Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Aug. 13

Preview: Several riders, including leading jockey Flavien Prat. It could be a big day for jockey Rafael Bejarano, who has missed several weekend days to ride for trainer Bob Baffert.

Well, couldn’t catch a break Friday as in almost all the dirt races we had the lead at the head of the stretch, but the horses went backwards from there. You have to remember the track gets worked on Fridays after mornings workouts. According to several people, the track was playing slow and deep on the card.

Hope for better results today.

Race 1: 1. Mr T Bird, 2. Tattenham, 3. On Draft. LONG SHOT: Yes Yes Yes.

Race 2: 1. Very Hot, 2. Decoded, 3. Dixie Chick Rocks. LONG SHOT: Lofty Cause.

Race 3: 1. Buymeabond, 2. Horizontalyspeakin, 3. Te Rapa. LONG SHOT: Unusual Taste.

Race 4: 1. Amodei, 2. Six Point Rack, 3. Upstaging the Cast. LONG SHOT: Burnt Cognac.

Race 5: 1. Seve’s Road, 2. Crown the Kitten, 3. China Girl Lover. LONG SHOT: Infobedad.

Race 6: 1. Weirdhaircut Seth, 2. King’s To You, 3. Dream It Do It. LONG SHOT: It’s Just Bob.

Race 7: 1. #3 Budokan (8-1), 2. Big Gray Rocket, 3. Gemstorm. LONG SHOT: Cut.

This first-time starter from the Jerry Hollendorfer barn has a couple of good works over the track and it isn’t often you get a price like this on The Dorf. The sire Hard Spun is 10% first time out and Hollendorfer is 28% first time out.

Race 8: 1. Klimt, 2. Big League, 3. Thirstforlife. LONG SHOT: Rinse and Repeat.

Race 9: 1. #11 Ashley’s Sassy (5-1) BEST BET, 2. Brainspin, 3. Fantasy of Luck. LONG SHOT: Be a Lady.

Jockey Rafael Bejarano had a choice of four horses in this race and chooses this Peter Eurton-trained filly. She has a couple of good works coming into the race and Eurton is 24% with horses off a 61 to 180-day layoff and he’s 26% with Bejarano.

Race 10: 1. #7 Brooks House (6-1), 2. Onzaway, 3. Georgia Blue. LONG SHOT: Exuberante.

This filly had all kinds of trouble in her last at Churchill Downs and now trainer Victoria Oliver, who is 2-1-1-0 at the meet, ships her west. Jockey Drayden Van Dyke, who won for Oliver earlier in the meet, gets on.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Churchill Downs, Horse racing

Churchill Downs opinions for Saturday, May 7

Kentucky Derby selections
#13. Nyquist
#11. Exaggerator
#9. Destin
#6. My Man Sam
It took me a while to warm up to the undefeated Nyquist, also trained by O’Neill and ridden by Mario Gutierrez. I tried to beat him in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile because of his poor post draw, but I did have him in my West Coast trifecta that finished 1-2-4. It was that race that turned me around. Once he got the lead, he won’t let you go past him. It’s been the same in his 2016 races. Go back and look at the replays. Exaggerator had dead aim on him in February and Nyquist wouldn’t let him by. Believe me, the Desormeaux brothers (trainer Keith and jockey Kent) were more than happy to see Nyquist go to the Florida Derby, where he beat the best in the East to collect a $1 million bonus. Meanwhile, Exaggerator stayed in Arcadia and turned in an impressive turn of foot in the sloppy Santa Anita Derby win. Destin is coming out of win in the Tampa Bay Derby, which has produced three next out winners, while My Man Sam has some closing ability. My real LONG SHOT is the maiden Trojan Nation. I don’t know if he can win, but I think he can shake up the exotics.

Race 3: #10 Jimbo Fallon (4-1): This colt is coming off a 13-month layoff, but word is that he has been the workout mate for Mor Spirit, who runs later on the card in the Derby, and by the looks of the works JF has been holding his own. Another positive is he’s a 4-year-old running against a lot of 3-year-olds.

Race 8: #9 Birdatthewire (5-1: Dale Romans is back training this filly and Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith is back in the saddle. Smith has won her before at 7 furlongs, just like today. Her wins all show one thing: a long sustained run from the back and we expect the same here.

