Belmont Park, Horse racing

Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, June 10

Preview: In looking at the entries, if jockey Mike Smith has a big day, then so will trainer Bob Baffert as he ships at least three horses East for the Belmont Stakes card. More picks on other races to come:

11TH RACE (Grade I Belmont): 1. #10 Multiplier (15-1), 2. #3 Gormley (8-1), 3. #7 Irish War Cry (7-2). LONG SHOT: #1 Twisted Tom (20-1).
With the non-entry of Classic Empire, this is a wide open race. Don’t take a short price. Multiplier puts blinkers on after some trouble in the Preakness. Jockey Joel Rosario saw enough to ride this 3-year-old back. Gormley has been waiting since running in the Derby and might be up for a good one.

SECOND RACE (Easy Goer): 1. #8 You’re to Blame (4-1), 2. #7 West Coast (5-2), 3. # 5 Local Hero (5-1. LONG SHOT: #6 Tale of Silence (15-1).

THIRD RACE (Grade II Brooklyn Invitational): 1. #5 Tu Brutas (2-1), 2. #4 Send It In (7-5), 3. #3 Sunny Ridge (10-1). LONG SHOT: #7 War Story (6-1).

FOURTH RACE (Grade I Acorn): 1. Union Strike (8-1 BEST BET), 2. #3 Abel Tasman, 3. #8 Salty (4-1). LONG SHOT: #2 Florida Fabulous (15-1).

FIFTH RACE (Grade I Ogden Phipps): 1. #5 Songbird (1-2), 2. #1 Highway Star (10-1), 3. #7 Carina Mia (6-1). LONG SHOT: #2 Paid Up Subscriber (8-1).

SIXTH RACE (Grade III Jaipur): 1. #10 Stormy Liberal, 2. #2 Disco Partner, 3. #3 Pure Sensation. LONG SHOT: #8 Canadian Flyer (20-1).

SEVENTH RACE (Grade II Woody Stephens): 1. #11 Petrov (8-1), 2. #3 Recruiting Ready (6-1), 3. #8 American Athem. LONG SHOT: #4 Gold for the King (15-1).

EIGHTH RACE (Grade I Just A Game): 1. #7 Antonoe (8-1), 2. #5 Celestine (3-1), 3. #2 Roca Rojo (9-5). LONG SHOT: #3 Prize Exhibit (20-1).

NINTH RACE (Grade I Met Mile): 1. #2 Rally Cry (5-1), 2. #9 Mor Spirit (5-2), 3. #S Sharp Azteca (7-2). LONG SHOT: #8 Tom’s Ready.

10th RACE (Grade I Manhattan): 1. #6 Potemkin (8-1), 2. #2 Wake Forest (8-1), 3. #4 Time Test (5-1). LONG SHOT: #9 Sadler’s Joy (6-1).

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park

Belmont Park opinions for Friday, June 9

FIFTH RACE (Tremont): 1. #1 He Hate me, 2. #7 Salmanazar, 3. #5 Direct Dial. LONG SHOT: #3 Presence of Mind.

EIGHTH RACE (Grade II True North): 1. #7 Roy H, 2. #8 Whitmore, 3. #Fellowship. LONG SHOT: #9 El Deal.

NINTH RACE (Grade II The New York): 1. #1 Quidura, 2. #6 Sea Calisi, 3. #3 Apple Betty. LONG SHOT: #4 Kitten’s Roar.

10th RACE (Grade III Belmont Gold Cup): 1. #12 Wicklow Brave, 2. #10 Red Cardinal, 3. #11 Taghleeb. LONG SHOT: #5 Clondaw Warrior.

11th RACE (Grade III Bed O’ Roses): 1. #7 Mia Torri, 2. #9 By the Moon, 3. #5 Lightstream. LONG SHOT: #2 High Ridge Road.

Good Luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Keeneland Race Course

Belmont and Keeneland opinions for Saturday, Oct. 8

BELMONT PARK

Race 4 (The Frizette): 1. Nonna Mela, 2. Sky Gesture, 3. Yellow Agate. LONG SHOT: Colorful Charades.

Race 5 (The Kelso Handicap): 1. #2 Point Piper (3-1), 2. Tommy macho, 3. Tamarkuz. LONG SHOT: Ocean Knight.
POINT PIPER really came to life in the Longacres Mile for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who is 19% when he ships. The Longacres was this 6-year-old’s Beyer. He loves to come from off the pace and with the long stretch jockey Mario Gutierrez shouldn’t hit the button until the top of the lane.

Race 6 (The Flower Bowl): 1. Lady Eli, 2. Sea Calisi, 3. Strike Charmer. LONG SHOT: Ame Bleue.

Race 7 (The Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational): 1. Power Alert, 2. Pure Sensation, 3. Ready for Rye. LONG SHOT: Triple Burner.

