Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, Feb. 9

Preview: I’ll be honest, the first time through the races I didn’t look at the turf races because with rain on Tuesday I didn’t think they would run on it today, but with warmer weather and rain 100% in the forecast for Friday, I think they will run on it. Also in the seventh race, two horses popped up from one of the biggest key races of the year at Del Mar.

Race 1 – SA
#1 Informant (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: This will be a tough race to beat the favorites, but this filly ran her best race going around two turns at Del Mar and she finally returns to two turns today for trainer Eddie Truman.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 2 – SA
#7 Pearly de Vere (5-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Throw out that last race in the mud. Trainer Peter Miller claimed this mare to run down the hill, where she has three wins. Miller and jockey Kent Desormeaux have been hot. Might be a single in the Pick 5 and Pick 4.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 4 – SA
#3 Nuke Laloosh (5-2) ****
Our Eyes: Sorry, not real original here, but everything Miller sends out is live these days. This gelding has been away since November but it’s Miller and Desormeaux again.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – SA
#8 Oscar Dominguez (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
#1 Landwade Lad (8-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: You never see me “dutch” a race but I’m going to here. These two horses are coming out of a Dec. 2 Del Mar race that has produced four winners from five starters, including Rye ($8) on Sunday. Oscar finished third in that race, beating the fifth place Lad by less than 2 lengths. I would bet both to win and place plus play an exacta box. If the odds get really high on one of them, put an extra bet on that one.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win and 6 units to place. EXBX 8-1.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Monday, Dec. 26 (opening day)

Race 1: #9 Informant (8-1): This filly has never crossed the finish line first as she broke her maiden on a DQ, but she fits here. She is cutting back to one turn and trainer Eddie Truman is 32% third off the layoff.

Race 2: #2 Sawbuck (3-1) BEST BET: This maiden has been favored in his last two and might be here, too. Flavien Prat takes over and this 2-year-old has the second-best early pace rating and the best late rating by Brisnet.

Race 5: #9 Ruby Trust (6-1): There are plenty of top maidens from Bob Baffert and Jerry Hollendorfer in this race, but I’m going with a filly who finished third in a maiden race at Del Mar and that race has produced three next out winners.

Race 8: #8 Mor Spirit (6-1): This might be a prep for this 3-year-old by trainer Bob Baffert, but the fact of the matter he comes out of the Kentucky Derby and six horses have exited that race to win their next race. This ridgling has a 5-2-3-0 record on this track and 7 furlongs hits him right between the eyes.

Good Luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selecttions for Friday, Aug. 19 (First post 4 p.m.)

Preview: The main track has played different on different days of the week. The track usually gets dug up after training hours on Fridays for the later post time so beware. So trainers having a tough meet on the dirt are Cesar Dominguez 0-for-14, invader Chris Hartman 1-for 12, Keith Desormeaux 1-17 and Kristin Mulhall 1-15.

Race 1: 1. Top of the Game, French General.2. Magical Mystery, 3. Bollywood. LONG SHOT: Student Body Left.

Race 2: 1. Dutt Bart, 2. Cioppino Pasadino, 3. Ninety Nine Proof. LONG SHOT:

Race 3: 1. #3 With a Twist (9-2), 2. Molly’s Honour, 3. Swiss Skimmer. LONG SHOT: General Ann.
This mare’s last race was the first time she has lost on this turf course in four tries. That didn’t stop trainer Jeff Mullins from claiming her and moving her up in class. Mullins puts apprentice Chad Lindsay aboard and I think he wants to go to the front with the rails at 30 feet.

Race 4: 1. #2 Shanghai Beauty (6-1), 2. Vow Me Over, 3. Nazareth. LONG SHOT: Mint Julep Taffy.
Trainer Bill Spawr is a master at the claiming game, winning 34% first off the claim. This filly is actually taking a class drop from an open claiming to a non-winners of two. The 3-year-old bobbled at the start and now Martin Pedroza gets aboardh.

Race 5: 1. #6 Aeon (3-1) BEST BET, 2. Fin de Semaine, 3. Moose Skowron. LONG SHOT: Broken Up.
This gelding showed improvement first time on the turf and gets a key jockey switch to master grass rider Flavien Prat. Trainer Eddie Truman is 32% third time off the layoff and the 3-year-old has that key element of speed on this turf course.

Race 6: 1. Informant, 2. Broken Marriage, 3. Gemini Journey. LONG SHOT: Hellacious Hadlee.

Race 7: 1. Fanticola, 2. Annulment, 3. Generosidade. LONG SHOT: Energia Fribby.

