Overview: If you loved New York in Friday’s BC races, you made a lot of money. New York-based horses won four races so that’s something to keep in mind.
FOURTH RACE (BC Filly & Mare Sprint): 1. Bell’s the One, 2. Sconsin, 3. Serengeti Empress, 4. Gamine. LONG SHOT: Sally’s Curlin.
Lots of speed in this race so I’m with the closer Bell’s the One, who two wins over this track.
FIFTH RACE (BC Turf Sprint): 1. Oleksandra, 2. Texas Wedge, 3. Glass Slippers, 4. Imprimis. LOPNG SHOT: Bombard.
Tough race. Going with the mare Oleksandra and jockey Joel Rosario, who knows this one well. Trainer Peter Miller has done well in this race so don’t overlook Texas Wedge despite the poor post draw (No. 13).
SIXTH RACE (BC Dirt Mile): 1. Knicks Go (best bet), 2. Mr. Freeze, 3. War of Will, 4. Owendale. LONG SHOT: Silver Dust.
Knicks Go is 2 for 2 since coming to the Brad Cox barn and his last race over this track has just awesome. Silver Dust is the closer to watch.
SEVENTH RACE (BC Filly & Mare Turf): 1. Starship Jubilee, 2. Rushing Fall, 3. Mean Mary, 4. Sistercharlie. LONG SHOT: Terebellum.
Starship Jubilee draws inside and is 2 for 5 at the distance. Rushing Fall will be a big favorite.
EIGHTH RACE (BC Sprint): 1. C Z Rocket, 2. Diamond Oops, 3. Yaupon, 4. Whitmore. LONG SHOT: Hog Creek Hustle.
There’s that man again in trainer Peter Miller. He claimed C Z Rocket in the spring in Kentucky and now four wins later the gelding is here. Closers to keep an eye on Whitmore and Hog Creek Hustle. Keeneland tends to favor speed but those two horses might be coming for second and third.
NINTH RACE (BC Mile): 1. Digital Age, 2. Kameko, 3. Halladay, 4. March to the Arch. LONG SHOT: Lope Y Fernandez.
Another wide open race. I’ve gotta think the outside posts are going to have a problem in this spot. Kameko and Lope Y Fernandez are two Euros to watch.
10TH RACE (BC Distaff): 1. Ollie’s Candy, 2. Monomoy Girl, 3. Swiss Skydiver, 4. Harvest Moon. LONG SHOT: Horologist.
Monomoy Girl and Swiss Skydiver are deserving favorites. I’m going with Ollie’s Candy for trainer John Sadler and jockey Joel Rosario. I think Sadler has her ready to run a big one and she will be just off the pace.
11TH RACE (BC Turf): 1. United, 2. Tarnawa, 3. Magical, 4. Channel Maker. LONG SHOT: Lord North.
Despite finishing second in this race last year at Santa Anita, this gelding doesn’t seem to be getting much respect here for jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Richard Mandella. Watch out for the Euros in this spot, too.
12TH RACE (BC Classic): 1. Improbable, 2. Tom’s d’Etat, 3. Authentic, 4. Maximum Security. LONG SHOT: Higher Power.
The Bob Baffert invitational here with three horses, but like we said on Friday, Baffert has only one BC winner since 2017 and Friday wasn’t good. That being said Improbable has really come into his own this year and should win Horse of the Year with a victory here. If you think you’re getting 6-1 on Tom’s d’Etat forget about it. He is the wise guy horse and a lot of people in Kentucky love him.
Good luck. Stay safe.
Top choice winners: 1 (Essential Quality $9.40, 10th)
Second choice winners: 2 (Golden Pal $3.60, sixth, exacta box $34.20, trifecta box $292.40; Vequist $15.20, eighth)
Third choice winners: 0
Fourth choice winners: 0
Long shot winners: 0