Horse racing, Los Alamitos

Los Alamitos opinions for Thursday, Dec. 3

 

Race 4: #7 Preacher Roe (7-2) 

This gelding has won 2 of the 3 times he has run on this track so not concerned with the rise in class. Jockey Martin Pedroza knows him well and is 30% at Los Al with trainer Adam Kitchingman.

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Race 6: #1 Dixie Caravan (3-1)

Fresno shippers did well at Del Mar and now this 2-year-old drops into a maiden claimer for the first time. Trainer Craig Dollase is 3-for-8 going from MWS to MC. –

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Wednesday, July 22

To say it was a tough week on the handicapping front during the first week of Del Mar is an understatement. Five top choice winners isn’t acceptable, but with the weather and surface changes what are you going to do? I had second choice winners score but they weren’t on top.

As for track itself, newcomer Flavien Prat leads the jockey race with six winners, five of them on the dirt. Prat is in his first full season in Southern California after riding mainly on the grass in his native France. Prat is tied for the lead on the dirt with Joe Talamo (5-for-16). Santiago Gonzalez follows with four wins, all in the mud on Sunday. There is an old handicapping angle that says bet South American-sired horses in the mud. I guess that now carries over to the jockeys, too.

On the flip side on the dirt, Edwin Maldonado is 0-for-10, James Graham is 0-9 and Fernando Perez is 1-13. Graham, a newcomer from the Midwest is off to a rough 0-for-12 start overall.

On the grass, Mike Smith, Rafael Bejarano and Drayden Van Dyke all have two wins. Tyler Baze is 0-for-7 on the grass and Triple Crown riding jockey Victor Espinoza is 0-for-6. In fact, Espinoza is 0-for-13 overall. Can you say TC hangover?

On the training front, Jeff Mullins (4-for-7) and Peter Miller (4-for-24) lead the race. Jerry Hollendorfer is 3-for-8 on the dirt while Doug O’Neill is 0-for-9 on the dirt and 0-for-13 overall.

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FIRST RACE: 1. Silvertron, 2. Comanche Ruler, 3. Domingo Cat. LONG SHOT: Crazy Al.

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SECOND RACE: 1. #5 Venetian Mask (4-1), 2. Sir Macho, 3. Whiskey Wild. LONG SHOT: Karma King.

Trainer Jerry Holldendorfer drops this 4-year-old into a claimer for the first time and gelded the son of Pulpit. Hollendorfer is 25% turf to dirt and he puts jockey Martin Garcia aboard.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Forest Chatter, 2. Marchman, 3. Head South. LONG SHOT: Giant Ego.
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FOURTH RACE: 1. Gypsy’s Rule, 2. Grape Fizz, 3. Lady Wedge. LONG SHOT: She’s too Wild.
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FIFTH RACE: 1. Merle, 2. Gigantis, 3. Diablo Caballero. LONG SHOT: Heat.
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SIXTH RACE: 1. Savings Account, 2. All Star Bub, 3. Front Range. LONG SHOT: Sky Mega.
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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Kulik Lodge, 2. Footstepsinbronze, 3. Winning Prize. LONG SHOT: Zuri Chop.
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EIGHTH RACE: 1. #1 DIXIE TWEET (5-2) BEST BET, 2. Mucho Blessings, 3. Luvuryan. LONG SHOT: Katsfashion.

Trainer Mark Glatt drops this filly to the bottom of the maiden claiming ranks. Glatt is 36% dropping a horse two or more class levels. This daughter of Dixie Chatter showed high speed on the turf and jockey Rafael Bejarano takes over and he is 27% with Glatt.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Sunday’s top choice winners: 1 (War Destiny $5, fourth race)

Sunday’s second choice winners: 2 (Codacious $16.20, second; Pretty N Cool $4, sixth)

Sunday’s third choice winners: 2 (Toomanytomatoes $11.40, third; Husband’s Folly $7.80, fifth)

Sunday’s long shot winners: 1 (Sweet Profit $4.60, first)

 

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, May 24

Race 7: #4 Nakamoto (4-1)

Always thought this 3-year-old had some talented, but he just hasn’t gotten over the hump. Trainer Adam Kitchingman decided to have the son of Temple City gelded and drops him into a maiden claimer for the first time.

