Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Wednesday, July 17 (Opening day)

Note: As some of you know, my computer was stolen last month and still don’t have a new one. I’m using an old computer which doesn’t have my program on it that I use for my picks so this will be interesting. Good luck to all this season at the seaside oval.

FIRST RACE: 1. I Can Do This, 2. Julius, 3. Mr. Magico. LONG SHOT: Surprise Fashion.
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SECOND RACE: 1. Ward ‘n Jerry, 2. United, 3. Starting Bloc. LONG SHOT: Via Egnatia.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Monsajem Accrete, 2. Ted W, 3. Avanti Bello. LONG SHOT: Gran Fiesta.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Incensed, 2. Giddymeister, 3. Roaring Rule. LONG SHOT: Quality Line.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Flower Point, 2. Tiger Silk, 3. Miss Hot Legs. LONG SHOT: Wandering Patrol.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Lucky Daughter, 2. I Want One, 3. Arouse N Go. LONG SHOT: Golden Goddess.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. SMILING SHIRLEE (Best bet), 2. Sassyserb, 3. Very Boisterous. LONG SHOT: Liberalism.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. King of Speed, 2. Nolde, 3. Jasikan. LONG SHOT: Legends of War.
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NINTH RACE: 1. Bellerin, 2. Coil Me Home, 3. King Jack. LONG SHOT: Buckys Pick.
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10TH RACE: 1. Flicflac, 2. Give Me the Lute, 3. Play Money. LONG SHOT: Sidepocket Action.

Good luck.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for 2019 Summer season

Every year horsemen point for the Del Mar meeting and hold back horses just to try and make a score at the seaside oval.
This 80th season should be no different, but there could be a lot different.
With the Santa Anita debacle, the state has lost plenty of its horse inventory.
You are going to see fewer races at Del Mar and smaller fields, which in turn means lower payoffs and likely more favorites winning races. Del Mar is likely to back load its cards in order to have more horses in the Pick Six races, which are the last six events of each day. It also means shorter fields for the first Pick Five, which Del Mar runs on the first five events of the day, but probably larger payoffs in the late Pick Five, which Del Mar added last year.
Long shots will come, just maybe not as frequently as in the past.
Here are some jockeys and trainers to watch during the summer meet with stats provided by Jim Mazur’s The Del Mar Handicapper 2019 (www.proghandicap.com):

Jockeys
The colony hasn’t changed too much except for the loss of Tyler Baze, who left Southern California during the spring for points east, most notably Kentucky. Baze will ride today on opening day but that might be his only appearance unless he has a stakes engagement or two.
Flavien Prat continues to lead the Southern California colony, especially in turf races. The France native just has a knack for the green stuff, but make no mistake he can ride on the dirt, too. When Prat teams up with trainers Richard Baltas, Simon Callaghan, Phil D’Amato and Peter Miller watch out. Prat and Miller won 47 percent of their races at the 2018 meet (7 for 15).
Drayden Van Dyke has grown up on the circuit since his apprentice days and is tough to deal with day in and day out. Van Dyke rides for all the top outfits, including Bob Baffert, John Sadler and Michael McCarthy.
Veteran Rafael Bejarano seems to have regained his magic from years past and he can be deadly when trying to get a horse home in the stretch. Joe Talamo is a steady rider who has made inroads into the Baffert barn.
Victor Espinoza is back after getting hurt at last year’s meet and Aaron Gryder has returned to the circuit full-time. Hall of Famer Mike Smith will ride a lot of the stakes races so if shows up on other horses take note.
Watch out for Amir Cedillo, who has moved his tack from Northern California and will get plenty of mounts from trainers on that circuit. Cedillo’s mounts have won $2.3 million this year and $19.4 million in his career.
On the apprentice front, Jose Velez just won the nine-day Los Alamitos meet and J.C. Diaz has booted home some good-priced horses while carrying the weight allowance so many trainers like.

