Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Saturday, Oct. 10 (Plus Gulfstream Park West)

FIRST RACE: 1. Send Me a Sign, 2. Entebbe, 3. My Rose. LONG SHOT: Almost Guilty.

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SECOND RACE: 1. #6 Wheatfield (12-1), 2. Illuminant, 3. Luminary. LONG SHOT: Redheads Rule.

This filly passed a lot of horses in her debut at Los Alamitos and now trainer Marty Jones puts her on the turf. The sire Lone Star Special is 33% first time turf from a small sample and jockey Joe Talamo takes over.

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THIRD RACE:1. Financial (BEST BET), 2. All Star Parade, 3. Pipedreams. LONG SHOT: Lucky Shoes to Win.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. #7 Daddy’s Duo (4-1), 2. Call to Congrats, 3. Radiant Journey. LONG SHOT: Pleasant as Pie.

This filly is a perfect 2-for-2 on dirt which maybe why trainer John Sadler claimed her for $80,000 at Del Mar. Sadler is 23% first off the claim and 21% going sprint-route-sprint.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Freedom Hill, 2. I’malreadythere, 3. Dressed in Hermes. LONG SHOT: Getoffmyback.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Family Code, 2. Carlos Dangerous, 3. Courageous Dave. LONG SHOT: Ready Cat.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. #2 Stays in Vegas (8-1), 2. I’mflatoutsweet, 3. One Last Shot. LONG SHOT: Jakaby Jade.

This filly finished fifth in the Del Mar Debutante behind the ultra-impressive Songbird. Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer is 23% first time routing and the sire City Zip is 13% first time turf. Jockey Alex Solis takes over for the injured Flavien Prat.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Miner’s Light, 2. Iron Rob, 3. Dr. Dorr. LONG SHOT: Let’s Meet in Rio.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Storm Comin Thru, 2. Brimstoned, 3. Prince Charmant. LONG SHOT: Roman Tizzy.

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10TH RACE: 1. Turnover, 2. Eddie’s First, 3. Saint Prdo. LONG SHOT: Royal F J.

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Gulfstream Park West                   

Race 2: #1 Deciding Moment (3-1)

Trainer Rasharn Creque is 57% with horses running second time off a layoff. This 3-year-old came back running from a long layoff and Creque jumped in to claim him. JC Gomez keeps the mount in this likely speedster from the rail.

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Race 9: #1 Little Nick V (turf only) (9-2)

Lots of first-time runners in this race, but we’ll stick with this son of Colonel John that finished third in his debut for trainer Carlos Vaccarezza. This colt is coming out of a race that has produced two winners so far. He pressed the pace early and tired late. Jeffrey Sanchez takes the mount.

@Jeff_Nahill

Santa Anita results

Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (Never Ends $5.40, second race; Stellata $9.20, eighth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 3 (No Tricks for Jack $9.80, first; Evo Campo $8.80, third; A Colt Following $9.80, sixth)

Friday’s third choice winners: 1 (Ossetra $13.40, fourth)

Friday’s long shot winners: 0

 

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Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus Belmont Park, Churchill Downs) opinions for Friday, June 12

Race 2: #7 Later My Love

Trainer Jeff Bonde is 24% with maiden debuters. This filly has been training well and is bred to win early being out of Lucky Pulpit (13%) and a Mr. Prospector (22%) mare. Fernando Perez (22% with Bonde) rides.

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Race 3: #3 Grand Yodeler (turf only)

Trainer Eddie Truman has been on fire (47% at the meet) and really hot with horses going down the hill. Truman is 21% with horses going from dirt to turf and jockey Kent Desormeaux rides back.

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Race 8: #8 Native City

Trainer Peter Miller is 27% first-time starters in a maiden claiming race and the sire City Zip is 15% first out. Jockey Tyler Baze, who is 25% with Miller, rides.

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BELMONT PARK

           

Race 6: #2 Courageisamajority (turf only)

This 3-year-old filly came with a furious kick down the lane to just miss in her last start at Aqueduct. Jockey John Velazquez stays on for trainer Graham Motion (2-for-7 in the last 60 days) and she has the best late pace ratings.

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Race 9: #5 Jackson N Leonard (turf only)

Trainer Dominick Schettino hit with a bomb on Wednesday, but this gelding won’t be that price. Sire by Colonel John, this 3-year-old woke up on the grass and should love the added distance in this spot. Look for him to come from off the pace.

