Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Wednesday, Aug. 9

PREVIEW: In looking at the post position stats after the first three weeks, the inside has been the place to be in sprints, distance races and on the turf. The inside five posts have won 71% of the dirt sprints. In dirt two turn races, one weird stat is that post No. 6 has won nearly 25% of the races (14-of-57). On the turf, outside of post 6 is not the place to be.

FIRST RACE: 1. Bridal Arch, 2. Warrior Vixen, 3. Christmas Carol. LONG SHOT: Grace Hopper.

SECOND RACE: 1. Dream Police, 2. Radio Silent, 3. Monterey Shale. LONG SHOT: Seal Six.
Friend Jeff Bloom hopes gelding can get the job done after finishing a close up third last time. The 5-year-old is taking a sneaky class drop from open $16k claimer to $16k claimers that are nonwinners of three.

FIFTH RACE: 1. MR VARGAS (Best bet), 2. Zipman, 3. Tina’s Exchange. LONG SHOT: King Caymus.
Always like Florida speed in breeding and that’s what we have in the fifth race today with Mr Vargas. This appears to be a private purchase by Samantha Seigel (Jay Em Ess Stable) and she is looking for Del Mar’s Ship and Win money. The 3-year-old by Midshipman has been throwing nothing but bullets in morning workouts. Apprentice Evin Roman gets aboard and I look for him to go straight to the front.

For the rest of my picks, go to:
http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/sd-sp-delmar-handicapping-aug9-story.html

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on the Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Saturday, Aug. 5

Preview: Boy, is the Peter Miller barn cold or what? He’s is a little tough to bet right now as he hasn’t won a race since the first week of the meet. On top of that he has lost with 12 straight betting favorites. Ouch. Another person to watch is apprentice Evin Roman. Yes, he is tearing it up, but he’s only won twice on the grass in the first 13 days of the meet. Turf riding is an art and he still has a lot of learning to do. Until I see some positive signs, I’m staying away from him, especially in grass route races.

FIRST RACE: 1. Soul Sound, 2. Anchor Baby, 3. Privvy. LONG SHOT: I’m Sassy

SECOND RACE: 1. Roman Tizzy, 2. Private Prospect, 3. So Elite. LONG SHOT: Tisdale.

THIRD RACE: 1. WOOD MACHINE (best bet), 2. Chris and Dave, 3. Unusual Meeting. LONG SHOT: South Texas Lingo.
Trainer Mike Chambers cut his teeth in the Pacific Northwest and in Arizona. Jockey Gary Stevens got his start in Pacific Northwest, too. In today’s third race, Stevens rides Wood Machine (7-2) for Chambers. They scored at nearly 10-1 at Santa Anita with this gelding. Last time, the 5-year-old started from the packing lot (No. 10 of 11 horses). He draws inside here and has the best last win in terms of company lines (a $32,000 claimer). He drops in class and I think Stevens will have him rolling down the stretch.

For the rest of my selections, go to:
http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/sd-sp-nahill-delmar-handicapping-saturday-aug8-story.html

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on the Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Friday, July 28 (First post 4 p.m.) UPDATED

PREVIEW: Speed has always done well on these twilight programs as the moisture stays in the main track making it tighter. Keep that in mind.The rails on the turf course are moved out to 30 feet and that usually means frontrunners have the edge as it’s tough to pass in the stretch. However, on Wednesday, closers ruled the day coming from way back

FIRST RACE: 1. Terra Lago, 2. Fly as a Falcon, 3. Mis Viola. LONG SHOT: Trust Fund Kitty.

SECOND RACE: 1. Excavation, 2. El Super, 3. Country Road. LONG SHOT: Pampers n’ Boots.

THIRD RACE: 1. May B, 2. Stormy Rocit, 3. No Silent. LONG SHOT: Zuri Chop.
The only time this gelding was on the turf, he finished sixth. Trainer Mark Glatt decides to give it another go with this speed demon. Look for apprentice Evin Roman to go front to the front and hope to hang on.

