Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Sunday, Aug. 20

Preview: Well, the Pacific Classic is over. Bring on the Breeders’ Cup. It’s obvious Arrogate doesn’t like the Del Mar surface but he ran a gutsy race and jockey Mike Smith had him finishing at the end. The deal here is that the Del Mar surface is softer this year due to the rash of fatalities last year. Also the track sped up this week. Coincidence? I’ll let others debate. The real issue is what will it be like in November. It seems to me with cooler weather the track will be tighter. I enjoy all the Gun Runner lovers saying Arrogate is ripe for the taking. The bigger question is will Gun Runner like the Del Mar track? We know Collected does. He’s 7 for 7 on dry dirt tracks. Let that sink in for a minute. It will be interesting in November.

FIRST RACE: 1. Bona Fide Image, 2. Flower Heart Deer, 3. Justice Rules. LONG SHOT: Sea Code.

SECOND RACE: 1. Burn Me Twice, 2. Aristocratic, 3. One I’m Running To. LONG SHOT: Regal Born.

THIRD RACE: 1. Tommy Grossman, 2. Caray, 3. Hawks Peak. LONG SHOT: Spend It.
Tommy Grossman gets a huge jock switch to Evin Roman and trainer Mike Chambers is 30 percent third off the layoff. Caray was claimed by Gary Stute, who is 26% first time off the claim.

FOURTH RACE: 1. Literary Critic, 2. Scandal, 3. Eternal Endeavour. LONG SHOT: Miz Tianjin.

FIFTH RACE: 1. All of a Sudden, 2. Dreamy Gal, 3. Candy Ruler. LONG SHOT: Papercoversrock.

SIXTH RACE: 1. My Man Chuckles, 2. Kenzou’s Rhythm, 3. Van Cortlandt. LONG SHOT: Sutton Impact.

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Pleasant as Pie, 2. Classy Tune, 3. Plane Lucky. LONG SHOT: Sandy’s Surprise.

EIGHTH RACE: 1. Vyjack, 2. Om, 3. Midnight Storm. LONG SHOT: Le Ken.

NINTH RACE: 1. Jungle Warfare, 2. St Patrick’s Day, 3. Zatter. LONG SHOT: Salsa King.

10TH RACE: 1. BROOKS HOUSE (BEST BET), 2. Arethusa, 3. Bombilate. LONG SHOT: La Force.
Trainer Victoria Oliver, who is based in Kentucky, finally shows up in the Del Mar entries. When she comes West, she is usually loaded. In the last three years, Oliver has started 23 horses at Del Mar with six wins, averaging $19 per winner. In the 10th race, Brooks House (15-1) comes in. She finished second over this course in the past and this is too good a price to pass up with excellent turf jockey Drayden Van Dyke in the irons.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Saturday, Aug. 19 (Pacific Classic Day)

FIRST RACE: 1. Inhibition, 2. The Real McCann, 3. Bucky Goldstein. LONG SHOT: Hoppitty.

SECOND RACE: 1. Lord Simba, 2. American Pastime, 3. Taman Guard. LONG SHOT: Coastline.
Trainer Bob Baffert loves to win other races on big days at the track and this son of Discreet Cat has been away since May, when he finished third in the Kona Gold at Santa Anita. I look for a big effort here.

FIFTH RACE: 1. AUSSIE FOX (best bet), 2. Saltini, 3. Lucky Soul. LONG SHOT: Icy Street.
This looks like a wide open race to me, but I love Aussie Fox. The colt just missed last time when he started from the No. 11 post. Today, he gets to start from the inside so look for jockey Rafael Bejarano to gun from the gate. I don’t know if Saltini will be ready off the bench for Richard Mandella, but look who he lost to in his last race … Arrogate. Hmmmm.

EIGHTH RACE ($1 million Pacific Classic): 1. Collected, 2. Accelerate, 3. Arrogate. LONG SHOT: Hard Aces.
I believe Baffert when he says Arrogate is ready to go, but I didn’t like the workout this week with Arrogate looking all over the place when he hit the stretch. I’m sticking with the “other” Baffert play. Collected destroyed Accelerate the last time they met. Some times horses just have another horse’s number like Accelerate already beating Arrogate twice. I hope Arrogate is back to his old self. This sport needs superstars. I’m just not 100 percent convinced. Maybe I will be at 5:46 p.m. today.

For the rest of my selections, go to:
http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/sd-sp-delmar-selections-handicap-nahill-20170818-story.html

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Friday, Aug. 18 (First post 4 p.m.)

Preview: A couple of winners on Thursday and a couple of my long shots came in. Be sure to check those long shots. Beware with sunset coming earlier and earlier, Del Mar is going to cut down on the time in between races in order to keep an 8-race card. So watch the clock carefully.