Race 10: #2 Ralis (10-1): The colt hasn’t had the same success he had as a 2-year-old, but he has been working out with likely Derby favorite Nyquist in Kentucky. Trainer Doug O’Neill tries to get him to focus by adding blinkers and jockey Mario Gutierrez is reunited with him.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Churchill Downs, Horse racing

Churchill Downs opinions for Friday, May 6

Race 7 – CD
#2 Jade Princess (8-1): Simple philosophy: If you lost to undefeated Songbird, it’s no disgrace and play next time without her in the same race. This 3-year-old filly comes out of the Santa Ysabel that Songbird won and two fillies came out of the race to win, including Land Over Sea. Trainer Bob Baffert knows Churchill Downs well and gets Victor Espinoza to ride.

Race 10 – CD
#3 Nodiac (15-1) (turf only): Trainer Phil D’Amato has shipped a string from SoCal to Kentucky this spring and is spreading his wings. This filly finished third over a yielding course and now gets the services of jockey Flavien Prat, who is 32 with D’Amato and one of the top turf riders in SoCal.

Kentucky Oaks selections
1. #13 Land Over Sea
2. #6 Mokat
3. #3 Lewis Bay
4. #2 Weep No More
Like I said before if you lost to Songbird you go to the head of the class. LAND OVER SEA lost so many times Doug O’Neill decided to go to the Fair Grounds to win a race. MOKAT finished second to Songbird in the Santa Anita Oaks in the mud.

Race 13 – CD
#6 Kiss Limit (3-1): As we said trainer Phil D’Amato has come to the Blue Grass and he stepped up to claim this colt off Mike Maker for 50K. By virtue of a cheaper maiden claiming win, this 3-year-old gets to run in a starter allowance. D’Amato is 24% first off the claim and gets that man Flavien Prat (32%) to ride.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, March 11

Preview: Field sizes are finally improving, but everyone is waiting for Saturday’s big Tampa Bay Derby card. On the dirt, trainers to watch are Gerald Bennett (37-119), Jamie Ness (22-84), Kathleen O’Connell (19-91), Dale Bennett (14-47) and Dennis Ward (11-92).

 

Race 2 – Tam

#1 Burley Blaise (6-1) 

Trainer Ian Wilkes races him into shape and this one has been overmatched at Gulfstream Park so Wilkes ships north and drops. Wilkes is 33% when he moves a horse down in class two of more levels.

                              

Race 7 – Tam                

#8 Wicked Rascal (9-2) 

This gelding was overmatched in a minor stakes at Gulfstream Park but he’s back and if he shows the speed he did previously at this track with jockey Antonio Gallardo, he could be gone.

                                

Race 8 – Tam                

#6 Peej (8-1) (turf only) 

Trainer Chris Block is 24% with horses coming off a 90-plus day layoff. This gelding is also coming out of a key Churchill Downs race that has produced three next out winners.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Saturday, Aug. 15

FIRST RACE: 1. BELLAMY CONCERTO, 2. Carson City Five, 3. Midnight Man. LONG SHOT: Attack.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Freethinker, 2. Hiking, 3. Show Stealer. LONG SHOT: Tiz a Kiss.
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THIRD RACE: 1, Mt Veeder, 2. Beaumarchais, 3. American League. LONG SHOT: Quality Line.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. #6 Carlot Cowboy (6-1), 2. All Squared Away, 3. Broadway Nika. LONG SHOT: The Mad Hungarian.

Just throw this gelding’s last race as he has never won a wet track and that’s what he had last time in addition to be first off the layoff. The 5-year-old has won 6-of-22 on a fast dirt track and jockey Tiago Pereira rides back for trainer Bill Spawr.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Dr. Vincentstein, 2. Public Policy, 3. Justonemorthing. LONG SHOT: Rebel Rebel.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Toowindytohaulrox, 2. Weewinnin, 3. Jules Journey. LONG SHOT: Surfcup.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Forthenineteen, 2. Plane Lucky, 3. Patriotic Diamond. LONG SHOT: Miles Sister.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #8 Sunset Glow (best bet), 2. Rattataptap, 3. Prize Exhibit. LONG SHOT: Zipessa.

Race 8: #8 Sunset Glow (3-1) BEST BET

Just don’t think this 3-year-old filly liked the softened turf last time. Think she wants it firm and no rain is in the forecast. Trainer Wesley Ward is 27% second off the layoff and jockey Gary Stevens stays aboard.

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NINTH RACE: 1. #5 Allidoisdreamofyou (8-1), 2. Unblunted, 3. London Legacy. LONG SHOT: Whine for Wine.

This 3-year-old didn’t like the going last race at Churchill Downs and ships out here looking to cash. Trainer Ron Ellis is 36% first time with horses and this one had a good work over the track this week. Look for Fernando Perez to put this one in the race early.

