Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Feb. 10

Preview: Leading rider Daniel Centeno was shut out on Thursday as seven different jockeys won the eight races. Orlando Bocachica was the only jockey to win two races. Leading trainer Gerald Bennett is in a huge slump so beware.

Race 5 – Tam
#5 Pontificate (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Closed like a freight train in his last to get second at this level. Jesus Castanon takes the mount and is 2-for-3 at the meet with trainer Jonathan Thomas. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 8 units to show. EXBX 5-10-3.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Saint Lipsi Chick (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Interesting game of musical chairs in this race between jockeys Ronnie Allen Jr., Centeno and Pablo Morales. Allen ends up on this mare, which has the best Late Pace Rating from Brisnet. While others battle on front end, Allen will bide his time on the class rise. — Jeff Nahill.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 8 units to show. EXBX 6-5-2.

Race 8 – Tam
#2 Tearless (12-1) ***
Our Eyes: Interesting filly hear. One of her few main track tries she won going a mile, but it was on a sloppy track. So was it the slop or the main track. We might find out today with Bocachica aboard. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – Tam
#3 Cincy Belle (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: Centeno and trainer Arnaud Delacour team up with this filly. She finished fourth against winners last time and should be ready in this spot. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Dec. 28

Preview: Of the last 20 races, there have been 20 different winning trainers as leading trainer Gerald Bennett has slowed down after a torrid start.

Race 7: #4 Thunder Harbor (2-1)
This gelding has a pair of seconds at the meet and takes a class drop for trainer Gerald Bennett, who keeps Ronnie Allen Jr. aboard and they are 28% together.

Race 8: #3 Tree Fire (9-2) (turf only)
Trainer Derek Ryan is 21% the second time he starts a horse in his care. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. is good on the turf.

Race 10: #9 Wild Wigglin Jack (8-1) (turf only)
The gelding ran into all kinds of trouble in her last race and now takes a drop in class. Trainer Dennis Ward and jockey Shannon Uske have already won three races together at the meet.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, March 11

Preview: Field sizes are finally improving, but everyone is waiting for Saturday’s big Tampa Bay Derby card. On the dirt, trainers to watch are Gerald Bennett (37-119), Jamie Ness (22-84), Kathleen O’Connell (19-91), Dale Bennett (14-47) and Dennis Ward (11-92).

 

Race 2 – Tam

#1 Burley Blaise (6-1) 

Trainer Ian Wilkes races him into shape and this one has been overmatched at Gulfstream Park so Wilkes ships north and drops. Wilkes is 33% when he moves a horse down in class two of more levels.

                              

Race 7 – Tam                

#8 Wicked Rascal (9-2) 

This gelding was overmatched in a minor stakes at Gulfstream Park but he’s back and if he shows the speed he did previously at this track with jockey Antonio Gallardo, he could be gone.

                                

Race 8 – Tam                

#6 Peej (8-1) (turf only) 

Trainer Chris Block is 24% with horses coming off a 90-plus day layoff. This gelding is also coming out of a key Churchill Downs race that has produced three next out winners.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, March 9

Preview: Trainer Gerald Bennett tore it up last week and is the leading trainer but even if he stays hot it’s likely we won’t get a good price on him.

 

Race 3: #1 Gold Value (12-1)

Trainer Joe Arboritanza is very good at horses cutting back in distance and at this level anything can happen so why not go with a price?.

                              

Race 5: #6 Fifth Moon (3-1)

This mare has only run once in her career and trainer Larry Rivelli is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff plus leading jockey Antonio Gallardo jumps on.

                                

Race 9: #8 Trapnall Hall (3-1) 

This gelding has been overmatched so he is sent north to face easier for trainer Jason DaCosta, who employs leading rider Antonio Gallardo.

 

Race 10: #8 Fehsenfeld (9-2) 

The gelding is making his third race off the layoff and may be ready for his best effort. Is transferred to trainer Mandy Ness’ barn and Antonio Gallardo, who has won two races for her, jumps on.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 13

Preview: Great card. All one had to do was look at the jockeys scheduled to run (Javier Castellano, John Velazquez, Julien Leparoux, Jose Lezcano) to know it’s a big stakes day at Tampa. Four stakes on card so should be some prices, hopefully.

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Race 2: #6 Quick Coconut (6-1) 

This is a first-time starter from the Gerald Bennett barn, which is 29% with debuting maiden claimers. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. rides and he is 12-for-24 with Bennett over the last 60 days.

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Race 4: #7 Ms. Scarlet Fever (6-1) 

This 3-year-old filly has never been worse than fifth in five races and that was a stakes race where she was over her head as a maiden. This is a tough race, but trainer Joe Arboritanza is 4-for-7 with horses cutting back in distance.

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Race 6: #5 Mata Mua (turf only) (15-1) 

It isn’t often that you get a morning-line like this on trainer Shug McGaughey and jockey Javier Castellano. McGaughey is 2-for-2 this winter shipping in to Tampa and Castellano got to know this filly last time at Gulfstream Park when she showed speed and tired going longer.

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Race 10: #3 A Lot (turf only) (10-1) 

 Trainer Bill Mott ships this son of Tapit in for this race. Mott takes the blinkers off and he’s 23% with that move. This 4-year-old finished third by a neck in the Tropical Park Derby at Gulfstream Park. The big difference today is he’s moving from an outside post to inside, where his speed can be rationed better by Jose Lezcano.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Dec. 27

Preview: Trainers Gerald Bennett and Jamie Ness have hit the accelerator and are atop the standings, but it’s tough to get prices on them, especially Ness. Today’s card is a little short on numbers, but the turf races figure to be full.

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Race 6: #4 Cohasset (turf only) (12-1)

Trainer Kathleen O’Connell has been picking up momentum as the meet has gone on with five wins and here she puts this 2-year-old filly on the turf for the first time. The daughter of Desert Party is coming out of a Gulfstream Park West race that has produced four winners from seven next out starters.

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Race 8: #7 Classic Blaze (turf only) (6-1)

Trainer Victor Carrasco Jr. claimed this 3-year-old last time out and keeps him at the same level. Carrasco is 30% first off the claim.

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Race 10: #4 Tiger D (turf only) (6-1)

Trainer Arnaud Delacour is starting to improve that winning percentage after a slow start and he puts his main man, Daniel Centeno, on this gelding that owns a win over the Tampa green.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

 

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Churchill Downs, Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs, Churchill Downs opinions for Wednesday, April 29

Race 4 – Tampa

#1 Hoosier Boy (4-1): Trainer Gerald Bennett is 32% with maiden claimers making their career debuts. The broodmare sire (Cactus Ridge) is 15% with firsters and jockey Ademar Santos is 13% with Bennett in their last 16 starts .

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Race 6 – Tampa

#9 Quiet Virtue (7-2):  Trainer Arnaud Delacour and jockey Daniel Centeno are 69% in their last 13 starters. This daughter of Quiet American finished fifth in her career debut and figures to improve second time out, where Delacour is 24%.

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Race 4 – CD

#7 Day of Fury (5-1): Trainer Bob Baffert shipped this gelding back from Santa Anita with his Derby horses looking for a winning spot. The son of Street Sense drops into a claimer for the first time, a move Baffert is 38% with and regular Baffert barn rider Martin Garcia is named to ride .

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

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