Belmont Park, Horse racing

Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, July 9

BELMONT PARK

RACE 6 (The Victory Ride): 1. Lost Raven, 2. Coppa, 3. Appealing Maggie, 4. Malibu Stacy.
COPPA is 2-for-2 at Santa Anita and trainer Phil D’Amato gives him a shot in a graded stakes. California speed is different so he willbe out winging but LOST RAVEN is a true closer.

Race 7 (The Dwyer): 1. #7 Swipe (6-1), 2. Economic Model, 3. Fish Trappe Road, 4. Voluntario.
This colt SWIPE chased Nyquist all last year and got a slow start in 2016. Now trainer Keith Desormeaux reunited the son of Birdstone with his brother jockey Kent Desormeaux. This 3-year-old hasn’t received the best of rides in his two races this year and I think he’s ready to give his best effort.

Race 8 (The Belmont Derby): 1. #2 Ralis (20-1), 2. Long Island Sound, 3. Humphrey Bogart, 4. Deauville.
This colt RALIS may have found a home on the grass with two runner-up finishes on the grass at Santa Anita. Yes, this is a huge step up for him, but the son of Square Eddie seems to want to go this far. Jockey Mario Gutierrez just needs to stay out of trouble in this talented field.

Race 9 (The Suburban): 1. Mubtaahij, 2. Noble Bird, 3. Effines, 4. Eagle.

Race 10 (Belmont Oaks Invitational): 1. #10 Land Over Sea (20-1), 2. Catch a Glimpse, 3. Magnanime, 4. Coolnmore.
We loved LAND OVER SEA in the Kentucky Oaks and Black Eyed Susan but she may have run out of steam after a tough spring. She also didn’t receive the best of rides from Gutierrez in either race. This is her toughest spot yet, but notice one thing on her PPs: She broke her maiden over the Del Mar grass last year in her only turf appearance so if Gutierrez can keep her out of trouble maybe we’ll have a huge upset..

Race 11 (Belmont Sprint Championship): 1. Green Gratto, 2. Private Zone, 3. Roxbury N Overton, 4. A.P. Indian.

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, June 11

Preview: Another 11-race card on a Saturday but at least the first post is earlier. However, track management will take an hour off around the Belmont and still keep bettors at the track until after 7 p.m. probably. Lots of top jockeys on the East Coast so looks for the likes of Rafael Bejarano, Tyler Baze and Joe Talamo to have big days.

Race 4 – SA
#5 Black Sheared Anvil: This gelding drops from the straigght maiden ranks to maiden claiming for the first time. Trainer Richard Mandella is 23% with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff and he has to get Santiago Gonzalez to ride since Flavien Prat is back in New York.

Race 6 – SA
#8 Skookum Spirit: Another gelding dropping into a maiden claimer for the first. This 3-year-old has shown speed in all of his races and if he does that here, he could be long gone. Trainer Steve Miyadi and jockey Edwin Maldonado are a 21% combination.

Race 9 – SA
#6 Unbridled Rocket: This 3-year-old was claimed out his last race, a loss to the speedy Navy Hymn, by trainer Jack Carava, but the gelding is taking a key drop from an open claimer to a non-winners of two races. Santiago Gonzalez jumps on and has had moderate success with Carva. – Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 4 units to place and 5 units to show.

Race 11 – SA
#4 Sassy Ashley: This is the money run for this filly. She showed speed off the layoff and tired to finish fourth. Trainer Richard Baltas brings her back at the same distance and jockey Rafael Bejarano (29%) with Baltas stays aboard.

Belmont Stakes picks
4 – Suddenbreakingnews
11 – Exaggerator
1 – Governor Malibu
13 – Creator

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing

Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, June 11

They will go to the post Saturday for the final jewel of the Triple Crown in the Belmont Stakes, but there will be nothing on the line except bragging rights.

Exaggerator made sure of that when he beat Nyquist in the Preakness Stakes three weeks ago and it might not have mattered any way as Nyquist got sick after the race and had to be put on anti-biotics and would have missed this 1 1/2-mile race any way.

As for Saturday’s race, I think Exaggerator is the horse to beat, but I like Suddenbreakingnews, which is getting a huge jockey switch to Hall of Famer Mike Smith by trainer Donnie Von Hemel. The son of Mineshaft had some traffic issues early in the Kentucky Derby, but then closed strongly in the stretch to finish fifth. I think Smith will have him a little closer in New York.

