Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Nov. 26 (Opening day)

Preview: The start of a new meet at Tampa Bay Downs and there is one big change to watch: three-time leading jockey Antonio Gallardo is riding in New York this winter so there will be a new top dog. Veterans Daniel Centeno (not riding today), Ronnie Allen Jr., Dean Butler and Fernando De La Criz bare watching. Newcomers to watch are Angel Cruz plus Edwin Gonzalez and Albin Jimenez. The latter two have agent Mike Moran, who was Gallardo’s agent so he has the connections. Also keep track of where the winning horses last ran because horses come from all over for this meet.

Race 4: #7 Supermans Cape (8-1): This colt has been away for more than a year and if there is any trainer can get them ready off such a layoff it’s Larry Rivelli, who is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff. A son of Cape Blanco, he should enjoy the turf.

Race 6: #3 Huntstown (8-1): This gelding had a second over this turf course earlier this year and fits nicely with this group. Ran mainly against Indiana-breds this summer, but no worries about that. He has the best late pace rating from Brisnet.

Race 7: #2 Bluegrass Kid (6-1): This gelding has won over the track before and loves the 6-furlong distance with four wins. Has the top early pace rating and trainer Benny Feliciano is 29% with shippers. On top of that comes out of a key race which has produced two next out winners.

Race 11: #2 Nightbar (4-1): We’ve already extolled the virtues of trainer Larry Rivelli off a long layoff. Now add in a horse that won his first two races over this track plus the fact that the gelding comes out of a race in March that produced three next out winners.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill On Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 22

BuPreview: After an 0-for-7 on Wednesday, leading jockey Antonio Gallardo is 2 for his last 23. Jockey Scott Spieth won twice on Wednesday. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz is riding at Indiana Grand.

 

Race 5 – Tam

#7 Rasta Friends (8-1): Trainer Dennis Ward is good at moving horses up in class, with a 21% winning percentage when he does it. Jockey Vicky Baze will ride.

                              

Race 6 – Tam

#7 Steve Came Thru (6-1): Trainer Kathleen O’Connell drops this gelding in class and cuts him back from two turns to 7 furlongs. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps back on and he has had success with this 5-year-old earlier in the meet.

 

Race 8 – Tam

#9 Dealingatthegate (6-1): Trainer Edward Williams has good numbers at Tampa with stretching a horse out for the first like he is doing with this gelding. Good grass rider Daniel Centeno jumps, which is a positive sign.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 2

 

Preview: The chance of thunderstorms was 80% for today’s races so I didn’t even look at the grass races, all four of them, since I doubt if they get run on that surface. Trainer Robert Raymond won two races on Wednesday and might be heating up.

 

Race 6: #9 Zach’s Image (6-1): Trainer Monte Thomas is 20% overall with first-time starters and he was 44% last year at Tampa Bay Downs with an average mutuel of $32. We won’t get that, but this gelding has a good work coming into the race.

                              

Race 8: #8 Media Rules (9-2): The only time this filly ran at 5 1/2 furlongs she won and that’s what she gets here in her 2016 comeback race. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz and trainer Jason DaCosta are at 15% combination.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 1

Preview: Rain took the races off the turf on Wednesday. Tough to say what will happen Friday and there is a 80% chance of rain on Saturday. Jockey Fernando De la Cruz won three races on Wednesday as leading jockey Antonio Gallardo continues to slump.

 

Race 5 – Tam

#8 Don’tpassjudgement (4-1): This filly takes a drop in class for trainer Joseph Arboitanza, who is a master at turning horses back in distance. This filly has never run this short and should be plenty fit at 6 ½ furlongs.

                              

Race 6 – Tam

#5 Prospect Drive (9-2): This filly ran second on the dirt after it was taken off the grass. She returns to the green and should be ready to go for jockey Samy Camacho and trainer Horacio Barbaran.

 

Race 10 – Tam

#1 Extrovert (20-1): Jockey Samy Camacho has been the king of the long shots at the meet with at least two $100 winners and hit a $30 with trainer Hernan Parra and it’s the same combination here. This gelding ships up from Gulfstream Park so this is a drop in class. He comes out of a key race that has produced three winners from eight starters so far.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, March 23

Not a great card, but weather looks Ok until at least Friday so races should stay on the grass. Sorry missed Sunday, but buy the Buzz from HorsePlayer Now because I gave out a $46 horse in Scarlett Del.

 

Race 3: #5 Rapo (4-1)

Big jockey change here as Tom Proctor puts Ronnie Allen Jr. on instead of Cecily Evans. Allen is 36% with Proctor as this colt takes a drop in class.

 

Race 6: #6 Chelsie’s Chapel (5-1)

This mare has six lifetime wins over this track and has been right there in her last couple of races. Trainer Barbara McBride cuts her back from 7 furlongs and she should be better for it.

                                

Race 9: #3 Copper Coins (8-1) (turf only)

This This gelding is new to Kathleen O’’Connell’s barn and he has never been on grass or gone two turns so she must have seen something in training to pick this as his comeback spot. Also, she entices leading rider Antonio Gallardo to ride and he’s 25% with her.

 

Race 10: #9 Bayshore Boy (5-1)

Trainer Jason DaCosta has a huge 52% stat when he goes sprint-route-sprint. The gelding takes a drop in class and jockey Fernando De La Cruz stays aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 27

Preview: They were off the turf for all but one race on Wednesday and Thursday, but hopefully it’s firm finally. Speaking of the turf, some jockeys to stay away from would be Pablo Morales (2-47), Dean Butler (1-27), Jose Garcia (1-23), Keiber Coa (0-27), Chelsy Keiser (0-26) and Huber Villa-Gomez (0-24).