Race 8 (The Champagne): 1. #6 Big Gray Rocket (6-1), 2. Practical Joke, 3. Favorable Outcome. LONG SHOT: Syndergaard.
Trainer Bob Baffert is shipping 2-year-olds all over the country because his barn is loaded which is why BIG GRAY ROCKET is running here. Baffert is 33% when he ships and 25% when he sends a horse first time at a route.This colt was odds-on in his first start, got left at the gate and still almost won. Then he blew away the field at 6 1/2 furlongs. He wants longer and gets it here. Jockey Mike Smith, 31% with Baffert, jumps on.

Race 9 (The Hill Prince): 1. #7 Monster Bea (8-1), 2. Camelot Kitten, 3. American Patriot. LONG SHOT: Conquest Daddyo.
This gelding MONSTER BEA was impressive on opening day at Del Mar winning the Oceanside and then he finished fourth twice in graded company, the last one missing by a half-length. Pure and simple he’s a closer and will have to get the right ride. Leading jockey Javier Castellano jumps on and the longer stretch at Belmont should help. Trainer Peter Miller is 16% with shippers.

Race 10 (The Jockey Club Gold Cup): 1. Effinex, 2. Hoppertunity, 3. Mubtaahij. LONG SHOT: Protonico.

KEENELAND RACE COURSE

Race 5 (The Woodford): 1. Front Pockey Money, 2. Hogy, 3. Almasty. LONG SHOT: Mosler.

Race 6 (The Thoroughbred Club Of America): 1. #5 Bendable (6-1), 2. Stonetastic, 3. I’m a Looker. LONG SHOT: Irish Jasper.
Could trainer Richard Mandella picked a harder spot for Bendable’s graded stakes debut? Probably not, but that’s the point Mandella wants to find out if this filly belongs in the Breeders’ Cup F&M Sprint next month at her home base of Santa Anita. Mandella isn’t shipping for the heck of it. He’s 29% with shippers. She has “California speed” and should be able to stalk the pace and pounce in the stretch under Jose Ortiz.

Race 7 (The First Lady): 1. Tepin, 2. Now Or Never, 3. Celestine. LONG SHOT: Onus.

Race 8 (The Breeders’ Futurity): 1. Classic Empire, 2. No Dozing, 3. Singing Bullet. LONG SHOT: Blame Will.

Race 9: (The Shadwell Turf Mile): 1. Miss Temple City, 2. Tower of Texas, 3. Mondoaliste. LONG SHOT: Ring Weekend.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing

Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, July 9

BELMONT PARK

RACE 6 (The Victory Ride): 1. Lost Raven, 2. Coppa, 3. Appealing Maggie, 4. Malibu Stacy.
COPPA is 2-for-2 at Santa Anita and trainer Phil D’Amato gives him a shot in a graded stakes. California speed is different so he willbe out winging but LOST RAVEN is a true closer.

Race 7 (The Dwyer): 1. #7 Swipe (6-1), 2. Economic Model, 3. Fish Trappe Road, 4. Voluntario.
This colt SWIPE chased Nyquist all last year and got a slow start in 2016. Now trainer Keith Desormeaux reunited the son of Birdstone with his brother jockey Kent Desormeaux. This 3-year-old hasn’t received the best of rides in his two races this year and I think he’s ready to give his best effort.

Race 8 (The Belmont Derby): 1. #2 Ralis (20-1), 2. Long Island Sound, 3. Humphrey Bogart, 4. Deauville.
This colt RALIS may have found a home on the grass with two runner-up finishes on the grass at Santa Anita. Yes, this is a huge step up for him, but the son of Square Eddie seems to want to go this far. Jockey Mario Gutierrez just needs to stay out of trouble in this talented field.

Race 9 (The Suburban): 1. Mubtaahij, 2. Noble Bird, 3. Effines, 4. Eagle.

Race 10 (Belmont Oaks Invitational): 1. #10 Land Over Sea (20-1), 2. Catch a Glimpse, 3. Magnanime, 4. Coolnmore.
We loved LAND OVER SEA in the Kentucky Oaks and Black Eyed Susan but she may have run out of steam after a tough spring. She also didn’t receive the best of rides from Gutierrez in either race. This is her toughest spot yet, but notice one thing on her PPs: She broke her maiden over the Del Mar grass last year in her only turf appearance so if Gutierrez can keep her out of trouble maybe we’ll have a huge upset..

Race 11 (Belmont Sprint Championship): 1. Green Gratto, 2. Private Zone, 3. Roxbury N Overton, 4. A.P. Indian.

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, June 11

Preview: Another 11-race card on a Saturday but at least the first post is earlier. However, track management will take an hour off around the Belmont and still keep bettors at the track until after 7 p.m. probably. Lots of top jockeys on the East Coast so looks for the likes of Rafael Bejarano, Tyler Baze and Joe Talamo to have big days.

Race 4 – SA
#5 Black Sheared Anvil: This gelding drops from the straigght maiden ranks to maiden claiming for the first time. Trainer Richard Mandella is 23% with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff and he has to get Santiago Gonzalez to ride since Flavien Prat is back in New York.

Race 6 – SA
#8 Skookum Spirit: Another gelding dropping into a maiden claimer for the first. This 3-year-old has shown speed in all of his races and if he does that here, he could be long gone. Trainer Steve Miyadi and jockey Edwin Maldonado are a 21% combination.