Race 8: 1. Alltheleavesrbrown, 2. Where’s the Moon, 3. Thesheetsguy. LONG SHOT: Valentine Boy.

@Jeff_Nahill On Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, March 31

Preview: We’re getting down to the final weeks of the meet before three weeks at Los Alamitos. That means trainers with turf horses will be trying to get a race into them and some jockeys will be packing up and heading for Keeneland. Pay attention to new jockey-trainer combinations.

                                

Race 2 – SA

#7 Seaquet (12-1): This filly got bumped at the start of her debut, but still finished third. Trainer Neil French moves her up to a MSW on the grass and maybe that was the plan all along. French is 3-for-5 with first-time turf and good turf rider Flavien Prat stays aboard.

                   

Race 5 – SA

#6 Pica (4-1): This mare has won over this downhill turf course once before and has the top Late Pace Rating from Brisnet. Apprentice David Lopez takes over and trainer Eddie Truman is 39% third off the layoff.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, March 24

Preview: Look for hot jockeys this week as some jockeys are out of town riding in Dubai and Santiago Gonzalez is out six weeks with a broken jaw. Check for jockey changes but remember the trainer wanted the meet’s No. 2 jockey so keep that in mind and that the horse is probably live.

                                

Race 6 – SA

#3 Esmeralda Belle (6-1): This filly showed some talent last year before going to the sidelines. She drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and trainer Jorge Peridan is 33% with that move. He is also 3-for-4 with horses coming off a layoff of more than 180 days.

                   

Race 7 – SA

#9 Warden of the West (5-1): This colt broke his maiden in New York for Todd Pletcher and now ends up in the barn of trainer Eddie Truman, who is 46% with shippers. He gets leading rider Rafael Bejarano to ride and he will have to work out a trip from the outside with this closer.

 

Race 8 – SA

#2 Seattle Boom (8-1) (turf only): This gelding is dropping into into a maiden claimer for the first time and claimer Craig Dollase is 24% with that move. On top of that he is going two turns for the first time. The sire War Front is a monster is monster of the turf.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Jan. 8

Preview: Again due to the weather, no turf racing. In fact, no turf racing the entire week per Santa Anita management. Thursday’s card saw speed dominate early but as the track dried out closers were able to win. How it plays today is anyone’s guess.

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Race 2: #5 Swag Money (6-1)

Finished fifth in a maiden claimer at Del Mar and the top two finishers from that race came back to win. Joe Talamo keeps the mount for trainer Keith Desormeaux. Think the time off will serve him well.

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Race 4: #5 Fugacious Dancer (4-1)

Broke slow in debut last May but still finished third. Trainer Simon Callaghan is 19% with horse off a 90-plus-day layoff. Callaghan is 26% on the dirt and 23% in sprints. Jockey Tyler Baze stays on.

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Race 8: #6 Secret Chords (5-2) BEST BET

This filly finished second at Del Mar and was claimed but the claim was voided. She comes back at the same level for trainer Eddie Truman, who is 35% with beaten favorites and 39% third off the layoff.Has early speed and might be long gone under jockey Mario Gutierrez.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Sunday, Nov. 15

FIRST RACE: 1. Guessed Right, 2. Shared Image, 3. Fast Magoo. LONG SHOT: Smooth Talker..

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SECOND RACE: 1. California Curl, 2. Dressed to a T, 3. Almost Reality. LONG SHOT: Lily Kai.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Okaad, 2. Carlot Cowboy, .3. Cant Do the Danse. LONG SHOT: Tester.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Urlacher, 2. Uninvited, 3. Trojan Nation. LONG SHOT: Diplodocus.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Captain Carchy, 2. Affluent Asset, 3. Anthonysgotgame. LONG SHOT: Desert Express.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Pay the Fine, 2. Oil, 3. Distinctive B. LONG SHOT: Feisty’s Cause.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. #1 Audacious Angel (12-1), 2. Not Now Carolyn, 3. Ceeme Run Wild. LONG SHOT: Daring Darling.
At this stage of his career, jockey Gary Stevens doesn’t need to ride long shots but he jumps on this one for trainer Eddie Truman and the paid are 45% together in 11 mounts. Truman is 2-for-10 with second-time starters.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. PRETTY N COOL (best bet), 2. Surfside Tiara, 3. Lucky Folie. LONG SHOT: Imflatoutsweet.
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NINTH RACE: 1. Durango Flier, 2. Know Plans, 3. Over Par. LONG SHOT: Wildcat Sailor,
Jockey Rafael Bejarano had his choice of mounts in this spot and chooses this gelding for trainer Peter Eurton and they are a 28% combination. Eurton is 20% off the layoff.
@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter
Saturday’s top choice winners: 1 (Take It Easyplease $5.20, third)
Saturday’s second choice winners: 1 (Drefong $7.40, ninth)
Saturday’s third choice winners: 1 (Rockport Kat $14.20, seventh)
Saturday’s long shot winners: 3 (Q’ Viva $22.60, second; Love de Car $20.00, fifth; Socialized $22.60, sixth)
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Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita early opinions for Thursday, Oct. 22 (Plus Gulfstream Park West)