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

                  

Race 8: #6 Teniente Coronel (6-1)

Trainer Tom Amoss has huge numbers in a lot of categories so if we get this morning-line it will be a miracle. Amoss is 38% second off the claim and 40% with horses second time in his barn. Another sired by Colonel John, should like the added distance and jockey James Graham sticks.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Kentucky Derby, Santa Anita, Triple Crown

Santa Anita opinions (plus some Derby preps) for Saturday, April 4 (updated)

Race 2: #4 Calm the Sea (6-1)

The fact is this race runs through trainer Jerry Hollendorfer’s Never Ends, who has finished second in all three lifetime starts. Yet, Hollendorfer enters this 3-year-old filly and gets one of his main men from Northern California, J.J. Hernandez to ride. Interesting.

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Race 7: #3 Curlin’s Fox (4-1)

Trainer Carla Gaines tries the “Bolo route” here with this 3-year-old filly. After two wins on the turf, Gaines tries to find out if this daughter can run on the dirt like her daddy. Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith will be looking for a hot pace up front for this closer.

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EIGHTH RACESANTA ANITA DERBY: 1. Dortmund, 2. One Lucky Dane, 3. Prospect Park, 4. Bolo. LONG SHOT: Cross the Line.

What can you say about Dortmund? He’s 5-for-5 and wins impressively every time. I would single. Like Dortmund, One Lucky Dane is from the Bob Baffert barn and he was impressive in his 2015 debut. People forget he finished sixth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Interesting that Baffert didn’t ship this one somewhere else, but if he finishes second, he’ll go to the Derby. Prospect Park ran a good second to Dortmund last time and could love the extra ground. I’m not sold on Bolo. I didn’t like the he tired in the stretch last time. We find out here if he’s a dirt or turf horse.

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10TH RACE: 1. Bad Ju Ju

I debated this race for 10 minutes the other night and decided not to add this filly to my selections for HorsePlayer Now. I wish I had after seeing the works on this daughter of Desert Code. Jokcey Kayla Stra will take this one straight to the front and see how far she can go. That’s go enough for me on a day the track could be “souped up.”

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WOOD MEMORIAL at New York’s Aqueduct Race Track: 1. Frosted, 2. Lieutenant Colonel, 3. Daredevil, 4. El Kabeir. LONG SHOT: Tiz Shea.

Let me say I haven’t been impressed with much this winter in New York and the one horse I was (Far From Over) is hurt now. El Kabeir just doesn’t do it for me and he may prove me wrong. Frosted comes from the speed-biased Gulfstream and receives a jockey change to Joel Rosario. The real interesting horse to me is Lieutenant Colonel, who is trained by Chad Brown. By Colonel John, he should love longer distances, although he didn’t like the mud in the Grade III Gotham. Hope for a dry track.

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BLUE GRASS at Lexington’s Keeneland Race Course: 1. Ocho Ocho Ocho, 2. Carpe Diem, 3. Frammento, 4. Unrivaled. LONG SHOT: Gorgeous Bird.

As much as I laud trainer Jim Cassidy for coming to this race, I think he made a mistake by running against Dortmund in the San Felipe in this 3-year-old’s first race back from a layoff. There had to be easier spots, but it’s time to move on and look to the future. It’s now or never for this late-blooming 2-year-old. Carpe Diem was the first horse to come out of the key Breeders’ Cup Juvenile to win around two turns in the Tampa Bay Derby. That said, who did he beat in that race. He’s quality and will be tested here. Unrivaled is the “X” factor having been purchased by Team Valor after a huge win at Parx. Should be interesting.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Saturday, March 21

FIRST RACE: 1. Thesheetsguy, 2. Gladding, 3. The Mad Hungarian. LONG SHOT: North Pacific.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Sacred Ovation, 2. Congregationalist, 3. Senor Rain. LONG SHOT: Memphis.

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THIRD RACE: 1. So Elite, 2. Smart Ellis, 3. Relentless Heat. LONG SHOT: Bob Consultation.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Soul Driver (turf only) (BEST BET), 2. Bench Warrant, 3. Jazzy Josh. LONG SHOT: Jazzy Josh.