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Race 9: #2 Perfectly Majestic (3-1)

Our Eyes:   This 3-year-old just missed against winners going down the hill and now returns to the maiden ranks. He stretches out for the first time and gets a big jockey switch to Mike Smith. The sire Majesticperfection is 23% with turfers.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, May 8

Race 1: #5 Gosofar (3-1)

Cost $100K at auction earlier this year and last work was a good one. Trainer Adam Kitchingman is 20% with first-time starters and the sire Aragorn is 12% first time out.

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Race 5: #1 Elimination Round (5-1)

This 4-year-old filly showed improvement in her second start, and first down the hill. Trainer Eric Kruljac is an amazing 53% (8-for-15) second time on the grass.

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Race 8: #9 Ipray (3-1)

This 3-year-old filly finished third in her career debut despite a poor start. With a better start for red-hot trainer Phil D’Amato it might put her in the winner’s circle on the class drop. D’Amato and jockey Tiago Pereira are 35% the last two years at Santa Anita.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Kentucky Derby, Santa Anita, Triple Crown

Santa Anita opinions (plus some Derby preps) for Saturday, April 4 (updated)

Race 2: #4 Calm the Sea (6-1)

The fact is this race runs through trainer Jerry Hollendorfer’s Never Ends, who has finished second in all three lifetime starts. Yet, Hollendorfer enters this 3-year-old filly and gets one of his main men from Northern California, J.J. Hernandez to ride. Interesting.

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Race 7: #3 Curlin’s Fox (4-1)

Trainer Carla Gaines tries the “Bolo route” here with this 3-year-old filly. After two wins on the turf, Gaines tries to find out if this daughter can run on the dirt like her daddy. Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith will be looking for a hot pace up front for this closer.

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EIGHTH RACESANTA ANITA DERBY: 1. Dortmund, 2. One Lucky Dane, 3. Prospect Park, 4. Bolo. LONG SHOT: Cross the Line.

What can you say about Dortmund? He’s 5-for-5 and wins impressively every time. I would single. Like Dortmund, One Lucky Dane is from the Bob Baffert barn and he was impressive in his 2015 debut. People forget he finished sixth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Interesting that Baffert didn’t ship this one somewhere else, but if he finishes second, he’ll go to the Derby. Prospect Park ran a good second to Dortmund last time and could love the extra ground. I’m not sold on Bolo. I didn’t like the he tired in the stretch last time. We find out here if he’s a dirt or turf horse.

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10TH RACE: 1. Bad Ju Ju

I debated this race for 10 minutes the other night and decided not to add this filly to my selections for HorsePlayer Now. I wish I had after seeing the works on this daughter of Desert Code. Jokcey Kayla Stra will take this one straight to the front and see how far she can go. That’s go enough for me on a day the track could be “souped up.”

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WOOD MEMORIAL at New York’s Aqueduct Race Track: 1. Frosted, 2. Lieutenant Colonel, 3. Daredevil, 4. El Kabeir. LONG SHOT: Tiz Shea.

Let me say I haven’t been impressed with much this winter in New York and the one horse I was (Far From Over) is hurt now. El Kabeir just doesn’t do it for me and he may prove me wrong. Frosted comes from the speed-biased Gulfstream and receives a jockey change to Joel Rosario. The real interesting horse to me is Lieutenant Colonel, who is trained by Chad Brown. By Colonel John, he should love longer distances, although he didn’t like the mud in the Grade III Gotham. Hope for a dry track.

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BLUE GRASS at Lexington’s Keeneland Race Course: 1. Ocho Ocho Ocho, 2. Carpe Diem, 3. Frammento, 4. Unrivaled. LONG SHOT: Gorgeous Bird.