FOURTH RACE: 1. Freedom Journey, 2. Candy Ruler, 3. Dangerously Close. LONG SHOT: Paschalitsa.
FIFTH RACE: 1. Bold Papa, 2. Ashley’s Song, 3. Kings River King. LONG SHOT: Lovely Anzi.
SIXTH RACE: 1. ANN ARBOR EDDIE (Best bet), 2. Fly to Mars, 3. Elwood J. LONG SHOT: Edwards Going Left.
Ann Arbor Eddie just beat older horses and now returns to the 3-year-old Cal-bred ranks. Good spot to pick up a nice check. He is a perfect 3-for-3 against Cal-breds.
SEVENTH RACE: 1. Offshore, 2. Fritz Johansen, 3. Trifecta. LONG SHOT: Special Season.
EIGHTH RACE: 1. Mr. Brightside, 2. Indium, 3. Rick’s Dream. LONG SHOT: Hoppitty

Good luck,

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Friday, July 21 (First post 4 p.m.)

Preview: I’m off to a slow start but I hope some of you bet my long shot Snow Cloud in Thursday’s seventh race. Trainer Jim Cassidy is now 6-for-10 the last two years in Del Mar turf sprints. As for the rest of the day, trainer Peter Miller got off the the duck with the winner in the last race which gave one lucky bettor from New Jersey the whole Pick Six pool. Trainer Vladimir Cerin won his third of the two-day meet.

FIRST RACE: 1. #8 Nazareth, 2. #6 Herunbirdledpower, 3. #1 Sidepocket Run. LONG SHOT: #5 Goliath’s Girl.
Trainer Gary Sherlock is 19 percent with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff. This mare has a 7-1-0-3 record over the Del Mar main track and apprentice Evin Roman jumps aboard.

For the rest of my picks go to:

http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/sd-sp-jeff-nahills-del-mar-handicap-for-friday-20170720-story.html

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Wednesday, July 19 (Opening day) Updated

PREVIEW: Del Mar is finally back and it’s Christmas in July for many people. There is nothing like opening day. On the track, look for Peter Miller to come out swinging with 10 horses set to run in the first card. I set the over/under at 2 1/2 wins Wednesday. Don’t forget red hot apprentice Evin Roman will be riding for the first time at the seaside oval and there will be a learning curve, especially on the turf. It will be fun to watch his development.

FIRST RACE: 1. #5 Getoffmyback, 2. #6 Papa Royale, 3. #4 Our Nation. LONG SHOT: #1 Post Rock.

I look for Miller to get off to fast start and it begins here as Roman rides this gelding. Miller is 26% with beaten favorites and I look for this one to be on the engine from the start.

SECOND RACE: 1. #1 PEDRO CERRANO (BEST BET), 2. #3 Where Y’at Joe Joe, 3. #6 Bronzino. LONG SHOT: #4 Holdthismiss.

It’s Miller time again. This gelding is a perfect 2-for-2 over the track.

THIRD RACE: 1. #2 Cheekaboomboom, 2. #6 Alsatian, 3. #3 Popular Kid. LONG SHOT: #1 Ibon.

FOURTH RACE: 1. #6 Literary Critic, 2. #3 Pretty Owl, 3. #8 Classy Tune. LONG SHOT: #2 Slim Fit.

FIFTH RACE: 1. #9 Mapit, 2. #8 Just a Smidge, 3. #3 Varanasi. LONG SHOT: #5 My Princess Taylor.

SIXTH RACE: 1. #3 Family Meeting, 2. #2 Nodiac, 3. #7 Moonless Sky. LONG SHOT: #1 Bert’s Melody.

SEVENTH RACE: 1. #9 Giant Expectations, 2. #10 Magical Mystery, 3. #1 Miner’s Light. LONG SHOT: #3 Tell Me a Story.

EIGHTH RACE: 1. #2 Bird Is the Word, 2. #4 Bowies Hero, 3. #1 Arms Runner. LONG SHOT: #9 Placido.

NINTH RACE: 1. #3 Helen’s Tiger, 2. #4 Spiced Perfection, 3. #6 Smiling Tigress. LONG SHOT: #9 Steak of Luck.

10TH RACE: 1. #3 Preacher Roe, 2. #5 Que Chistoso, 3. #6 Belisarius. LONG SHOT: #1 Dream Police.

More picks later. Wanna look at works in maiden races.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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