Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, June 26

Preview: So the day after the Gold Cup and we have nine races with just some 50-odd horses entered. Just lovely. Good luck trying to find prices on this card.

Race 2 – SA
#1 Ipray (5-2): This filly finished second to easier in her last for trainer Hector Palma, who is 26% with beaten favorites. Jockey Rafael Bejarano stays aboard and he’s 44% with Palma at Santa Anita.

Race 4 – SA
#4 Chris and Dave (4-1): This gelding returns to the David Jacobson barn after runs in two other barns. The 3-year-old pressed the pace and won last time and has the top Brisnet Late Pace Rating. He is also 2-for-2 at the distance.

Race 7 – SA
#2 Warren’s Super Cat (6-1): This mare broke her maiden in her seventh try last time, but the key here for trainer Jorge Gutierrez will be the ride of jockey Flavien Prat. There is a ton of speed in this race and if Prat brings this mare from off the pace like he did in here last race she should be a winner.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, June 26

Preview: Gold Cup Day and we like the idea of running the race as the last event on the card. Rafael Bejarano went 2-for-2 on Thursday to create some space in the jockey’s race and he could pick up some more today as Flavien Prat is suspended and can only ride in the Gold Cup. Bad day on Friday as favorites won everything and my favorites ran up the track

Race 3: #4 Concorso (9-2): Trainer Dan Hendricks is 2-for-8 at the meet. This gelding showed good speed in breaking his maiden at Los Alamitos but he also has the Brisnet top Late Pace Rating. Hendricks is 21% with horses coming off a 46 to 90-day layoff and jockey Drayden Van Dyke gets aboard.

Race 4: #7 Chasing Aces (6-1): Trainer Peter Miller scored Thursday with a maiden training at San Luis Rey Downs and that’s what we have here in this colt sired by Flatter, an 11% first out sire. Miller is 17% first time out and he’s 26% with jockey Fernando Perez.

Race 6: #8 Family Code (3-1): This gelding pressed the pace in his last win and has two wins over this track. Trainer Robertino Diodoro is 48% when he drops a horse off a win.

Race 7: #5 Tiz No Bluff (6-1): This colt is making his second career start after an even effort in his first try around two turns. He should improve off that effort for trainer Ron Ellis, who is 24% with horses off a 61 to 180-day layoff and 20% on the dirt.

Race 8: #2 Kobe’s Back (5-2): Absolutely love this horse in this spot going 7 furlongs. He also loves this track with a 6-3-2-0 record over the oval. There is plenty of speed in here and he has Brisnt’s top Class and Late Pace Ratings.

Race 9: #1 Bal a Bali (9-2): This horse has run all 21 lifetime efforts on the grass so why does Richard Mandella run him here? Because he’s a Hall of Fame trainer. The 6-year-old horse from Brazil has been tearing it up in the mornings in workouts on the dirt and there are no world beaters in this race so why not take a shot? Mandella is 26% going from turf to dirt and 22% with beaten favorites. This horses has been facing tough ones on the grass so the class shouldn’t be a problem and jockey Flavien Prat stays aboard.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, June 17

Preview: Now that Golden Gate has finished its meet in Northern California you will see plenty of horses shipping south to either score at Santa Anita or get in a race before a money run at Del Mar.

Race 5 – SA
#5 Halo Darlin (5-1): This filly makes her turf debut for trainer Mike Puype. Jockey Joe Talamo keeps the mount on this daughter of Lucky Pulpit, who gets 9% first out grass winners. This filly had the top late pace rating from Brisnet in her last race at Los Alamitos.

Race 8 – SA
#6 Watch Me Now (4-1): This filly was claimed out of her last race by trainer Doug O’Neill, who is 20% first off the claim. O’Neill is also 23% with beaten favorites and 20% with jockey Flavien Prat, who jumps aboard.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Monday,May 30

Preview: Not the greatest card, but it’s a holiday so let’s have a good time. A few numbers to ponder: the leading rider of the main track is Edwin Maldonado with 15 wins from 51 mounts followed by Tyler Baze (10-47) and Rafael Bejarano (9-43). On the other end, Stewart Elliott 1-for-29, Agapito Delgadillo (0-21) and Abel Lezcano (0-18).

Race 1 – SA
#7 Mai Tai (5-2) LIKELY TO SCRATCH
This filly ran into a buzzsaw named Enola Gray first time out and lost by more than 16 lengths, despite finishing second. Enola came back to win a Cal-bred stakes Saturday so that’s good for this 3-year-old.

Race 5 – SA
#3 Little Bit Lovely (6-1): This 4-year-old could prove to be a great claim by trainer Jack Carava. She won her only race down the hill and comes back on the same layout with the same jockey, Flavien Prat, who is leading the meet in winners on the grass. The fill also has the top Brisnet Prime and Class Ratings.

Race 8 – SA
#8 Illuminant (5-1): This filly finished third to the monster female Tepin in the Grade I Jenny Wiley. She is the only speed I see in this race and think Falvien Prat will go to the front with her again. She must make up a length on Wekeela, who is shipping in for trainer Chad Brown but I think she can do with a patient ride.