As much as I laud trainer Jim Cassidy for coming to this race, I think he made a mistake by running against Dortmund in the San Felipe in this 3-year-old’s first race back from a layoff. There had to be easier spots, but it’s time to move on and look to the future. It’s now or never for this late-blooming 2-year-old. Carpe Diem was the first horse to come out of the key Breeders’ Cup Juvenile to win around two turns in the Tampa Bay Derby. That said, who did he beat in that race. He’s quality and will be tested here. Unrivaled is the “X” factor having been purchased by Team Valor after a huge win at Parx. Should be interesting.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita selections for Friday, Jan. 2

FIRST RACE: 1. I’m No Patsy, 2. Marla Hooch, 3. Acute. LONG SHOT: Cayanna.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Prospector Alley, 2. Beach Fever, 3. Thesheetsguy. LONG SHOT: Silent Ruler.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Believe Too, 2. Sky Heart, 3. Townminister. LONG SHOT: Sterling Wager.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Salsita, 2. Nothing to Hide, 3. Pariotic Brother. LONG SHOT: Best in Class.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Danette, 2. Popover, 3. Cool Moves. LONG SHOT: Larking.

This maiden DANETTE (3-1) has run in three straight Grade I races so now she is back with her friends and would appear to hold a clear class advantage for trainer Keith Desormeaux and his brother, jockey Kent Desormeaux.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Mega Heat (best bet), 2. Horizontalyspeakin, 3. Boozer. LONG SHOT: Hay Dude.

MEGA HEAT (4-1), an 8-year-old, has won four times in nine tries on this turf course and he is 6-of-8 at this distance. Jockey Corey Nakatani knows him well and trainer Peter Eurton is 26% with allowance horses.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Cautious Giant, 2. Day of Fury, 3. Got Even. LONG SHOT: Sammy Mandeville.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Cravin’ the Heat, 2. Loan Savant, 3. Tanquerray. LONG SHOT: Tebowing.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Del Mar, Horse racing

Del Mar selections for Wednesday, Aug. 13

FIRST RACE: 1. Local One Thirty, 2. Ontology, 3. Papa’s Paisley. LONG SHOT: Blacklord.

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SECOND RACE: 1. Susan B Good, 2. Three Blondes, 3. Cee’s Tizzy Belle. LONG SHOT: Lirica Heat.

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THIRD RACE: 1. Little Jerry, 2. Jomelo, 3. Hurricane Lake. LONG SHOT: Grandstand.

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FOURTH RACE: 1. Goyan (best bet), 2. Perfect Set, 3. Brazilian Court. LONG SHOT: Juan’s Corazonsito. 

Trainer Ron Ellis is quieting having a very good meet. He claimed this gelding GOYAN (4-1) at Los Alamitos put some works into him and tries Polytrack for the first time. Ellis is 24% first off the claim and 33% with jockey Tyler Baze.

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FIFTH RACE: 1. Redshirt, 2. Hone IN, 3. Majestic Presence. LONG SHOT: Awesome Diamond.

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SIXTH RACE: 1. Frensham, 2. Cat Meeting, 3. Benba. LONG SHOT: Cinmars Dance.

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SEVENTH RACE: 1. Remind Mee, 2. Merit Man, 3. Wine Police. LONG SHOT: Caracortado.

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EIGHTH RACE: 1. Mr. Casanova, 2. Artic Code, 3. Aperfectdaytofly. LONG SHOT: Watch It Buster.

Trainer Adam Kitchingman does very well with first-time starters (20%) and debuting maiden claimers (27%). MR. CASANOVA (5-1), a 3-year-old gelding, had a good work over the track recently and speed jockey Martin Pedroza jumps on.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

Sunday’s top choice winners: 1 (Princess Bertrando $8.60, first race)

Sunday’s second choice winners: 0

Sunday’s third choice winners: 2 (When We Met $7.20, third; Moulin de Mougin $18.40, eighth)

Sunday’s long shot winners: 1 (Hidden Zensation $13.80, ninth)

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