Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Feb. 10

Preview: Leading rider Daniel Centeno was shut out on Thursday as seven different jockeys won the eight races. Orlando Bocachica was the only jockey to win two races. Leading trainer Gerald Bennett is in a huge slump so beware.

Race 5 – Tam
#5 Pontificate (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Closed like a freight train in his last to get second at this level. Jesus Castanon takes the mount and is 2-for-3 at the meet with trainer Jonathan Thomas. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 8 units to show. EXBX 5-10-3.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Saint Lipsi Chick (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Interesting game of musical chairs in this race between jockeys Ronnie Allen Jr., Centeno and Pablo Morales. Allen ends up on this mare, which has the best Late Pace Rating from Brisnet. While others battle on front end, Allen will bide his time on the class rise. — Jeff Nahill.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 8 units to show. EXBX 6-5-2.

Race 8 – Tam
#2 Tearless (12-1) ***
Our Eyes: Interesting filly hear. One of her few main track tries she won going a mile, but it was on a sloppy track. So was it the slop or the main track. We might find out today with Bocachica aboard. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 9 – Tam
#3 Cincy Belle (9-2) ****
Our Eyes: Centeno and trainer Arnaud Delacour team up with this filly. She finished fourth against winners last time and should be ready in this spot. — Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Monday, Dec. 26 (opening day)

Race 1: #9 Informant (8-1): This filly has never crossed the finish line first as she broke her maiden on a DQ, but she fits here. She is cutting back to one turn and trainer Eddie Truman is 32% third off the layoff.

Race 2: #2 Sawbuck (3-1) BEST BET: This maiden has been favored in his last two and might be here, too. Flavien Prat takes over and this 2-year-old has the second-best early pace rating and the best late rating by Brisnet.

Race 5: #9 Ruby Trust (6-1): There are plenty of top maidens from Bob Baffert and Jerry Hollendorfer in this race, but I’m going with a filly who finished third in a maiden race at Del Mar and that race has produced three next out winners.

Race 8: #8 Mor Spirit (6-1): This might be a prep for this 3-year-old by trainer Bob Baffert, but the fact of the matter he comes out of the Kentucky Derby and six horses have exited that race to win their next race. This ridgling has a 5-2-3-0 record on this track and 7 furlongs hits him right between the eyes.

Good Luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Nov. 26 (Opening day)

Preview: The start of a new meet at Tampa Bay Downs and there is one big change to watch: three-time leading jockey Antonio Gallardo is riding in New York this winter so there will be a new top dog. Veterans Daniel Centeno (not riding today), Ronnie Allen Jr., Dean Butler and Fernando De La Criz bare watching. Newcomers to watch are Angel Cruz plus Edwin Gonzalez and Albin Jimenez. The latter two have agent Mike Moran, who was Gallardo’s agent so he has the connections. Also keep track of where the winning horses last ran because horses come from all over for this meet.

Race 4: #7 Supermans Cape (8-1): This colt has been away for more than a year and if there is any trainer can get them ready off such a layoff it’s Larry Rivelli, who is 27% with horses off a 90-plus day layoff. A son of Cape Blanco, he should enjoy the turf.

Race 6: #3 Huntstown (8-1): This gelding had a second over this turf course earlier this year and fits nicely with this group. Ran mainly against Indiana-breds this summer, but no worries about that. He has the best late pace rating from Brisnet.

Race 7: #2 Bluegrass Kid (6-1): This gelding has won over the track before and loves the 6-furlong distance with four wins. Has the top early pace rating and trainer Benny Feliciano is 29% with shippers. On top of that comes out of a key race which has produced two next out winners.

Race 11: #2 Nightbar (4-1): We’ve already extolled the virtues of trainer Larry Rivelli off a long layoff. Now add in a horse that won his first two races over this track plus the fact that the gelding comes out of a race in March that produced three next out winners.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill On Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Thursday, Sept. 1

Preview: A little more variety on today’s card as opposed to Wednesday when there was just one turf race. The turf rails are at 24 feet even though it’s the last week of the meet. Jockey Flavien Prat is looking to win his first riding title in SoCal and leads Rafael Bejarano 35-28 at the start of the week. Santiago Gonzalez is third with 27 winners.

