Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, April 23

Race 4 – Tam
#6 Spring Me (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This mare has won at this distance at the meet and gets a jockey change to Samy Camacho. Trainer James Gullick is 23% with sprinters. Worth a shot at the price.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – Tam
#2 Nano’s Crown (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading trainer Gerald Bennett has two in this race and I’ll with the longer choice with leading jockey Daniel Centeno. Bennett is 23% third off the layoff and the filly is coming out of a key race with three next out winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-7.

Race 9 – Tam
#6 Animal Trick (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Edwin Gonzalez might have hit the front too early last time at this level so maybe today a more patient ride is needed. Gonzalez is 2-for-8 with trainer Kathleen O’Connell.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-1-2.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, March 24

Preview: Not sure what the condition of the turf course will be as rain was possible on Thursday. Check for changes. Daniel Centeno and Edwin Gonzalez continue to ride well.

Race 2 – Tam
#4 Phenix (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Jason DaCosta is 40% when he moves a horse from a sprint to a route back to a sprint like this filly. Throw out the last race and look for improvement here.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 2-3 with 4.

Race 5 – Tam
#1 Johnny Bear (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Ashlee Brnjas is 39% when going from dirt to turf. She is 29% with jockey Pablo Morales. Interesting race.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 3-4-6 with 1.

Race 6 – Tam
#2 Bright Blue (30-1) ***
Our Eyes: Trainer Juan Gotera took over training and this gelding has been improved. The 5-year-old is coming out of a key race that has produced three winners. Jockey Samy Camacho is 3-for-7 with Gotera at the meet at big odds.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX all with 2.

Race 7 – Tam
#8 United Song (10-1) ***
Our Eyes: Like we’ve said before jockey Daniel Centeno doesn’t have to ride every race so this first-time starter must be live and at these odds worth a shot.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EX 4-6-7 with 8.

Race 9 – Tam
#7 Unfazed (7-2) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Arnaud Delacour has a pair in here and no doubt Centeno had is choice and takes this 4-year-old filly which finished second in her first race off the layoff. Delacour is 22% second off the layoff and 26% with Centeno.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 7-4 (both Delacour)

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 4

Preview: At the starting of the race wee, trainer Tom Proctor was tearing it up on the turf with 8 wins from 16 starters. Derek Ryan has 4 grass wins followed by Jamie Ness, Robert Smith and Arnaud Delacour with 3 wins each. On the other end of the spectrum, Peter Wasiluk is 0-for-14, Anthony Rini is 0-for-12, William Bradley 1-for-15, Christophe Clement 1-for-13 and David Hinsley 1-for-13. Keep it in mind.

Race 3: #4 Divine Change (5-2): This filly has been running on the grass and facing better, but trainer Dale Bennett wants her maiden broken so he drops her to her lowest level ever and tries 7 furlongs on the dirt. Bennett is 30% going route to sprint and he’s 47% with jockey Pablo Morales at the meet.

Race 7: #6 Great Harbour Cay (8-1): Trainer Jamie Ness and jockey Edwin Gonzalez have been tearing it up, winning 40% of their entries at the meet. At this morning-line this is too good to pass up. Ness is 22% second off the layoff.

Race 8: #10 Tether to Reality (5-1): Joan Scott is a good trainer. She got this gelding to the finish line first in his debut at 5 years old. He is bred to run long and Harlan’s Holiday gets 13% first time winners on the grass.

Race 10: #1 Celebrity Warrior (10-1): Leading jockey Daniel Centeno takes the mount on this class dropped for trainer Derek Ryan, who is 25% with horses the first time in his care.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, Jan. 25

Preview: Daniel Centeno continues to lead the jockeys’ race with 42 winners from just 128 starters (33%) so he is picking his spots and not riding every race. He is followed in the standings by Ronnie Allen Jr. (28-174), Pablo Morales (24-117) and Edwin Gonzalez (23-105). Gonzalez is picking up steam and has made in roads in trainer Jamie Ness’ barn.

Race 1 – Tam
#7 Metroliner (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Here is a perfect example of Centeno choosing his spots. He rides for trainer Frances McNeely’s small barn. This gelding finished fourth at this level and figures to improve off that effort.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 7-6-5.

Race 3 – Tam
#2 Iron Run (9-2) ***
Our Eyes: This isn’t the best group on the grounds so why not go with a first-timer? Trainer Dale Bennett is 14% with first-time staters. The sire Fort Prado gets 7% winners. Bennett is 6-for-12 with jockey Pablo Morales at the meet.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#8 Bombonero (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: Horses shipping in from Laurel have done well during the meet. This colt finished sixth in his debut over the grass at Laurel. There are a couple of good works on the sheet and jockey Edwin Gonzalez jumps aboard.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 10 – Tam
#2 Spunsational (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Michael Wright tried to get this filly on the grass last time but it was taken off. She still finished third. Huge jockey switch to Daniel Centeno and he rides the turf to perfection.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Nov. 26 (Opening day)

Preview: The start of a new meet at Tampa Bay Downs and there is one big change to watch: three-time leading jockey Antonio Gallardo is riding in New York this winter so there will be a new top dog. Veterans Daniel Centeno (not riding today), Ronnie Allen Jr., Dean Butler and Fernando De La Criz bare watching. Newcomers to watch are Angel Cruz plus Edwin Gonzalez and Albin Jimenez. The latter two have agent Mike Moran, who was Gallardo’s agent so he has the connections. Also keep track of where the winning horses last ran because horses come from all over for this meet.

Race 4: #7 Supermans Cape (8-1): This colt has been away for more than a year and if there is any trainer can get them ready off such a layoff it’s Larry Rivelli, who is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff. A son of Cape Blanco, he should enjoy the turf.

Race 6: #3 Huntstown (8-1): This gelding had a second over this turf course earlier this year and fits nicely with this group. Ran mainly against Indiana-breds this summer, but no worries about that. He has the best late pace rating from Brisnet.

Race 7: #2 Bluegrass Kid (6-1): This gelding has won over the track before and loves the 6-furlong distance with four wins. Has the top early pace rating and trainer Benny Feliciano is 29% with shippers. On top of that comes out of a key race which has produced two next out winners.

Race 11: #2 Nightbar (4-1): We’ve already extolled the virtues of trainer Larry Rivelli off a long layoff. Now add in a horse that won his first two races over this track plus the fact that the gelding comes out of a race in March that produced three next out winners.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill On Twitter

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