Horse racing, Keeneland, Keeneland Race Course, Oaklawn Park, Tampa Bay Downs

Keeneland and Oaklawn Park stakes opinions for Saturday, April 13 (Plus Tampa Bay)

KEENELAND

SEVENTH RACE (Ben Ali): 1. Nun the Less 2ND PAID $9.60 TO PLACE, 2. Bonus Points, 3. Hence. LONG SHOT: Third Day.

EIGHTH RACE (Giant’s Causeway): 1. Mrs. Ramona G. SCRATCHED, 2. Morticia WINNER $6.40, 3. Excessivespending COLD EXACTA $26.80. LONG SHOT: Surrender Now. TRIFECTA $27.30 for 50 cents

NINTH RACE (Lexington): 1. Anothertwistafate 2ND PAID $3.60 TO PLACE, 2. Sueno THIRD, 3. Shang. LONG SHOT: Hawaiian Noises.

10TH RACE (Jenny Wiley): 1. Rymska SECOND, 2. Rushing Fall WINNER $3.80 REVERSE EXACTA $7.40, 3. Onthemoonagain, 4. Bellavais.

OAKLAWN PARK

NINTH RACE (Oaklawn Handicap): 1. Quip WINNER $13, 2. Rated R Superstar, 3. Giant Expectations. LONG SHOT: Lookin At Lee.

11TH RACE (Arkansas Derby) : 1. Omaha Beach WINNER $5.40, 2. Galilean, 3. Improbable SECOND, 4. Long Range Toddy. LONG SHOT: Tikhvin Flew.

TAMPA BAY

SECOND RACE: 1. R True Sensation WINNER $5.40, 2. Lovetobehappy, 3. Taylor’s Belle. LONG SHOT: U Know I B Lion.

THIRD RACE: 1. Spectacular Plum WINNER $9, 2. First Reward, 3. Trumpi. LONG SHOT: Candy Cove. COLD EXACTA $66.20; COLD TRIFECTA $102.30 for $1

SIXTH RACE: 1. Architect SECOND AT 19-1 PAID $19.60 TO PLACE, 2. Luna, 3. Itsagimme’s Girl. LONG SHOT: Red Curls.

SEVENTH RACE: 1. Silver Duke WINNER $54.80, 2. Peas and Carrots, 3. Money Broker. LONG SHOT: Tamper (SCRATCHED). COLD EXACTA $189; COLD TRIFECTA $198.55 for 50 cents

Good luck.

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Belmont Park, Horse racing, Keeneland Race Course

Belmont and Keeneland opinions for Saturday, Oct. 8

BELMONT PARK

Race 4 (The Frizette): 1. Nonna Mela, 2. Sky Gesture, 3. Yellow Agate. LONG SHOT: Colorful Charades.

Race 5 (The Kelso Handicap): 1. #2 Point Piper (3-1), 2. Tommy macho, 3. Tamarkuz. LONG SHOT: Ocean Knight.
POINT PIPER really came to life in the Longacres Mile for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who is 19% when he ships. The Longacres was this 6-year-old’s Beyer. He loves to come from off the pace and with the long stretch jockey Mario Gutierrez shouldn’t hit the button until the top of the lane.

Race 6 (The Flower Bowl): 1. Lady Eli, 2. Sea Calisi, 3. Strike Charmer. LONG SHOT: Ame Bleue.

Race 7 (The Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational): 1. Power Alert, 2. Pure Sensation, 3. Ready for Rye. LONG SHOT: Triple Burner.

Race 8 (The Champagne): 1. #6 Big Gray Rocket (6-1), 2. Practical Joke, 3. Favorable Outcome. LONG SHOT: Syndergaard.
Trainer Bob Baffert is shipping 2-year-olds all over the country because his barn is loaded which is why BIG GRAY ROCKET is running here. Baffert is 33% when he ships and 25% when he sends a horse first time at a route.This colt was odds-on in his first start, got left at the gate and still almost won. Then he blew away the field at 6 1/2 furlongs. He wants longer and gets it here. Jockey Mike Smith, 31% with Baffert, jumps on.

Race 9 (The Hill Prince): 1. #7 Monster Bea (8-1), 2. Camelot Kitten, 3. American Patriot. LONG SHOT: Conquest Daddyo.
This gelding MONSTER BEA was impressive on opening day at Del Mar winning the Oceanside and then he finished fourth twice in graded company, the last one missing by a half-length. Pure and simple he’s a closer and will have to get the right ride. Leading jockey Javier Castellano jumps on and the longer stretch at Belmont should help. Trainer Peter Miller is 16% with shippers.

Race 10 (The Jockey Club Gold Cup): 1. Effinex, 2. Hoppertunity, 3. Mubtaahij. LONG SHOT: Protonico.

KEENELAND RACE COURSE

Race 5 (The Woodford): 1. Front Pockey Money, 2. Hogy, 3. Almasty. LONG SHOT: Mosler.

Race 6 (The Thoroughbred Club Of America): 1. #5 Bendable (6-1), 2. Stonetastic, 3. I’m a Looker. LONG SHOT: Irish Jasper.
Could trainer Richard Mandella picked a harder spot for Bendable’s graded stakes debut? Probably not, but that’s the point Mandella wants to find out if this filly belongs in the Breeders’ Cup F&M Sprint next month at her home base of Santa Anita. Mandella isn’t shipping for the heck of it. He’s 29% with shippers. She has “California speed” and should be able to stalk the pace and pounce in the stretch under Jose Ortiz.