FIRST RACE: 1. Blue Anchor, 2. Mr. Opportunist, 3. Karma King. LONG SHOT: New Karma.
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SECOND RACE: 1. Gosofar, 2. Vegas Vic, 3. My Friend Tony. LONG SHOT: Thank My Buddy.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Kennedie Sky, 2. An Unusual Group, 3. Del Mar Ann. LONG SHOT: Scatterling.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. RAVEN CREEK (best bet), 2. Katzmoto, 3. My Boo. LONG SHOT: Nova.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Accountability, 2. The Big Train, 3. Popular Kid. LONG SHOT: Plate Side.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Fight Thru, 2. Winning Causeway, 3. Hawk’s Eyes. LONG SHOT: He’saruler.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Kristo Skye, 2. Richard’s Boy, 3. Jimmy Bouncer. LONG SHOT: Guns Loaded.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Make It a Triple, 2. Zap Again, 3. Manning. LONG SHOT: Big Hearted.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Thursday, Aug. 17

FIRST RACE
Where’s the D
Southern Treasure
Kristie’s Heart
LONG SHOT: Be a Lady
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SECOND RACE
Papa Turf
Jonny’s Choice
Over Achiever
LONG SHOT: Shackleford Banks
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THIRD RACE
Relentless Miss
Specter
Tiz Bailee
LONG SHOT: Fast Bid
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FOURTH RACE
Getoffmyback
Jensen
Giro Candito
LONG SHOT: Sidepocket Champ
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FIFTH RACE
SIlverspun Pickup
Sweet Sophie Grace
My Claw
LONG SHOT: Callie Mesa
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SIXTH RACE
My Pi Romancer
Aflewency
Moonshine Annie
LONG SHOT: Lethal Legacy
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SEVENTH RACE
NOTED AND QUOTED
Fact of Life
Avicii
LONG SHOT: Cuddle Alert
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EIGHTH RACE
Go Ghetto
Harrovian
Marq One
LONG SHOT: Big Day Tomorrow

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Wednesday, Aug. 16

Preview: Well had two winners on Sunday and should have had four but I hate to pick favorites. On to a new week.

FIRST RACE: 1. Little Bit Lovely, 2. Not too Shiny, 3. Passionate Emotion. LONG SHOT: Song of Ekati.
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SECOND RACE: 1. Dramatic Ride, 2. Candyman Garret, 3. Wild Verse. LONG SHOT: Alphadar.
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THIRD RACE: 1. STURDY ONE (best bet), 2. Snow Cloud, 3. Lajatico. LONG SHOT: Easy Grader.
I love these 5-furlong turf sprints. Sturdy One has a 5-2-2-0 record over the course, including a win earlier in the meet. She is moving up in class, but I think she can handle it.

For the rest of my selections go to:
http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/sd-sp-nahill-handicap-delmar-20170815-story.html

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Sunday, Aug. 13

PREVIEW: Well, I had no winners on Friday, but I thought some of my long shots ran well. We came back 5 winners on Saturday, not great prices but a winner is a winner. Hope some of you did OK.

FIRST RACE: 1. Empire Ruler, 2. Hard Arch, 3. Water Down. LONG SHOT: Trustworthy.
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SECOND RACE: 1. My Golden One, 2. Hero Ten All, 3. Post Rock, LONG SHOT: Papa Royale.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Eric the Trojan, 2. Bottle Rocket, 3. Secreto Primero. LONG SHOT: Unreal Deal.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Eskimo Roses, 2. Fact Matter, 3. Soul Streit. LONG SHOT: Frenchmen Street.

Trainer Mick Ruis seems to have a good eye for horses. In today’s fourth race he runs Eskimo Roses (10-1) for the first time. Ruis is 4-for-12 with first-timers and this 2-year-old has some nice works.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Captivate, 2. Little Juanito, 3. Red Lightning. LONG SHOT: Cats Blame.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Bendable, 2. Skye Diamonds, 3. Constellation. LONG SHOT: Rockport Babe.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Tooreen Dancer, 2. Lake Time, 3. Spooky Woods. LONG SHOTS: November Tale.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Beantown Boys, 2. Tribal Jewel, 3. Irish Freedom. LONG SHOT: Brimstoned.
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NINTH RACE: 1. POLISHED (best bet), 2. Dawn Traveller, 3. Cinnamon Twist. LONG SHOT: Multiplayer.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Saturday, Aug. 12

FIRST RACE: 1. Spinyatta, 2. Pretty Expensive, 3. Wicked Old Fashion. LONG SSHOT: Californiasummer.
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SECOND RACE: 1. Pedro Cerrano, 2. Casualty, 3. Next Speaker. LONG SHOT: Frac Candy.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Nodiac, 2. Barleysugar, 3. Sweet Dragon. LONG SHOT: Gone to Bali.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Rizzi’s Honor, 2. Sweetwater Gal, 3. La Galy. LONG SHOT: Ghost Lady.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Forest Blue, 2. Los Borrachos, 3. Alley Boss. LONG SHOT: Where Y’at Joe Joe.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Salient, 2. Jet Set Man, 3. Chief Hosa. LONG SHOT: Cal Cal Li Gowchis.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Piedi Bianchi, 2. Fantastic Girl, 3. Beyond Pleasure. LONG SHOT: Steph Being Steph.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Master Merion, 2. Caribou Club, 3. Kencumin. LONG SHOT: Ready To Roc.
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NINTH RACE: 1. Arawak, 2. Run Away, 3. Serengeti. LONG SHOT: Dia de Pago.
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10th RACE: 1. Arch Anthem, 2. Kazan, 3. Data Central. LONG SHOT: Landonese.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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