only appearance earlier this year against tougher. Jockey Stewart Elliott keeps the mount and he’s 40% with Diodoro.

Race 8: #5 Tension (5-1)
This filly was the 13-10 favorite over this track as a 2-year-old and now resurfaces nearly two years later. However, rfarely are Bob Baffert horses short and jockey Stewart Elliott has been hot, especially with the Baffert barn.


Race 5: #5 Brownie Finale (6-1)
Trainer John Martin claimed this colt at Sacramento no doubt with his 3-for-4 record on synthetic tracks in mind. Martin is 44% first off the claim and there’s a big work showing plus Martin is 30% with jockey Roberto Gonzalez.

Race 6: #8 Compel (9-2)
This filly has been running in Southern California, facing way better and dropping to her lowest level ever. Trainer Eric Kruljac is 21% when he drops a horses two or more levels.The 3-year-old has the top Late Pace Rating from Brisnet.

Race 8: #5 Arendal (15-1)
Our Eyes: There are five shippers from Southern California in his maiden race on the turf plus one European import from the Simon Callaghan barn, but we’re going with the first time turfer from the Jerry Hollendorfer barn. This filly is sired by Cape Blanco (Ireland), whose offspring have a winning average of 7.8 furlongs and gets 8% first time out winners. On top of that the mare is out of Danzig, which is 26% first time out on grass. This 3-year-old has the top Late Pace Rating.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, June 17

Preview: Now that Golden Gate has finished its meet in Northern California you will see plenty of horses shipping south to either score at Santa Anita or get in a race before a money run at Del Mar.

Race 5 – SA
#5 Halo Darlin (5-1): This filly makes her turf debut for trainer Mike Puype. Jockey Joe Talamo keeps the mount on this daughter of Lucky Pulpit, who gets 9% first out grass winners. This filly had the top late pace rating from Brisnet in her last race at Los Alamitos.

Race 8 – SA
#6 Watch Me Now (4-1): This filly was claimed out of her last race by trainer Doug O’Neill, who is 20% first off the claim. O’Neill is also 23% with beaten favorites and 20% with jockey Flavien Prat, who jumps aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Golden Gate, Horse racing

Golden Gate opinions for Sunday, June 12

Preview: It’s closing day of the long meet and the 20-cent Pick 6 must be given away today. The jackpot is more than $1.4 million so you count on it at least doubling or tripling today.

Race 9 – GG
#5 Freddies Dream (4-1): This gelding makes his NoCal debut after running for trainer Mike Puype down south. He ends up in the high percentage Andy Mathis barn and he gets perennial riding champ Russell Baze to ride. Baze is 35% with Mathis.

Race 10 – GG
#10 A Little Luckier (6-1): Jockey JJ Hernandez had his choice of four horses in this race and he sticks with this mare. She’s taking a drop in class for trainer John Martin, who hits with 32% of his claimers and 35% with Hernandez.

Race 12 – GG
#9 Call My Bluff (4-1): This filly is dropping from a straight maiden affair to the maiden claiming ranks. She gave an even effort in a sprint and now tries two turns on the grass. Being by Temple City, a son of Dynaformer, she should like the turf and the distance. Trainer Tim McCanna is 2-for-9 dropping into a maiden claimer and he’s 22% with jockey Frank Alvarado. Also consider using the 7 and 12.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Feb. 12

Sorry so late. Bad card, but what are you going to do with five-day racing weeks? Maybe Santa Anita should just run four-day weeks, period, even on holiday weeks.


Race 4: #5 Roianna (6-1)

This filly makes her Santa Anita debut as trainer Ed Moger. Jr. ships her down from Golden Gate. Moger is 30% when he drops a horse two or more levels in class and he puts the red-hot apprentice David Lopez aboard.


Race 6: #10 Juansagain (3-1) 

The claim on this gelding was voided last time so trainer Richard Baltas puts a work into him and drops him, daring someone to claim again. Baltas is 21% second time off the claim and he puts jockey Rafael Bejarano aboard and they are 35% together at Santa Anita.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita early opinions for Sunday, Oct. 25 (plus Gulfstream Park West)

Race 4: #4 Blessherheart (7-2)

Trainer Phil D’Amato drops this filly into a maiden claimer for the first time, a move he is 29% with. She showed speed going long and now cuts back to 7 furlongs. Jockey Tiago Pereira jumps on and he is 27% with D’Amato at Santa Anita.


