Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Sunday, Oct. 29

FIRST RACE: #5 Kristi’s Copilot (6-1)
This gelding moves up in class after scoring a win at longer on this turf course. Always like horses shortening up going down the hill. Trainer Mike Machowsky is 29% when a horse wins its last race and there is a good work showing since that win.

THIRD RACE: #8 Midnight Swinger (5-2)
Trainer Mark Glatt has been hot and this filly is the one to beat in this race. Glatt is 20% third off a layoff and the daughter of Midnight Lute is coming out of a key race that has produced two winners from three starters so far. Good turf jockey Drayden Van Dyke takes over. He figures to have her in the first flight of horses.

EIGHTH RACE: #1 Cal Cal Li Gowchis (7-2)
Trainer Genaro Vallejo has three wins at the meet from limited opportunities and just seems to know where to place his horses. This speedball broke his maiden over the track so a return here might be just what the doctor ordered.

NINTH RACE: #11 Lull (7-2)
East Coast-based trainer Christophe Clement is still trying to get this filly a graded stakes victory so he heads West again. Clement is 32% when he goes sprint-sprint-route. Flavien Prat takes the mount.

Good luck

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, Oct. 28

SECOND RACE: #7 Lipster (5-1)
This gelding has been forwardly placed in both of his starts and he is cutting back a half-furlong today which should help. Jockey Stewart Elliott keeps the mount on the 2-year-old that is dropping from Cal-bred maiden claiming $50,000 to open maiden claimers for $30,000. Has a good work since his last race.

FOURTH RACE: #1 Jonny’s Choice (4-1)
The Bill Spawr barn has been running this meet and here he has a gelding second off the claim. Spawr is 23% with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff. The 8-year-old is coming out of a key race that as produced three next out winners from six starters.

SIXTH RACE: #7 Lake Time (12-1)
This filly is making only her second start on the grass so we don’t know if she likes it or not but at this prize it’s worth finding out. She has some late kick and hopefully jockey Joe Talamo gets her there.

EIGHTH RACE: #6 Shivermetimbers (7-2)
I think we might get a better price here than 7-2. There is a Baffert and D’Amato and O’Neill babies in this race, but trainer Jerry Hollendorfer is 20% with horses in their second career start. There is a bullet work right after her third-place finish in her debut so that’s a good sign.

Good luck.

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Oct. 27

Preview: Watch out for the Doug O’Neill barn. Not the best year but won three races on Thursday and might be rounding into form at the right time of the year.

FIRST RACE: #1 Pitching (4-1)
This Glen Hill Farm homebred ran into some trouble last race and it might have cost him a better placing. Trainer Tom Proctor is 22% second time off a 45 to 180-day layoff and barn rider Drayden Van Dyke is aboard.

SIXTH RACE: #7 Tea for Tam (15-1)
This a tough race with a couple of second-time starters for Jerry Hollendorfer (20%) and a pair of first-time starters for Bob Baffert (25%), but I’m going to take a shot with this Malibu Moon firster. The sire gets 14% winners first time out and John Shirreffs hasn’t forgotten how to train since Zenyatta retired.

SEVENTH RACE: #6 Dadtaughtmewell (6-1)
We had this one last time he race, but he finished fourth, beaten by 1 1/2 lengths. Flavien Prat rides back for Dean Pederson and that combination was 4-for-4 before that race. There is a good work showing since that race and he might be sitting on a good one.

EIGHTH RACE: #4 Langham (10-1)
This 4-year-old comes out of one of the most powerful key races during the Del Mar meet. Four horses have come back to win out of that maiden race and another finished second from nine next out starters. Trainer John Sadler had this one gelded since that race when he pressed the early pace and then faltered. This one is bred to love the grass and cuts back in distance. Sadler is 19% with horses off a 46 to 90-day layoff. Good work showing so maybe ready to run best since being gelded.

Good luck

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, Oct. 26

FIRST RACE: #8 Out Ofthe Ordinary (6-1)
The rails are out to 20 feet on the turf course which might help speed and that’s what this mare has. Trainer Brian Koriner is 40% with beaten favorites and he’s a decent combination with jockey Jamie Theriot (14%).