This 3-year-old SOUL DRIVER (6-1) broke his maiden over this turf course and has run his last two over the Tapeta at Golden Gate. He made big moves but flattened out. He has received questionable rides, but today gets Hall of Fame jockey Gary Stevens, who is a master on the turf.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Hard Night’s Day, 2. Exposure, 3. Explicable. LONG SHOT: All That Glitters.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Vow Me Over, 2. Stella Moon, 3. Ya Ya Girl. LONG SHOT: Katy Drama.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Walk With an Angel, 2. Crushed Velvet, 3. Imwiththeblonde. LONG SHOT: Rovenna.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Finnegans Wake, 2. Power Foot, 3. Ashleyluvssugar. LONG SHOT: Play Hard to Get.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Captain G, 2. Captain Carchy, 3. Banddido Too. LONG SHOT: Spin Forty.

This gelding CAPTAIN G (6-1) receives a huge jockey change from apprentice Pena to veteran Victor Espinoza. With two route races under his belt, this son of Colonel John should be plenty fit for this 7-furlong event for trainer Peter Miller, who is 23% with maiden claimers.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (Reno Rebel $3.20, second race; Ain’t No Other $6.60, fourth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 0

Friday’s third choice winners: 0

Friday’s long shot winners: 3 (Mum’s Truckee $4, third; My Sweet Addiction $10.80, fifth; Secret Appeal $10.20, eighth)

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Sunday, Feb. 8 (UPDATED)

FIRST RACE: 1. Blooming Hannah (best bet), 2. Pocketfullofgreen, 3. Herecomeskat. LONG SHOT: Stunning Taste.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Amnesia, 2. Mark of a Gem, 3. Camyrn Kate. LONG SHOT: Free Money.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Miss Centerfold (SCRATCHED), 2. Wild At Heart, 3. Never Ends. LONG SHOT: Dad’s Princess. New picks: 1. Wild At Heart, 2. Never Ends, 3. Dad’s Princess. LONG SHOT: By the Shore.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Radiant Journey, 2. Zuzu’s Petals, 3. Yana. LONG SHOT: Twelve Folds.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Bayonet, 2. Scandal, 3. Vendita. LONG SHOT: Conquest Artura.

BAYONET (12-1), a 3-year-old filly, makes her turf debut, but the real key is the distance. By Colonel John, she should enjoy the added distance as trainer Peter Eurton us 20% with horses off a 61-180-day layoff and he is 20% with jockey Elvis Trujillo.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Quality Plan (SCRATCHED), 2. Night Badger, 3. Flat Gone. LONG SHOT: Casual Attire. New picks: 1. Niht Badger, 2. Flat Gone, 3. Como Mi Padre. LONG SHOT: Casual Attire.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Sir Barclay, 2. Rolo Tamaci, 3. Valdirone. LONG SHOT: I B Mike.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Birdlover, 2. Indecise, 3. Fanticola. LONG SHOT: Global Hottie (SCRATCHED). New long shot: Sky Treasure.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Brother Soldier, 2. This Time I Win, 3. Coolington. LONG SHOT: Sum Midnight Star.

This 4-year-old BROTHER SOLDIER (8-1) drops from a claiming race to a starter allowance, where he finished third. There have been two nice works since and he may be sitting on a good one for trainer Richard Baltas and jockey Flavian Prat.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 2 (Signature Cat $9, first race; Finnegans Wake $5.80, seventh)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 3 (Cyrus Alexander $4.80, third; Dortmund $3.20, fifth; Shared Belief $4, eighth)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 0

Saturday’s long shot winners: 0

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Saturday, Sept. 27

FIRST RACE: 1. Original Rex, 2. Wooram, 3. Captain Carchy. LONG SHOT: Better Luck.