Race 10 – SA
#9 El Super (6-1): The Richard Mandella-trainee gave just an even effort in his first race in more than a year last time. Good turf jockey Flavien Prat takes over and he is 17% with Mandella.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos RC opinions for Saturday, April 16

Race 4: #5 Mitzi Winks (5-1): This filly hasn’t run since closing weekend of the Del Mar summer meet in the Grade I Debutante, which has produced five next out winners. This 3-year-old won her career debut so we know she can win fresh for trainer Doug O’Neill and jockey Mario Gutierrez.

 

Race 6: #7 Deputy Dane (9-5): No trainer has been hotter in SoCal than Phil D’Amato, who is 28% with horses third off the layoff. This gelding has the top Early Pace Rating by Brisnet.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, April 8

Preview: Make sure you check your mud ratings because it looks like Arcadia is going to get with plenty of rain on the final weekend of the meet so it’s doubtful the turf course will get any use until next month.

                                

Race 2 – SA

#6 Maid Easy (10-1): Trainer Kory Owens puts blinkers on this filly and he changes to apprentice jockey David Lopez. Another plus is that sire Top Hit gets 29% winners on an off track.

                   

Race 6 – SA

#3 Latest Craze (3-1): This colt takes a drop in class for trainer Bob Baffert and regular barn rider Martin Garcia jumps back on. The son of Super Saver has the top Brisnet Class and Prime Ratings plus a 21% win rate on a wet track..

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, April 3

Preview: There was plenty of rain on Saturday so the chances of there being an turf racing is likely to be slim at best..

 

Race 3 – Tam

#2 Supreme Stature (9-2): This gelding broke his maiden over an off track at this distance so he could be tough here. The 3-year-old has the top Brisnet Class Rating and best speed at the distance. Jockey Ronnie Allen Jr. is 22% with trainer Ian Wilkes.

                              

Race 4 – Tam

#5 Desert Summer (4-1): Leading jockey Antonio Gallardo usually rides for trainer Jamie Ness but eschews his entry here to ride this mare for trainer Saul Matos, who is 27% first off the claim.

 

Race 8 – Tam

#2 Refer (6-1): This will be the seventh different track this colt has run over in attempt to break his maiden. He seems to like this track with three good works coming into this. Trainer John Terranova is 23% with shippers.

 

Race 9 – Tam

#7 Spark Kit (6-1) (turf only): We’re hoping the turf course dries out in time for this race. Trainer Gerald Aschinger is 20% on the turf.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, April 2

Race 1: #9 Remesses (8-1): We all know trainer Bob Baffert can train first-timers, but not so much on the turf. However, this son of Pioneerof the Nile might be different as there are a string of nice works and the sire gets 17% first-time grass winners. It’s worth the price.

                   

Race 7: #8 Outside Nashville (6-1): This gelding comes out of the tough San Carlos on the dirt. He returns to this race a year later with the top Brisnet Class Rating and trainer Jerry Hollendorfer is 21% third time off the layoff.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, March 11

Preview: Hope everyone likes sprint races because there are no two turn races on the card. Rafael Bejarano has finally overtaken Santiago Gonzalez as the top jockey on the dirt with 35 wins to 34 for Gonzalez. They are followed on the main track by Flavien Prat (21-117), Edwin Maldonado (21-110) and apprentice David Lopez (19-101).

                                

Race 6: #6 Jamie Said No (8-1) (turf only)

Love the sire Cape Blanco on the turf and think his numbers will only get stronger. This colt had all kinds of trouble in debut, but trainer Doug O’Neill is 20% with second-time starters. Also jockey Mario Gutierrez jumps on.

                   

Race 7: #3 Warrensdollarsigns (4-1) 

This mare just won over the track drops in class. Trainer Steve Miyadi is 6-for-12 when he drops off a win. Apprentice David Lopez jumps on and he is 18% with Miyadi.

 

Race 9: #6 Easy Going Evening (5-2) 

 This filly has the top Brisnet Prime rating and drops off to an all-time low. Trainer Phil D’Amato is 23% with maiden claimers an the 3-year-old gets a big jock switch from an apprentice to speed jockey Edwin Maldonado.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

 

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Feb. 27

Preview: Lots of sprint races on the card. In looking at some jockey stats, some riders to avoid on the dirt are Tiago Pereira (1-44), Gonzalo Nicholas (1-32), Iggy Puglisi (0-17) and on the grass Joe Talamo (1-51), Mike Smith (1-28) and Victor Espinoza (1-24).

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Race 7: #7 Tannersmymuscle (8-1) 

As we mentioned jockey Joe Talamo is having trouble on the turf but on the dirt he has 16 victories. This gelding is making his second start off the layoff and trainer Ron Ellis is 36% second off the claim. The 6-year-old also has the best Brisnet Late Pace Rating.

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Race 9: #5 Proud ‘n’ Ready (turf only) (8-1) 

This filly makes her second start down the hill and while she showed speed last time she also had the best Brisnet Late Pace Rating. Trainer Peter Eurton is 25% second time grass and he’s a good combination with jockey Mario Gutierrez.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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