THIRD RACE: #4 Minister’s Glory (15-1)
It’s first time turf for this 2-year-old son of Ministers Wild Cat, who gets 14% winners first time on the grass. The damsire, Valid Wager, gets 13% winners first time on the turf. Trainer Mike Machowsky is 20% first time turf and he has a good turf rider in Joe Talamo on board. Machowsky also puts blinkers on (20%). This gelding moves from a Maiden $50,000 claimer to MSW but I’m not concerned by the class rise.

FIFTH RACE: #6 Moon Juice (15-1)
Going with a pure pedigree play here with this son Kantharos, who gets 20% winners first time out. This gelding is out of a Meadowlake mare and Meadowlake gets 18% first time winners. Martin Pedroza is a good gate jockey.

SIXTH RACE: #3 Tribal Fighter (4-1)
Like the downhill course (4-1-2-0) and comes out of a key race. Has some early speed and jockey Corey Nakatani sticks for trainer Richard Baltas and they are are 25% combo.

EIGHTH RACE: #4 Roaring Fork (5-1)
Closed in his debut on the dirt and now comes down the hill. Out of an Arch (10%) mare. Stewart Elliott and trainer Mike Puype are a decent combination (117%).

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinion for Sunday, Oct. 22

EIGHTH RACE: #3 Spiritual Warrior (6-1)
Just throw out that last race at Del Mar as this 3-year-old wanted no part of sprinting. He wants to go long as he did in breaking his maiden and as he does here for trainer Phil D’Amato, who is 20% with horses on the turf. This horse has been gelded since that last race and keep an eye on the first race today. If Chief Hossa wins, give extra credit to this starter because that would be three next out winners out of that Del Mar sprint. Good turf jockey Drayden Van Dyke keeps the mount.

Sorry this all I’ve got. Too much work this weekend.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Friday, Oct. 20

Preview: Sorry this is late. If you ever just want to see one of my best bets subscribe to the Los Angeles Times horse racing newsletter. It’s free. You can go to http://www.latimes.com and go to sports and you should be able to subscribe. Did I mention it’s free?

FOURTH RACE: Psychedelicat (3-1)
Drops from a MSW to a maiden claimer. Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer is 26% when making that move. Has been working well.

SIXTH RACE: #7 Lucky Soul (6-1)
This colt plus Saltini and Cascade Rock all come out of a key Del Mar race that has produced two next out winners from three starters (Play a exacta box with these three). Lucky Soul is a closer. Been working well and Tyler Baze takes over.

EIGHTH RACE: #9 Bee Sweet (6-1)
Jockey Flavien Prat takes over for apprentice Evin Roman going two turns on the grass. This filly shipped back from Golden Gate to Del Mar and showed an improved effort for trainer Neil Drysdale, who is 29% with Prat in 21 races at Santa Anita. Outside post not great, but thinking Prat will head to the rail and mount a charge from there. Also Prat usually rides for Richard Mandella and rides this one instead.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Horse racing, Santa Anita

Santa Anita opinions for Thursday, Oct. 19

FIRST RACE: #2 Sassy Ashley (5-1)
Owner Jeff Bloom struck last week at odds of 20-1. Don’t think he’ll get that here, but this filly obviously likes this track the best with a 4-1-1-1 record. Go Back three races and she almost won at this level on this track going this distance. Bingo.

FOURTH RACE: #9 Streak of Luck (3-1)
This filly might be facing some tough first-timers in here but she has the experience and is dropping from a state-bred MSW to a maiden claimer. She is also coming out of a key race that has produced three next out winners.

SEVENTH RACE: #7 Aflewency (8-1)
Big jockey switch on the turf here are Hall of Famer Gary Stevens takes over for apprentice Evin Roman. This filly broke her maiden down the hill with Stevens in the irons and he is 3-for-10 with trainer Neil French. Look for an improved effort in this spot.

Good luck.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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