Race 6: #4 Cant Do the Danse (4-1)

Trainer Jonathan Wong claimed this gelding at Golden Gate and ships south. Wong is a 47% trainer on dirt and 30% with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff. Wong employs red-hot apprentice Ty Kennedy.


Race 9: #6 Lucky Reality (5-1)

Young trainer Dan Blacker doesn’t start many, but this is his best move: going from MSW to maiden claiming. He’s 50% with this move and this gelding finished second at Del Mar in the maiden claiming ranks at a higher level. Jockey Martin Garcia knows the 3-year-old well.


Gulfstream Park West 

Race 2: #5 E Z’s Irishman (8-1)

Was bet down to 7-2 in debut, but didn’t do much running. Trainer Larry Pilotti is 28% with horses making their second career start. Apprentice jockey Harry Hernandez jumps on for a weight break.


Race 5: #1 Morning Calm (turf only) (7-2)

Our Eyes: This colt finished 6th in the John’s Call at Saratoga and now takes a class drop. Also, that race has produced three next out winners. Trainer Michelle Nihei is 21% with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff.


Race 9 – GPW

#6 Set On Salsa (turf only) (8-1) ***

Our Eyes: Trainer Kathy Mongeon ships this filly down from New Jersey where the 4-year-old comes out of a race that has produced three next out winners. Leading jockey Tyler Gaffallione takes the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Sunday, Aug. 23

FIRST RACE: 1. NEWFOUND GOLD (BEST BET), 2. Half Dome Dude, 3. Sunrise Legacy. LONG SHOT: Time to Go Robo.

SECOND RACE: 1. Miss Big Stuff, 2. Shut the Box, 3. Too Much Chatter. LONG SHOT: Cape Nelo.
THIRD RACE: 1. Super Majesty, 2. Clearly Confused, 3. Sky Mega. LONG SHOT: All Star Bub.
FOURTH RACE: 1. Mothernaturespell (7-2), 2. Roianna, 3. Stealth Drone. LONG SHOT: Hi Fever.

Was beaten as the favorite, claimed by trainer Bob Hess Jr. and now moved up a class level. She should fit right in here with these and leading rider Rafael Bejarano takes the mount.


FIFTH RACE: 1. Honor N Grace, 2. Ms. K J, 3. Quality Chimes. LONG SHOT: Designated Royalty.
SIXTH RACE: 1. #3 Mr T Bird (5-1), 2. It Is Living Water, 3. Tiz Dynamic. LONG SHOT: Home School.

The for sale sign is out on this 6-year-old making his second start off a year layoff. He ran OK in his return, passing some tired horses in the stretch at this level. Today, jockey Flavien Prat, who has had a good summer, decides not to ride the inside two horses for this gelding, now trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, who is 3-for-10 at Del Mar with Prat.


SEVENTH RACE: 1. Ponder Lea, 2. Lily Pod, 3. Finest City. LONG SHOT: I’ll Show Me.
EIGHTH RACE: 1. Jimmy Bouncer, 2. Bai a Bali, 3. Talco. LONG SHOT: Kulik Lodge.
NINTH RACE: 1. #1 Can Can Babe (12-1), 2. Gloryzapper, 3. Sweetrayofsunshine. LONG SHOT: Tatum’s Gold.

Trainer AC Avila claimed this 3-year-old filly out of a winning effort at Golden Gate and move her up in class. Avila is 36% first off the claim and 38% off a layoff of 61-180 days. He has been training this 3-year-old for this 7-furlong distance and he is 2-for-3 with jockey Fernando Perez. Upset special.


10TH RACE: 1. Redressthebalance, 2. With a Twist, 3. Zuzu’s Petals. LONG SHOT: Toomanytomatoes.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winenrs: 1 (Skelton Pass $7.60, first race)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 3 (Appealing Tale $4.40, fourth; Procurement $5, sixth; Big John B $6.20, eighth)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 2 (Perfect Set $5.40, fifth; Beholder $6, ninth)

Saturday’s long shot winners: 1 (Casino Call $14.60, seventh)