Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar opinions for Friday, Nov. 8 (Bing Crosby Season opener)

Note: Jockey Abel Cedillo is suspended Friday and Saturday. Flavien Prat will be suspended Saturday, Sunday and next Thursday. The main track should be tighter than in the summer so I’m thinking speed might do better. Rally wide was the way to go so definitely monitor this. The inside posts didn’t do well on the main track last meet. We’ll see this month.

FIRST RACE: 1. Summer Fire, 2. Debt Monger, 3. Squared Straight. LONG SHOT: Very Irish.
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SECOND RACE: 1. Wildman Jack, 2. Truck Salesman, 3. General Interest. LONG SHOT: Big Runnuer.
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THIRD RACE: 1. Ernie Banks, 2. Impression, 3. Fire When Ready. LONG SHOT: Kenzou’s Rhythm.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Ladies Luv Munny, 2. Golden Melodie, 3. It’s a Riddle. LONG SHOT: Unusual Secret.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Volubile, 2. Hootie, 3. Storm the Bastille. LONG SHOT: Tiz a Slayer.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. ADORABLY SWEET (best bet), 2. Too Hot for Curlin, 3. Into Rissa. LONG SHOT: Twirling Diamond.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Poster Girl, 2. Excellent Sunset, 3. La Sardane. LONG SHOT: Lostintranzlation.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Tiki Bar Logic, 2. Tiz Toffee, 3. Meso. LONG SHOT: Bunny Yogurt.

Good luck.

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar picks for Sunday, November 20

Preview: Jockey Flavien Prat and Martin Pedroza will be back to ride on Sunday after spending Saturday at Delta Downs. Jockey Kent Desormeaux will be riding in New Mexico today and will miss the card. The turf rails remain at 24 feet. There is a chance of rain today, but it appears they will get the card in as the greatest chance of rain begins at 7 p.m.

Race 1: 1. #5 Queenofthecastle (4-1) SCRATCHED, 2. Avicii, 3. Zuzu’s Petals. LONG SHOT: Ryderroo. New picks: 1. Avicii, 2. Fillie on Fire, 3. Zuzu’s Petals. LONG SHOT: Ryderoo.
This filly is moving up in class, but she is coming off a good win at Santa Anita. She has a win over the track last year. Drayden Van Dyke rides back and figures to come running in the lane since the 4-year-old has the top late pace rating by Brisnet.

Race 2: 1. Radio Silent, 2. Que Chistoso, 3. Lamu. LONG SHOT: Unbridled Rocket.

Race 3: 1. #5 Divine Spark (5-2) BEST BET, 2. Sircat Sally, 3. Veiled Heat. LONG SHOT: Radish.
Unless the Jerry Hollendorfer first-timer (Sircat Sally) can run, this filly trained by Bob Baffert looks like an easy winner against the Cal-bred field. She showed speed last time out and tired while finishing third. She cuts back a half-furlong and Baffert is 22% with second-time starters. Martin Garcia keeps the mount.

Race 4: 1. Run Like the Boss, 2. Algorhythmic, 3. Pied N True. LONG SHOT: Irish and Lucky.

Race 5: 1. Ucanthankmelater, 2. Lyrical Passage, 3. T. ontana. LONG SHOT: Thirty Pepperonis.

Race 6: 1. Spanis Hombre, 2. Moe Candy, 3. Well Measured. LONG SHOT: Top Fortitude.

Race 7: 1. #1 Bolitar (6-1), 2. Fin de Semaine, 3. Unapologetic. LONG SHOT: Handful of Stripes.
This 3-year-old is going around two turns for the first time and he is bred top and bottom to do that. He has the top Prime and Class Ratings from Brisnet plus more importantly the top late pace rating. Jockey Flavien Prat jumps off for the morning-line favorite, but no worries as Norberto Arrroyo Jr. has ridden this son of Harlan’s Holiday in the past and knows him well plus Arroyo rode the Del Mar turf well at the summer meet.