Race 9 – SA
#6 Unbridled Rocket: This 3-year-old was claimed out his last race, a loss to the speedy Navy Hymn, by trainer Jack Carava, but the gelding is taking a key drop from an open claimer to a non-winners of two races. Santiago Gonzalez jumps on and has had moderate success with Carva. – Jeff Nahill
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 4 units to place and 5 units to show.

Race 11 – SA
#4 Sassy Ashley: This is the money run for this filly. She showed speed off the layoff and tired to finish fourth. Trainer Richard Baltas brings her back at the same distance and jockey Rafael Bejarano (29%) with Baltas stays aboard.

Belmont Stakes picks
4 – Suddenbreakingnews
11 – Exaggerator
1 – Governor Malibu
13 – Creator

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing

Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, June 11

They will go to the post Saturday for the final jewel of the Triple Crown in the Belmont Stakes, but there will be nothing on the line except bragging rights.

Exaggerator made sure of that when he beat Nyquist in the Preakness Stakes three weeks ago and it might not have mattered any way as Nyquist got sick after the race and had to be put on anti-biotics and would have missed this 1 1/2-mile race any way.

As for Saturday’s race, I think Exaggerator is the horse to beat, but I like Suddenbreakingnews, which is getting a huge jockey switch to Hall of Famer Mike Smith by trainer Donnie Von Hemel. The son of Mineshaft had some traffic issues early in the Kentucky Derby, but then closed strongly in the stretch to finish fifth. I think Smith will have him a little closer in New York.

I like Exaggerator to finish no worse than second followed by Governor Malibu and Creator.

Below are some selections for Saturday at Belmont Park:

Race 1 (Easy Goer): 1. Race Me Home, 2. Cupid, 3. Rally Cry. LONG SHOT: Economic Model.

Race 3 (Acorn): 1. Cathryn Sophia, 2. Carina Mia, 3. Go Maggie Go. LONG SHOT: Forever Darling.

Race 4 (Brooklyn): 1. Elnaawi, 2. Seecuritiz, 3. Neck ‘n Neck. LONG SHOT: Shamen Ghost.

Race 5 (Ogden Phipps): 1. Curalina, 2. Cavorting, 3. Forever Unbridled. LONG SHOT: Carrumba.

Race 6 (Jaipur): 1. A Lot, 2. Rocket Heat, 3. Green Mask. LONG SHOT: Guns Loaded.

Race 7 (Woody Stephens): 1. Fish Trappe Road, 2. Sharp Azteca, 3. Dig Deep. LONG SHOT: Mrazek.

Race 8 (Just A Game): 1. Rainha Da Bateria, 2. Mrs McDougal, 3. Strike Charmer. LONG SHOT: Faufiler.

Race 9 (Met Mile): 1. Donworth, 2. Noble Bird, 3. Ami’s Flatter. LONG SHOT: Calculator.

Race 10 (Manhattan): 1. Flintshire, 2. Wake Forest, 3. Take the Stand. LONG SHOT: Oathkeeper.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, June 10 (Plus Belmont Park stakes)

Preview: Just two turf races on the card and the rails at 30 feet so speed will likely dominate. Jockeys to avoid on the grass right now are Drayden Van Dyke (1-for-25), Edwin Maldonado (1-28) and Martin Garcia (0-19). We had two winners and third-place horse on Thursday.

Race 3 – SA
#3 Hayley’s Comment: Just gave an even effort in her debut and now go two turns. Red-hot Flavien Prat takes over in the saddle and trainer Kristin Mulhall is 21% going from sprint to route.

Race 5 – SA
#8 Aqua Frio: Trainer Blaine Wright has a couple of good works into this son of Uncle Mo, who gets 20% first time out winners. Jockey Tyler Baze jumps on and is 30% with Wright.

Race 8 – SA
#5 Tuscan Sun: It won’t take a world-beater to wins this lowest level maiden claimer so why not go with a first-timer. Cyclotron gets 20% first-time out winners and trainer Karen Headley is 31% with maiden claimers and 25% with jockey Edwin Maldonado.

BELMONT PARK

Race 3 (Rags to Riches): 1. Joint Return, 2. Theogony, 3. Mei Ling. LONG SHOT: Stroke Play.

Race 4 (The Tremont): 1. Lady Stardust, 2. Silver Mission, 3. Hey Mike. LONG SHOT: Pachi Cruze.

Race 5 (The Jersey Girl): 1. Kareena, 2. Blip n’ Th Bye, 3. Quick Release. LONG SHOT: One True Kiss.

Race 8 The True North): 1. Catalina Red, 2. Joking, 3. Holy Boss. LONG SHOT: Always Sunshine.

Race 9 (The New York): 1. Dacita, 2. Sea Calisi, 3. Havana Moon. LONG SHOT: Kyllachy Queen.

Race 10 (Belmont Gold Cup): 1. Now We Can, 2. Kaigun, 3. Up With the Bird. LONG SHOT: Closing Bell.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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