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10TH RACE: 1. Sweet Promises, 2. Artisticdifference, 3. Sweetthancandy. LONG SHOT: Nashoba’s Candy.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Friday’s top choice winners: 1 (Wanstead Gardens $14.80, seventh)

Friday’s second choice winners: 2 (Brimstoned $8.20, second’ Ticaboo $7, fifth)

Friday’s third choice winners: 0

Friday’s long shot winners: 2 (Curlin’s Fox $6.20, third; Carlos Dangerous $6.40, fourth)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, August 14

FIRST RACE: 1. Pefiolo, 2. Omburman, 3. Warren’s Wesley. LONG SHOT: Doyouknowsomething.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Far Out Kailee, 2. Brimstoned, 3. Derby Glass. LONG SHOT: Cinmars Dance.
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THIRD RACE: 1. #6 HAVANNA BELLE (6-1) (best bet), 2. Princess Charm, 3. Spirit of Zian. LONG SHOT: Curlin’s Fox.

On her third try, won her first race in the U.S. in May and then went to sidelines. Trainer Phil D’Amato is 21% 61 to 180-day layoffs and is 30% with horses that won their last race. Tyler Baze jumps on and he is 31% with D’Amato.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Bussjaeger, 2. Scatastic, 3. Captain Akers. LONG SHOT: Carlos Dangerous.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Lily Kai, 2. Peggy Sue’s Loose, 3. Ticaboo. LONG SHOT: Journeyonthemove.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Ain’t Misbehavin, 2. Pat the Bear, 3. Tiz Jolie. LONG SHOT: Silvertron.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Wanstead Gardens, 2. Texas Ryano, 3. Street Maven. LONG SHOT: Terrys Tom Cat.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #11 I’ll Play My Hand (5-1), 2. I’m Zonin, 3. Dirt in Your Face. LONG SHOT: Southern Loyalty.

The son of Bring the Heat ends up in the Phil D’Amato barn after a claim at this level at Churchill Downs. Showed speed in last race and will likely show it from the outside post. D’Amato is 27% first off the claim and 26% with maiden claimers.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Thursday’s top choice winners: 1 (Intoxicating Move $5.60, fifth race)
Thursday’s second choice winners: 1 (Unusually Green $5.40, seventh)
Thursday’s third choice winners: 4 (Alyeska $10, first; Imflatoutsweet $3.60, third; Swiss Affair $53.40, sixth; Swiss Cheese $7, eighth)
Thursday’s long shot winners: 0
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Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos (plus a few others) opinions for Thursday, July 9

Race 3: #5 Myrna Lou (8-1)

Has a good second over the track last year and has good speed. Has a good work over the track. Trainer Molly Pearson is 29% with beaten favorites and regular jockey Scott Stevens is in from Turf Paradise to ride. He is 33% with Pearson.

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Race 6: #8 Changing Karma (8-1)

This gelding has been competitive on the main circuit and had a good second over this track in December. Trainer Tom Bazley has good numbers all the way around led by 55% with horses coming off a 31 to 60-day layoff.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 3: #8 Ask the Lonely (5-1)

Trainer Michelle Nevin starts this 2-year-old filly by Congrats, who is 12% with first-timers. The dam has dropped five winners, including two stakes winners. Nevin is 11% with debuting MSW types and jockey Jose Ortiz is 7 for his last 23 rides.

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Race 5: #1 Baby B (12-1)

This filly hasn’t had munch success on the turf so it’s time to go back to the dirt, where she finished third in her only try. Trainer Richard Schosberg is 30% going turf to dirt. She is also dropping to a career low in claiming ranks and hopefully hot jockey Jose Ortiz will put her on the lead with her speed.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 4: #5 Hard to Picture (3-1)

Trainer Michael Petro, who has a lot of horses for owner Frank Calabrese, is 6-for-9 with horse making their second start on the turf. The daughter of Hard Spun finished fourth in her debut at Churchill Downs. Apprentice jockey Tyler Gaffalione (38% with Petro) takes the mount.

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Race 5: #5 R Quick Temper (5-1)

Don’t be fooled by the trainer’s name on this 2-year-old filly. Sally Mitchelhill is the listed trainer, but this horse is really trained by Kirk Ziadie, who hasn’t had his license renewed by the state. The daughter Elusive Quality has some good works over at Calder the sire is 13% with firsters.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a few others) opinions for Saturday, June 27

Race 2: #7 Architop (5-2)

When trainer Richard Mandella drops a horse into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time, he means business to the tune of 39% like with this son of Arch. Jockey Flavien Prat showed speed with this one in the last two and if he does that here, he might go wire-to-wire.