Race 7 (The First Lady): 1. Tepin, 2. Now Or Never, 3. Celestine. LONG SHOT: Onus.

Race 8 (The Breeders’ Futurity): 1. Classic Empire, 2. No Dozing, 3. Singing Bullet. LONG SHOT: Blame Will.

Race 9: (The Shadwell Turf Mile): 1. Miss Temple City, 2. Tower of Texas, 3. Mondoaliste. LONG SHOT: Ring Weekend.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Breeders' Cup, Horse racing, Keeneland, Keeneland Race Course

Breeders’ Cup selections for Saturday, Oct. 31

Race 3: JUVENILE FILLIES

10-Songbird

1-Land Over Sea

9-Rachel’s Valentina

2-Tap to It

I have thought all along SONGBIRD would be the most likely winner on this card, but then she drew outside post, No. 10. I still think she is the one to beat, but I think LAND OVER SEA needs a longer look after drawing No. 1 and finishing second to Songbird two times in a row.

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Race 4: TURF SPRINT

1-Pure Sensation

9-No Silent

14-Mongolian Saturday

4-Bobby’s Kitten

I think this a wide open race. The only thing I think is I’m not betting favored LADY SHIPMAN. If she wins, I lose. I like the fact that PURE SENSATION draws the inside and he likes it hard or soft turf plus John Velazquez rides. I hope NO SILENT comes from off the pace for the Gary Mandella barn.

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Race 5: FILLY AND MARE SPRINT

2-Dame Dorothy

11-Judy the Beauty

6-Super Majesty

3-Taris

This 4-year-old filly DAME DOROTHY is making her third start off the layoff for that powerful jack-trainer combination of Velazquez and Todd Pletcher. She will likely press the pace from the inside and she loves this 7-furlong distance with a 4-for-5 record.

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Race 6: FILLY AND MARE TURF

10-Bawina

3-Legatissimo

9-Miss France

6-Queen’s Jewel

Once again I’m sticking with the Euros in this race. BAWINA gets the services of Oliver Pesleir back and they have won three races together. She is first time Lasix and had some trouble in her last race.

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Race 7: SPRINT

8-Wild Dude

5-Runhappy

4-Limousine Liberal

2-Kobe’s Back

Of course there is a ton of speed in this race and I’m going with the horse I think is the best closer in WILD DUDE for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer and jockey Rafael Bejarano.

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Race 8: MILE

11-Karakontie

4-Mondialiste

3-Make Believe

9-Esoterique

Again sticking with the foreign horses and KARAKONTIE is the defending champions of this race. Can you say back-to-back?

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Race 9: JUVENILE

9-Exaggerator

12-Swipe

10-Ralis

13-Nyquist

The West Coast horses have done pretty good around the country in the 2-year-old ranks and it will be no different here. Jockey Kent Desormeaux had his choice of horses entered by his brother, trainer Keith Desormeaux, and he settled on this son of Curlin, EXAGGERATOR.

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Race 10: TURF

9-Found

1-Golden Horn

10-The Pizza Man

4-Big John B

GOLDEN HORN will be a lot a single for a lot of people but just not convinced he has to win this race after already winning the Arc in France. I’m going with the 3-year-old filly FOUND, trained by Aiden O’Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore.

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Race 10: CLASSIC

9-Honor Code

4-American Pharoah

10-Tonalist

3-Frosted

Like I said before it’s a shame BEHOLDER isn’t in this race. AMERICAN PHAROAH is now the clear speed although others will likely take a shot at him. I’m going with the deep closer HONOR CODE, trained by Shug McGaughey. Honor Code was impressive at Saratoga and I look for a similar effort.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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Breeders' Cup, Horse racing, Keeneland, Keeneland Race Course, Kentucky, Lexington

Breeders’ Cup selections for Friday, Oct. 30

In case you don’t know it, Beholder has been scratched from Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Classic due to bleeding in her lungs after a gallop on Thursday.

It’s a shame because I really wanted to see her face American Pharoah, but the show much go on so here are my thoughts for Friday.

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Sixth Race: JUVENILE TURF

7-Ray’s The Bar

2-Azar

11-Hollywood Don

4-Shogun

If we get this morning-line, I’ll be stunned as trainer Chad Brown and jockey Javier Castellano just don’t go off at 20-1. RAY’S THE BAR had traffic trouble in U.S. debut so here’s hoping for a clean trip.

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Race 7: DIRT MILE

5-Lea

3-Liam’s Map

1-Red Vine

7-War Envoy

LIAM’S MAP will be everyone’s single here. Not me. This Bill Mot runner LEA is a perfect 3-for-3 at the distance and finished third in the Dubai World Cup. Mott put a good work into over the track recently signaling all systems are go.

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Race 8: JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

3-Alice Springs

10-Illuminate

14-Last Waltz

8-Harmonize

Sticking with the Euros in this race. They just seem to do well here. The condition of the turf course will be a concern to some after rain most of the week but reports are that the inside is harder than the inside so you might see horses all over the place depending on what type of turf they prefer.

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Race 9: DISTAFF

1-I’m a Chatterbox

14-Sheer Drama

7-Wedding Toast

6-My Sweet Addiction

Boy, if Beholder was healthy and running in this race she would be 1-9. She’s not so let’s go with an up and coming 3-year-old filly facing older for the first time in I’M A CHATTERBOX. Larry Jones is a great trainer and will have her ready.

@Jeff_Nahill on Twitter

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