Preview: The first week of the meet sprint races were won 25% of the time in wire-to-wire fashion, according to Brisnet stats. The four through seven posts won 20% of the time. In 10 route races, there were no wire-to-wire winners, but you still needed to be close to win. Winners of two-turn races were 1.59 lengths behind at the first call and 0.96 lengths behind at the second call.
Race 5: #3 Peppermint Kitty (7-2)
This filly took some sneaky betting in her debut at Del Mar for trainer Peter Miller before finishing fourth. Jockey Kent Desormeaux saw enough to ride back here and he’s 26% with Miller. The 4-year-old has the best Late Pace Rating from Brisnet, which should help in the longest home stretch in America.
Race 7: #6 Carlsbad Mountain (5-1)
Trainer Robertino Diodoro claimed this gelding from Peter Miller at Del Mar and Diodoro is 26% first off the claim. This gelding has a third over this track in his only appearance earlier this year against tougher. Jockey Stewart Elliott keeps the mount and he’s 40% with Diodoro.
Race 8: #5 Tension (5-1)
This filly was the 13-10 favorite over this track as a 2-year-old and now resurfaces nearly two years later. However, rfarely are Bob Baffert horses short and jockey Stewart Elliott has been hot, especially with the Baffert barn.
Race 5: #5 Brownie Finale (6-1)
Trainer John Martin claimed this colt at Sacramento no doubt with his 3-for-4 record on synthetic tracks in mind. Martin is 44% first off the claim and there’s a big work showing plus Martin is 30% with jockey Roberto Gonzalez.
Race 6: #8 Compel (9-2)
This filly has been running in Southern California, facing way better and dropping to her lowest level ever. Trainer Eric Kruljac is 21% when he drops a horses two or more levels.The 3-year-old has the top Late Pace Rating from Brisnet.
Race 8: #5 Arendal (15-1)
Our Eyes: There are five shippers from Southern California in his maiden race on the turf plus one European import from the Simon Callaghan barn, but we’re going with the first time turfer from the Jerry Hollendorfer barn. This filly is sired by Cape Blanco (Ireland), whose offspring have a winning average of 7.8 furlongs and gets 8% first time out winners. On top of that the mare is out of Danzig, which is 26% first time out on grass. This 3-year-old has the top Late Pace Rating.
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