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Race 8: #7 Fanticola (7-2)

This 5-year-old mare just missed going longer in the Grade I Gamely Handicap and now she gets to go shorter which means she will be able to go harder earlier. Trainer Phil D’Amato is 21% in graded stakes.

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Race 10: #6 Where Was Eddie (7-2)

This is a first-time starter by In Excess, who wins at an 18% rate first time out. This 3-year-old colt has been tearing up the track in the mornings.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 5: #5 Private Tale (8-1)

This 7-year-old won over the surface and now moves up in class and tries to go longer. Trainer Mike Maker is 38% with horses winning back-to-back in the claiming ranks plus top jockey Javier Castellano takes the mount.

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

Race 10: #10 Langdarma (15-1)

This 3-year-old has been ITM 6 of 9 career races and just missed last time. Maybe moving to the turf will do the trick for the son of Candy Ride, who is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners so far.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 9: #3 Racetrack Romance (4-1)

Trainer Marcial Navarro did us right the other day so we’re going back to the well. Navarro is winning 43% of his races this year and is 8-for-13 at Gulfstream. This gelding just won at the condition but is now shortening up and being put up for a claiming price. Jockey Eddie Castro is 3-for-5 in the last 60 days with Navarro.

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Belmont Park, Bill Spawr, Candy Ride, Churchill Downs, David Fawkes, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Joe Talamo, Jose Ortiz, Los Alamitos, Michele Nevin, Oaklawn Park Majesticperfection, Ramon Guce, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a few others) opinions for Friday, June 19

Race 5: #4 Crushin Candy (12-1)

This race is full of first-time starters so anything can happen. This 2-year-old colt by Candy Ride (14% first time out) has as good win-early pedigree as any other horse in here. She has been training well at Los Alamitos and trainer puts Los Al rider Ramon Guce aboard.

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Race 6: #10 Gab Power (7-2)

Trainer Bill Spawr has mediocre numbers with turf horses, but one area where he is strong is first off the claim (31%) and that’s what we get here with this 7-year-old gelding. Jockey Joe Talamo grabs the mount and he’s good on the turf.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 4: #7 Fear (3-1)

Trainer Michele Nevin is having a very good spring and just missed last time with this 3-year-old gelding. Jockey Jose Ortiz rides right back and should have him in the right spot to graduate.

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

Race 9: #8 Chanteline (5-1)

This 3-year-old filly makes her turf debut, coming out of an Oaklawn Park allowance race that has produced three next out winners. The sire Majesticperfection has done well with turfers so this may be a good spot.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 6: #2 El Kracken (9-2)

This 3-year-old debut at Santa Anita, showing speed but fading in the end. He now shows up here for trainer David Fawkes, who is 22% with horses making their second career start. Should be an easier spot than SoCal.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita (plus a few others) opinions for Sunday, June 14

Race 5: #5 Silver Spirit (5-1)

This 4-year-old has made all of his career starts on the grass and now trainer Julio Canani decides it’s time to try the dirt. Canani puts the blinkers back on, a move he is 43% with. There is a good work over the track, probably with the blinkers back on. Jockey Alex Solis rides.

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Race 7: #3 Clever Royal (turf only)

Trainer Eddie Truman is having one of the best meets of his career and he has been unconscious with horses coming down the hill. This colt won his first race on that course in his last and figures to only improve as Truman is 36% third off the layoff.

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Race 9: #9 True Image (turf only) (4-1)

Our Eyes:  This gelding showed big improvement when put on the turf last time, losing by just two lengths down the hill. The 3-year-old tries the downhill again and Flavien Prat will know this presser better for trainer Mike Machowsky.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 8: #8 My Year Is a Day (turf only) (6-1)

This filly was thought to be hot stuff when she ran in the Edgewood at Churchill as she was bet down to 2-1, but she fought her rider. She’s had a month between races and maybe trainer Graham Motion has gotten her to settle down.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 6: #8 Mischievevouscharlie (10-1)

This 3-year-old filly ran her best career race two back sprinting on the main track. Trainer James McMullen goes back to the well here as a sends her route-to-sprint, a move he is 35% with and she has a decent work coming into the race.

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Race 8: #9 Biggest Drama (5-1)

This 2-year-old colt comes out of a maiden race where the first two horses to run have won so we’re hoping for 3-for-3.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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