There doesn’t appear to be any world beaters in this maiden claiming race so why not go with ORIGINAL REX (4-1), a first-time starter? Square Eddie is good first time out as a sire, especially in Cal-bred company. Trainer Doug O’Neill is OK with firsters and puts red-hot apprentice Drayden Van Dyke aboard.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Blackford, 2. Mosso, 3. Sir Barclay. LONG SHOT: Van Fraassen.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Heat Flash, 2. Conquest Two Step, 3. Quality Plan. LONG SHOT: Unusual Taste.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Kantune, 2. Madiba, 3. Fame and Power. LONG SHOT: Punctuate.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Beholder, 2. Iotapa, 3. Tiz Midnight. LONG SHOT: Yahilwa.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Lord Nelson, 2. American Pharoah, 3. Conquest Panthera. LONG SHOT: Skyway.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Rusty Slipper, 2. Irish Mission, 3. Moulin de Mougin. LONG SHOT: Stormy Lucy.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Shared Belief, 2. Majestic Harbor, 3. Fed Biz. LONG SHOT: Mystery Train.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Stars Above Me (best bet), 2. On the Backstreets, 3. Alexis Tangier. LONG SHOT: Meinertzhageni.

Trainer Graham Motion doesn’t ship West much, especially for a minor stakes so he must like this 3-year-old filly, STARS ABOVE ME (5-2), a lot. She had all kinds of trouble in her last race at Saratoga and figures to get a better ride with jockey Elvis Trujillo aboard.

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10th RACE: 1. Dad’s Princess, 2. Maybellene, 3. Conquest Eclipse. LONG SHOT: Sunday Sonnet.

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Race 11: 1. Dream It Do It, 2. Nakamoto, 3. Papscoolpapacool. LONG SHOT: Borealis Breeze.

Love offspring of Colonel John when they get a chance to try two turns and that’s what we have here in this Peter Miller trainee DREAM IT DO IT (6-1). Showed speed in his last race and jockey Elvis Trujillo (26% with Miller) knows how to ride on the grass.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 2 (Expo and Fig $3.20, fifth race; Betty Bing Bing $5, sixth)

Friday’s second choice winners: 2 (Gal Has to Like It $7.80, second; Indianapolis $4.60, eighth)

Friday’s third choice winners: 1 (Tatum’s Gold $8.20, third)

Friday’s long shot winners: 1 (More Complexity $10.40, fourth)

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita picks for Sunday, March 9

FIRST RACE: 1. Runaway Wildcat, 2. My Jealous, 3. Keyboard Courage. LONG SHOT: Dunmore East. 

RUNAWAY WILDCAT, a 6-year-old gelding, drops below his claiming price for trainer Adam Kitchingman, but this shouldn’t be looked at as a negative. They will still make plenty of money on the deal if the horse wins and gets claimed. The son of Golden Missile loves this track (three wins) and he just missed against tougher. Speed jockey Edwin Maldonado jumps on and he’s won with him before.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Prince of Paris, 2. Even Echo, 3. Bluegrass Fox Trot. LONG SHOT: Warren’s Sallyized.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Quinnette, 2. Sea John’s Spirit, 3. Sagebrush Queen. LONG SHOT: Yawannagokid.

QUINNETTE, a daughter of Stormy Jack, has eight lifetime wins while the rest of the field has a total of seven. Trainer Ron Ellis puts his horses in spots to win and 5-year-old is 2-for-2 over the Santa Anita dirt. Jockey Mike Smith stays aboard.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Sheer Talent, 2. Handsome Dennis, 3. Fort Wagner. LONG SHOT: Rambling House.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Gab Power, 2. Fit to Rule, 3. Chicsdigtheshark. LONG SHOT: Graeme Crackerjack.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Missing Groom (best bet), 2. Nooten, 3. Southern Digs. LONG SHOT: Rolo Tamaci.

I might like MISSING GROOM, a son of Colonel John, more if this were a mile on the turf, but it’s 6½ furlongs going down the hill. This 3-year-old split the field of 10 in his career debut at Del Mar and figures to have grown up and gotten stronger. The turf is fine and jockey Corey Nakatani is master riding it for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Judy the Beauty, 2. Warm Breeze, 3. Munnings Sister. LONG SHOT: Heir Kitty.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Oscar Party, 2. Remise, 3. Freedom Reigns. LONG SHOT: Fantastic Mizz.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Nueva Fortuna, 2. Swiss Peak, 3. My Wish Come True. LONG SHOT: Diablita.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 3 (Satirical $6, first race; Sahara Sky $8.80, seventh; Abbey Vale $7.20, 11th)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 1 (Diversy Harbor $7.20, sixth)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 2 (Game On Dude $9.60, ninth; Protocol $31.60, 10th)

Saturday’s long shot winners: 2 (Excessive Kid $6.60, second; Ferocious $7.60, fourth)

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