Race 8: 1. Solid Wager, 2. Gold Rush Dancer, 3. Acceptance. LONG SHOT: Image of Joplin.

Race 9: 1. Shezroxiie, 2. Sugary, 3. Special Gal. LONG SHOT: Sassy Ashley.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing, Keeneland

Del Mar picks for Thursday, Oct. 29 (plus a few others)

FIRST RACE: 1. Doyouknowsomething, 2. Player’s Charm, 3. Vartan. LONG SHOT: Exemplar.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Pico Chick, 2. Exit Sixty Slew, 3. Swag Money. LONG SHOT: Amare.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Follow Me Cerv, 2. Sunbeamsfromheaven, 3. Mister Blue. LONG SHOT: Zim N the Mailman.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Newfound Gold, 2. Razorbill, 3. Karma King. LONG SHOT: Surf N Ski.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. John’s Success, 2. Lovenseek, 3. Trifecta. LONG SHOT: Peach Arch.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. #7 Pacific Heat (9-2) BEST BET, 2. Just Google Me, 3. Obey. LONG SHOT: Forthenineteen.

Trainer Peter Eurton doesn’t get them ready first time out so for this one to win first time out by 13½ lengths is impressive. Even more impressive is the fact he went wire-to-wire and had the best late pace BRIS figure.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Tiz a Kiss, 2. Hiking, 3. Natice Heart. LONG SHOT: Queenofthepalace.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #3 Dirt in Your Face (4-1), 2. Dakota Deacon, 3. Alltheleavesrbrown. LONG SHOT: Ghost of Navigator.

This 3-year-old drops down to the level where he finished second at this summer. He has a good work coming into the race and trainer Tim Yakteen is 43% with horses moving down two or more classes. Jockey James Graham takes over.

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Gulfstream Park West 

Race 1: #2 Megatoni (turf only) (5-1)

This 2-year-old finished sixth at this level over the track three weeks ago. That race has produced three next out winners and she gets a jockey change to E. Jaramillo.

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Race 8: #7 Expect Some Drama (15-1)

Trainer Jane Cibelli is 36% with horses going down two or more class levels. On top of that this filly is coming out of a key race and apprentice jockey Harry Hernandez takes over.

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Keeneland Race Course 

Race 6: #5 Clearly Confused (5-1)

Our Eyes: This filly has been playing musical trainers lately, ending with her third conditioner in her last three races. But this much is clear she is coming out of a Del Mar race that has produced three winners already and she finished third in a Grade I over this track in the spring.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Thursday, Nov. 20 (Bing Crosby Season) UPDATED

Entering the third week of racing at the new Del Mar fall meet and we see some interesting trends as far as post positions go.

On the Polytrack, inside is still the place to be, just like it was in the summer. Post positions 1-4 have won 62% of the races (18 of 29). The same can’t be said for the route races as the 1 and 2 posts are a combined 1 for 11 while posts 3 to 6 are 7 for 11 (72%).

On the turf course, there have been only three 5-furlong races so no real trends there. However, go around two turns, trends have changed. It was tough to win from the inside during the summer, but now posts 1 to 3 are 9 for 18 (50%). Keep an eye on it.

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FIRST RACE: 1. Jedi Mind Trick, 2. Rocked Twice, 3. Vegas Street. LONG SHOT: Preacher Roe.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Alice Roadtrain, 2. Here’s Bella, 3. Hollywood Royalty. LONG SHOT: Private Marina.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Lookin for Money, 2. Golds Venice, 3. Lady Danger. LONG SHOT: Chia Love.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Kohala, 2. Push Girl, 3. Underhill Drive. LONG SHOT: Siena Grace.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Milton, 2. Pioneerof the West, 3. Cyrus Alexander. LONG SHOT: Madiba (SCRATCHED) new long shot: Call It Good. 