Trainers
When talking Del Mar and training, the first name out of most people’s mouth is Baffert. The silver-fox loves to show off his bright, shiny new 2-year-olds at the seaside oval. The problem is Baffert’s horses almost always go favored and for good reason because they are always well-meant first time out. However, if you bet on every Baffert horse over the last three years you would be down $94 and the average price of his winners is just $6. Ouch. A good angle is to bet the “other” Baffert when he enters two horses in the same race.
Other top trainers but losing propositions the last three years are D’Amato (minus $178), Doug O’Neill (minus minus $311) and Keith Desormeaux (minus $122). It should be noted that banned trainer Jerry Hollendorfer showed a loss of $253 the last three years despite 27 winners and his horses will run with his assistant Dan Ward this season.
North County resident Miller has been the Del Mar king the last three summers with 66 winners and a profit of $73, but it should be noted that he has moved approximately 33 percent of his stock out of state due to new regulations so it will be interesting to see what happens. Miller only has horses entered in two races over the first two days of the meet. Miller does well in all categories.
Shockingly, the Sadler barn has shown a $206 profit the last three years and average price of $17 with his winners. Sadler always has top stock, especially for Hronis Racing, and when his turf sprinters win they average $38.
Jeff Bonde (plus $136) and Jim Cassidy (plus $106) have shown a profit over the last three years. You have to watch out for Bonde with California-bred horses and Cassidy also seems to have a way with turf sprinters.
An under-the-radar trainer to watch out for is Andrew Lerner, who was 3 for 9 last summer. Lerner is very good with horses making their first start of the meet and first start off of a 30-day layoff. He has increased his stock this year and can also play the claiming game.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar fall meet review

Note: Well that was a heck of a final day with five winners. Too bad I was at work and couldn’t bet. I hope someone hit that late Pick 4 since I had three top choice winners and the other horse was my long shot. Remember I won’t be doing Los Alamitos unless I get totally bored. Have a happy holiday season and thanks for reading.

SUNDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 5 (One Upper $7.40, first race; Go Ghetto $4.40, fourth; Kate’s Princess $13, sixth; Uni $13.20, seventh; Loomis $17.20, ninth)

Second choice winners: 1 (Shaky Alibi $5.80, third)

Third choice winners: 0

Long shot winners: 1 (Calexman $19.40, eighth)

Good luck.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar fall meet opinions for Sunday, Dec. 2 (closing day) UPDATED

FIRST RACE
One Upper
Token Vow
Encountress
LONG SHOT: Crackling Bread
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SECOND RACE
Powder
Sunrise Royale
Venue
LONG SHOT: Smitten Kitten
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THIRD RACE
ARCH ANTHEM (best bet)
Shaky Alibi
Englander
LONG SHOT: Irish Spirit
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FOURTH RACE
Go Ghetto
Banze No Oeste
Shirl’s Ready
LONG SHOT: Vending Machine
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FIFTH RACE
Worthy Turk
Foxtail
East Rand
LONG SHOT: Lucky Knickers
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SIXTH RACE
Kate’s Princess
Don’tbeboisterous
Lucky Lately
LONG SHOT: Dr Wysong
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SEVENTH RACE
Uni
Quidura
Vasilika
LONG SHOT: Rymska
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EIGHTH RACE
Lord Simba
Captain Scotty
Red Lightning
LONG SHOT: Calexman
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NINTH RACE
Caecilius (SCRATCHED)
Loomis
Jefe
Mobou
LONG SHOT: Felix Leiter

Good luck.

Note: I will take a break during Los Alamitos and hit it back during Santa Anita, Dec. 26. God willing.

SATURDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 2 (Swamp Soufflle $7, first race; Raging Bull $5.80, seventh)

Second choice winners: 3 (Spend Spend Spend $5, second; Eddie Haskell $5, third; Placido $3.80, fourth)

Third choice winners: 2 (Sauce On Side $7.80, sixth; Kingly $10.20, eighth)

Long shot winners: 1 (Super Patriot $16, ninth)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar fall meet opinions for Saturday, Dec. 1

FIRST RACE
Swamp Souffle
Ack
Honcho
LONG SHOT: Mayan Warrior
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SECOND RACE
Gracious Me
Spend Spend Spend
Confidentially
LONG SHOT: Lovely Finish
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THIRD RACE
Sixes
Calculator
Eddie Haskell
LONG SHOT: St. Joe Bay
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FOURTH RACE
Isee It in Hiseyes
Placido
Schulace
LONG SHOT: Drizzy
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FIFTH RACE
Opus Won
Hello Bubbles
My Sweet Baboo
LONG SHOT: She’s All Woman
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SIXTH RACE
Mongolian Humor
Vallestina
Sauce On Side
LONG SHOT: Gypsy Blu
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SEVENTH RACE
RAGING BULL (Best bet)
Instilled Regard
River Boyne
LONG SHOT: Have At It
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EIGHTH RACE
Stretford End
Green Fleet
Kingly
LONG SHOT: Mutineer
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NINTH RACE
Majorie E
Speakers
Thalia
LONG SHOT: Super Patriot

Good luck.

FRIDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 3 (Twirling Tiger $4.80, first race; Pitino $5, third; Easy Shot $4.20, fifth)

Second choice winners: 1 (Sass Machine $5.40, second)

Third choice winners: 1 (The Big Train $5.40, eighth)

Long shot winners: 0

THURSDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 1 (S Y Sky $3.40, first race)

Second choice winners: 1 (Goodwillambassador $12.60, sixth)

Third choice winners: 2 (Rickey B $16.80, second; Lil Milo $11.20, fourth)

Long shot winners: 1 (Concord Jet $11, eighth)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar fall meet opinions for Friday, Nov. 30

PREVIEW: I knew Thursday would be off the turf and I feel the same way about today’s card. With closing weekend’s big turf races, I don’t see any way Del Mar runs on the grass today.
That being said, there is one horse I like if it is run on the turf or the main track: No. 5 Rapid Red (3-1) in the eighth race. This gelding was claimed last time out by Jerry Hollendorfer. The 6-year-old has an 11-2-3-3 on the dirt and 11-4-1-3 on the grass. If the track is still wet, he is 7-2-1-1. Hollendorfer is 17 percent first off the claim.
Check back in the morning if Del Mar changes its mind or if there are a lot of scratches, again.

FIRST RACE
Twirling Tiger
Holland Road
Out of Patience
LONG SHOT: Lindante
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SECOND RACE
Athleisure
Sass Machine
A Dime for Me
LONG SHOT: Derby Royalty
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THIRD RACE
Pitino
Honor Guard
Goldie’s Hills
LONG SHOT: Seahawk Wave
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FOURTH RACE
Empress of Lov
Cinnamon Twist
We Will Re Joyce
LONG SHOT: Eskenforadrink
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FIFTH RACE
Strike That
Easy Road
Platinum Nights
LONG SHOT: Frozen Money
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SIXTH RACE
Shadow Sphinx
My Heart Awakens
Major Cabbie
LONG SHOT: Zestful
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SEVENTH RACE
Vegas Strong Baby
Secret Maneuver
Staythirstymyamigo
LONG SHOT: Time for Sizzie
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EIGHTH RACE
RAPID RED (Best Bet)
Comes the Dream
The Big Train
LONG SHOT: Ky. Colonel

Good luck.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar fall meet opinions for Thursday, Nov. 29 (UPDATED)

Preview: I will tell you this was a tough card to handicap due to the weather forecast. It was well known last weekend that it was going to rain on Thursday (up to an inch along the coast), but Del Mar stuck to its original plan with four of the eight races on the grass. I will be surprised if that happens. I definitely think the two turf sprints at 5 furlongs won’t be on the grass and the other two, we’ll see. I encourage you to check back Thursday morning after 10:30 a.m. after the Del Mar changes are announced. I hope I’m wrong, but don’t think so.

TOLD YOU SO!!

FIRST RACE: 1. S Y SKY (best bet), 2. Moon Kitty, 3. Nine Point Nine. LONG SHOT: Ippodaamia’s Girl.
I really like this filly, rain or shine. She won in her only turf try at Santa Anita and she has a second over an off track, also in Arcadia. She drops out of the Betty Grable and I think she will stay in the race no matter what.
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SECOND RACE: 1. Square Peggy, 2. Luck’s Royal Flush, 3. Rickey B. LONG SHOT: Bea’s Boy.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Aristocratic, 2. R Cha Cha, 3. Doc Curlin (SCRATCHED), New No. 3 Forest Chatter. LONG SHOT: Short of Ez.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Sidepocket Action, 2. Bless His Heart, 3. Lil Milo. LONG SHOT: Checks in the Mail (SCRATCHED) new long shot: Perfect Tale.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Mobou (SCRATCHED), 2. Unusual Rider, 3. Unusual Angel. LONG SHOT: He Be Mojo Risin. New order: 1. Unusual Rider, 2. Unusual Angel, 3. Brix. LONG SHOT: He Be Mojo Risin.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Tidal Effect, 2. Goodwillambassador, 3. Mongolian Groom. LONG SHOT: Ayacara.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Gray Admiral, 2. Offshore (SCRATCHED), 3. Hot American (scratched). LONG SHOT: Rinse and Repeat. NEW ORDER: 1. Gray Admiral, 2. Rinse and Repeat, 3. Wilshire Dude. LONG SHOT: Facts Matter.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Shake N Fries, 2. Violent Behavior, 3. Tanker. LONG SHOT: Concord Jet.

Good luck.

SUNDAY’S RESULTS

Top choice winners: 3 (Battle of Midway $3.20, third race; Qhira $4.60, seventh; Littlebitamedal $9.20, ninth)

Second choice winners: 1 (Lucky Student $5.40, fifth;Flying Scotsman $4, sixth)

Third choice winners: 1 (Perfectly Majestic $5.20, second)

Long shot winners: 1 (Sweet Treat ($8.40, first)

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