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Race 2: #7 Rockin Donovan (15-1)

You usually don’t see these connections of jockey Daniel Centeno and trainer Joe Woodard with horse like this on morning-line. We figure at this level if they are willing to ride/run, then we’re willing to take a shot.

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Race 5:  #9 Bank Float (turf only) (5-2)

Jockey Daniel Centeno and trainer Arnaud Delacour have hit at 24% rate the meet and higher on the turf. This gelding’s only two wins came on grass and he had to need his last which is why he ran on the dirt.

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Race 9: #7 Showersofblessings (turf only) (12-1)

This mare is running her third race off a layoff and trainer Michele Boyce is 30% in that situation. Jockey Fernando De la Cruz is 36% with Boyce.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Feb. 10

Preview: Not a great card, but hopefully they will be back on the grass after a full week not on the green stuff. On the jockey front, leading rider Antonio Gallarado had a bad week with just two winners. Ronnie Allen Jr. had seven winners followed by Daniel Centeno and Fernando De La Cruz with five each.

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Race 3: #1 He’s the Dude (turf only) (6-1)       

They tried to get this gelding on the grass in his debut, but it was taken off and trainer Larry Rivelli claimed him out of that effort. Rivelli is 28% with horses off a 90-day layoff or longer.

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Race 5: #5 Calm (turf only) (15-1)

Another filly that set to debut on turf but it was rained off. Trainer Dane Kobiskie is 24% first time turf and brings her up from Gulfstream Park West and drops her into a maiden claimer for the first time. The 3-year-old is also coming out of a race that has produced four next out winners.

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Race 6: #1 Lisa’s Secret (5-2)

Trainer Kathleen O’Connell has had a big meet and this filly comes out of a key race. O’Connell is 30% with jockey Antonio Gallardo, who is due to have a big day.

 @Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Jan. 31

Preview: Not a great card as the fields are smaller than usual and there are just nine races.

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Race 4: 11 Skiffs Brewmeister (6-1)

This gelding has the top Brisnet class rating but has two problems here: he must draw into the race and he will have an outside post if he does. Still, the due of jockey Antonio Gallardo and trainer Kathleen O’Connell have won at a 37% clip over the last 60 days.

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Race 6: #3 Break the Silence (4-1)

Trainer G. Ray Trisler is having his best meet in years at Tampa with seven victories. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz is 4-for-6 with Trisler. This gelding is coming off a maiden claiming win and showed speed and might try the same tactics against winners.

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Race 9: #3 Bluesville (turf only) (5-2)    

Trainer Kathleen O’Connell has had a huge meet and she was forced to run this mare on the main track last time after the race came off the turf. This mare is dropping in class and should be ready for a big effort under jockey Jose Ferrer.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Jan. 23

Preview: Check the morning changes because Tampa was off the turf on Friday so there will definitely be some give in the ground, if they stays on the grass. Really good card. Lots of quality so do your handicapping accordingly. Obviously Antonio Gallardo leads all jockeys on both the turf and dirt. The other top three turf jockeys are Daniel Centeno, Ronnie Allen Jr., and Fernando De la Cruz. They are also the top four jockeys on the dirt with Jose Ferrer (10 wins) also one to watch on the main track.

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Race 3: #12 Kicking Kitty (9-2)

Jockey Scott Spieth normally rides for trained Aldana Gonzalez but jumps off one of her entries in here to ride this mare, which is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners. Trainer Kitty Cheeks is 30% with horses coming off a layoff of more than 90 days.

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Race 5: #1 Annie Rocks (9-2)

Leading rider Antonio Gallardo doesn’t need to ride every race, but he gets on this filly, which is coming out of a Gulfstream Park race that has produced five next out winners.

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Race 7: #2 Awesome State (8-1) 

Trainer Brian Lynch is trying to find out what he has here with this Canadian invader. Lynch has spotted his horses well with a 2-for-4 record. Lynch is 22% with horses first time in his barn.The horse also adds Lasix for the first time.

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Race 10: #9 British Bulldog (turf only) (3-1) BEST BET

This colt ran in Southern California as a 2-year-old and comes out of a race that has produced two winners. Trainer Tom Proctor knows how to get them ready off a layoff and barn rider Brian Pedroza takes the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Jan. 22

Preview: Looks like a decent card for a week day. Trainer Shug McGaughey and jockey Jose Lezcano snuck in on Wednesday and won a couple of races. Always check out South Florida-based outfits come in looking to cash. Trainer Efren Loza Jr. and his 44% first-time starters number has one in the first with #1 Brilliantbydesign but at 5-2 won’t list it but I couldn’t talk anyone out of a horizontal single.

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Race 3: #7 Scottish Sweetie (turf only) (3-1) 

Trainer Joan Scott has won three races at the meet and they have all been with jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. They team up here with this 4-year-old filly which has a 4-1-2-1 record on this course and drops into a claimer for the first time a move Scott is 25% with.

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Race 7:   #8 Hymnotic (6-1) 

Trainer Christophe Clement is one of the South Florida guys we were talking about. He ships this first-timer starter by War Front here for he first start and gets jockey Daniel Centeno, who he teamed up with earlier in the meet for a winner. Clemente is 2-for-3 with firsters at Tampa the last few years.

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Race 8: #5 Ms. Short Fuze (8-1)

Jockey Fernando De La Cruz has been on a roll for a few weeks and he’s 30% over the last year with trainer Jason DaCosta. This filly is dropping into a maiden claimer for the first time and DaCosta is 23% with shippers.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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