Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, Feb. 4

Preview: At the starting of the race wee, trainer Tom Proctor was tearing it up on the turf with 8 wins from 16 starters. Derek Ryan has 4 grass wins followed by Jamie Ness, Robert Smith and Arnaud Delacour with 3 wins each. On the other end of the spectrum, Peter Wasiluk is 0-for-14, Anthony Rini is 0-for-12, William Bradley 1-for-15, Christophe Clement 1-for-13 and David Hinsley 1-for-13. Keep it in mind.

Race 3: #4 Divine Change (5-2): This filly has been running on the grass and facing better, but trainer Dale Bennett wants her maiden broken so he drops her to her lowest level ever and tries 7 furlongs on the dirt. Bennett is 30% going route to sprint and he’s 47% with jockey Pablo Morales at the meet.

Race 7: #6 Great Harbour Cay (8-1): Trainer Jamie Ness and jockey Edwin Gonzalez have been tearing it up, winning 40% of their entries at the meet. At this morning-line this is too good to pass up. Ness is 22% second off the layoff.

Race 8: #10 Tether to Reality (5-1): Joan Scott is a good trainer. She got this gelding to the finish line first in his debut at 5 years old. He is bred to run long and Harlan’s Holiday gets 13% first time winners on the grass.

Race 10: #1 Celebrity Warrior (10-1): Leading jockey Daniel Centeno takes the mount on this class dropped for trainer Derek Ryan, who is 25% with horses the first time in his care.

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, Jan. 27

Preview: We talked about the top jockeys last time but here are some jockeys to throw out. Scott Spieth is 1-for-109, Pedro Cotto is 1-for-49, Luis Figueroa is 0-22 and Wilkin Ortiz is 0-21. They would have to win to have me even consider them.

Race 3 – Tam
#4 Moonlit Meteor (12-1) ***
Our Eyes: This gelding has won here before and gets out of the winless trainer Anthony Rini. Jockey Willie Martinez takes over and this 9-year-old likes to press the pace and rally in the stretch.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 4-3-7.

Race 4 – Tam
#7 Dream Mon (8-1) ***
Our Eyes: This gelding makes his first start of the meet after running at Indiana Grand. Trainer Joseph Davis takes over and he’s 22% first time with horses. Davis is 3-for-9 with jockey Fernando De La Cruz over the last year.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 7-8-3.

Race 6 – Tam
#5 Bronze Venus (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading rider Daniel Centeno stays on this filly, which should be forwardly placed on the cut back from 7 furlongs.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#5 Nagzilla (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: The combination of trainer Larry Rivelli and Centeno have won 2-of-3 at the meet and 36% over the past year. Rivelli is 26% with horses off a layoff of more than 90 days.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-5.

Race 8 – Tam
#1 Hint of Mary (5-1) ****
Our Eyes: Trainer Christophe Clement has two first-time starters in here but he puts Centeno on this one. That’s good enough for me as they are 44% over the last year.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 1-3-9.

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