I was prepared to make CYRUS ALEXANDER my best bet of the day but those post position stats made me re-think the race. MILTON comes out of the the DORTMUND maiden race, which has already produced one winner, so we’ll go that way, but an exacta box on the top three might be a way to go. MADIBA, a $700,000 yearling purchase, has been a major disappointment, but he is the “other” Hollendorfer in this spot as Jerry also starts Cyrus.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Q’ Viva, 2. Comin’offthebench, 3. Nero’s Bench. LONG SHOT: Denotation.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Super Ability (best bet), 2. Hay Dude, 3. Bettys Bambino. LONG SHOT: Mega Heat.

Jockey Joe Talamo jumps on SUPER ABILITY (4-1), a 6-year-old gelding. which is stretching out after third place finish vs. Cal Breds. This son on Langfuhr has won in open company before at Del Mar. Look for Talamo to try to go wire-to-wire.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Clem Juice, 2. Cape’s Rockette (SCRATCHED), 3. Caymus Kat. LONG SHOT: South Texas. New picks: 1. Clem Juice, 2. Gold Journey, 3. Caymus Kat. LONG SHOT: South Texas.

CLEM JUICE (6-1) is a 2-year-old daughter of Papa Clem, whose offspring does well first time out and vs. Cal-bred competition. On top of that jockey Iggy Puglisi and trainer Paul Aguirre are a good combo and seem do well in the final race of the day a lot. This filly has been training well at Los Alamitos.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Sunday’s top choice winners: 2 (Pursuitofparadise $6, first race; Tosheen $5.20, fourth)

Sunday’s second choice winners: 2 (Achiever’s Legacy $21.60, second)

Sunday’s third choice winners: 2 (Fast Magoo $5.80, seventh; Neveradoubt $12.40, ninth)

Sunday’s long shot winners: 2 (Serbian Syclone $10.60, third; Smokey’s Legacy $4.60, fifth)

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, Nov. 7 (Bing Crosby Season)

The new fall meet begins Friday at Del Mar and it will be interesting, to say the least.

Remember this is the last meet with the Polytrack so you are going to see a lot of trainers with synthetic specialists trying to cash. The only synthetic track left in California will be at Golden Gate Fields in Albany.

Also remember the No. 1 post did very well this summer in sprints on the Polytrack and the inside was good going long.

On the turf, it was the opposite. The inside did very bad and tough to overcome. Jockeys Mike Smith and Corey Nakatani seemed to dominate on the new grass layout. They waited until the head of the strethc before they would make their moves.

Of course, all this could change in the fall with different weather and a more mature turf course, but it’s something to keep in mind.

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FIRST RACE: 1. Wild Caroline, 2. Mango Reward, 3. Diamond Flush. LONG SHOT: Ann’s Gold.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Unusually Green, 2. Benba, 3. Lucky J Lane. LONG SHOT: Deep Play.

Jockey Mike Smith could have ridden race favorite Lucky J Lane, but opts for UNUSUALLY GREEN (7-2), a son of Unusual Heat. The 3-year-old broke his maiden over this surface and Smith rode the new surface to perfection in the summer.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Midnight Lady, 2. Adriatic Skye, 3. Jetbird. LONG SHOT: Clearly Annointed.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Oscillator, 2. Eltoninadress, 3. Marla Hooch. LONG SHOT: Miss American Pie.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Smuggler Union, 2. Bolo, 3. Selection. LONG SHOT: Armored Car.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Smooth Talker, 2. Up the Alley, 3. Adellusion. LONG SHOT: Spoiledandentitled.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Vegas Strip, 2. Got More, 3. Ashleyluvssugar. LONG SHOT: Lolo El Canonero.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Kitten’s Point (best bet), 2. Gender Agenda, 3. Queen of The Sand. LONG SHOT: Burning Arch.

Trainer Graham Motion has been on fire nationally and he shipped KITTEN’S POINT (9-2), a 4-year-old filly, to SoCal looking for some cash. She’s drops out of the Grade I First Lady, which has proven to be a key race with Dayatthespa and Filimbi coming back winners. Jockey Aaron Gryder picks up the mount.

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NINTH RACE 1. Heat the Rocks, 2. Silver Starlight, 3. Scuti de Patuti. .LONG SHOT: Is This Georgia.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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