Race 1: 1. #1 Conquest So True (6-1), 2. Generous Pour, 3. Marriedtoaminister. LONG SHOT: Brookes All Mine.
Trainer Vladimir Cerin cuts this filly back from two turns to one turn and he’s 29% with that move. Apprentice rider Chad Lindsay stays aboard and he’s 24% with Cerin. The 4-year-old also has Brisnet’s top Class Rating.

Race 2: 1. Five Palms, 2. Glacken Too, 3. Cherubim. LONG SHOT: Spirit Rules.

Race 3: 1. #3 Silver Summer (8-1), 2. Smokey’s Legacy, 3. Pee Wee Reese. LONG SHOT: Viviendo El Sueno.
This 4-year-old makes his third start off a layoff for trainer Anthony Saavedra, who is 15% in that category. The key here is the addition of Flavien Prat who has ridden the turf course to perfection this meet most of the time.

Race 4: 1. Del Cielo, 2. Back Beauty, 3. Seeking Shamrocks. LONG SHOT: Private Terrace.

Race 5: 1. #6 David’s Memory (20-1), 2. The Big Train, 3. California Silver. LONG SHOT: Natural Stride.
The gelding is making his first trip around two turns and running on the grass, but maybe this is what trainer Hector Palma was setting up all along. This is a 4-year-old son of Vronsky (Danzig) out of an Unusual Heat mare. That screams two turns on the turf. There is also a good work on Aug. 22 saying he might be ready.

Race 6: 1. Who Said Lucky, 2. My Aunt Tillie, 3. Glory Run. LONG SHOT: Bella Sierra.

Race 7: 1. Curlin’s Fox BEST BET, 2. Envahir, 3. Tiz a Kiss. LONG SHOT: K P Wildcat.

Race 8: 1. Proud of Our Kids, 2. The All Button, 3. Maven Harry. LONG SHOT: War Ruler.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar late selections for Thursday, Aug. 25

Preview: Plenty of variety on this card so should be interesting. The trainer’s race is coming down to the usual suspects. Heading into the week Phil D’Amato led with 16 winners followed by Richard Baltas and Bob Baffert at 12 wins each and Peter Miller with 10. Disappointing meet for the Doug O’Neill barn so maybe that barn will get hot in the last two weeks.

Sorry late again.

Race 1: 1. Tryst, 2. Pearl de Vere, 3. Cuyathy. LONG SHOT: Spicy Blonde.

Race 2: 1. #4 Handsome Hank (5-2), 2. Unbridled Rocket, 3. Suavemente. LONG SHOT: Proud Zoning.
Trainer Art Sherman does claim many but he must have seen some here. Maybe it’s the 5-2-1-2 record at this distance or 2-1-0-1 record on the dirt. This colt is bred to run all day and has the best Brisnet Late Pace Rating.

Race 3: 1. Lil Miss Sapphire, 2. Woot Woot, 3. Goseecal. LONG SHOT: My Mel Mar.

Race 4: 1. #3 Patron (6-1) BEST BET, 2. Silent Movies, 3. What’s Up Gus. LONG SHOT: Magik Pepper.
This is strictly a breeding play as trainer Bob Baffert is 4% with first-time turfers. This colt was training good enough going into debut but that was on the dirt. This 3-year-old is bred to run on the turf (13% first time grass) and bred to run all day (7.5 average furlongs for sire and 9.4 for the broodmare sire). This colt is also coming out of a key race. Baffert is 32% with jockey Stewart Elliott. I’m all in.

Race 5: 1. Enduring Erin, 2. Mrs. Norris, 3. Dis Smart Cat. LONG SHOT: Stylish in Black.

Race 6: 1. #8 Vibe (6-1), 2. Plum Dandy, 3. Term of Act. LONG SHOT: Thirty Pepperonis.
Think this colt’s debut was just a training race as the Desormeaux brothers team up here on this son of Astrology. Trainer Keith Desormeaux is 17% with horses the first time they go a route of ground.

Race 7: 1. #5 Instant Drama (15-1), 2. Easy Grader, 3. Madame Mousse. LONG SHOT: Cover Song.
This filly tries turf for the first time as she returns from a short freshening. The sire Big Drama gets 10% winners first time turf. Trainer Gary Mandella is 2-for-8 in turf sprints and this 3-year-old has a couple of big works coming into the race.