Race 4: #8 Easy Grader (6-1)

Apprentice Tyler Kennedy has four wins at the meet and is starting to get notice by other horsemen. This filly pressed the pace in her debut and finished fourth. Trainer Eddie Truman is 33% with beaten favorites and he’s 20% off a 31-60-day layoff.

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Race 5: #4 Madikwe (6-1)

Our Eyes: Not sure why trainer John Sadler ran him against winners but drops back into the maiden claiming ranks where he belongs. Jockey Santiago Gonzalez keeps the mount after having trouble at the start last time.

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Race 8: #6 Alpine Luck (6-1)

Our Eyes: This gelding gives his all and showed nice improvement last time over his favorite dirt track. He also has been popular at the claim box as Keith Desormeaux reclaims this 4-year-old.

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Gulfstream Park West

Race 6: #1 Cowtown Jane (4-1)

This filly is taking a class drop off a fifth-place finish in her debut. Trainer Jose Pinchin is 21% with horses making their second career starts. Apprentice jockey Harry Hernandez jumps on.

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Race 8: #1 Jakob’s Way (turf only) (4-1)

Trainer Efren Loza Jr. is 35% when bringing a horse back off a 46- to 90-day layoff like this 3-year-old. The gelding has won over this course in the past and there is a pair off good works coming into the race.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a couple others) opinions for June 28, Sunday

Race 2: #3 Missy Mouse (8-1)

Trainer Eddie Truman has been a master with horses running down the hill this meet. This filly broke her maiden going down the hill and then won a first-level allowance race against Cal-breds. Now she runs in open company at same level and will be flying at the end.

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Race 7 – SA

#9 Matter of Luck (6-1)

Trainer Dan Blacker drops this filly into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time, a move he is 3-for-3 with. She is also coming out of a key race where the top three finishers all came back to win.

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Race 10 – SA

#8 Scuti de Patuti (4-1)

This filly comes out of the same key race the other maiden filly did, too. This daughter of Decarchy finished fifth in that heat and trainer Mike Puype is 21% going from MSW to maiden claiming. Joe Talamo takes the mount.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 8: #8 Messi (6-1) SCRATCHED OFF THE TURF

Trainer Graham Motion is 32% with horses running for the first time in the U.S. He adds Lasix and jockey John Velazquez to this import.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 4: #6 Big Grandpa (5-1)

Trainer Kirk Ziadie is 37% with horses making a start off a 46-90-day layoff and this one is also coming out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a few others) opinions for Sunday, June 14

Race 5: #5 Silver Spirit (5-1)

This 4-year-old has made all of his career starts on the grass and now trainer Julio Canani decides it’s time to try the dirt. Canani puts the blinkers back on, a move he is 43% with. There is a good work over the track, probably with the blinkers back on. Jockey Alex Solis rides.

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Race 7: #3 Clever Royal (turf only)

Trainer Eddie Truman is having one of the best meets of his career and he has been unconscious with horses coming down the hill. This colt won his first race on that course in his last and figures to only improve as Truman is 36% third off the layoff.

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Race 9: #9 True Image (turf only) (4-1)

Our Eyes:  This gelding showed big improvement when put on the turf last time, losing by just two lengths down the hill. The 3-year-old tries the downhill again and Flavien Prat will know this presser better for trainer Mike Machowsky.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 8: #8 My Year Is a Day (turf only) (6-1)

This filly was thought to be hot stuff when she ran in the Edgewood at Churchill as she was bet down to 2-1, but she fought her rider. She’s had a month between races and maybe trainer Graham Motion has gotten her to settle down.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 6: #8 Mischievevouscharlie (10-1)

This 3-year-old filly ran her best career race two back sprinting on the main track. Trainer James McMullen goes back to the well here as a sends her route-to-sprint, a move he is 35% with and she has a decent work coming into the race.

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Race 8: #9 Biggest Drama (5-1)

This 2-year-old colt comes out of a maiden race where the first two horses to run have won so we’re hoping for 3-for-3.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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