Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 28

Race 1 – Tam
#2 Kowboy’s Deelite (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly is coming off a win and she was claimed by Maria Bowersock, who is 28% first off the claim.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-5-6

Race 4 – Tam
#2 Pikes Peak Or Bust (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno rides this filly in her debut. Fort Prado is a good turf sire and Chris Block is a good turf trainer.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#1 Way (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Showed speed on the turf in his debut. Now gets jockey Pablo Morales aboard and he has stolen more than a few races this meet on the grass. Look for more of the same.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 1-3-7.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Wednesday, April 26

Race 4 – Tam
#6 Adios Ashley (15-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Pablo Morales has proven to be a master on the turf this meet. This filly has the second-best speed figure at the distance and the switch to Morales might bring in this long shot..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-7-2.

Race 6 – Tam
#8 Tizk Tizk (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno rides this gelding for the first tome. There are a couple of other firsts like going two turns and going long on the grass, but with Centeno it’s all good at the price.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 8-7-3.

Race 7 – Tam
#6 Cool Seas (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Another big jockey change here to Centeno. This filly comes out of a key race where the first two runners to come back have both won. #2 Commissioned is in the same boat but more upside to Cool Seas.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-2.

Race 8 – Tam
#6 Martini Glass (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has never won on the turf but she hasn’t been disgraced either. Trainer Keith Nations is 30% third off the layoff and the filly comes out of a key race.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-8-10.

Race 9 – Tam
#8 Electro Peg (3-1) ****
Our Eyes: Claimed last time out by Dale Bennett, who likely was looking at this spot. Centeno takes over on this closer..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 8-6-5.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Sunday, April 23

Race 4 – Tam
#6 Spring Me (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This mare has won at this distance at the meet and gets a jockey change to Samy Camacho. Trainer James Gullick is 23% with sprinters. Worth a shot at the price.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 5 – Tam
#2 Nano’s Crown (4-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading trainer Gerald Bennett has two in this race and I’ll with the longer choice with leading jockey Daniel Centeno. Bennett is 23% third off the layoff and the filly is coming out of a key race with three next out winners.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-7.

Race 9 – Tam
#6 Animal Trick (7-2) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Jockey Edwin Gonzalez might have hit the front too early last time at this level so maybe today a more patient ride is needed. Gonzalez is 2-for-8 with trainer Kathleen O’Connell.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-1-2.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Saturday, April 22

Race 1 – Tam
#8 King Stormy (4-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This colt takes a major class drop from MSW at Gulfstream Park to maiden claimer at Tampa. Add in the addition of leading jockey Daniel Centeno and you have a strong choice here.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 6 – Tam
#6 Patient Drama (3-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno jumps on which is a huge upgrade over his previous rider. Stays at the same class level so anything close to last time puts this mare in the winner’s circle.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#9 Louisianahtosauce (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: This filly has been running on the turf, but takes a drop in class plus returns to the dirt. Trainer Robert Raymound is 25% when dropping a horse two or more levels.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#5 Bold Response (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: This gelding broke his maiden in front-running style last time and don’t see a reason jockey Scott Spieth won’t try the same thing. Spieth is 3-for-6 with trainer Joseph Minieri with a positive ROI. Step in class, but might go back-to-back.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay opinions for Saturday, April 15

Race 5 – Tam
#4 Beach Splash (6-1) ****
Our Eyes: This mare has plenty of early speed and the drop in class will help. Jockey Edwin Gonzalez is 2-for-5 at the meet with trainer Jason DaCosta.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 7 – Tam
#2 Gone Astray Kiss (10-1) ****
Our Eyes: Leading jockey Daniel Centeno jumps back on this gelding after helping the 3-year-old break his maiden at 7 furlongs..
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show.

Race 8 – Tam
#5 Lucy in the Sky (20-1) TURF ONLY ***
Our Eyes: Going to take a shot here with this first-timer. Pablo Morales has ridden the turf as well as anyone this meet and this is a daughter of Caleb’s Posse, which gets 25% winner first time on the green stuff.
Jeff’s Playbook: 3 units to win, 4 units to place and 5 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs opinions for Friday, April 14

Preview: Hope some of you had out $18 winner Wild Winter on Wednesday. Living here on the West Coast, I overslept and missed it but that’s life. Watch for smaller fields, trainers leaving and jockeys leaving as the meet winds down until after the day after the Kentucky Derby. Don’t forget no racing on Easter Sunday.

Race 5 – Tam
#2 Oxford Street (8-1) ****
Our Eyes: Coming off a win against easier and jockey Daniel Centeno jumps ship, but this gelding unleashed quite a late burst and if he does that again here on the turf he should be right there.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 2-6-8.

Race 8 – Tam
#6 Moonlit Sonnet (6-1) TURF ONLY ****
Our Eyes: All three of this mare’s wins were on the turf so not sure why she was on the dirt in her last. But that race has proven to be a key race with three next out winners so let’s hope the return to the green is the key.
Jeff’s Playbook: 4 units to win, 5 units to place and 6 units to show. EXBX 6-3.

Race 9 – Tam
#7 That’s Angelina (5-2) TURF ONLY *****
Our Eyes: This filly looks like a single to me. Gets a huge jock switch to Centeno, who should put her in the right spot to win.
Jeff’s Playbook: 5 units to win, 8 units to place and 10 units to show.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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