I like Exaggerator to finish no worse than second followed by Governor Malibu and Creator.

Below are some selections for Saturday at Belmont Park:

Race 1 (Easy Goer): 1. Race Me Home, 2. Cupid, 3. Rally Cry. LONG SHOT: Economic Model.

Race 3 (Acorn): 1. Cathryn Sophia, 2. Carina Mia, 3. Go Maggie Go. LONG SHOT: Forever Darling.

Race 4 (Brooklyn): 1. Elnaawi, 2. Seecuritiz, 3. Neck ‘n Neck. LONG SHOT: Shamen Ghost.

Race 5 (Ogden Phipps): 1. Curalina, 2. Cavorting, 3. Forever Unbridled. LONG SHOT: Carrumba.

Race 6 (Jaipur): 1. A Lot, 2. Rocket Heat, 3. Green Mask. LONG SHOT: Guns Loaded.

Race 7 (Woody Stephens): 1. Fish Trappe Road, 2. Sharp Azteca, 3. Dig Deep. LONG SHOT: Mrazek.

Race 8 (Just A Game): 1. Rainha Da Bateria, 2. Mrs McDougal, 3. Strike Charmer. LONG SHOT: Faufiler.

Race 9 (Met Mile): 1. Donworth, 2. Noble Bird, 3. Ami’s Flatter. LONG SHOT: Calculator.

Race 10 (Manhattan): 1. Flintshire, 2. Wake Forest, 3. Take the Stand. LONG SHOT: Oathkeeper.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, June 10 (Plus Belmont Park stakes)

Preview: Just two turf races on the card and the rails at 30 feet so speed will likely dominate. Jockeys to avoid on the grass right now are Drayden Van Dyke (1-for-25), Edwin Maldonado (1-28) and Martin Garcia (0-19). We had two winners and third-place horse on Thursday.

Race 3 – SA
#3 Hayley’s Comment: Just gave an even effort in her debut and now go two turns. Red-hot Flavien Prat takes over in the saddle and trainer Kristin Mulhall is 21% going from sprint to route.

Race 5 – SA
#8 Aqua Frio: Trainer Blaine Wright has a couple of good works into this son of Uncle Mo, who gets 20% first time out winners. Jockey Tyler Baze jumps on and is 30% with Wright.

Race 8 – SA
#5 Tuscan Sun: It won’t take a world-beater to wins this lowest level maiden claimer so why not go with a first-timer. Cyclotron gets 20% first-time out winners and trainer Karen Headley is 31% with maiden claimers and 25% with jockey Edwin Maldonado.

BELMONT PARK

Race 3 (Rags to Riches): 1. Joint Return, 2. Theogony, 3. Mei Ling. LONG SHOT: Stroke Play.

Race 4 (The Tremont): 1. Lady Stardust, 2. Silver Mission, 3. Hey Mike. LONG SHOT: Pachi Cruze.

Race 5 (The Jersey Girl): 1. Kareena, 2. Blip n’ Th Bye, 3. Quick Release. LONG SHOT: One True Kiss.

Race 8 The True North): 1. Catalina Red, 2. Joking, 3. Holy Boss. LONG SHOT: Always Sunshine.

Race 9 (The New York): 1. Dacita, 2. Sea Calisi, 3. Havana Moon. LONG SHOT: Kyllachy Queen.

Race 10 (Belmont Gold Cup): 1. Now We Can, 2. Kaigun, 3. Up With the Bird. LONG SHOT: Closing Bell.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Gulfstream Park West, Horse racing

Gulfstream Park West opinions for Nov. 25-26

Gulfstream Park West for Wednesday, Nov. 25

Race 3: #1 My Corinthian (10-1)

This 4-year-old is making his first start in nearly two years, but he has been first or second in his two grass races previously going this distance so trainer Dane Kobiskie should have him plenty ready. J.C. Caraballo has already ridden a winner for Kobiskie at the meet.

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Race 5: #5 Holy Highway (10-1)

Trainer Herman Wilensky is 27% first off the claim so he must have a plan for this 6-year-old. Jockey J.C. Caraballo has ridden previously for Wilensky. Exacta box 1-5-11.

