Horse racing

Churchill Downs opinions for Wednesday, Nov. 23

Preview: There is a rollover of $139,275 in the Single Six wager and there is also rain in the forecast so don’t expect the turf races to stay on the green.

Race 6: #8 Teenertown Prince (6-1)
This 3-year-old drops to his lowest level ever and comes out of a key race that has produced three next out winners. Trainer Forest Kaelin is 29% with horses off a 46- to 90-day layoff and he gets Calvin Borel to ride. The sire Speightstown gets 21% winners on a wet track.

Race 9: #12 Takeittotheedge (8-1)
Our Eyes: This 3-year-old is making his second race start off the layoff and look who he lost to in some of his past races: Cupid, Forevamo and Nyquist. Trainer Dale Romans is 23% with beaten favorites. Faces several he lost to in return and could like the mud as sire Broken Vow is 18% on off-tracks.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs Opinions for Wednesday, Dec. 17

Race 4: #3 Circular Rainbow (6-1)

Trainer Gerald Bennett has two horses in this race (also #1 Guyana Star), but the key is leading jockey Antonio Gallardo (32% with Bennett) rides this 4-year-old filly. She was claimed last time out at Laurel and Bennett is 23% first off the claim.

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Race 5: #8 Broke In (turf only) (5-1)

Trainer Eoin Harty, who is based in Southern California, already has three wins at the young meet from his first 10 starters. This son of Broken Vow is dropping into a maiden claimer for the first time and comes out of a Kentucky Downs MSW that has produced three winners.

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Race 6: #6 Zephyr Bay (5-1)

Going back to trainer Gerald Bennett here with this 2-year-old son of Neko Bay. Bennett is 18% with first-time starters and that improves to 27% with first-timers in a maiden claimer. Bennett is also 23% with jockey Daniel Centeno.

 @Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Sunday, Aug. 31

In case you didn’t see these stats Saturday on my Twitter feed, here are some unbelievable numbers from the grass races at Del Mar this summer.

These came from the genius of HRTVs Kurt Hoover and Bob Ike, who did the leg week earlier in the week.

Through Friday, here are the following grass records of five jockeys on the Del Mar turf course:

Joe Talamo 1-for-45

Tyler Baze 1-for-39

Tiago Pereira 1-for-26

Victor Espinoza 1-for-25

Fernando Perez 1-for-23

That’s a total of 5-for-158 or 3.2% for meet. I would avoid these jocks on the grass. If they beat you, they beat you.

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FIRST RACE: 1. Ultimate Holiday, 2. Maybellene, 3. Danette. LONG SHOT: She’s Reddy.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Spirit of Ten, 2. Yodel Up a Storm, 3. Salsita. LONG SHOT: Hugger of Trees.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Educating, 2. Tiz Ladys Legs, 3. Dixie Tweet. LONG SHOT: Midnight Candy.

Owner Glen Hill Farm has been waiting to get its 2-year-olds on the Del Mar grass and that’s what trainer Tom Proctor does here with this daughter of Elusive Quality, EDUCATING (4-1). Proctor is 23% first-time turf and 4-for-12 with horses debuting at a mile or longer.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Designated, 2. Canopus, 3. Burning. LONG SHOT: Stauffenberg.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Fashion Plate, 2. Jojo Warrior, 3. Delta Flower. LONG SHOT: Thegirlinthatsong.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Song to You, 2. Boozer, 3. Heat Flash. LONG SHOT: Quality Plan.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Broken Sword, 2. Every Way, 3. Magic Union. LONG SHOT: Scooter Bird.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Grandstand, 2. Diamond of Blue, 3. Carlot Cowboy. LONG SHOT: Dr Action.

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NINTH RACE: 1. Talco, 2. Flamboyant, 3. Enterprising. LONG SHOT: Aventador.

TALCO (8-1), a daughter of Pivotal, makes her first start in the United States in what looks like a private purchase. Trainer John Sadler puts jockey Corey Nakatani on board and he has been riding the turf course as well as anyone at this meet.

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10TH RACE: 1. Malibu Way, 2. Gold Medallion, 3. Hawk’s Eyes. LONG SHOT: Big Wags.

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11TH RACE: 1. Bijoux (best bet), 2. Nighttiming, 3. Keezheekoni. LONG SHOT: Halljoy.

BIJOUX (7-2), a daughter of Broken Vow, has a lot going for her in just her third career start. First, there is a big jock switch to Joel Rosario, who is in to ride the stakes; second, she comes out of a key race where the top two horses have come back to win and finally she has a big work for trainer John Sadler coming into the race.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Saturday’s top choice winners: 1 (Call to Congrats $8.60, sixth race)

Saturday’s second choice winners: 5 (Cruisingtheharbor $12, first; Blue Tone $3.20, third; Foorstepsinbronze $4.60, fourth; Press Baron $11, seventh; Conquest Hiosilver $11.80, 10th)

Saturday’s third choice winners: 2 (Sam’s Sister $5.80, fifth; Sunset Glow $3.80, ninth)

Saturday’s long shot winners: 1 (Warren’s Cliff S. $19.20, 11th)

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