Race 8: 1. Clude, 2. Big Discovery, 3. Motoring Around. LONG SHOT: Tough Emblem.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Thursday, Aug. 18

Preview: Big week at Del Mar with the Pacific Classic on Saturday. Bob Baffert, to no one’s surprise is leading all trainers in main track wins with 10 from 33 mounts. John Sadler is having a great meet with 7 wins from 16 starters on the dirt and Mark Glatt is 6-of-21.

Race 1: #2 Nuke Laloosh (3-1), 2. Ideal, 3. Papa Gulf. LONG SHOT: Foolish to Deceive.
Trainer Peter Miller brings this 3-year-old back after more than a year’s layoff, but look who he lost to in his last race, no other than Preakness winner Exaggerator. That race was a key race and with the drop to maiden claimers for the first time (Miller’s 28% there) this first-time gelding could be real tough.

Race 2: Dame Street, 2. Optimism And Hope, 3. Compel. LONG SHOT: Tequila Mary.

Race 3: 1. Golden Atlantic, 2. Cee the Preacher, 3. Look Me in the Eye. LONG SHOT: Redneck Crazy.

Race 4: 1. Marvelous Max, 2. Bernardjfortunato, 3. Zealous Tale. LONG SHOT: Ring Collector.

Race 5: #1 Marriedtoaminister (5-1) BEST BET, 2. Papa Mambo, 3. Watch This Cat. LONG SHOT: Conquest So True.
This filly was claimed by trainer Richard Baltas out of a maiden claiming victory and we think he had grass in mind for her. Baltas is 21% first off the claim and 25% both first turf and dirt to turf. The filly has the best Brisnet Late Pace Rating by 9 points which should work out well on the grass.

Race 6: 1. Warren’s Purrfect, 2. Appealing Lady, 3. Goliath’s Girl. LONG SHOT: Lob City.

Race 7: 1. Danas Best, 2. Pretentious, 3. Infinite Loop. LONG SHOT: Banze No Oeste.

Race 8: 1. #8 You’re the Reason (5-1), 2.It’s Not So Easy, 3. Starr of Quality. LONG SHOT: Victory Seeker.
Trainer William Morey drops this filly into a maiden claimer for the first time and he is 53% with such moves. Huge jockey switch from Kerwin John to Gary Stevens.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Wednesday, Aug. 17

Preview: Inside is the place to be this meet at Del Mar, both on the turf and the main track. In turf races, horses starting from posts 1-3 are winning 46% of the time. On the main track in sprints horses in posts 1-5 are winning 59% and in distance races posts 1-4 are winning 55%. Keep it in mind..

Race 1: 1. #2 Adios Princess (7-2), 2. Street Goddess, 3. You Sleep On That. LONG SHOT: Khalaya.
Apprentice jockey Chad Lindsay had his choice of three horses in here and takes this filly, which was placed way above here head in the last. She is 3-2-0-1 at this sprint distance and has the top Brisnet Class Rating.

Race 2: 1. Datsatsa Gem, 2. Beantown Boys, 3. Blowemaway. LONG SHOT: Nicos Way.

Race 3: 1. Ultimate Holiday, 2. Tourny, 3. Snow Cloud. LONG SHOT: Everqueen.

Race 4: 1. Sweet Profit, 2. Stole a Kiss, 3. Cherokee in Me. LONG SHOT: Summer Veil.

Race 5: 1. Howdy Kingkowboy, 2. Amazing Love, 3. Supreme Giant. LONG SHOT: Bic Mitchum.

Race 6: 1. Out Ofthe Ordinary, 2. Kennedie Sky, 3. Summer Lady. LONG SHOT: Sea Smoke.

Race 7: 1. Tara’s Tango, 2. Enchanting Lady, 3. Pretty N Cool. LONG SHOT: Lost Bus.

Race 8: #3 Monterey Shale (3-1), 2. The Big Train, 3. He Could. LONG SHOT: Evicted.
This 4-year-old showed big improvement when moved to the turf. He has the top Class Rating from Brisnet and his running style of pressing the pace should work out well with the rails out to 30 feet on the turf course. Jockey Rafael Bejarano stays on and he is 23% with trainer Carla Gaines.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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