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Gulfstream Park West for Thursday, Nov. 26

Race 3: #1 Class and Cash (turf only) (5-2)

This 3-year-old takes a drop in class from racing at Parx and Belmont. Trainer Edward Plesa Jr. is 21% with horses off a 46-90 day layoff.

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Race 5:  #6 How You (turf only) (6-1)

This 3-year-old came to South Florida and finally broke his maiden. Now trainer Jorge Navarro tries him with winners and Navarro is 38% with horses second off the layoff. Jockey Eddie Castro is 30% with Navarro this year on 33 mounts.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Friday, Aug. 21

FIRST RACE: 1. Good Looking, 2. I’m a Drama Mama, 3. Vronsky’s Devka. LONG SHOT: Daddy’s Sweetie.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Basmati, 2. Saint Adalbert, 3. Mistaken Identity. LONG SHOT: Sacred Ovation.
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THIRD RACE: 1. #8 Trifecta (5-2), 2. Lovenseek, 3. Dynamite Ride. LONG SHOT: A Colt Following.

Trainer Phil D’Amato claimed this 3-year-old out of an off-the-turf affair the first weekend of the meet and brings him back at the same level. D’Amato is 25% first off the claim and 22% with jockey Joe Talamo.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. #9 True Ranger (6-1), 2. Nusret, 3. Kelly With a Twist. LONG SHOT: Outrage.

Trainer Dan Hendricks was 46% with maiden claimers at Del Mar coming into this meet. This 2-year-old finished third in his SoCal debut from New Jersey and now drops a level plus Hendricks puts blinkers on.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Chief of Staff, 2. Storm Comin Thru, 3. Prince Charmant. LONG SHOT: Nina’s Dragon.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. #3 DIDO (5-2) BEST BET, 2. Circling, 3. Honey Lake. LONG SHOT: One More.

Trainer Graham Motion doesn’t ship West much so when he does it’s with a purpose. The big question is whether this is a prep for a race later in the meet or the main objective? This 5-year-old mare comes out of a Belmont Park key race that produced a graded stakes winner at Saratoga last week.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Olympic Fashion, 2. Katsfashion, 3. Warren’s Honey Bee. LONGSHOT: Katy’s Plum.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Thursday’s top choice winners: 2 (Belle Et Bete $6.20, first race; Dream Police $7.60, second)

Thursday’s second choice winners: 2 (Some Caan Job $4, fourth; Herbies Thunder $7.60, eighth)

Thursday’s third choice winners: 2 (Rocket Heat $7.40, third; Golden Bayers $9.60, sixth)

Thursday’s long shot winners: 0

 

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Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park, Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos (plus a few others) opinions for Sunday, July 12

Race 4: #8 Relative Time (5-2)

This gelding drops to his lowest level ever in the maiden claiming ranks for trainer Clifford Sise, who is 2-for-4 with horses going tuf to dirt. Jockey Tyler Baze jumps on this 4-year-old.

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Race 5: #3 Tester (7-2)

This gelding is on a two-race winning streak for trainer Phil D’Amato, who is 26% with horses off this kind of layoff. Jockey Tiago Pereira is 28% with D’Amato.

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Race 7: #4 Dissension (3-1)

We’re sticking with the Phil D’Amato-Tiago Pereira train today. This mare was claimed last time out and D’Amato is 23% first off the claim. He is also 26% going sprint to route. Think the barn is ready to go on another hot streak.

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BELMONT PARK

Race 5: #2 Run to Mama (15-1)

Our Eyes:  This mare has three lifetime victories, all on the turf and two of them over this course. She returns to facing New York breds and drops in for a tag for the first time. Maybe that will wake her up.

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GULFSTREAM PARK

Race 4: #1 Feelingbettertoday (turf only) (7-2)

Throw out that last race on the dirt as this mare wants turf only. Trainer Peter Walder is 38% second off the claim and 26% second off the layoff. This 6-year-old will be tighter today and apprentice jockey Tyler Gaffalione takes over.

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Race 8: #3 Simplistic (6-1)

This mare is 1-for-1 over the course and is up in class over that victory. Trainer Rasharn Creque has the magic touch with turf horses as he is 35% from 26 starters on the green stuff. Jockey Arny Fontanez keeps the mount for this speedball.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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