Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Nov. 26 (Opening day)

Preview: The start of a new meet at Tampa Bay Downs and there is one big change to watch: three-time leading jockey Antonio Gallardo is riding in New York this winter so there will be a new top dog. Veterans Daniel Centeno (not riding today), Ronnie Allen Jr., Dean Butler and Fernando De La Criz bare watching. Newcomers to watch are Angel Cruz plus Edwin Gonzalez and Albin Jimenez. The latter two have agent Mike Moran, who was Gallardo’s agent so he has the connections. Also keep track of where the winning horses last ran because horses come from all over for this meet.

Race 4: #7 Supermans Cape (8-1): This colt has been away for more than a year and if there is any trainer can get them ready off such a layoff it’s Larry Rivelli, who is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff. A son of Cape Blanco, he should enjoy the turf.

Race 6: #3 Huntstown (8-1): This gelding had a second over this turf course earlier this year and fits nicely with this group. Ran mainly against Indiana-breds this summer, but no worries about that. He has the best late pace rating from Brisnet.

Race 7: #2 Bluegrass Kid (6-1): This gelding has won over the track before and loves the 6-furlong distance with four wins. Has the top early pace rating and trainer Benny Feliciano is 29% with shippers. On top of that comes out of a key race which has produced two next out winners.

Race 11: #2 Nightbar (4-1): We’ve already extolled the virtues of trainer Larry Rivelli off a long layoff. Now add in a horse that won his first two races over this track plus the fact that the gelding comes out of a race in March that produced three next out winners.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill On Twitter

Advertisements
Standard
Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 29

Preview: Back to a nine-race card. Jockeys Dean Butler and Pablo Morales have the most wins the last seven days.

Race 2 – Tam

#5 Staff Sgt Reckless (7-2): This filly drops to her lowest level ever for trainer Joan Scott, who is 28% when moving a horse from a MSW to a maiden claimer. Leading jockey Antonio Gallardo jumps on.

                              

Race 4 – Tam

#4 Paltarrevenge (4-1): Trainer Maria Bowersock is 25% first off the claim and moves this gelding up after a win on the main track. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. jumps on.

 

Race 6 – Tam

#3 Step Two (turf only) (7-2): Throw out that last race at Gulfstream Park and look at that race at Tampa Bay two back.Jockey Pedro Cotto Jr. is 6-for-12 with trainer Joe Minieri at this meet.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Feb. 28

Preview: Mediocre card due to the five-day racing weeks. Jockeys Dean Butler and Daniel Centeno won twice on Friday’s card and might be hitting a hot spell. Centeno came back to win twice on Saturday, but leading rider Antonio Gallardo at the natural hat trick.

==

Race 1 – Tam

#4 Vita Desiderata (7-2) 

This old boy might have gotten fit over the Turfway Park oval and shipped down to cash. He has two big works over the Tampa track for trainer Joe Woodard, who employs Daniel Centeno. They are a 20% combination at the meet.

==                              

Race 5: #1 Swagbag (8-1)

This gelding is shipping up from Gulfstream Park after showing a bit of speed in his last race. Since that race two of the next three horses to run have come back winners so looks like a key race.

==

Race 10 – Tam

#5 Pidgeon (2-1) BEST BET

Trainer Larry Rivelli is 30% with horses going a route of ground for the first time. On top of that this is a daughter of City Zip, which produces plenty of turf winners. Jockey Daniel Centeno, who is 38% with Rivelli, stays aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 27

Preview: They were off the turf for all but one race on Wednesday and Thursday, but hopefully it’s firm finally. Speaking of the turf, some jockeys to stay away from would be Pablo Morales (2-47), Dean Butler (1-27), Jose Garcia (1-23), Keiber Coa (0-27), Chelsy Keiser (0-26) and Huber Villa-Gomez (0-24).

==

Race 2: #7 Rockin Donovan (15-1)

You usually don’t see these connections of jockey Daniel Centeno and trainer Joe Woodard with horse like this on morning-line. We figure at this level if they are willing to ride/run, then we’re willing to take a shot.

==                              

Race 5:  #9 Bank Float (turf only) (5-2)

Jockey Daniel Centeno and trainer Arnaud Delacour have hit at 24% rate the meet and higher on the turf. This gelding’s only two wins came on grass and he had to need his last which is why he ran on the dirt.

== 

Race 9: #7 Showersofblessings (turf only) (12-1)

This mare is running her third race off a layoff and trainer Michele Boyce is 30% in that situation. Jockey Fernando De la Cruz is 36% with Boyce.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay opinions for Friday, Jan. 30

Race 6: #7 Congrats Honey (3-1)

Trainer Dennis Ward is 25% first off the claim and that’s what we have here. Ward’s favorite jockey, Brian Pedroza, takes the mount and from the outside should be able to control the race.

==

Race 9: #4 Lundi Gras (turf) (10-1)

This 4-year-old filly drops down from the allowance ranks into an open claimer for trainer Lynn Scace. The filly has a win over the turf at the meet and although this is tougher company than that she might handle it with veteran jockey Dean Butler.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Standard
Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, Dec. 21

Race 1 – TB

#9 Prothoe (9-2)

The outside post is the only obstacle here, but hot jockey Daniel Centeno knows how to get them in the right position. Trainer Barbara McBride has won with this 5-year-old mare before at Tampa.

==

Race 5 – TB

#2 Samka (6-1)

This 4-year-old filly tries dirt for the the first time after running on Polytrack at Woodbine. She showed improved speed last time out and at this distance that could be a key with veteran rider Dean Butler aboard for trainer Aldana Gonzalez.

==

Race  – TB

#9 Mashuk (6-1)

Our Eyes: This 4-year-old colt’s best finish came in his debut on the Arlington Park turf and he’s never been back on the grass since. He is bred to like it —- out of a Dynaformer mare —- and he’s bred to run all day. Lasix is added so look for a better effort.

Standard